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2281  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Bitcoin 51% Attack - Protocol solutions? on: September 23, 2020, 04:51:49 AM
Unfortunately, there is not anything that can be done on a technical level to prevent an entity with sufficient mining resources from executing a 51% attack.
Not quite true. It has been discussed lately and an ultimate solution has been proposed: put a cap on the depth of chain-reorg attempts.
This will not prevent a 51% attack. Someone with >50% of the network hashrate can successfully execute a reorg of a handful of blocks reliably.
2282  Other / Politics & Society / Re: SC Justice Ginsberg dead. on: September 23, 2020, 04:34:16 AM

I disagree strongly with RBG's politics in most areas, and I think that her tenure as Supreme Court Justice was very harmful, though I admire her tenacity. If I spend my last decades clinging to life and continuing to fight, with hundreds of thousands of my ideological adverseries hoping for my death and spitting on my grave after I die, then my life will have been an unbelievable success.
I don't think there is evidence that anyone on the right was hoping RGB would die, and I am not aware of anyone on the right "spitting on her grave".

This probably actually hurts Trump, though it throws even more chaos into what was already likely to be an incredibly chaotic election. If Trump appoints someone before the election, then evangelical/conservative/libertarian Republicans will have less reason to hold their noses and vote for him, since yet another vacancy is no longer particularly likely. If Trump chooses not to appoint someone while he has the chance, then it pisses off these same voters, since Trump definitely can appoint someone. Whoever he appoints will be tarred-and-feathered in the same way that Kavanaugh was, and the Democrats will use the appointment as way of enraging their base and getting them to turn out. IMO Biden's chance of winning goes up several percentage points due to RBG's death.
Trump will likely appoint Amy Cohen Barrett, either as a recess appointment, or who gets confirmed by the Senate. IMO handing the left a defeat right before an election will demoralize them.

Hearings on Barrett's appointment will bring back memories of Kavanaugh, and how the left tried to ruin a person's life for no reason other than to prevent a conservative from being on the Supreme Court.  Harris also sits on the judiciary committee, and SC hearings will take her off the campaign trail.


Unless the presidential election is a landslide, whoever loses is going to try to steal the election. Trump will claim that mail-in ballots are fraudulent, illegals voted, the deep state conspired against him, etc. Biden will claim that Trump was helped by Russia, and he will also dispute the premise of the electoral college. There are multiple ways that this chaos could unfold, but it's likely that the Supreme Court will get involved at some point, and having several loyal justices will give Trump the edge at this stage of the battle.

RBG was a loyal Democrat in the same way that Kavanaugh and Thomas are loyal Republicans, voting in their respective party's favor whenever they can get away with it, regardless of any actual legal considerations. Gorsuch is actually committed to textualism. John Roberts is not a loyal Republican, and in controversial cases he will always cast his vote in whichever way defers to the executive or legislative branches the most. I'm not familiar enough with the philosophies of the others, though they usually vote along party lines in contentious cases.
The election will almost certainly be contested and there will likely be multiple cases before the SC. I would anticipate all kinds of nonsense from Democrats in the aftermath of the election.

Roberts has turned into somewhat of a reliable liberal. I don't think he likes Trumps criticism of the courts, even if they are justified. (I would lay blame on Trump's criticism on the judges rather than on Trump).

This could get really crazy. We could see blood in the streets, threats of secession, etc.
Democrats are actually playing war games in which CA, OR and WA threaten to secede if Trump wins.

I would not be surprised to see riots after the election, although Trump has promised to stop election day violence.

There is some backlash to the violence we are seeing in cities controlled by Democrats, and any violence in reaction to a SC nomination/confirmation will reflect poorly on Democrats, probably including down ballot races.


I would anticipate Trump quickly nominating a solid conservative before the election and the Senate to confirm her.

Quote from: Mitch McConnell
The American people are perfectly capable of having their say on this issue, so let's give them a voice. Let's let the American people decide. The Senate will appropriately revisit the matter when it considers the qualifications of the nominee the next president nominates, whoever that might be.

Everyone knew that that was bullshit which he'd flip on whenever it became politically convenient to do so. For this vacancy, he'll come up with some excuse to "fill it", though I don't know why he even bothers with excuses, since both sides have basically abandoned any pretense of civility, consistency, or fairness at this point. If McConnel came out and said, "We're going to fill it this time because it's politically convenient. That's it.", hardly anyone would think any less of him because if it.
The issue in 2016 is that the Senate was controlled by a different party than the President. In 2020, that is not the case.
This doesn’t matter if the Harris-Biden ticket wins, and Democrats take over the Senate. If this happens, it is all but certain that the SC will be packed regardless of who gets confirmed this year.

