Your opinion seems to be skewed by your life experiences I certainly hope so, else I would still be shitting in my diapers. Should I take it as a confirmation that shitting in your diapers would mean an unbiased view on life?
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Taxes are coercive (and yes, I'm a property owner and just yesterday paid for it), but this doesn't prove that it is just taxes that make people use the currency government issues (the reasons I set forth earlier). And I know about the role the public sector plays in the economy not only from textbooks (I was on public service), and actually I see no substantial contradiction between what is written there and real life...
Well, you can go see real world examples currently underway in both India and Venezuela where the government will arrest you for not using their currencies. I don't know what more to say on that point. Is there a hypothetical dreamland where coercion is not the main tool? I suppose. The government could create all of the money, in the US it was designed to, but the banks did not like that. See Andrew Jacksn, Abe Lincoln, and Jekyll Island for further. And really I don't like it either, as again it is time to move forward and not backwards...and hope we are. Governments could take to coercion or even direct violence (it would be just stupid not to try all available means if such a need arises), but this is something any sane government should take to only as a means of last resort. It is in government's best interests to stick to economic pathways to reach its aims whenever possible, and issuance and introduction of a new currency belongs right here. Taxes can be important for such an aim only if economic routes fail. There are states with robust currency systems which have very low taxes if ever...
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Clearly you are not a property owner or there would be no discussion of whether tax payments are coercive. Yes, government pays out currency they borrow from the bank, at interest. Simultaneously the bank makes loans to the public at interest. No, you are not forced to borrow money. You can alternatively perform labor or services for somebody who chooses to borrow it from the bank, and get paid in their borrowed money, and pay your landlord, who will use it to pay taxes, which will return to the bank as government debt payments. Or you can live in a shopping cart/jail. All money returns to the bank. I have previously given you a textbook answer Probably the crux of a lot of delusions. College is great but... real life is a different game. Taxes are coercive (and yes, I'm a property owner and just yesterday paid for it), but this doesn't prove that it is just taxes that make people use the currency government issues (the reasons I set forth earlier). And I know about the role the public sector plays in the economy not only from textbooks (I was on public service), and actually I see no substantial contradiction between what is written there and real life... Your opinion seems to be skewed by your life experiences
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Там поначалу повыше курс был... И можно было выиграть с вероятностью 0.0001 один биткоин в час, то есть, если, скажем, имеется доступ к пулу ip-адресов, можно было реально и поиграться. Как я понял из общения с автором, кто-то так в конце-концов и сделал... А вообще очень странно, что тема в хайпах А профит у них в чём? Баннеров что-то не заметил. Капча тривиальная, вряд ли она из другого сайта. Ну это типа рулетка такая, нажимаешь "Roll" после ввода капчи и генератор случайных чисел генерит число от 0 до 10000, в зависимости от которого начисляются сатоши - это бесплатная версия (ну типа заманухи), играется раз в час. Но можно и свои деньги поставить, в этом случае используется мультипликатор, т.е. выигрыш возрастает, но можно и проиграться...
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When I am saying people will hold on to their money now and spend it later, that can be interpreted as lowering the velocity now, and increasing it later. Then you will understand that that is consistent with a stable price level and an increasing quantity of goods.
There can no longer be "later" you refer to... If you don't buy today, the producer just won't sell tomorrow, because he will have to cut production and fire his staff... Is it really so hard to grasp?
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They get it from the system that will be full steam. The banks simply issue loans at interest, and do so with money they print from nothing. That is fractional lending. They start with nothing, you borrow money at interest, they give you money they invented. That is why a bank ledger shows outstanding loans as an asset, and money in the vault as a liability. Exactly opposite the way a borrower sees it. A bank wants no money in the bank, all money in your hands paying them interest 24/7. Compounding effect assures that they will always make more, the public will always grow poorer. Or why I hate this system.
