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2341  Economy / Speculation / Re: Relax, its just a hard market reset on: January 20, 2019, 09:31:10 PM
How do you know? If we had seen a classic capitulation (in the technical sense) I'd be more likely to agree. Since there was none, and because sentiment is still a mixed bag between "hope" and "despair" I really doubt all the weak hands are gone yet.

I'm fairly certain that the most persistent weak hands are still in. If you want to tempt them to dump, have the price touch $2xxx levels, and you can be sure that we'll see a high volume selloff. People have too much faith in the 200 wma which seems to be holding the price up, but breaking it would make even the more senior hodlers out here poop their pants.

If you look at 2017, then you can see how there was enough time (7 months to be precise) for people to buy coins between $1000 and $3000, so there might still be a large number of weak hands to get rid of. I hope it won't happen of course, but if it happens anyway, then it happens. I'll happily buy more coins below $3000 if the opportunity presented itself.
2342  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: trading with risk reward ratio on: January 20, 2019, 09:18:19 PM
They think they can predict the market all the time and then take up risky positions for small returns.

Platforms such as Bitmex made things far worse, because even the most insignificant price movements can be leveraged to book like 25-50% gains.

If people trade to book x percentage of profits per day, which they set for themselves as target, they'll force themselves to trade even when most experienced traders decide to take a day off. It's not for nothing that some traders have become addicted to trading, which people might consider funny, but it can be as bad as a gambling addiction.

Gone are the days where profits were easy to obtain by utilizing the $6000 support level. I tried it after it broke, but rekt myself and haven't done any trading since.
2343  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2019-01-17]Ripple says Confusion on Crypto related holding back Mass Adoption on: January 19, 2019, 11:40:05 PM
To this day I still don't understand how it managed to sneak into this space, let alone eat up so much of everyone's money. It's one of the great mysteries of our time and looks like it's always going to be one.

It looks like it's huge, but the market cap is deceiving. Most of the floating supply is controlled by a small number of entities. I guess that we'll see it continue to increase because of that, especially because Bitcoin is bound to increase as well. Bitcoin up shitcoins up. Shorting shitcoins is playing with fire.

Whenever you see Bitcoin's price tank, XRP doesn't fall as hard, which is done artificially by buying the BTC pair up to counter the drop in USD value. Most of what consists of the Ripple gang was here well before most of us, and they own a lot of Bitcoin, and they have to make sure that XRP offers more stability than the rest of the cryptos to market their xRapid service.

No financial institution will use something that pumps and dumps as hard as the other cryptos do, so there is enough incentive from Ripple's side to offer buy support whenever it is needed.
2344  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2019-01-19] Binance Sees Massive Uptake on: January 19, 2019, 11:18:56 PM
to be honest, it makes me nervous to see binance getting as big as they are. don't get me wrong, they're obviously one of the most competent exchanges out there. i just shudder to think about how many coins they have in custody.
From what I can see, they hold at least 200,000BTC in their top wallets, and there is another ~50,000 BTC they hold in a large number of smaller wallets. Definitely a massive amount, but still somewhat of a joke compared to Coinbase's ~900,000BTC currently held in custody. It's mind boggling how much faith people have in these exchanges.

do they actually have plans to enter the USD market? that would be a massive undertaking---they'd need dozens of MSB licenses. i wouldn't have expected it since binance seems to avoid formal licensing/registration as much as possible.
No plans as far as I know, but it would be a massive stunt for sure. They have the capital on their side, so the financial part definitely won't be a problem. I think the main reason for them to avoid the licensing/registration part is to onboard as many users as they can, trap them in, and then force them to verify themselves whenever they are ready to become fully compliant in the US.
2345  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: What are the trading tips for newbies... on: January 19, 2019, 11:02:22 PM
You decisions will matter. You will need to learn how to take quick but logical decisions.
That's what bots offer. Humans are too slow, too emotion driven, too fixated on X percentage of returns, etc. Most people won't ever be able to profitably trade, so why not have a bot do it for you? It saves you a lot of time as well (which you can utilize in a different/productive way), because staring at your screen(s) all day isn't something that will make you happy, especially when you suck at trading.

