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2361  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: My Satoshi Nakamoto Hypothesis on: August 12, 2021, 10:37:35 PM
I mean, he worked for a long time on this and its his masterpiece. He needs to have some type of say/control over his baby.


Are you familiar with the concept of open source software? The author makes it free for anyone to modify and release their own versions of it. Or can just pass the role of maintainer to other people, no strings attached. And no single person controls Bitcoin development, all the changes that are made are agreed upon by the community of developers.

3) -- (5 minutes) Satoshi has posted on this page on December 13, 2010. Pieter Wuille registered 4 days later on December 17, 2010. And he has been at the forefront of development. Coincidence?


This doesn't mean anything. If satoshi had an alt account, he could have registered it at any point in history. You gotta show a lot of strong evidence to claim that someone is satoshi, not some single and meaningless coincidence.

Coupled with the fact that coincidences simply do not exist.

Where did you pull that fact from?
2362  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Replacing U.S Dollar as the global Reserve Asset on: August 12, 2021, 10:15:55 PM
As long as most of the Bitcoins are owned by individuals, they won't. But, even with these fluctuations it has achieved increasing by 180% every year since the first halving on average. So, for a country, it'd be very profitable to adopt it all these years. It may still is.

Gold was also owned by individuals few centuries ago, I don't know if that tells you anything. I know, I've become pretty bullish, but that's how I picture it.  Roll Eyes

You can't use 12 years of performance to make reliable forcasts into the future. Sure, governments could theoretically put a small fraction of their reserves into Bitcoin, but OP is talking about replacing US dollar, the most popular reserve currency in the world. Imagine a poor country converting 40% of their reserves into BTC and the height of a bubble, see it crash 80% over a few months and now they are unable to provide basic government services. Government can't and shouldn't gamble with their peoples money.

Gold is a poor example, it has been used by humanity for thousands of years, and even early governments held it in their treasuries.
2363  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Does anyone know what the most successful whale wallet out there is? on: August 12, 2021, 09:03:01 PM
If you want to copy someone's trading moves, then forget about it, you will just set yourself up for being easily manipulated. Like these whales will make a move, wait for noobs to copy their move, then make a larger counter move and reap massive profits from noob's losses.

There are no wallets on Bitcoin network, only addresses. Some addresses are linked together so you could with high confidense say that they belong to the same entity, but many remain unlinked. Also you can't know what "whale wallets" are doing once they send their coins to exchanges. Maybe they are not dumping Bitcoin for fiat, but instead trade altcoins? Or let it sit there and wait days or weeks before they make a move?
2364  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin being decentralised an illusion? on: August 12, 2021, 06:45:57 PM
Governments can influence the price of Bitcoin, but they can't control it. They can push the price up or down with their actions, but they can't set Bitcoin's price at some target and maintain it, which they do with their fiat currencies to a large extent. Also a lot of their actions can work only once. After China banned Bitcoin mining for real, they can no longer influence price in that way again. Bitcoin being decentralized doesn't mean that it's immune to all influences.

Similarly, governments can ban mining or try to impose some regulations on miners, but they don't control all the miners in the world. They don't even have 51% of miners under their direct control ready to launch an attack. And don't forget about nodes, which are run by thousands of private individuals across the world and can't be realistically regulated because it's just a regular PC.
2365  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Satoshi Nakamoto should have created Litecoin with the Bitcoin name on: August 10, 2021, 11:36:57 PM
Litecoin's 84 million coins with 2.5 minute block time vs Bitcoin's 21 million coins with 10 minute block time.
Bitcoin is an asset but struggles as a currency while Litecoin is an asset and a better currency because of Litecoin's faster transaction time with lower transaction fees.

Are we still having this blockspace debate in 2021? Fine then.

84 million coins or 21 million doesn't really matter. Bitcoin would be 4 times cheaper and people would have 4 times more Bitcoin. Zero net changes.