Not sure if Biden would do it, but that is pretty likely at some point.
Harris (who is the de-facto Presidential nominee) is open to packing the court. There are also calls from the left to pack the court if Democrats win the Senate, House and White House.

People are saying she should've resigned under Obama, hindsight is always 20/20. At first, I thought they should've waited until after the election but the talking heads on Fox say it's cool. Needless to say, I'm conflicted lol
Once Republicans won the Senate, Obama was not going to be able to get anyone confirmed to the SC. He only had a short window to replace RGB. After the 2010 midterm elections, Democrats lost 9 seats, only held a small majority in the Senate, and there was still the filibuster for Supreme Court nominees, so a partisan Democrat would likely be difficult to confirm. Even without the filibuster, a partisan would have been difficult to get confirmed.
My prediction is after Trump announces the choice on Saturday, next week there is Senate debate starting Monday, and by Friday, it will be over.

That's not how it works. Even if Trump would be dumb enough to push for that I'm sure McTurtle is not. There will be committee hearings sometime in October. Many GOP senators will be out campaigning. So the actual confirmation vote is likely either immediately before the election or after, depending on how GOP thinks it would affect voters (I'm sure there will be polls conducted to that effect).
I would anticipate a quick process and would anticipate a 30 day process, give or take. I would say it will probably be done by the last debate. It wont be a week long process, there is too much risk that Democrat operatives will pull a Kavanaugh after the nominee is confirmed, which will complicate things if a vote is too quick.
2283  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Bitcoin 51% Attack - Protocol solutions? on: September 21, 2020, 05:46:05 AM
Unfortunately, there is not anything that can be done on a technical level to prevent an entity with sufficient mining resources from executing a 51% attack. It is also not possible to be guaranteed to detect the same entity controlling 51% of mining resources because one entity could own multiple pools for example, or could publically identify themselves as two or more entities.

As others have mentioned, economic incentives will largely prevent anyone from executing this kind of attack. It would be possible that a government, or other entity that might profit from the failure of bitcoin may execute a 51% attack, but I would find this unlikely.

Some altcoins have been 51% attacked, and were vulnerable because they shared algorithms with other altcoins. This means someone could buy a miner, use it to attack a particular blockchain, and subsequently repurpose their miner to mine on another altcoin's blockchain honestly. An altcoin using the same mining algorithm as other altcoins will reduce its security. The reduction in security for i altcoin will be nominal if the resources going into mining on i's blockchain make up the overwhelming majority of resources being used for that algorithm.
2284  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Will banning popular platforms and games help Huawei and China? on: September 21, 2020, 05:30:53 AM
nd how exactly is Trump going to enforce this? Building the Great (fire)Wall of America? Order all ISPs to transit using a filter as China does? Sure he could order google to remove them from their store, but people can still get the app using other means.

There are ways to bypass this, but the damage is still done. Most people aren't going to bother taking the few extra steps to bypass the ban so the company's going to suffer. Even if users do bypass it, the company's still banned from accepting transactions in coordination with major companies.
The ban is not on Americans downloading the apps, the ban is on companies subject to US jurisdiction from offering the apps for download. This is an important difference because downloading these apps will not get you in any kind of trouble (with the US government, but you will probably be spied on by the Chinese Government).

It would be best if people and businesses worldwide were to stop doing business with Huawei. The technology they use is likely stolen, and their equipment is likely able to either spy on you, or can be "bricked" by the Chinese government, or both.
2285  Other / Meta / Re: Application to be a Merit source for Bangladesh Thread on: September 21, 2020, 05:18:07 AM
I looked at the posts in the OP and I noticed two things:
1 - You cited many posts from Review Master. If you do become a merit source, I would encourage you to spend your merit to a diverse group of people, while still spending near your maximum amount of merit.
2 - Many of those who you cited seem to make fairly good posts, but they all seem to have fairly low amounts of merit. This could be an indication that some of the local threads that are not large enough for detected subs are lacking source merit.
2286  Other / Politics & Society / Re: SC Justice Ginsberg dead. on: September 19, 2020, 02:57:16 AM
The good news is that swing state senators voting for the nomination would likely doom Trump and possibly Senate majority too. Democrats can just fill all campaign ad slots with 2016 vs 2020 Republican excuses and don't even have to say anything else.
I would make the argument that handing Democrats a major loss right before the election would demoralize their base, which would hurt both their ability to fundraise (at least from Americans, I would expect foreign donations would continue) and will likely depress turnout.
2287  Other / Politics & Society / Re: SC Justice Ginsberg dead. on: September 19, 2020, 12:55:09 AM
I would anticipate Trump quickly nominating a solid conservative before the election and the Senate to confirm her.