One more thing, follow your intuition and do what it says.
That's not a good bit of advice. My intuition told me to open trades at certain levels, but looking back, I'm glad that I ignored my intuition. It's straight gambling since you are either right or wrong. Trade based on how you analyze the market, or don't trade at all. Gambling can be done in plenty of online casinos.
2346  Economy / Economics / Re: Fool.co.uk articles are annoying. on: January 19, 2019, 10:15:54 PM
Reminds me of XRP bagholders claiming that their trash token is decentralized and the only one with a utility, while it's severely centralized, and barely anyone actually uses it for its "utility".

People who don't understand Bitcoin, don't need it, will never value it and thus discard/trash it whenever they can. If they can use Bitcoin to hype up their own garbage, they'll definitely do it, especially with how Bitcoin has taken a dip. Easy bait. We'll see who's laughing in the next few years. I'm sure that it won't be these guys. Tongue

Bitcoin generally only needs a year to do x2-x5, which mean means that in such a relatively small time frame, it will outperform pretty much every asset class in the world.
2347  Economy / Economics / Re: First Bitcoin ATM in Venezuela on: January 19, 2019, 09:51:04 PM
A friend of mine living there told me that it's not the safest way to operate publicly with coins.

Not the safest way in what manner? That ill minded individuals wait for people to buy Bitcoin through an ATM and then steal their private key that's printed in form of a paper receipt?

I'm sure that every Bitcoin ATM is placed in a crowded location where it is clearly visible to have people's attention for marketing and safety purposes. It's even happening with legacy ATM's that they are built into super markets or other buildings where there is a constant inflow/outflow of crowd.

I am a supporter of every fiat entry point, and this is one more that we can add to the list. Let's hope that pro maduro camps won't attempt to get rid of them. More support for Bitcoin means less potential support for their shitty Petro scam coin.
2348  Economy / Speculation / Re: The American doomsday by Tom Lee on: January 19, 2019, 08:10:58 PM
With Bitcoin you don't know what its value is going to be tomorrow or next year. People assume it will go up, and it likely will, but what if it doesn't? It's too much of a risk since there are no certainties here.

The same basically applies to people in Venezuela using their native fiat currency. Today you can buy your groceries with X amount of fiat, while the next week you need twice as much in fiat to buy the same groceries.

The Bolivar lost way more of its value than Bitcoin from its near $20,000 peak to where we are right now. In other words, buying Bitcoin at near peak levels (most people buy way lower since only a few people buy and sell the top) and holding it till today was a better deal than holding X amount in Bolivars within the same time frame. The good thing here is that Bitcoin will be going up again so your paper losses will turn into paper profits, while the Bolivar will keep tanking.

Even a can of tuna with a limited shelf life is a better store of value than the Bolivar.
2349  Economy / Speculation / Re: Future BTC's price on: January 19, 2019, 07:48:53 PM
Because of some fatal flaw. If you believe that Bitcoin will succeed 100% you might get deeply disappointed. Million things can go wrong. If succeed of Bitcoin would be sure thing then everyone would just loan money and buy as much as they can. But in reality doing that could be just a suicide.

Fatal flaw? I think it's safe to say that the more time goes by, the less risk of a 'fatal flaw' there is, especially with how the developers are pretty damn good in what they do. On top of that, Bitcoin's simplicity makes sure you don't have various levels of code to audit as is the case with Ethereum, which we have seen has yet again gone through severe difficulties that resulted in more delays.

By the time Bitcoin has succeeded as you put it, it has very likely been priced to reflect that. You buy that what offers the best possible potential, and the best time to enter is now.

The technology hasn't ever disappointed anyone, people's price predictions did and will continue to do.
2350  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2019-01-18]Daily bitcoin transactions on darknet markets doubled on: January 19, 2019, 07:13:00 PM
I see nothing wrong in this. Darknet is a part of the Internet like crime is a part of our lives whether we like it or not. There will always be crime, hacks, porn, drugs. There's much more crime being done with the use of traditional markets and fiat money than it is in the Internet.

Darknet sounds scary, and a place where criminals hang out, but it's not like that in reality. Most people there aren't interested in guns, fake ID's, fake credit cards, etc. It's just something news outlets love to include in their articles, because drama sells, especially if it concerns criminality and Bitcoin.

