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2161  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 20, 2016, 06:03:35 AM
Hum, so... 144*7=1008 or approx one week of block size data



Not really sure what to make of that. About 50 (around 5%) empty blocks, 220 (around 20%) full blocks and a fairly boring distribution over the rest of the sizes with some rather odd spikes at 25%, 75%, 93% and 95%. Of these, the 75% has an obvious explanation. I wonder if the others are pool specific.
2162  Bitcoin / Pools / Re: [1500 TH] p2pool: Decentralized, DoS-resistant, Hop-Proof pool on: January 20, 2016, 05:51:44 AM
Has anyone else had any trouble with p2pool interfering with their bitcoind?

I run some software which queries the RPC interface periodically and it's been giving 500 read timeout errors. I bumped my rpc threads up to 100 and it helped but it was still doing it. I just killed p2pool and a lot of the read errors stopped but also the requests I was making were coming back a lot faster. Does p2pool hit RPC pretty hard?
2163  Economy / Speculation / Re: Automated posting on: January 20, 2016, 05:24:32 AM

Even though I am not really sure about the total impact of all of these numbers, except maybe getting a sense of longer confirmation times, I think that I agree with you that hourly averaging may be a better depiction of block fullness as compared with block averaging of fullness over 24 hours, if that happens to be the case with the blockchain.info charts?  


Which chart are you looking at? I don't see one which relates directly but I may be looking in the wrong place

(apology from earlier accepted BTW)

Edit: NVM, found it. That looks like daily average. Might be instructive to plot it as a distribution.
2164  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 20, 2016, 04:53:55 AM

I've gone from being confused about opt-in RBF to sort of indifferent. Theymos may have seduced me with his charms tho.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1331275.msg13600494#msg13600494

The signs have been there for a while that the crazy is infectious.


(Disclaimer: I'm actually not against RBF)
2165  Economy / Speculation / Re: Automated posting on: January 20, 2016, 04:48:14 AM


So for anyone still harboring any doubts, here is the actual data ChartBuddy used to generate this widget. Please feel free to point out any errors. I picked one with both empty and full blocks to give an illustration.

Code:
Block    Size     Limit    Perc
  394091   995032  1000000  100%
  394092   929728  1000000   93%
  394093   995189  1000000  100%
  394094   927529  1000000   93%
  394095      210  1000000    0%*
  394096   995123  1000000  100%
  394097   999928  1000000  100%
  394098   949174  1000000   95%
  394099   998803  1000000  100%
  394100    64143  1000000    6%
================================
AVE-NOMT  7854649  9000000   87%
AVE-MT    7854859 10000000   79%


Note that this round included 10 blocks, way more than the targeted 6 and 50% were still full. I probably should have included the times as well as though the last block is only 6% full, it came a scant 44 seconds after the previous block.

Empty blocks marked with a *
2166  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 20, 2016, 02:34:10 AM

**Disclaimer - I'm not admitting to regular drug abuse via RL dealers though Wink**

So irregular drug abuse then... Cheesy
2167  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 20, 2016, 01:34:42 AM
Sounds like get everything the fuck into cold storage to me & await the chaos.




Edit -

NLC style




Just use half your coins to buy massive amounts of drugs off the darknet and wake up in 2019
2168  Economy / Speculation / Re: Automated posting on: January 20, 2016, 01:33:16 AM

What kind of notice could/would/will we expect?

I've got coins spread across various devices, forms of storage etc. I don't fancy being left with a load of shitcoins (whichever becomes the defeated chain).

Acid rain, dogs eating cats...chaos everywhere.

 Shocked

Points off for missing the chance of a Ghostbusters reference.
2169  Economy / Speculation / Re: Automated posting on: January 20, 2016, 01:20:33 AM

What kind of notice could/would/will we expect?

I've got coins spread across various devices, forms of storage etc. I don't fancy being left with a load of shitcoins (whichever becomes the defeated chain).