So your assumption is that I'm forced to borrow money from the bank to pay taxes when the system is started? What did I get wrong? It seems that you actually ignored my question. I have previously given you a textbook answer how that happens, i.e. through the public sector. Government pays people it hires, those buy goods from the private sector, the private sector pays wages, so everyone gets money to pay taxes, and there is no direct coercion from the state to use its currency... I understand that you hate the current financial system, just don't let this blind hatred render you impotent
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But the question is whether they will be interested in Bitcoin at all when they finally happen to find out about it...
If they are any smart, yet. If they are the average ignorant Joe, maybe not, then again some of us have to be zombies. If they are smart (and have spare money in their budget at that) then they have probably already found out, so I wouldn't say it is super early...
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deisik: I feel your pain, debating these Troglodytes.
That said I think the Quantity Theory of Money could be of assistance. It is a simple and ancient formula that every economic school aknowleges.
The Formula is M * V = P * Q
M is Money Supply V is Velocity, the number of times each money unit is transacted in the defined time period P is the Price level of Goods and Services Q is the Quantity of Goods and Services exchanged during the defined time period
Now once we have this formula we can clearly see that when any one factor is going up or down it must be balanced by a movement of one or more of the other factors (which factor tends to move more or less is a whole other area of debate).
If we assume that Q quantity is going to rise then their are 3 possible response, P decreases (deflation as prices are dropping), or an increase in V or M. Now in BTC M is completely fixed (and in reality it will decline slowly from lost coins). So this leaves only higher V and lower P as options. Velocity in BTC could indeed rise a lot as most coins are hoarded but the overwhelming attitude is one of holding onto coins with a death-grip, and even if people did hoard their are probably practical limits to have high V can go. This leaves a falling P as the only real option and hence the prediction of deflation (which has been spectacularly correct). Really their can be no argument here both the pro and anti BTC sides of the debate expect deflation.
Thanks for your support, will take Irving Fisher's formula into my arsenal of weapons against these cavemen...
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биткойн, согласно нормам русского ИМХО
Это где такие нормы прописаны, уж очень хотелось бы с ними ознакомиться? Ну или, на худой конец, хотя бы убедиться в их наличии...
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I wouldn't say so. Governments do require taxes to be paid in legal tender, but before that you have to earn this legal tender somehow to pay those taxes with. So, in the first place, we have the public sector of the economy where governments themselves pay in this legal tender, and what is important here, pay before they collect taxes. This proves that the reasons fiat works have rather economic roots...
Presently governments borrow the legal tender from the central bank to operate. And I am guessing you have never tried to go off the grid. If you own land, you have to pay taxes on it, in legal tender. If all of your money is in btc form, you have to sell enough each year to at least pay your taxes in fiat. If you rent, your landlord pays the taxes. If nobody pays the taxes the gov seizes the land and sells it to someone who will. You describe the system which is already on the run and in full steam. This doesn't answer the question which is hidden in my post. I didn't actually expect that I would have to ask it directly. So, where would people get money from to pay the taxes when the system has just started?
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You'll feel a lot worse in 5 years when they're 40k a coin.... why didn't you buy when they were only 800 Seriously, nobody on the street knows what a bitcoin is. It's still SUPER EARLY. That will probably be next year. But the question is whether they will be interested in Bitcoin at all when they finally happen to find out about it...
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In an expanding economy the same amount of bitcoins would be continually distributed on an ever increasing quantity of goods, which would mean sustained deflation. It is not that difficult to understand really...
Each Bitcoin is 100 million Satoshi so you have a long way to go before we run out. There is no problem with continual distribution of coins. Inevitable deflation which is caused by this distribution IS the problem...
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Imagine a weekly market with a pile of clothes on one side of the square, and a pile of coins on the other. Every week the pile of clothes is a little bigger, and the number of coins stays the same. You are saying that the price of clothes next week MUST be lower because there are more clothes then. But what is going to happen now then? People will wait with their purchase to next week, not buying clothes now. So this weeks demand for clothes drops and prices will fall NOW. Hey presto, there is your increase in the purchasing power of your coin already. (rise in the exchange rate clothes/coins)
This is what deflation means, i.e. increase in the purchasing power of your coin, meaning that you could buy more with less coins. But if you think this is always good then it is you who will ultimately be proved wrong...
