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23201  Economy / Economics / Re: Why Bitcoin will collapse in price. on: December 12, 2013, 10:45:50 AM
I just want to remind to anybody who is taking the time to carefully present arguments in this thread, that even if porc is not listening to you, you are not wasting your time, since other people like me are interested in these arguments. This thread provided me with good insights about the viability of bitcoin, and as a result I'm more convinced than ever of its great future.

Actually, I was not writing in all these threads for that guy exclusively since it has become pretty evident pretty soon that his agenda was not to get the hang of the things...
23202  Economy / Economics / Re: Medium of Exchange vs Store of Value - and effect on BTC worth on: December 12, 2013, 10:23:04 AM
And how on earth are you going to quantify and measure the usefulness of some property inherent to anything if it may not go beyond simple binary yes or no (whether it is useful or not), let alone quantifying it into "value per unit of BTC"? Are you confusing price and subjective value here?
23203  Economy / Economics / Re: Medium of Exchange vs Store of Value - and effect on BTC worth on: December 12, 2013, 10:10:35 AM
Saying that people have some personal subjective valuation of the security in BTC is a meaningless statement, it can not be quantified into value per unit of BTC.  Security is best expressed in a degree of confidence, the percentage probability that I will successfully retain ownership in the face of the random theft/loss chance, over a period of time.  I am equally secure regardless of how many BTC I own so why is a larger quantity worth more then a smaller quantity?  Lets suppose my confidence level is 99% per year, how do I turn that number ALONE into a valuation?  I would need to multiply it by a value derived from backing and take into account the risks that are inherent in any backing.  The only thing BTC enthusiasts can point to to back the UNIT of BTC having value is the ability to sell them to the greater fool in the future, aka they are not backed.

Subjective valuation reflects usefulness (utility) of some property in achieving an individual's personal ends, whether it helps him to reach these ends or not. If there weren't subjective valuation of security of bitcoin, it would necessarily be equal to saying that security is not a useful property of bitcoin, which is definitely not the case. So, what you say here substantially boils down to whether you admit that security of bitcoin is useful or not...
23204  Economy / Economics / Re: Medium of Exchange vs Store of Value - and effect on BTC worth on: December 12, 2013, 10:09:43 AM

Ok, let's start again. A currency in the gold standard is backed up by gold, right? Gold has some value, but this value is subjective in nature as well as for all other goods. This means that it is not determined by some property of gold (or amount of labor required to produce it, for that matter), but is determined by the importance an individual places on it for the achievement of his aims. Without this subjective valuation shared by the majority of people gold would be worth next to nothing. Now, if you agree that security of Bitcoin has value in the eyes of the individual as it does, you inevitably come with logical necessity to the conclusion that security IS backing up Bitcoin. Actually, anything inherent to a store of value that has subjective value will be backing it up, and the more people share this attitude, the more strength the store of value gets

It's a pity really that you went on a path of obfuscating and confusing matters here...

Yes all value is subjective including that of gold, even the many industrial uses that we now have for gold ultimately fulfill desires that are subjective (like having a cell-phone).  Heck even FOOD can be considered to have subjective value, we might all desire to be Anorexic Yogi ascetic tomorrow and the value of food would plummet though probably not to zero unless everyone were really planning to starve to death.

But security and backing are still two different things.  Security is a guarantee of ownership, backing is a guarantee of value.  In the case of a commodity backed currency the guarantee rests upon the value of another commodity, it won't ever be less valuable then a set quantity of said commodity, but obviously the underlying commodity could still collapse.  Also states can enforce legal-tender laws and accept only their currency in payment of taxes, this is a very strong backing if the state is strong but it is still dependent on something that can ultimately fail just like a commodity.  Perfect backing is an impossibility, as is perfect security, but it's wrong to confuse of substitute them.

If we follow your logic, then taxes and backing are yet more different things. If security gives value to bitcoin through positive feedback making it more useful than without it, then taxes add value to legal tender in the opposite way, i.e. through negative feedback. Legal tender gets value by taxes because you will be forfeited for not having it through prosecution due to an alleged tax evasion...

