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2461  Economy / Gambling / Re: FreeBitco.in-$200 FreeBTC⭐Win Lambo🔥0.2BTC DailyJackpot🏆$32,500 Wager Contest on: February 08, 2023, 07:26:51 PM
I believe we have to rely on our luck, hoping the most unexpectable of the outcomes happen for real, instead of focusing in accumulating many golden tickets, because it's simply not possible to compete against the whales. Last winner had 4870 GTs, what requires a lot of gambling activity and/or money invested for that purpose. I suppose most of us can't reach that number of tickets to stay highly competitive on the biannual draw.

My guess is that the previous winner wagered at least 24 BTC to get 4870 gold tickets. That's really too much, and I think a lot of users aren't ready to take that risk. Moreover, we have seen many times before that a user with a few lottery tickets has won the top prize in the weekly lottery. So I have no doubt that one day we will also see the lucky one who will win the Lambo with just a few golden tickets.
For some it might seem more logical to simply have bought a lambo directly on the shop for 10BTC, instead of risking 24BTC on the process, while on the other hand, depending the luck of this user he might have won this lambo almost for free, if he managed to gamble a lot, without losing the greatest portion of his bankroll, besides every other bonuses he had access, like extra RPs, daily jackpot, contest, extra common lottery tickets, flash promotions...

I just hope he didn't have to lose 24BTC, or half of that to win a lambo pricing 10BTC.
2462  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: how many times have you intended to stop gambling on: February 08, 2023, 07:15:07 PM
Always I had to stop gambling due to losses I did it without further issues, besides a temporary urge, impulse to keep playing, because it's really hard to accept you lost and it's game over. But after controling that temporary emotion I quit gambling until recovering my losses through another sources of income, so I can come back to gambling again later.

Right now, I'm recovering myself from a loss, so I quited gambling, although I have plans to gamble again once I conclude this recovery.
2463  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [POLL] Using AI to predict outcomes on: February 08, 2023, 05:25:57 PM
AI will be able to build models that far surpasses any model that a human can build.

Maybe, but the main issue that I see is that AI can create false facts that appear quite legit to the casual reader.

Then, something false gets posted in say wikipedia, and then a big newspaper picks that up, etc. You end up without being able to trust anyone.
AFAIK it is not giving any false facts, its just a program that collect information from the multiple sources and try to come up with better one, ofcourse it may happened in the past but the same won't repeat everytime so its impossible to predict the future outcomes with 100% accuracy.

I don't think AI can predict the sports perfectly. By the way, is there any data available to check if AI really helping in this prediction thing ?

I know everyone will have their point of view on this but if we have some data to back our opinions, it will help us reach the conclusion. The Poll make us know about the majority of the people's understanding but may not predict the real reality.
AIs can't predict the future, therefore they can't come with accurate results. What AIs can do is the same calculations sportsbooks do to balance the odds of a bet, that is, to find the favorite and the underdog of a match.

If you follow AIs, you are always going to bet on the favorite, because that is the most logical scenario and AIs totally work based on logics.

However, favorite teams or athletes can also lose, so it's not safe to follow such AIs on their predictions.
2464  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: What is the best way to earn with your idle bitcoin (if there is a way anymore?) on: February 08, 2023, 01:01:03 AM
I'm an enthusiast of such investments, but after Celsius scandal (including the outcome for investors, decided by the court) I totally lost the interest for such platforms, because there aren't guarantees. I thought to have a regulated company and staff in front of the service would ensure safety for investors, but after all it meant nothing.

The only platform I still have some trust is freebitco.in, because their business model is profitable and the site is alive since 2013. Ironically, although it's completely unregulated and anonymous, it still has more legitimacy than the "unbank yourself" regulated Celsius business.

Anyway, it's not financial advise. I'm just sharing personal experience. Invest at your own risk.
2465  Economy / Economics / Re: Open AI CEO says his tech is poised to "break capitalism" on: February 07, 2023, 11:12:05 PM
AGI (artificial general intelligence) maximalists claim their technology carries a potential to eliminate many skilled labor jobs in tech industries.

Given the massive leap in technology from home PCs 20 years ago with 64 megabytes of RAM and 300 megahertz CPUs leading to the present. Its difficult to imagine or predict how much technology can advance within a relatively short span of time.

Past studies have claimed as much as 50% of skilled labor in tech industries might be vulnerable to automation:
That is actually expected and just a matter of time until happening, as technology is developed. If we look the past, we will see many jobs that existed before don't exist anymore, because they were automated. And that isn't a bad thing, since it has brought more confort to civilization, while those humans can still occupy another jobs' spots.

Also, new categories of jobs more related to humanist area, where the direct contact between individuals is the focus, with emphasis on sensorial aspects tend to take place, as that is something AIs can't execute with excellency.
2466  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: As mining is no longer profitable... on: February 07, 2023, 06:31:35 PM
But there is one concern though. Individual miners are already out of the game. Now only big scale miners are making money. Unless the mining companies are able to find an alternative source of free energy like wind or solar, there will be a time when mining will become unprofitable. We may need to find a solution then.
It's said mining won't become unprofitable, because miners only sell their bitcoins for a price that can pay for the mining costs, plus some liquid profit for themselves. Theoretically they would never accept mining at loss. So the market has to adjust itself to the currently costs of mining operations.

