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2181  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [ANN] Spondoolies-Tech - carrier grade, data center ready mining rigs on: January 30, 2015, 12:18:22 AM
It's collusion, and depending on how it's done it can definitely be illegal.
http://www.ctvnews.ca/business/multimillion-dollar-settlements-reached-in-lcd-price-fixing-class-action-1.2000656

Then OPEC must be carrying this illegal activity for several decades. And FED is the banking alliance to control and fix the price of the dollar for more than 100 years

2182  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [ANN] Spondoolies-Tech - carrier grade, data center ready mining rigs on: January 29, 2015, 07:54:14 PM
Have you ever considered in forming an alliance like OPEC to limit the hash rate race?  Wink  I just saw Bitfury said that their cloud service would only add hardware based on demand, is this a trend towards more cloud based service?
It's funny to read it from mega self miner.
No, it's illegal.

How is that illegal?  Smiley It is just a consensus (if it ever can be reached). Even pools can be allied together to protect against a faulty fork in 2013, and against potential 51% attack if it ever happens

Imagine a vendor that have leading semi-conductor process 10nm, he can limit his production scale at a certain level so that the network hash rate increase slowly. He then could start a cloud mining service and sell the hash power at market rate, which leaves him large margin to deal with market volatility. I think that is what Bitfury means



2183  Economy / Speculation / Re: BTC back to long slow downward trend? on: January 29, 2015, 05:12:29 PM
Mainly because 2 factors:

1. The end of QE. In fact the price of almost any commody has been in a long downward trend since the QE slowed down and eventually stopped during 2014




2. The mining cost is still lower than coin's exchange rate during most of 2014


For no.1, FED still keep their previous projection of raising the interest on later part this year. But I think if USD liquidity become a much severe problem sooner than they can imagine, eventually they have to start QE again

For no.2, now the cost is already higher than exchange rate at some place, so some of the miner will just shutdown rig and buy bitcoins instead, that will give some support in the near future
2184  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [ANN] Spondoolies-Tech - carrier grade, data center ready mining rigs on: January 29, 2015, 05:06:39 PM
My predictions, three months ago: Bitcoin TLV `14, #25 - Guy Corem - Mining Forecast
BitFury revealed their mining address two days afterwards. I didn't expect to see AntPool grow so much.
Let's see how the rest of my predictions will be in 2015. It was based of BTC value of $400

The rest of Inside Bitcoin TLV lectures can be found here: Inside Bitcoins Tel Aviv 2014t
I think that it was one of the best Inside Bitcoin conferences ever. Kudos to Meni Rosenfeld.

Nice video. That forecast did not include the bitcoin exchange rate, which is the most uncertain variable for mining as a business: Racks of machine can become paperweight when bitcoin price dive below $100

Home mining however are not affected as much since many of them are not profit oriented
Thank you. I wish I could forecast the bitcoin exchange rate Smiley

Have you ever considered in forming an alliance like OPEC to limit the hash rate race?  Wink  I just saw Bitfury said that their cloud service would only add hardware based on demand, is this a trend towards more cloud based service?
2185  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [ANN] Spondoolies-Tech - carrier grade, data center ready mining rigs on: January 29, 2015, 09:14:49 AM
My predictions, three months ago: Bitcoin TLV `14, #25 - Guy Corem - Mining Forecast
BitFury revealed their mining address two days afterwards. I didn't expect to see AntPool grow so much.
Let's see how the rest of my predictions will be in 2015. It was based of BTC value of $400

The rest of Inside Bitcoin TLV lectures can be found here: Inside Bitcoins Tel Aviv 2014t
I think that it was one of the best Inside Bitcoin conferences ever. Kudos to Meni Rosenfeld.

Nice video. That forecast did not include the bitcoin exchange rate, which is the most uncertain variable for mining as a business: Racks of machine can become paperweight when bitcoin price dive below $100

Home mining however are not affected as much since many of them are not profit oriented
2186  Other / Meta / Re: China block VPN service on: January 29, 2015, 08:24:42 AM
They would just make average Joe more difficult to access outside world, the experts will always find a way as long as encrypted package can be sent

Actually the higher level officers need access to outside internet to get some insider government info which they seldom can acquire domestically
2187  Economy / Economics / Re: Does SNB see something that we don't know? on: January 29, 2015, 03:49:20 AM
They were getting scared, having tied their little lifeboat to the Titanic

Since the peg was removed, they spend another 26 000 000 000 CHF just to prevent 1 CHF from going over 1 EUR; that is like 1 000 000 000 CHF per day.