It is absurd really that you deny security in backing bitcoin and at the same time easily accept that taxes are backing legal tender
23205  Local / Новички / Re: Ускорение реализации известных алгорит on: December 12, 2013, 09:10:15 AM
Я думаю, всем должно быть уже всё ясно. Можно расходиться (впрочем, большинству это было очевидно с самого начала)...
23206  Economy / Economics / Re: Why Bitcoin is ultimately doomed to fail (not today or tomorrow) on: December 12, 2013, 08:23:58 AM
How is that correlated with what you said before about a store of value not having to gain, lose, or remain stable in purchasing power?

Because I was saying then that there is no specific requirement for a store of value in regards to purchasing power other than it cannot quickly become worthless. Obviously a store has to be at least one of the three, it certainly does not have to increase in value. And stability and near term are rather subjective terms.

I think that I've given here enough both historical example and logical reason to deem this question closed for now unless you provide substantial evidence that would actually refute my arguments besides just stating that I am wrong because I am wrong and sticking to petty semantics...
23207  Economy / Economics / Re: Why Bitcoin is ultimately doomed to fail (not today or tomorrow) on: December 12, 2013, 08:17:19 AM
Gold-backed currency was used to back Lincoln into a corner where his only option was to devise a new currency to fund the war. This, of course, significantly reduced the value of gold-backed currency (but it did not eliminate it as a store of value, it just became a quickly depreciated one that was far from worthless), but we're getting fairly tangential to the topic.

Yes, what you say is fairly tangential to the topic, but I think that I gave you a good example when a store of value (gold and gold backed dollar) had been getting purchasing power through the whole century (the period of Civil War excluded) primarily due to massive economic growth and rapid growth of population...
23208  Economy / Economics / Re: Why Bitcoin is ultimately doomed to fail (not today or tomorrow) on: December 12, 2013, 08:10:31 AM
Firstly, in nominal terms through depreciation of the currency its price is denominated in, and, secondly, in real purchasing power due to expansion of economy and growth of population, as was the case with gold backed dollar throughout the 19th century (excluding the period of Civil War)...

You are making the presumption (in the first sentence) that a store of value has to have some fixed quantity which is not true of any store of value in the history of ever, including bitcoin when considering its derivatives.

Actually, it is you who is making such assumption here and then, on this basis, arduously trying to refute my point. I don't find it any good that you took to these tactics. A store of value will be appreciating in nominal value (provided all other things being equal) as long as the currency supply will be exceeding the supply of this store of value in relative terms. This almost always holds true in history when a store of value is not the same as a medium of exchange, otherwise the former would quickly cease to be a store of value...
23209  Economy / Economics / Re: Why Bitcoin is ultimately doomed to fail (not today or tomorrow) on: December 11, 2013, 10:00:03 PM
or at least remain stable in near term.

Is all that is required. "Store of value" does not imply in perpetuity. Virtually every definition of store of value considers fiat currencies of stable governments stores of value even though they lose value over time. They are still predictable stores of value. I do not believe you are a bitcoin homer, so I really hope you don't have to resort to bitcoinomics here to explain that the modern economic definition is wrong.

How is that correlated with what you said before about a store of value not having to gain, lose, or remain stable in purchasing power?
23210  Economy / Economics / Re: Why Bitcoin is ultimately doomed to fail (not today or tomorrow) on: December 11, 2013, 09:57:37 PM
A store of value would not be that if it were to lose its purchasing power, by definition. It has to gain through time,

By what nonsense would it have to gain through time?

Firstly, in nominal terms through depreciation of the currency its price is denominated in, and, secondly, in real purchasing power due to expansion of economy and growth of population, as was the case with gold backed dollar throughout the 19th century (excluding the period of Civil War)...
23211  Economy / Economics / Re: Why Bitcoin is ultimately doomed to fail (not today or tomorrow) on: December 11, 2013, 09:42:19 PM
Also, if we talk about real gold (methinks, only this can be counted as a store of value),

I disagree with you here. A store of value does not have to gain, lose, or remain stable in purchasing power to be a store of value, it just has to not become (mostly) worthless on short timescales. At least in the traditional way of thinking. Of course bitcoinomics would probably describe the perfect store of value as a pyramid scheme.