It's only an issue for coins stored on keys you don't control (exchanges primarily)

Though it could get kind-of complicated for regular coins if a fork happens and the weaker fork somehow manages to stay relevant for any period of time.
2170  Economy / Speculation / Re: Automated posting on: January 20, 2016, 01:05:44 AM
How can anyone take btc-e to court over a slight of hand like that? Nobody knows who they are, what country they're from, or what country btc-e operates from. If nobody knows the slightest thing about them there's no legal recourse for anything they do.

Which is also exactly true of the current point in time. They could walk away with all the funds any time.

If you don't control the keys, you don't control the coins.
2171  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 20, 2016, 01:02:30 AM
^Not frog? (my favorite story).

The fox and the frog?

Wink
2172  Economy / Speculation / Re: Automated posting on: January 20, 2016, 12:56:24 AM

This might be a dumb question, but: have we ever had a contentious hard fork before? What will plenty of notice look like?


Good question. I believe the plan for classic is to go straight to 2mb but I'm sure there will be a notice period and there may be a trigger. They plan to release end-of January so that's fairly short. BIP101 had a trigger and then a wait to give the network chance to catch up. Unlimited is a bit of a wildcard as it's designed to follow the network.
2173  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 20, 2016, 12:48:17 AM
AlexGR raises an excellent point. If there is an upcoming contentious hardfork scheduled then the first things people are going to do is withdraw ALL their coins off the exchanges and out of any custodial services.

They could also purchase filthy fiat, depending on their preference.

Given how easy Bitcoin is to move around, only lying scumbaggy exchanges need worry. Which may not be all that comforting depending on your level of cynicism.
2174  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 20, 2016, 12:40:23 AM
I really wonder when this damn blocksize shit is going to be solved. It's becoming retarded.

we are not even close to seeing the end of this imo. the fork will come and core, better said gmax/luke, will fight fiercely with the remining 25% hashpower or whatever hash they have. expect more "bitcoin is dead" press releases etc but this time from core-members...

Except they're planning to go nuclear with POW which will screw over any miners that would like to go with them.

Puts me in mind of that fox and the scorpion story.
2175  Economy / Speculation / Re: Automated posting on: January 20, 2016, 12:32:44 AM
Regarding existing holders, if you have your own keys you are relatively ok (minus the obvious destruction of USD value), but the situation with coins in online exchanges and wallets will be "problematic" if say an exchange with 500k BTCs, say 'ok my clients, now you have 500k BTCCs because we adopted this fork' (and we are keeping 500k BTCs of the other fork for ourselves). It would be like stealing BTCs and exchanging them for Gavincoins.

This is a legit concern. However, there will be plenty of notice. Anyone who is genuinely worried about this should ensure their Bitcoins are withdrawn to keys they hold themselves, as always (and as you say. Missed that bit).
2176  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 20, 2016, 12:27:36 AM
Is SegWit really just an ugly hack to accommodate LN? Is this true? Because nobody knows if anybody will use LN yet...

No. It fixes transaction malleability. Stupid.

Which killed Mt Gox. Are you saying you want more Mt Goxes? And dead puppies?
2177  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 20, 2016, 12:25:54 AM
Nah.. I've been seeing 'Fullblockalypse' around for a while now...

It's my creation. I expect a satoshi any time you use it.

chart buddy should calculate "Estimated time till the Fullblockalypse"

Too much of a grey area. I actually think it will start to have seriously negative effects at an average block fullness of around 75% which we're pretty much at already. ChartBuddy reports verifiable facts
2178  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 19, 2016, 09:59:23 PM

So you're telling us Core is planning an increase to 2 MB blocks and Cconvert2G36 tells us Core devs have found  2 MB blocks bring a risk of an attack no-one knows how to defend against... One of you should check their sources!

Based on Cconvert2G36's previous posts, I think he was applying heaping doses of irony and his text should be taken with a large shovel of salt.
2179  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 19, 2016, 09:58:10 PM

You seem like a level headed guy, are Core out of their fucking minds?


I am fairly confident that at the very least, one of them is.
2180  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 19, 2016, 09:37:22 PM

You forkers can move on with coinbase/blockchain/KNCminer/MIT/bitpay.

bubye Smiley

You get me wrong. I'm all for it. I can fire up my video cards again and make plenty of Coretel coins to sell all the way down to 0.
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