However the internal value of CHF is zero, like any fiat currency; but the market still prefers a negative interest CHF over an EUR or an USD.

Crazy  Roll Eyes

Rubble can have 20% interest rate but it in fact erased your purchase power by 50%. Same for CHF that preserve your purchasing power much better than Euro
2188  Economy / Economics / Re: Why does anyone pay attention to people that study "economics"? on: January 28, 2015, 08:34:57 AM

There are 2 facts that do not support the theory that commercial banks can create money:

1. Federal reserve act of 1913. It gave FED exclusive rights in creating USD. If commercial banks are doing that, they are braking the law

2. There were many bank failure in financial crisis: If commercial banks could create money by just issuing a loan, then they would just simply loan to each other and create trillions and trillions of dollar and they will never need FED. The fact that they went bankrupt is because they don't have money and they can not create it by themselves, they must turn to FED to borrow money


Maybe you should read Keynes' "Theory of money".  It is very well explained in the first few chapters, how Deposits are money.  It is what Keynes calls "Bank Money" (in contrast to State money).  He shows that in the 20ies already essentially all money is Bank Money.

In fact, the instability you point to is discussed, and it is why there is the minimum fractional reserve imposed.  

However, that minimum fractional reserve only limits the amount of money on the upper side.  It doesn't on the lower side.  What we are starting to observe now is exactly that: the impossibility to force the creation of bank money, no matter how much state money one issues.


Good point. In fact there are many types of "money" and most of them are not real, but now most of the people have no idea what is real money, and they usually talk about some money that is not real

Just like a user's bitcoin in an exchange, he would also call them bitcoin and he can exchange them with others on exchange, so for him and for exchange, those numbers in his account indeed represent bitcoin. And the exchange can even do some statistics about their bitcoin transaction volume in their database and make a M1 supply analysis of bitcoin ecosystem. However, they are just numbers in exchange's database, they are not on blockchain. The exchange might have already lost those bitcoins long time ago before the client experience a withdraw problem, since the coins in their hot wallet might be able to deal with any kind of withdraw for years unless a crisis hit (MTGOX)

The bank settlement network can be regarded as a giant exchange that almost everything is exchanged on this platform. People trade against each other with their money and cause the numbers in their account increase or decrease. Exactly the same way bitcoin traders doing in an exchange. So anything happened on this giant exchange has nothing to do with real money

To see the real money, people must get out of this giant exchange, as long as they stay in this exchange and keep trading, they will always be playing with numbers, not real money. And those numbers can not exist without real money

When MTGOX lost all of the customer coins in cold storage, all the accounts were wiped out, although the numbers in those accounts are still intact, the value behind them is gone. This is similar to many bank failure that when their last piece of real money has been exhausted, all the other numbers in their database are useless


In my opinion, real money only comes from FED (and notes and coins made by treasury). But the ownership of those real money is little bit confusing: In a traditoinal RBD model, if I have some valuable asset, I can issue money of same value, backed by this asset. But the ownership is: I have ownership of the money and I also have the ownership of the asset

Then I start to spend money, giving up the ownership of those money and get some valuable things in return. Notice that I still have the ownership of my asset, as long as no one come back to me to redeem the money

Government have the ownership of some asset, then they issue some money based on this asset. From a similar reasoning, the asset ownership and money ownership will all belong to government, as long as no one come to government to redeem the money. However, the reality is: Newly issued money belongs to government, but their asset now belongs to FED, which is not owned by government

I have never been able to understand how this kind of ownership shift can happen without any resistance from mainstream economists, have they been playing on exchanges for too long and forget about the real world totally  Roll Eyes

Of course, if everyone from birth to death are playing on this exchange forever, then the numbers on exchanges will be more important than reality, but that is a kind of abstraction I still can not command now, maybe just like Keynes said, we are all dead long term wise



2189  Economy / Economics / Re: Metarepresented Money on: January 27, 2015, 08:57:52 AM
Money is just a certificate of value, and there is a consensus for that value among a group of people

A ten-dollar bill cannot certify that something priced at ten dollars indeed has this (or any other) value, so it makes no sense to define money as "a certificate of value."

There is no standard unit of value, it is all subjective, but you can make a rough compare of things with different value: a $10 bill has 10 times larger value than a $1 bill
2190  Economy / Economics / Re: Why does anyone pay attention to people that study "economics"? on: January 27, 2015, 08:32:50 AM

I thought that's what I was explaining.  Only commercial banks have a deposit account at the Fed.  No individuals so if you borrow money from JP Morgan and deposit into your Citi account.  The Fed just change their ledger to reflect this.  So the only way for the money to get into the economy is for banks to lend it out.