4 times faster blocks means 4 times more blockchain bloat which means faster centralization of the network. And these 2.5 minute blocks would require less PoW so they would be less secure, so you would need more of them before you can trust a transaction, so the waiting time would be almost the same on practice.

Bitcoin can't be a world's currency neither at 7-11 transactions per second or at 28-44 transactions per second, it needs thousands of transactions per second to do it, like Visa does, and Lightning Network is the only way to achieve this.
2366  Bitcoin / Wallet software / Re: Offline Transaction vs hardware wallet, which is safest? on: August 10, 2021, 09:48:05 PM
Both are highly secure from a point of view of average users. I would recommend hardware wallets to less experienced users and cold storage to more experienced users (though they already know what to do and don't need any advice). Hardware wallet is a bit simpler to use, while cold storage is a bit less likely to be targeted by hackers. In both cases, you still need to carefully verify that your addresses haven't been replaced before sending, that you're using clean systems, etc.
2367  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Replacing U.S Dollar as the global Reserve Asset on: August 10, 2021, 09:14:20 PM
Why would governments hold something as volatile as Bitcoin in their reserves? The lives of millions of people in each country depend on those reserves, now imagine there's the usual 50% "dip", how would a country survive that? Not to mention that Bitcoin's current scalability is not ready for active use by a large portion of human population, even if just as store of value.
2368  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Do's and Don'ts on the forum... on: August 09, 2021, 10:18:24 PM
People always make broad statements for newbies like "be helpful and don't shitpost", but newbies can't really feel the full difference between a shitpost and a good post. Writing shitposts is not always a sign of laziness or stupidity, it can often be just a lack of experience so it's kinda a natural phase for many. I'm sure that if you went to check the early posts of people with many hundreds of merits, many of them would be not so great compared to their current posts. I'm an advocate of using this forum naturally, like any other social network - don't be obsessed with ranking up and earning merits, just express your opinions and participate in discussions, if you'll earn merits that's good, if not then don't worry, it's just a forum.
2369  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin price is returning to $40K — But will shorts have their revenge? on: August 09, 2021, 08:46:23 PM
I would be cautious about being hyperbullish now, because it seems that this bull run lacks the narrative to support the further gains. In the beginning it all start with institutional FOMO due to their fear of inflation, but now there's no big institutional attention at all, the inflation concerns have lessened when the US announced they will take measures against it, and now the US also seeks to impose more regulations on crypto industry, which is not at all a bullish thing. There is no big narrative behind this bull run, and the last time a bull run lost its narrative we've seen a drop from $64.5k.
2370  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Reading is more important than replying on: August 09, 2021, 08:33:45 PM
You need to be selective with what you read. If you were to read every single post in every single thread that you see, you would waste a ton of time without learning anything, because there's so many low value posts, repetitive posts, unimportant topics, etc. Every beginner should start with reading a good book about the basics of Bitcoin technology, get some knowledge of cryptography so that they could start answering people's questions.
2371  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Home mining for non-KYC Bitcoin on: August 08, 2021, 10:51:02 PM
Well, never say never. Exchanges are already doing heuristic-based chain analysis on your coins, and for sure IRS (or your own version of it) is soon going to do that.
Privacy is an important subject, whose value is often appreciated only when lost.

You can read more on this thread of mine:
A Treatise on Bitcoin and Privacy

If you want 100% privacy and financial freedom, you simply avoid all centralized exchanges, instead of trying to sneak past their internal rules and protocols. If you want general privacy, than mixing will always be better than mining virgin bitcoins, because it's more private (the fact of owning virgin bitcoin already reveals that you are doing mining), it's cheaper (some mixers have zero or close to zero fees) and much easier (you can mix almost any amount, while with mining you have to wait and take business risks).

Emphasis above is mine. Where do you live that residential power is cheaper than commercial/industrial rates? Sure as hell not in the US! Here most commercial rates start at a bit over 1/2 residential power rates and go down from there depending on how much power a business needs. The fire hazard part is only valid if the house was improperly wired to begin with or the homeowner decided to do a crappy DIY job.

