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2301  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: March 12, 2014, 05:50:22 AM
here comes the slow grind higher until we are approaching a new ATH in June or July of this year.

As soon as it becomes apparent that we are in for another ramp, front-runners will accelerate the cycle. Therefore I predict the next ATH will be in April or May and the new peak will be proportionally lower, between $1800 and $4,000. 

What is incredible is that the last three bubbles have assumed clearly the same shape and form on the log chart. if the price history is anything to go by, which clearly it is, then the next ATH should be 3 months after the dip. that means June is the month. Any time in May would not surprise me, but an ATH in April would delightfully surprise me.
2302  Economy / Speculation / Re: 2014 is NOT the year of bitcoin, sorry on: March 12, 2014, 04:21:15 AM
wow much fact, such information, very entailment, how sorry  Cry
2303  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: March 12, 2014, 12:02:25 AM
Please pull the trigger Mr. rpietila, I used to enjoy this thread so much. I miss the days when you removed the crap though some of it me my own.

Looking at the chart today, Im starting to come to grips with something I never thought I would see on the log chart. no alternation. all the bubbles have assumed the same structure. The corrections are all wedges, where the price extreme of wave C fails to exceed the extreme of wave B.

It simply feels too simple, part of me feels this needs to be a correction of greater magnitude than the last two, but before our very eyes we are witnessing a sequence of 3. the next wave could take us roughly to 15k if it is similar to the last two bubbles.

but what of the elbow? Andreas Antonopolous feels we have not hit that yet. from a fundamental perspective, I agree.
from here will the exponential rate of growth increase or decrease? that is the million dollar question.

2304  Economy / Speculation / Re: Challenge: if you really are a guru, post trades in real time on: March 11, 2014, 11:48:40 PM
All in BTC. Expect it to break 700 this week or next week at the latest.


Im not going to expect that, but I'd agree that the time has come to HODL. my last trade was a small loss, sold at 640, saw the price drop to 605, and then I closed my position at 642 lol. I had been right on the short side every time before then, I think maybe Bitcoin is back!
2305  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 10, 2014, 11:35:12 AM
So much bullshit in this thread... $104  Roll Eyes I wish some people would have moral and conscience...

what is immoral about placing a low bid?

You are spreading panic and suggesting people they should sell. I often lost money because I listened to some "guru´s" here.

placing a low bid is not spreading panic..... Im sure the victims of fud are grateful for any support when they panic sell.

but it is immoral to panic sell if you think about it, you are stampeding your peers. If you get hurt in the market, it is 100% your fault.
2306  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Hackers steal data from MtGox server and release it with Mark's reddit account. on: March 09, 2014, 11:43:12 PM
"Any sufficiently advanced incompetence is indistinguishable from malice."

and "never attribute to malice that which can be adequately explained by stupidity"

Sorry, that level of stupidity would require daily retraining on toilet hygiene. Not bloody adequate, or likely.

whats more stupid, losing 1000k BTC or, stealing 1000k bitcoins from an exchange you own. in either case, stupidity exceeds malice.

over to you.

Nope.

Nope indeed.
2307  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Hackers steal data from MtGox server and release it with Mark's reddit account. on: March 09, 2014, 11:24:10 PM
"Any sufficiently advanced incompetence is indistinguishable from malice."

and "never attribute to malice that which can be adequately explained by stupidity"

Sorry, that level of stupidity would require daily retraining on toilet hygiene. Not bloody adequate, or likely.

whats more stupid, losing 1000k BTC or, stealing 1000k bitcoins from an exchange you own. in either case, stupidity exceeds malice.

over to you.
2308  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Hackers steal data from MtGox server and release it with Mark's reddit account. on: March 09, 2014, 11:13:22 PM
"Any sufficiently advanced incompetence is indistinguishable from malice."

and "never attribute to malice that which can be adequately explained by stupidity"
2309  Economy / Speculation / Re: I'm All In - Sold My House! on: March 09, 2014, 10:44:15 PM
remember to wait for atleast 2 confirms  Grin
2310  Economy / Speculation / Re: Here comes dat fear on: March 09, 2014, 12:26:09 PM
I told you this correction wasn't going to be easy and there would be some news event and lots of fear and fud.

"This is going to be like 2011"
"Were assuming the chart will follow 2012 or 2013 but it might be like 2011"
"There is an outlier in bitcoin's history we cannot ignore"
"A hacker might have 850,000 coins and put unnatural forces on the market"
"There was a hacker in 2011 too"
"What if gox was actually the heart of bitcoin whether you like it or not"
"It looks like were on our way to retest 400, or go lower"
"What if the 1 week EMAs cross down"
"The price has actually gone below the trendline before. We cant rely on the trendline for support"
"It looks like the fad of bitcoin is over. There will never be another rally. Things cant possibly get any better, only worse"

Will you succomb to da fear?