It's a common misunderstanding that money is not created from commercial banks.  They create it in the form of credit.  It's called endogenous money.  Most of the mainstream economists get this wrong

Here's a paper the Bank of England put out on this issue

http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/Documents/quarterlybulletin/2014/qb14q1prereleasemoneycreation.pdf


Can not trust a source that comes from the bank itself, because this involves the ownership of trillions of money, they will try to hide it as much as possible and give others as much misleading info as possible

There are 2 facts that do not support the theory that commercial banks can create money:

1. Federal reserve act of 1913. It gave FED exclusive rights in creating USD. If commercial banks are doing that, they are braking the law

2. There were many bank failure in financial crisis: If commercial banks could create money by just issuing a loan, then they would just simply loan to each other and create trillions and trillions of dollar and they will never need FED. The fact that they went bankrupt is because they don't have money and they can not create it by themselves, they must turn to FED to borrow money

However, since majority of the financial activities are settlements between different bank's database with very little movement of real money. From bank's point of view those virtual money are more important for daily operation. Real money (e.g. reserve) only become a problem when there is a liquidity crisis. Just like an exchange only have problem when customer withdraw their bitcoin. And today's banks limit the withdraw strictly to prevent a bank run

2191  Economy / Economics / Re: Why does anyone pay attention to people that study "economics"? on: January 27, 2015, 02:56:52 AM

1.  Whoever borrows that money gets (temporary) ownership until they pay it back.  Its logged as a liability on your balance sheet, but an asset on your deposit account.  After you deposit the money you can spend it as if it was yours.  But you still owe the lender.


Thanks, but that is after the money creation. What I want to understand is the ownership change during the money creation by FED

I don't think commercial banks create money, they only register a loan in their database, similar to some exchanges do with your bitcoins on their platform, no real money/bitcoin is involved, only numbers in their database, and bank's ability to generate check book numbers are limited by the reserve requirement. They can not loan out money that they don't have (even they have the asset), but they can loan out the same money again and again to generate large balance numbers in their database

2.  Exchange rate between currency pairs like USD/JPY are determined by supply & demand.  But the price is correlated with fundamentals (GDP, Interest rates, etc..)

I have not thought about forex, I just mean the value of the money domestically

To be more precise, there are two different theories: One is Real Bills Doctrine, which states the money's value depends on the value of the asset that back them, so more money = more wealth (since every dollar is backed by assets of corresponding value). And the quantity theory of money: MV=PQ, where money's value is subject to change depends on the money supply, flow speed, and productivity of the country

2192  Economy / Economics / Re: Metarepresented Money on: January 27, 2015, 02:25:59 AM
Money is just a certificate of value, and there is a consensus for that value among a group of people
2193  Economy / Economics / Re: COINBASE JUST DUMP 75MIL INTO BITCOIN on: January 26, 2015, 07:11:33 PM
I guess those money were used to pay the license fees for each state so that they could start the operation in US with a big coverage
2194  Economy / Economics / Re: Why does anyone pay attention to people that study "economics"? on: January 26, 2015, 07:06:26 PM

QE is a new invention first attempted by BoJ back in 2001.  There's data we can look at.


BTW, as far as I know, QE is nothing else but a variant on what John Law already invented in the beginning of the 18th century, no ?


That is a good point. In fact Real Bills Doctrine explains much better why FED had printed 6x more money and there is still no big change in dollars value: These dollars are all backed by assets of similar value, thus people's trust in dollar's value has not changed

You two might have missed my questions before, I write them here again:

1. Who get the ownership of every newly created fiat money?

2. Is money's value decided by supply and demand?

Please share your thoughts


2195  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Final fan mod to my s-5's on: January 26, 2015, 06:20:53 AM
The regulator he's linked is a switching regulator that takes in 12VDC and only 12VDC, then uses a high-current PWM pulse and lowpass LC filter to get an adjustable DC voltage lower than 12V out of it at relatively high efficiency. It does not put any load on 5V, 3.3V or anything else.

Additionally, if you connect a load between 12V and 3V then draw 20A, the 3V will see a -20A not -80A.

With a 4-wire fan, you can also get speed control by pulsing the PWM line (usually the blue wire). It takes an open-collector (or open-drain if using FETs) pulse driver, nominally around 24KHz, and the duty cycle determines the speed using the fan's internal circuitry. Something like that can be wired up with a 555 timer or some comparators in not very many minutes. There's no real load on the PWM line (milliamps), so you can control basically as big a fans as you want.