Also running a *small* business out of your home for the most part is not restricted here...

Yes, I don't live in the US and I live in an apartment, which is where my point of view about electricity prices and regulations comes from. I wanted to remind people that not everyone has the same conditions,
2372  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Home mining for non-KYC Bitcoin on: August 08, 2021, 05:21:24 PM
You would be surprised of how many cases can get your coins frozen on an exchange or cause you headaches when cashing out. As long as there is a price spread for newly mined bitcoins, this means this idea is not stupid, but answer a specific need.

Regarding home mining security and legality, of course it is in the good interest of each one of us to assess the involved risks.

Just because something is being actively sold, doesn't mean that it is objectively valuable. People are spending tons of money on antiviruses that give them a false sense of security and don't stop all malware, or essential oils and other alternative medicine stuff that hasn't been proven scientifically. Or maybe the demand for virgin bitcoins is driven by actual criminals who exchange their dirty coins for it as an alternative to mixing.

IMO if you don't engage with illegal services the chance of getting your funds wrongfully frozen is so low that it's not worth it paying the premium on virgin bitcoin or trying to mine it.
2373  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Help me differentiate this thought, teach a man how to fish or give him Bitcoin. on: August 08, 2021, 03:38:36 PM
No one is giving away Bitcoin seriously. All those giveaways, faucets and bounties don't yield much and many of them are just scams that waste people's time or steal their coins. Buying and holding Bitcoin is a money-making method, but you need to have some money to invest in the first place, now more so than before because the rate of Bitcoin's growth is slowing down. So investing in Bitcoin is not a way for poor people to get "fish", it's a method for people who already have "fish" to get even more "fish" and protect their wealth from inflation.
2374  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Home mining for non-KYC Bitcoin on: August 08, 2021, 02:56:32 PM
Home mining is practically illegal in many places, because it's generally illegal to use home electricity for some sort of commercial purpose, and running even one 1-1.5 kWT PSU  24/7 definitely falls within this category. Residential electricity is sold much cheaper than the commercial one, so it's kinda stealing to use it for mining. Plus it's also a fire hazard.

Getting into mining just to obtain "virgin bitcoin" is a really stupid idea, it's crazy inefficient and virgin bitcoins wouldn't give you any good benefits anyway. Every coin is tainted to some extent, exchanges only freeze coins that come directly or almost directly from darknet markets or hackers, there's very low chance for a regular non-criminal user to have their coins wrongfully frozen. And if you trade on p2p exchanges, you have even less reasons to care about taint.
2375  Economy / Economics / Re: Why would people ever use bitcoin if its expected to always go up? on: August 07, 2021, 09:24:37 PM
If you get your salary paid in Bitcoin, you will have no choice but to spend it on your living necessities as well as entertainment, hobbies, etc. From time to time I am selling small amounts of coins when I need some extra money for my purchases, and I never care that these money could be worth 10 times more in the future, because I live in the present, not the future. I'm not going to sit in my house all my life and wait for Bitcoin to go to the moon.
2376  Economy / Economics / Re: Ukraine is the "island of crypto freedom" in Europe, what to expect ? on: August 07, 2021, 09:02:33 PM
1. They legitimize the cryptocurrency, and allow to officially conduct transactions in the cryptocurrency.

They aren't going to allow businesses to accept cryptocurrency payments directly. Bitcoin will not be a legal tender like it is in El Salvador. Crypto is not banned in Ukraine, what this law will change is just taxation and some new regulations for exchanges and other services.

3. A virtual hryvnia (the national currency of Ukraine) is being prepared to enter the market

This law won't be touching Ukraine's CBDC project. In fact, the law that would allow Ukraine's central bank to issue CBDC has already been passed a few weeks ago.