Quote from: Mitch McConnell
The American people are perfectly capable of having their say on this issue, so let's give them a voice. Let's let the American people decide. The Senate will appropriately revisit the matter when it considers the qualifications of the nominee the next president nominates, whoever that might be.
I don’t think that applies in this situation. The President and the Senate are of the same party. In 2016, they were controlled by opposing parties.

This confirms with long-standing traditions.

This doesn’t matter if the Harris-Biden ticket wins, and Democrats take over the Senate. If this happens, it is all but certain that the SC will be packed regardless of who gets confirmed this year.
Three SCOTUS picks in one term would completely stack the courts.
There will be three picks because of three vacancies. This is different from a president nominating three picks with no vacancies.


Mitch McConnell has released a statement that a Trump nominee will receive a vote by the Senate.
2288  Other / Politics & Society / SC Justice Ginsberg dead. on: September 18, 2020, 11:48:17 PM
Reports are that Supreme Court Justice Ginsberg has died.

I would anticipate Trump quickly nominating a solid conservative before the election and the Senate to confirm her.

With Roberts being anti-Trump to the extent that he is willing to ignore laws and the constitution as written, a Trump nominee replacing a solid liberal will likely result in the SC siding with the constitution in any election dispute, which will be inevitable due to Democrats long history of voter fraud, going back to the civil war along with the likelihood of massive voter fraud via vote by mail and the like associated disputes.

What are your thoughts?
2289  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Donald Chump: a Dimwit Man-Child made President on: September 17, 2020, 03:26:00 PM

Orange man badddd. Must stop Bad Orange 🍊 Man at all costs.  Cheesy

^^basic summation of this thread  

Yes!

Call him names!

JUST LOOK AT BAD ORANGEMAN! BAD! BAD!
President Donald Trump said Tuesday afternoon that up to nine additional nations could join a peace deal with Israel in the near future, including Saudi Arabia.

“We have many other countries [that are] going to be joining us and they’re going to be joining us soon,” Trump told reporters on the White House lawn. “We’ll have, I think, I mean I think seven, or eight, or nine. We’re going to have a lot of other countries joining us, including the big ones.”

“It’s not something that my critics thought was possible and now they say, ‘wow, that was a good idea,'” Trump continued. “I will say, it’s gotten rave reviews.”

About a minute later, Trump added: “I spoke with the king of Saudi Arabia, at the right time I do think they will come in, yes, I do. This is a very big and very historic moment.”


Peace deal bad because ORANGEMAN!!!


I would point out that Democrats have been using AI tools to identify the most effective counter-points about coronavirus and used millions of paid “influencers” to amplify these messages.

One would have to assume this strategy is continuing to be used in the election season. In fact, there are many suspicious accounts that have recently become active in the politics sub, including some that I believe to be purchased.

Keep this in mind when reading these types of threads.
2290  Other / Meta / Re: Ninjastic.space - BitcoinTalk Post/Address archive + API on: September 16, 2020, 03:31:43 PM
- Find addresses by author
What about finding every known addresses an user has posted (BTC and ETH only) by searching for their username or checking their user page? Now you can!
Smiley

Beautiful update.

I liked the design.

The field "Known Addresses" is a very inaccurate name imo. I saw about 10 addresses in my profile, and none of them were mine. MOst of them quotes or addresses that were being discussed.