Less bitcoins mined per block = more expensive bitcoins. And mining profits remain stable...
2467  Economy / Exchanges / Re: Binance tax has been launched? on: February 07, 2023, 04:05:46 PM
The tool itself is an advantage for users of Binance who move large chunks of money and have to declare their income and every other details to their local authorities. I don't think there is any disadvantage on this tool. The disadvantage many people complain about is to have to declare income and pay taxes to the government, although it's an inevitable part of the deal when using centralized services.

i'm already complaining before it will be launched in my country. i read the tools will compute each transaction you make. i have no problem paying but what i'm not curious is if the government will ask the taxes on the ancient transactions we did before the crypto tax law.
Usually when a new law is passed it can't be used retroactively to punish previous events, so you probably don't have to worry about past transactions. I don't know if it's a general consensus in every countries, though.

it's not fair actually for crypto users since our transactions are audited and can be seen on the public ledger. our taxes should also be seen where it's spent on the government's public ledger as well.
Doesn't your government have an online "transparency portal" where citizens can see what portion of their money is going to each sector, like education, health, security, infrastructure... ?
2468  Economy / Exchanges / Re: Binance tax has been launched? on: February 07, 2023, 01:29:54 AM
The tool itself is an advantage for users of Binance who move large chunks of money and have to declare their income and every other details to their local authorities. I don't think there is any disadvantage on this tool. The disadvantage many people complain about is to have to declare income and pay taxes to the government, although it's an inevitable part of the deal when using centralized services.
2469  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Any thoughts about NFT? on: February 07, 2023, 12:26:30 AM
Question is, do you know where the satoshi you keep receiving comes from?

If the business model is not clear and unsustainable, then there is a very high chance you are wasting time holding the NFT in the long run. You may not get back what you may have put in.

Another reason I hate about NFTs is that selling them is not easy. You have to get someone interested in buying it at the given price in order o be able to sell it.
I believe the only way this business format can work in a sustainable way is if they are running a cloud mining system. What means rewards investors receive by holding the NFTs will decrease within time until reaching to zero, as it has been already seen before with several platforms of this kind.

On the other hand, if rewards don't decrease within time, like in every BTC mining businesses, there are serious chances it can be a ponzi scheme.
2470  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: I am stopping for legal reasons. Is it really worth the trouble? on: February 07, 2023, 12:03:28 AM
I understand you don't want any legal issues for your business and for yourself and there is no problem in thinking this way.

However, if you do exactly what those regulators want you to do, you won't be able to invest in bitcoin anymore and might lose opportunities that will come with bitcoin valuation. Opportunities that could potentially be your passport outside a country which enforces abusive, restrictive and censoring measures over its citizens.

Give up btc on your business for now, but keep investing on it and growing your holdings in secret.
2471  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: 2000 sandbox would do? on: February 06, 2023, 09:20:23 PM
It's really hard to predict if these platforms stick as i think they are pretty much duct tape solutions for fast as possible metaverse adoption. I think that there will be better tech ahead and these get left far behind like some bulky and weird tv and radio combinations in the past.

Just be aware that a whale might Be dumping it soon


This is definitely not a good idea to buy this token right now, after seeing the news whales are moving large chunks of SAND to Binance. The risk to be taken doesn't worth considering the currently scenario. It's better to wait and see what these whales have in mind and what they are going to do with their tokens next, before making any moves. In times like this it's possible whales liquidate their tokens in order to raise funds to boost bitcoin price, starting a new rally.
2472  Economy / Services / Re: Earn Thousands of dollars monthly helping migrants getting job contracts on: February 06, 2023, 08:14:01 PM
And all was a cheat , but the contractors are the best for travelling , also we won't pay until we are sure that  it is a real company certified through the embassy , whatever many people fall in that trap , they have no other solutions.
Just like this one being promoted on this thread is also a cheat. I understand what you say, it's really difficult to migrate from a poor country to a developed one, because there are many restrictions, besides having many requirements, especially financial ones.