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hmm its usd price has gone up from 8 usd to 1,000 usd in under a year, i don't know why everyone is saying its deflationary
Because now you can buy with 1 BTC more than you could a year ago... If you denominated prices of goods in Bitcoin, you would see that within that year they would be falling as long as the BTC exchange rate was growing...
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Anything backed up by some limited resource is deflationary by nature. Gold backed dollar was deflationary in the late 19th and early 20th century because of huge technological advances back then and impetuous economic growth thereby...
No. If gold backed dollar turned out to be deflationary, it was because of an unforseen increase in the demand for it. Anyone who could have predicted it, would have held on to those dollars before, causing a rise in the purchasing power of the dollar immediately (deflation), and a constant price level for decades after. Prices went down over time because demand for the dollar was bigger than expected. The pain was caused by the inability to adjust to the unexpected deflation in contracts like wages. This increase in the demand for dollars was caused by the expanding economy. In my post I gave you the reasons why this economic growth happened in the first place at all and now you're trying to challenge that on the basis that dollar turned out to be deflationary because of some unforeseen increase in the demand for it... Do you have any logic whatever?
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You keep talking as if in every round of production, you are forced to spend every dollar in existence. You are free to keep it in your pocket. Currency is not just for transactions now, it is also a store of value over time. That is what un-links the currency supply from the production it can buy. What currency buys is for the market to decide, and people thinking about that can take account of the increasing demand for transaction, the wear and tear of bills, etc.
Every coin you stash away diminishes the number of coins that will enter the market, thus inducing even tighter competition for coins and pressing prices down even stronger. If prices fall below some level, producers start cutting production which ultimately leads to unemployment, impoverishment and overall depression... That's why deflation is ultimately bad for the economy!
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so what kind of currency or asset is deflationary by your definition? i can think of nothing.
if the dollar were printed by a fix number, it would be deflationary due to wear and tear or people would lose their paper notes. people will lose their BTC as well. also, BTC is deflationary because people hoard their BTC, which raises the value over time.
Anything backed up by some limited resource is deflationary by nature. Gold backed dollar was deflationary in the late 19th and early 20th century because of huge technological advances back then and impetuous economic growth thereby...
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When you divide production by the fixed number of bitcoin, you are talking about 'production per bitcoin'. Yes, that will keep going up, but it is a completely irrelevant measure. There is NO 1:1 link between production and the supply of currency.
You can not mistake 'production per bitcoin' with 'what a bitcoin buys you'. That is for supply and demand on the market to decide. You can choose to hold on to your bitcoin and spend it later if you think it will buy more then.
So you will have more goods competing on the market for one Bitcoin which would cause prices in Bitcoin denominated items to go down. If supply increases, prices decrease...
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Yes, but then we are talking a movement around some level. Not a constant deflation or inflation.
I suspect the economic cycle in a bitcoin economy will be much less than we are seeing now. A lot of it is caused by the time delay between a central banks guiding indicators (gdp growth/inflation) and the effect of its instruments (money supply change). In aviation it would be called Pilot Induced Oscillation, plenty a crash is caused by that.
This is called stagnation, i.e. slow or no economic growth...
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The price will incorporate the expected future growth of the underlying economy. Why do you think there is $15 billion worth of bitcoin now with only little trade. We are taking the future into account.
Bitcoin is not deflationary. Bitcoin is not inflationary. There is no free lunch.
If I understood your logic correctly, this price of Bitcoin you're talking about will reflect the expected growth of the underlying economy (more goods for one Bitcoin), thus giving Bitcoin more purchasing power, i.e. bringing about deflation in prices of everything Bitcoin denominated...
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