Maybe you could use a different name, such as "possible addresses" or "mentioned addresses"
I would argue that the majority of the time, if you post an address in a quote, it won’t belong to you. I would suggest that any address posted inside a quote be excluded from being displayed if it does not also appear outside of a quote. To say this another way, the person must post the address outside of a quote for it to count to being in this list.
2291  Economy / Services / Re: [OPEN] Roobet.com Signature Campaign | The Honest Online Casino | Full Members+ on: September 16, 2020, 04:07:01 AM
Bitcointalk Profile Link:https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=2561166
Current amount of Posts (Including this one):1546
SegWit BTC address for payouts:bc1qt6g5mzdj5fa5z5hzfakppyqc8r457sc0vw8ssz
EARNED merit in the last 120 days:100+
2292  Other / Meta / Re: Ninjastic.space - BitcoinTalk Post/Address archive + API on: September 12, 2020, 06:02:40 AM
If you are looking for every post, you can do this:
total_posts = 5273824 #
for x in range(total_posts):
    page = 0
    #go to 'bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic={}.{}'.format(x, page)
    #if not available to you: pass
    #scrape board information
    #scrape each post via loop
    #I believe there are two classes of posts - scrape both classes, you will insert posts into your DB out of order, but this is okay
    page += 20
    #there is a middletext td class
    #there is a prevnext span class
    next_page = bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic={}.{}'.format(x, page)
    #sleep for 1 second
    #if you can find a link equal to next_page, goto that page, else pass

in parallel to the above, and starting at the same time the above starts:
scrape the recent posts page, and add each post to your DB. Here you can scrape the board each thread is on, via adding it if it doesn't exist in your DB, and updating it if it doesn't exist.

The above will capture every post that you have access to. The first loop will take quite some time, and a thread being moved to a different board while you are in the process of scraping all posts will not cause you to miss any posts.
2293  Other / Meta / Re: AI writing messages on Bitcointalk.org on: September 11, 2020, 04:14:51 AM
The real test would be how many merits such a farmer would earn before the account gets outed and if it would be worth the expense.
The cost of training a model, and using it to generate text is close to zero. I would estimate that it could be done for <$0.01/month. There isn't any reason to have a bot running 24/7 to write messages on this forum.

I don't think any account farmers will try to use AI to create massive numbers of spam accounts. I would find it more likely that researchers would use a model to farm one or more accounts (or even massive numbers of accounts) to measure a model's performance "in the real world" which is difficult to measure programmatically for generative models, so they would use the merit system. There are ethical concerns with doing this, but that may not stop everyone (CCP).
2294  Other / Meta / Re: I know exactly when I will rank up! on: September 10, 2020, 03:39:01 AM
I checked if you have some easy old posts to report just to mess with you, but I don't think it can clear a 14 days Activity period Tongue
No, don't do this.

Keep coinlocket$ Legendary!
2295  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Bitrefill has no notification for not Using RBF on: September 10, 2020, 02:19:35 AM
RBF transactions are, by design, easy to double spend up until it has been confirmed. As such, it would be illogical for any business to accept a zero conf RBF tx.

I believe bitrefill will accept zero conf transactions up to certain limits as long as certain conditions are met about the transaction, and the state of the mempool (and likely how many other unconfirmed transactions to them are pending).
2296  Other / Meta / Re: AI writing messages on Bitcointalk.org on: September 10, 2020, 02:15:06 AM
That article is written with the same model as the one referenced in the OP. They will be of the same quality.
2297  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Let's face it, Trump's handling of the pandemic killed private health on: September 09, 2020, 03:56:27 AM
What do you care about the US healthcare system, or US politics.....from "Greece"?
2298  Economy / Services / Re: Looking for Chinese Visitors on: September 08, 2020, 07:32:46 PM
I believe the CFW (Chinese Communist Party's internet censorship software) has blocked this forum. You will likely have to go where the CFW has allowed Chinese citizens to view.
2299  Other / Meta / Re: Android app or tapatalk on: September 07, 2020, 04:53:03 PM
How can I use this forum on my phone?
1. Open up your favorite web browser
2. visit http://HTTP://bitcointalk.org on said browser
3. Huh
4. Profit


The forum does not have a mobile app
2300  Other / Meta / Re: Ninjastic.space - BitcoinTalk Post/Address archive + API on: September 07, 2020, 04:21:29 PM

Since it's all in a DB, it would be possible to associate a user with all of the addresses they've posted, no? I see the opposite being available and I can't help but think of also searching by user.
Not exactly. Depends on the database schema. I'm already working on this, but I still didn't find a good solution that is fast and effective.
Your 'posts' table should be as follows:
postID (P) - int
time
UID - int
posttext - str
addressposted - bool (this is optional, but may make searching for addresses easier)
(any other information that does not appear in your DB elsewhere)

You will have an 'addresses' table as follows:
addressID (P) - int (this is an arbitrary number)
address - str
(any other information that does not already appear elsewhere in your DB that you want to keep track of, such as address type, or coin)

postedaddresses table:
ID (P) - int (arbitrary number)
postID - int
addressID - int

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