If you are looking for a contract I guess the first step would be to seek it through an educational institution in your country which has partnership and contact with employers from first world countries. But you need to improve your English skills, anyway.
2473  Economy / Gambling / Re: FreeBitco.in-$200 FreeBTC⭐Win Lambo🔥0.2BTC DailyJackpot🏆$32,500 Wager Contest on: February 06, 2023, 07:39:29 PM
Quote
Yup that's right. Collecting more GT is actually a tough task.
Even if I got a GT ticket regularly I'd still not expect to win seriously, it is a big prize but pie in the sky for most of us.
It should be like that, no matter how many tickets we have, we shouldn't really need to seriously consider what percentage of the chances are to be able to win a lambo because a many or few number of tickets only talks about opportunities not guaranteed to win but the results are really determined during the draw and the lucky ones will get it though with just a few tickets.
I believe we have to rely on our luck, hoping the most unexpectable of the outcomes happen for real, instead of focusing in accumulating many golden tickets, because it's simply not possible to compete against the whales. Last winner had 4870 GTs, what requires a lot of gambling activity and/or money invested for that purpose. I suppose most of us can't reach that number of tickets to stay highly competitive on the biannual draw.
2474  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin high prediction 2023? on: February 06, 2023, 06:59:51 PM
Bitcoin is back to the 23,000$ resistance level after the last correction which didn't let btc stay above the 24,000$ line for too long. Now, as soon as btc hits 23,000$ the price instantly drops to 22,700$-22,900$, although bitcoin is still fighting bravely to retrieve the previous position and may sit above the 23,000$ zone in the following days in a very confortable position. Actually, the key point seems to achieve the 24,000$ price range with solidity. Once this happens, confidence and morale among investors may rise considerably, what can make it possible to reach close to the 30,000$ mark.
2475  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: US casinos set new record of revenue on 2022 on: February 06, 2023, 06:37:38 PM
Have you noticed this as well where you live? Are cryptocurrency casinos experimenting the same kind of boom as fiat casinos?
Yes, gambling in general is getting more popular where I live as well. I see this by the amount of posts on the internet from people talking about gambling online platforms and also by the fact youtubers and celebrities are promoting such services more frequently these days. Differences are hugely noticed after the pandemic. I think we could classify gambling before Covid-19 pandemic as one thing and after as another thing.

At same time, with popularity it also comes the criticisms. Many people don't know how to adopt gambling on their lives in a healthy way, so they end blaming betting platforms for the financial bankruptcy common citizens are facing in the country.

I don't blame them at all, though, because some promoters are really unethical, as they advertise casinos as a mean of making an extra income. Add this to low educational backgrounds and you will have a lot of angry newbies losing money and calling gambling services scammers.
2476  Economy / Speculation / Re: Can I invest my 60% savings in Bitcoin? on: February 06, 2023, 06:21:39 PM
bitcoin can Crashed again Below $20K Level or Not ?
Yes.

how much Probability for Down ?
Probability of 50% downside and 50% upside.

suggest please I can bear some Loss but Can,t afford 100% loss  
For how long are you willing to hold your coins? In my opinion every investments in btc should be made focused on long term returns (it can take years holding until you have profit). And if you can't bear total losses, just invest the amount of money you can afford to lose.
2477  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: ChatGPT and Trading on: February 06, 2023, 05:28:40 PM
ChatGPT AI lets it very clear it can't predict future events or give any financial advices, therefore it can't be used as a trading tool or trading bot.
Anyone here are using ChatGPT can share what it gives you if you ask questions like "How to trade successfully and get profit?"

If its answer does not include a part to protect your initial capital as a first and most important thing, it is missing a vital point and its advice is not good enough. To trade successfully, you must have the ability to protect your initial capital. If you can not, you will lose your initial capital and what is more terrible than losing most or all of your capital for a trader?

No capital, no trade, not success or failure after that.
I think the answers are pretty solid:



In the end it's stated that investors should only trade with money they can afford to lose, due to the risks this activity involves. When we are trading, there is no way to assure the initial capital is safe, unless we don't use it for trading. Cheesy
2478  Economy / Economics / Re: Is taking a loan/debt addicted ? on: February 06, 2023, 02:12:34 AM
Sure this works for a certain period but later bad things may happen, you have to postpone the payment and struggle with finances again. Isn't this a vicious circle ? How would you deal with the problem ? I am all ears.
There isn't easy way out of this situation, but the individual has to raise his income, earn more money without contracting more debt, so he can finally finish it forever. Finding side hustles is a possibility, but in the worst of the cases I think I would live like a homeless in collective shelters until liquidating the debt, so I could nuke expenses with energy and water bills, and probably rent my house to get more money to pay the loan back, or to not have to pay for the rent, in case the property I lived belonged to the landlord.
2479  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: ChatGPT and Trading on: February 06, 2023, 01:36:50 AM
ChatGPT AI lets it very clear it can't predict future events or give any financial advices, therefore it can't be used as a trading tool or trading bot. As I see it's just a very technological and modern opened encyclopedia where people can have access to theoretical neutral definitions and informations about almost everything in the known universe. I don't know from where people came with this idea of using ChatGPT for trading, but it's a funny assumption.
2480  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why are you interested in bitcoin? on: February 06, 2023, 12:54:34 AM
Because I live in a place where economical crisis and corruption make life harder than it should be. Bitcoin it is a reliable place to save some money in long term in a discreet way. Also, this is an inflationary economy, so using local FIAT to save money is not an option for the common people.

For these reasons and even others, Bitcoin and Stablecoins are very popular around here.
I share more or less the same point of view you have. I'm into bitcoin because it has been the tool I've found to save and invest money thinking on long term, instead of putting it in a bank account to earn less than inflation. I try to avoid national currency as most as I can, and that is how I'm making my money last longer, maximizing it to its full potential. I just don't adopt stablecoins because I think they are risky due to being operated in a centralized form by private companies.
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