A store of value would not be that if it were to lose its purchasing power, by definition. It has to gain through time, or at least remain stable in near term. Bitcoin has deflationary nature by itself, though its volatility through low volume of trades doesn't currently make it a good store of value either. If it persists though, this might change gradually...
23212  Economy / Economics / Re: Why Bitcoin is ultimately doomed to fail (not today or tomorrow) on: December 11, 2013, 09:11:37 PM
Actually, I'm not very familiar with the clones you refer to, though I agree that bitcoin (and likely the rest of the crew) makes a poor means of exchange. But if you are right and the clones are really as good as you paint them, what's the point actually? We could just as well use a clone if it does prove to be really better than bitcoin as a store of value...

I was referring specifically to it being gold 2.0. Bitcoin is easily copied and there is copious evidence to this, and those copies have quite handily stolen some percentage of marketshare from bitcoin. This is not analogous to gold vs other precious metals as there is essentially no cost to bootstrapping these new currencies. The store of value property can only hold for as long as people are willing to transact in the currency and pay what will be exorbitant tx fees (comparatively) to support mining. This is a serious conflict.

As a counter-argument I can refer you to "paper" gold (gold futures and other derivatives) whose volume by far exceeds actual physical gold available for delivery. This significantly undermines its use as a store of value. Also, if we talk about real gold (methinks, only this can be counted as a store of value), its storage is not cheap on the whole either. Unlike bitcoin, you just can't hide the possession of gold from prying eyes and ears (some people would always know about it), neither can you encrypt your vault so that it will be next to impossible to withdraw your shiny metal from there...

As you can see, gold 1.0 is likely not as good as it may appear at first glance
23213  Economy / Economics / Re: Why Bitcoin will collapse in price. on: December 11, 2013, 08:50:53 PM
bitcoin is a shining thing.
Let's try to understand  why people like shining objects. I think is radically a form of comunication: jewels like wampum shells, are worn so you can see it from far. If you have a commodity which is visible from far an so is possible to desire it for somebody who looks, you'are just advertising for it. Maybe your advertising works becaus you are a powerful, violent king, but maybe advertising needs no testimonial. If you adveritse for a commlodity, this commodity gets  medium of exchange value. Bitcoin is an internet based viral advertising campaign for a commodity, so it's a very shining, visible from far object. That's why (given the two other proprieties of rareness and indestructibility ) it's a good store of value.

I wouldn't actually call bitcoin is a shining thing. On the contrary, it allows you to hide your money and your identity (though your mileage may vary) from some prying eyes and ears...

"Money loves silence, and big money loves deathly silence"
23214  Economy / Economics / Re: Bitcoins Future is promising, but one point I havent figured out yet... on: December 11, 2013, 08:43:20 PM
Other obvious anwser (you have same problem with cash, but in that instance I can kick his leg, knock him down, beat the shit out of him and get my cash back along with the tickets for trying to jack me; that doesnt work if i dont know his password on his phone after I get it back from him)

You can always beat the crap out of him, whether bitcoin or not bitcoin. I don't think he would be happy in any case, so you could just let him know in a polite manner beforehand. Though, personally, I don't like either that feature of irreversibility but for more prosaic reasons (you could just make a mistake in the address and your money is gone)...
23215  Economy / Economics / Re: Why Bitcoin is ultimately doomed to fail (not today or tomorrow) on: December 11, 2013, 08:37:33 PM
Yes, probably some form of electronic gold (Gold 2.0 in local parlance). It has properties such as security, limited supply of coins, independence from authorities, etc that correspond to those of real gold (without many of gold inherent deficiencies) and make it useful as a store of value in the first place. These properties are useful to people, so it may actually have a chance to replace gold...

I really don't see how. Bitcoin has zero advantage as a store of value over any clone, and if they're all terrible media of exchange, limited supply, independence, etc. don't really mean much. And when coins start arriving that don't rely on proof of work for security, bitcoin will be far more costly to transact with, leaving it only valuable in the eyes of the bagholders hanging on desperately to their "network effect".