Thanks for pointing out my error. I had this question because I guess that you could just use 3V as ground and get 9V input for S5 to reach super high efficiency less than 0.3W/GH, is that possible with such high load on 3V rail?

Another way is to chain 3x12V output together to reach 36V, and then divided them into 4 chains of ASICs on S5, in this way you will also get 9V for the rig

Unfortunately I have no S5 at hand to test with
2196  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Most power efficient BTC miner under 1K US on: January 26, 2015, 06:09:59 AM
From my limited experience SP20 is really quiet and efficient at low settings

S5 have that 9V capability to reach amazing efficiency, but just not practical without a special PSU or some kind of cable work
2197  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [Review] Spondoolies SP20 review - A Green miner with a Loud fan on: January 24, 2015, 05:54:25 AM
I found out that many users have their DC temp more than 70c degree and still hashing happily, so I decided to raise the temp by partly close the window of the room. As a result, the maximum achievable hash rate increased at 0.61V

Now 485W on wall, 1051GH ------> 0.46W/GH  Cheesy See how long it lasts
2198  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [Review] Spondoolies SP20 review - A Green miner with a Loud fan on: January 24, 2015, 05:17:42 AM
let me try a fan / Noise summary:

simple exchange is not possible as SP20 uses a very special and tiny PWM Connector.
This connector seems to be a 1.5mm JST ZH 1.5mm 4-pin
(http://www.ebay.com/itm/Micro-Mini-JST-Connector-1-5mm-4-pin-w-Wire-x-10-sets-/161350482183) not 100% sure but 99%

to use the new smarter fan control you either try to order theses connectors or disassemble the stock fans one and solder etc.

as Sp20 comes with a high power 120x38mm fan that is specified up to 200 cfm and this amout of air may be needed in the next summer, I think we need to differ the CFM classes and target GH/s.

-1 safe as stock up to 1700 GH

-2 safe for medium hash rates and conditions

-3 safe for green underclocking (below 1100 GH)

class3 will be an easy one, many low flow 120x25mm fans will suffice and be nicely quiet and can be driven from external PSU.

tested replacement fans class 1-2:
Delta ? 1212 (afaik well known server fan?) high CFM
Scythe Kaze Ultra (38mm depth, medium-high flow) PWM?
are both really quieter at same flow?

Did anyone tried to stack fans in the fan-space of the sp20? there is a lot of room for bigger ones?!

please feel free to add your experiences like the firmware wish list!!!


I don't think 1700GH is practical unless you have free electricity, you could just buy coins instead of exchange electricity, heat and noise for it  Wink

Delta fans are very good for server usage, previous king of high CFM fan
http://www.xtremesystems.org/forums/showthread.php?261778-120mm-Fan-Testing-on-an-MCR120-Radiator-Round-6
2199  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Final fan mod to my s-5's on: January 24, 2015, 05:01:05 AM
Are you sure if this kind of wiring would not disturb the output of the whole 12V rail since it is connected to a 5V rail? I think 5V rail and 12V rail have very different current


the molex four pin connectors on my evga can do 5, 7 or 12 volts.

If I use the 7 volt the two fans cool well  up to   freq 343.

If I use the 12 volt wires from the molex and use the amazon converter to drop power from 12v to  9.5v the 2 fans cool well up to freq 381.

These converters can take 12 volts from your psu  and drop the volts from 10 to 5 and anything in between.  Far better then a fan controller in that they will handle lot of fans.



http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B00OT58TL4/ref=oh_aui_detailpage_o00_s00?ie=UTF8&psc=1


I will photo the hookup of it on sat.  I need some batteries for the camera.

Would it negatively affect the PSU since now it is under a strange load on different rails? Maybe for a fan it is ok, but will that introduce extra load for the rail of lower voltage?

Normally the current flows from 12V/5V/3V rail to the ground, but now the current flows from 12V back into 3V rail. If you connect some heavy load between 12V and 3V, and 12V is loaded by 20A, then 3V rail will have a negative current of 80A, is that safe? Usually PSU provide very little current for 3V rail, but that is for positive load
2200  Economy / Economics / Re: Why does anyone pay attention to people that study "economics"? on: January 24, 2015, 04:30:01 AM
I am not against keynesian on the fact that infinite growth is impossible.

The resource has been occupied, that's the main problem now

Imagine on an island that have only 100 people, where all of them is extremely productive and occupied all of the island, what should their children do? They don't need to work, since their parents already can produce everything they need. They could only consume until there is nothing to consume, which might never happen due to their parents' improving productivity

Or another extreme, in a world that most of the worker has been replaced by robots, how could people get their income?
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