Most users of darknets just want to buy their weed or different sorts of low dosed opiates, which I see nothing wrong with. If people want to smoke weed to have a good time, what's wrong with that? These people aren't criminals. The government makes them look like that because it's against their silly law, which average joes follow like a bunch of slaves.

People need to grow a thicker skin and stop echoing their government.
2351  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2019-01-19] Binance Sees Massive Uptake on: January 19, 2019, 06:56:18 PM
Binance being a fiat entry point now is great news for Bitcoin and crypto in general.

Finally we see a major player compete with Coinbase for marketshare, and I strongly believe that Binance has a serious shot at overtaking them if they also manage to enter the USD field of the market. Most people use Coinbase as entry point to then directly send their BTC or whatever coin to Binance and trade. Now Coinbase isn't needed for that anymore, at least within Europe, they'll lose a chunk of income and clientele.

Best piece of news this year so far.
2352  Bitcoin / Wallet software / Re: Hodler wallet on: January 18, 2019, 12:44:05 PM
Since it is open source, did anyone with understanding of how to verify code look into this?

Most people here assume that open source means it's safe because you can check for yourself if it is or not, but since the majority here don't know how to read code, they can't verify the application as a whole. I'm mainly interested to find out how random the process of generating key pairs is, because there are enough malicious clients out there that look great, but will run off with your funds eventually.
2353  Economy / Exchanges / Re: Exchange is not accepting btc withdrawal on: January 18, 2019, 12:20:24 PM
I was forced to use coinbe.net (polish exchange I think).

Mind explaining who or what forced you to use that exchange, and more importantly, why?

https://coinmarketcap.com/exchanges/coinbe/

Looking at their volumes, a shitcoin called KaratGoldCoin accounts for +99% of the volume it generated as a whole, which usually is a very bad sign. It's very likely also fake volume considering that CMC excluded their volume and pricing data from the main index for that coin.

It seems to be a Polish exchange, yet that's not where its main traffic comes from, also very interesting; https://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/coinbe.net
2354  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2019-01-15]Bakkt Acquires Certain Assets Of Rosenthal Collins Group on: January 17, 2019, 08:13:34 PM
I don't think that many of you guys take it serious enough. The US doesn't want to pump your bags, it wants more cash settled products to have big money buy into that instead of the asset itself.

If that's the case, why didn't they let the cash settled ETF's go through? That would be the perfect opportunity for the SEC to show their 'true nature' if we follow your logic. Every ETF proposal (backed and not backed) was wiped off the table, and I expect the SEC to continue doing so. Historically, it has been a very time consuming process to have the SEC approve an ETF, which I think people overlook.

I think that we'll see a Bitcoin backed ETF eventually, but for that to happen the US wants to see most of the volumes being generated on regulated exchanges, and preferrably exchanges operating within the US. It would definitely help if we see Bakkt and Nasdaq's futures be approved this year, so the odds are ruling in favor of Bitcoin as time goes by. Patience is key here.

People continuously blame regulators for not understanding the market, well, allow them as much time as they need to understand it better. Why would they approve something they don't understand?
2355  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2019-01-15]Bearish Bitcoin (BTC) Outlook after Latest Consolidation on: January 17, 2019, 07:54:08 PM
What do you mean here by averaging into the market?

As you can average down and average up. Averaging down refers to buying more of what you already have when the price goes down, while averaging up means buying more when the price goes up. Though I agree that you don't have to care too much about the price going up as no matter how exactly you are averaging into the market, you should more care about the price going down since in the latter case your losses will be multiplied even if your break-even point goes lower (in the case of averaging down). And that should be your primary concern in the downtrend market, not the break-even point (as you have already missed it)

What do you think I mean? Read the post. We have been going down for over a year, so I am obviously referring to averaging on the way down. In this case it matters a lot what the break-even point is, especially with how people here only pay attention to how fast they can make profits.

