what makes me confident is that the top 15 adresses have bought more coins during this price decline even if they would want to dump right now they would have to pump up the market first to get enough volume for sells i think we will slowly go up again from here and spike up when there is any good news like polo.
There is still much to happen in short term, so i agree on you.
Poloniex, Gui wallet and POS pool on mainnet may shake the markets in the next weeks