1. Will Ukraine become "Crypto Switzerland" or "Island of Crypto Freedom"?

If EU will be more hostile towards crypto with harsher regulations and higher taxes, you could say that Ukraine is an "island of crypto freedom", but it's still far from what El Salvador is doing.

2377  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Ukraine's roadmap of crypto adoption on: August 07, 2021, 02:57:02 PM
In short, they plan to have 5% tax on crypto profits, though the number is not set in stone yet and could change. Currently people must pay 19.5% tax on sale regardless of profit or loss.
Not sure if I'm interpreting "this" part correctly, but does the new proposal essentially mean they'd be able to finally deduct their losses?


Yes, that's right. Curiously, the journalist asked about how they would verify the profits/losses and the minister said "blockchain is transperent, we can demand people to show their wallet to see all their transactions" which is a bit crypto illiterate thing to say. But on practice if you trade via centralized exchanges, there won't be any room for tax evasion.

The most striking part of forthcoming law is not the change in taxation base  but the intention  to allow payments in cryptocurrency. I think if this law  came into the force then Ukraine would become one of the most advanced country as to their relation to the crypto as the whole phenomenon. Would  it help country's  economic which (AFAIK) is focused on exporting the raw materials?

As I wrote in my earlier post, this is actually the least exciting part. Payments directly in cryptocurrency will not be allowed. This doesn't mean that people who pay with crypto on Craigslist-like sites will be prosecuted, it means that businesses will not be allowed to receive crypto directly to their wallets, just like they are not allowed to receive USD or any other currency except for UAH. What he meant by "crypto payments" was debit cards and other similar solutions that instantly convert crypto to fiat. But you can already use them, I'm sure one of those Bitcoin Visa cards that converts BTC balance into USD will even now work in Ukraine by then converting USD into UAH.
2378  Economy / Exchanges / Re: Coinbase starts accepting AppleGoogle pay to buy crypto-Start of global trnsfrs? on: August 06, 2021, 11:58:48 PM
I don't see how it's "big news" if buying crypto on centralized exchanges has always been easy with Visa/Mastercard transactions that are done with a few clicks and process quite fast. If Coinbase allowed some sort of buying Bitcoin without registration, that would be quite a big deal, because registering on exchange and passing KYC is a step that turns away a lot of potential buyers, but we all know it's not gonna happen because of regulations.
2379  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Newbies ! A wrong (Altcoin) selection would destroy your dream on: August 06, 2021, 10:14:58 PM
I pretty much agree with you, well said. But the situation will be more worst if we choose shit of shitcoin. I am not saying all are shitcoin like Ethereum isn't shit coin at all. I am not a big fan of any altcoin though and the major part of my portfolio is in Bitcoin. Sometimes just shorting Bitcoin and hold USDT. I know comparing price in Bitcoin of altcoins are just dumping as you said. The altcoin is just to increase your portfolio by trading or short time holding. It's not much useful holing for a long time.

So if the choice is between losing your money quickly with shitcoins or losing slowly with less shitty coins, then why choose at all and not go 100% Bitcoin? Almost every newbie nowadays knows to stay away from "shitcoins", but because they are newbies they lack fundamental skills like determining if a coin is shitcoin or not, or the basics of trading like having a strategy, taking profits, cutting losses. If they just buy and hold Bitcoin, they will have a guarantee that they are investing in honest project not created for pump and dump.
2380  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Hey! Let me pick up a rock and let's buy it from each other... on: August 06, 2021, 09:50:41 PM
He can hardly buy anything with it. We just give it value for the sake of giving it value.

You can hardly buy anything with gold, probably way less than with Bitcoin, yet it's still worth a lot. Bitcoin is a digital token that is secure in a way that no other digital asset is - Bitcoin does not rely on any third parties that must be trusted or can be ordered by government to freeze your money. Even if everyone who currently does stopped accepting Bitcoin as payment, it would still be worth a lot, because it's no longer solely a currency.
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