It doesn't matter how much lower the price keeps going as long as you have enough fiat ready to put into action, and there is no way to know beforehand if the price will actually keep going down, because at one point the bottom is in and we will be going up again. That how investing in stocks or any other asset works as well. You buy into it with whatever percentage of your balance, and have the rest aside in case the price takes a dip.
2356  Economy / Speculation / Re: Tone Vays Is 85% Certain Bitcoin (BTC) Hasn’t Hit True Bottom on: January 17, 2019, 04:29:42 PM
You can always put your money where your mouth is
Which is exactly what I did.

So your claim is only true with respect to a certain percentage of market participants and how big it is cannot be known. But it is certainly not about having no choice at all
It's the mass (i.e. dumb money) I am referring to, so you can be sure that they account for the majority of the participants in this market. The people with a choice you referred to have very likely already taken the necessary actions to prevent being sucked into this bear market in the worst possible way.

What choice do average joes have at this point? They don't know how to react, have not witnessed a bear market yet, etc. What do you expect from them? Sell and risk buying back less coins for the same amount at higher levels?

And I don't see what's great in that. Care to explain?
The experience. It might not be something they see as great initially, but during the next wave they will value it massively, which worked out well for me as well.
2357  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Must we always Preach about Bull Markets? on: January 17, 2019, 04:06:21 PM
The higer the risk,  the lower the chances of winning.  Making investments in the cryptocurrency market is truly dangerous due to risks. For those newbies who are still new in the market, do not invest huge money because there is high possibility that you will lose your money.

It's only dangerous if you over-invest, invest with borrowed money, or blindly invest just because "experts" told you it's a great investment.

If you stick to Bitcoin, don't fomo in during bull runs and just patiently wait for the right moment to enter, the risks are super low. In the end, there is a risk everywhere, even when it comes to the stock market, real estate, etc. You have to take risk to make money, but do it in a manner the risks is calculated and don't ever go all in.

I actually find it more risky to invest in US strocks right now than to invest in Bitcoin.
2358  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Why are Exchanges Launching StableCoins Market. on: January 17, 2019, 03:13:11 PM
The primary goal of stablecoins is to reduce or stop irregular price volatility associated with Cryptocurrencies. Exchanges do this by pegging it to a USD value. They do this to keep the price closer to usd as much as possible. Stablecoins are important for traders and crypto users to preserve their usd holdings value

Stablecoins don't reduce the volatility of crypto at all. It's just a token that should replicate the functions of regular fiat currencies, but add certain advantages for traders. Quick movements between exchanges 24/7 is the main advantage, and the very fact that stablecoins are more likely to stay within the crypto ecosystem during bear markets, while fiat currencies are more likely to be withdrawn back to people's bank accounts.

Stablecoins is money in the market waiting to enter, and you can be sure that it will eventually.
2359  Economy / Economics / Re: Brexit we're going to know the end of the story. on: January 17, 2019, 02:44:40 PM
When Greece was in crisis, Europe helped the country with millions, but who's paying? The whole of Europe and its citizens. Do they have enough finance to help a country? No. Well the debt increase so.

The worst part is that politicians keep promising that every bit of debt will be paid back, but every well thinking being knows that it is never going to happen. It wouldn't even surprise me if they pull off a Cyprus haircut type of cheat, but in a more stressing way. It's the easiest way to pay for something without having to use their own money, nor have to print more and devalue the Euro even further.

If people thought they have seen the worst when Greece was on the edge of imploding, wait for what will happen when Italy does the same, there just isn't a way to compare both countries. Italy will drag the EU as a whole down with it, and the EU from there will drag the rest down with it. Chaos guaranteed.
2360  Economy / Economics / Re: Russia Prepares To Buy Up To $10 Billion In Bitcoin To Evade US Sanctions on: January 17, 2019, 02:15:41 PM
how to know if this is real, this value is too high to buy btc, would be a big uncontrolled pump, is there more sources on this?

Common sense. Any entity seriously interested in buying a huge amount of Bitcoin won't ever signal that like this.

If you buy in silently, which is what most large scale investors do, depending on the amount of coins, it's a process that can take months, perhaps years, and then you also have to hope that the price doesn't pump in meantime. That being said, this proves a strong demand factor for Bitcoin backed futures where you can settle an agreement price and don't have to worry about pumps anymore.

And most of the action nowadays happens in the OTC market. Spot exchanges are a joke. One OTC trade covers Coinbase's entire daily spot volume.
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