Bitcoin Forum
July 02, 2024, 11:31:19 PM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 27.0 [Torrent]
 
  Home Help Search Login Register More  
  Show Posts
Pages: « 1 ... 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 [125] 126 127 128 129 130 »
2481  Economy / Securities / Re: [FS - OP updated] [GLBSE] 007 Bonds - 1Mh/s on: September 16, 2012, 08:10:07 PM
Div paid.
Code:
Payment date | 	Total paid | 	Shares paid | 	Payment per share
2012-09-16 15:47 2.19999898 722 0.00304709


Obsi, not sure I want to part with the hardware or that 10 BTC is a reasonable price for a single.

Without the hardware all you're selling is a commitment to pay out future dividends.  So you'd need to pay whoever took over - not the other way round.  His offer represents what he's willing to pay for the single LESS what he believes the cost of paying future dividends is.
2482  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] Diablo Mining Company (DMC) [140.1 gh] [6.700 mh/share] on: September 16, 2012, 07:59:55 PM
1.  Did you obtain a significant number of DMC shares (4200 from memory - could be slightly more/less) in return for assets with under a qurter of their value (both from GLBSE valuation of DMC sahres AND valuing DMC shares at nav/share)?

As I told you this situation has been outlined to you several times. Please see the NYAN letters to shareholders, and my post to this thread detailing the situation leading up to DMC being frozen. But since you obviously have trouble reading or following simple directions I'll answer your question yet again, with the stipulation that if you ask me again I'll report you for trolling/spamming these forums. Seriously, you're annoying.

The answer to #1 is: no.
The explanation is: We did a trade for mHash/share value. I was 60% majority shareholder at the time. I explained the trade to nefario and coldhardmetal at the time. Nothing underhaded or sneaky was done. You simply don't understand, and think you're some kind of news reporter. You're not, and you're getting really annoying. This is the fourth time this has been explained to you.


I'm only going to address this one - as you KIND OF answered my question, without actually really answering it.  I didn't ask you to justify the trade I asked whether the trade was for assets worth under a quarter of the value of the DMC shares you obtained.

You traded 500 shares of ASIC for 4200 shares of DMC.

500 shares of ASIC was worth approximately 50 BTC (that's the value you said you paid for the DMC in your letter to shareholders).

So you gave DIablo the equivalent of 50/4200 BTC per share = approx 0.012 BTC per share.

In Diablo's last report here (AFTER the dilution of NAV by those 4.2k shares AND all the others) nav for DMC was still over 0.05 per share.

So I'm really not seeing how yo ucan claim the answer is "No" to whether or not you obtained those DMC shares at well under nav/share.  You can obfuscate that by talking about mHash/share - but that was not the question I asked.

Not surprising you didn't even bother answering #2 - as even you'd struggle to keep a straight face and say "No" to it.  Instead you gave your stock response of "you don't understand" - but then backed it up with absolutely zero facts about what it is I "don't understand".

5 BTC was a cheap price for you to reverse your opinion from "Diablo is totally incompetent" (paraphrase - not gonna look up exact quote) to him being competent.  Don't suppose you got a promise from him to buy insurance as part of the deal?

I'm done in this thread now btw - so don't feel any need to reply to me: if the shareholders aren't interested in an explanation then I agree there's no point me flogging a dead horse.

I'm far more disappointed in the way the shareholders allow you to pull wool over their eyes than I am that you exploited DMC's incompetence/ignorance/desperation to get ASIC shares for the benefit of yourself and/or your shareholders in other companies you run.  And yes - the other 14k DMC shares handed out (or whatever happened with them) are probably even worse (for DMC shareholders) than the trade you did.  Shame you now appear to have no interest in finding out what happened and (possibly) reversing it and would rather sweep it all under the carpet.
2483  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] Diablo Mining Company (DMC) [140.1 gh] [6.700 mh/share] on: September 16, 2012, 06:00:44 PM
I think by this point it has become obvious you should take this to PM. It's not about your post count, it's about you failing to understand what is going on here.