With all due respect, the sentiment is not fear yet. it has been through a phase, but it is not necessarily over in one flash and bang.

the speculators are still top heavy. maybe wall street can lift them to the moon with all their might, but that is not their style.

you are quoting a minority.......
2311  Economy / Speculation / Re: Is the world too dumb for Bitcoins? on: March 08, 2014, 02:55:38 AM
The world is too dumb. period.

enter Darwin - survival of the bitcoin holders.
2312  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin Guru Thread on: March 08, 2014, 12:48:06 AM
Time is measured from GMT?? just to be sure Wink
2313  Economy / Speculation / Re: Let us take a moment to laugh at the BTC day traders. on: March 07, 2014, 11:45:12 PM
Im laughing all the way to the bank =D

just cos Im a day trader, doesnt mean I trade every day Wink

bought at 100, sold at 750, bought at 500, sold at 650, price now = 620......

=D
2314  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin Guru Thread on: March 07, 2014, 11:36:52 PM
4/1/14 - VWAP = 666 (seriously though lol - it's a good guess for mid 600s)

pass $800 on tuesday, second week of April.

I believe that we need to form a new base to the current bull run because it has been left high and dry for too many days, forming a weak 3wave rally. now that we have possibly 180k coins entering the market, and possibly up to 750k, that will take some weeks to digest, if not causing new lows. but I beieve the tide is turning, and it will be behind us in a matter of weeks.

666 is a good guess for stamp assuming a bull/bear stand off. we may see 700s sooner than I might guess, so now that we are likely to explore the 500s again,this will be the median.

1Hyit1R9hd1WS58CtNdAUqhM7BknKx5i1N

This is a great idea BTW, Cheers!
2315  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: March 07, 2014, 10:54:56 PM
As much as I am convinced that the tide is turning, we may still be dealing with a very uncertain number of coins in supply. as of yesterday, perhaps 180K more than we hoped.

critical levels from here are 600 and 530. if these are boken, the case becomes much stronger for possible new lows or a re-test of lows. I think the latest bull run was left hanging for too many days, and needs to form a new base.
2316  Economy / Speculation / Re: Prediction of price due to Satoshi's reveal? on: March 07, 2014, 05:34:47 AM
why is everyone screaming 'fake'?
is this not the Satoshi Nakamoto you would expect?
he has worked for the military and he is a genius.....
he is humble....
he said 'he is not involved in bitcoin'. which is consistent with the real Satoshi.

makes perfect sense to me. very plausible.



Why? Just because yet we have zero proof !
Looking for an homonym whose the profile could match more or less with what we know about the real Satoshi (not so much) is far from a real investigation...


zero proof does not entail that he is not Satoshi Nakamoto!

he is Satoshi Nakamoto by name, fact, he is also a brilliant mathematician, and he has worked for the military in under cover opertions. maybe there is no hard proof there, but those crying fake seem only convinced that it's not him. seems foolish to me.
2317  Economy / Speculation / Re: Prediction of price due to Satoshi's reveal? on: March 07, 2014, 02:00:34 AM
why is everyone screaming 'fake'?
is this not the Satoshi Nakamoto you would expect?
he has worked for the military and he is a genius.....
he is humble....
he said 'he is not involved in bitcoin'. which is consistent with the real Satoshi.

makes perfect sense to me. very plausible.
2318  Economy / Speculation / Re: Satoshi Nakamoto Found, Now what? on: March 06, 2014, 09:59:45 PM
http://mag.newsweek.com/2014/03/14/bitcoin-satoshi-nakamoto.html

lol - bitcoin was invented because Satoshi was sick of paying large wire transfer fees when ordering model trains from the UK! I hope that he has made a saving buying his model train and we can all move on hahah.
2319  Economy / Speculation / Re: Is bitcoin the most important technological achievement of our lifetime? on: March 05, 2014, 10:53:34 PM
I would rather say that the existing financial system is the greatest technological failure of our lifetime.

Bitcoin is a very clever idea in maths, of the kind that doesn't come around very often. it deserves study.
2320  Other / Off-topic / Re: Going to Decrypt my Wife's Private Keys multiple times to Generate a New Address on: March 05, 2014, 08:51:01 PM
you're going to have a baby?
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