Actually, I'm not very familiar with the clones you refer to, though I agree that bitcoin (and likely the rest of the crew) makes a poor means of exchange. But if you are right and the clones are really as good as you paint them, what's the point actually? We could just as well use a clone if it does prove to be really better than bitcoin as a store of value...
23216  Economy / Economics / Re: Why Bitcoin is ultimately doomed to fail (not today or tomorrow) on: December 11, 2013, 08:08:27 PM
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gold_as_an_investment
Quote
Investors generally buy gold as a hedge or harbor against economic, political, or social fiat currency crises.

I think this explains the value that gold has above it's intrinsic worth.

This refers only to "paper" gold

Gold has been falling since the beginning of the year, some people which are long in precious metals began attacking bitcoin as having no value and all that nonsense. It is possible that others, more clever ones, could have switched from gold to bitcoin or at least diversified their investments...
23217  Economy / Economics / Re: Why Bitcoin is ultimately doomed to fail (not today or tomorrow) on: December 11, 2013, 07:41:45 PM
I have my own thread here where any discussion on economical matters and related questions is welcomed. By the way, gold (and why it was finally abandoned as a means of exchange) has been thoroughly debated over in that thread too. If you are interested, you could at least read that part there...

Hi from the other thread Smiley

I think you were basically implying that Bitcoin potentially can store value even if it mostly fails as a medium of exchange. Is that correct?

Yes, probably some form of electronic gold (Gold 2.0 in local parlance). It has properties such as security, limited supply of coins, independence from authorities, etc that correspond to those of real gold (without many of gold inherent deficiencies) and make it useful as a store of value in the first place. These properties are useful to people, so it may actually have a chance to replace gold...
23218  Economy / Economics / Re: Why Bitcoin cant be Money. on: December 11, 2013, 07:11:14 PM
If my guess is wrong, then why you kept silence all that time and all of a sudden came back arguing with and trolling everybody around here with that nonsense? Have you been walked out on or just fired?

No. I have recently but some thought into what bitcoin is and if I want to buy it. I shared my conclusions with this board. Apparently having anything but a bullish opinion on bitcoin is trolling. So be it.

You seem to have completely ignored my recent note (in another thread you created in this forum) that even if bitcoin didn't have value at all as you say, but nevertheless actually helped you earn some dollars through speculation (by "dumping it on the next guy"), would you consider it as having been useful to you?
23219  Economy / Economics / Re: Bitcoin will one day be superseded by a technically superior NuCoin. What then? on: December 11, 2013, 06:55:02 PM
No I am interested in the discussion just thinking perhaps we should move into another thread.

Your example is very interesting. It does not at all sit comfortably that this can be applied to a cryptocurrency but I don't have a real rebuttal and I'd like to think more about it.

I have my own thread here where any discussion on economical matters and related questions is welcomed. By the way, gold (and why it was finally abandoned as a means of exchange) has been thoroughly debated over in that thread too. If you are interested, you could at least read that part there...
23220  Economy / Economics / Re: Why Bitcoin cant be Money. on: December 11, 2013, 06:31:38 PM
Starting to see the value?

No. Even if you transfer nothing from peer to peer, anonymously (not possible with bitcoin), at a (low) cost and instantly, its still nothing. I cant do ANYTHING with Bitcoin except dumping it on the next guy.

you should tell this to that guy who bought a sport car in the lamborghini dealership last week

porc got stuck in the longs with gold and silver. And now he tries to persuade people from using bitcoins because they would attract dollars that otherwise might have flown into precious metals. So don't take his bursts of anger too serious..

If I would be convinced of the idea behind bitcoin, I would have transferred some of my wealth to it. The fact is, that I am not convinced. Now you can pretend like, the only reason I am not convinced, is because I am angry. Quite the opposite. I looked at it totally unemotionally with the question if I need to buy some, if it is a viable alternative. My conclusion is just different from yours. I dont feel threatend if you dont like my silver.

If my guess is wrong, then why you kept silence all that time and all of a sudden came back arguing with and trolling everybody around here with that nonsense? Have you been walked out on or just fired?
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