I think by this point it has become obvious you were intending to spin your way around any questions asked, rather than address the actual issues.  Not everyone wants things to be resolved behind closed doors, on irc or in PMs between people whose motives may not fully align with those of the other share-holders.

Just take it to PM unless you have something of value to add.

I believe answering my earlier questions would add value for shareholders in assessing your proposal.

To repeat:

1.  Did you obtain a significant number of DMC shares (4200 from memory - could be slightly more/less) in return for assets with under a qurter of their value (both from GLBSE valuation of DMC sahres AND valuing DMC shares at nav/share)?
2.  Do you agree that Diablo trading you those shares lowered the current value (nav/share) for all existing shareholders in DMC?
3.  Do you believe you SHOULD be allowed to keep those shares?
4.  Would you end up keeping those shares if what you propose happens?

Four yes/no answers is all that's needed.  If the answer to #1 is "No" then no need to answer the others.
2484  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] Diablo Mining Company (DMC) [140.1 gh] [6.700 mh/share] on: September 16, 2012, 05:53:24 PM
Let's start with your conclusion first:

Your plan says absolutely NOTHING about Diablo's competence.  

Diablo's competence is not the subject of the motion. This isn't a popularity contest, sir. As for competence, Smickles will be hired to prepare full, transparent accounting statements. Secondly, diablo will be responsible to shareholders via motions. If he does not keep his contract then he will be removed. Additionally, there are now well-defined limits on DMC that Diablo feels comfortable operating within.


I was responding to you saying:

"This simple 3-step plan shows that Diablo-D3 is competent enough to manage DMC and is the best person for the job."

It does NOT show anything about his competence.  His basic ability to competently trade securities and manage investors funds has not changed as a result of you making that post.  IF he explained what he'd done wrong/badly in the past -and how he'd avoid making the same mistakes - then that MAY be evidence that he's now more competent than he was.

Why would we believe your claim that "If he does not keep his contract then he will be removed."?  Are you saying you believe he hasn't already broken his contract?

I think by this point it has become obvious you should take this to PM. It's not about your post count, it's about you failing to understand what is going on here.

I think by this point it has become obvious you were intending to spin your way around any questions asked, rather than address the actual issues.  Not everyone wants things to be resolved behind closed doors, on irc or in PMs between people whose motives may not fully align with those of the other share-holders.
2485  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] Diablo Mining Company (DMC) [140.1 gh] [6.700 mh/share] on: September 16, 2012, 04:36:52 PM
I have a fundamental disagreement with you on dividends (not just here, but in your own companies).  You seem to believe dividends are paid based on revenue, I believe they should be paid based on profit (there are exceptions to this - but not ones applicable here).

My companies have nothing to do with DMC other than some of them hold DMC shares. But for the record, you have (in the past) demonstrated a clear misunderstanding of how I run my companies. As I told you many times before, we only take management fees from profits. You seem to think we don't do this (but we do), which is at the root of your misunderstanding. If BMF, for example, doesn't turn a profit, I don't make any money. That is very fair. Now please focus on the issue at hand, DMC.


I did then focus on DMC - but you failed to quote or address my points about your proposed contract paying his salary even if a loss was made.  Yes - that's what a salary IS - but rewarding someone for massive failure by then giving them 20% of future revenue irrespective of whether any proft is made?

And yes - I've misunderstood some aspects of how your companies operate in the past.  So whenever you've responded to me you've only addressed the bits I was wrong on then pointed to my post count and laughed: totally ignoring the other issues raised.  True to form you've done the same here.

Still no response to me asking:

"You may only be getting paid 5 BTC to represent Diablo, but you also received a large chunk of shares (far more than you already held) at a huge discount to nav.  Am I correct that in your proposal you'd get to keep those?"

I'll rephrase it as simple yes/no questions that you can (hopefully) answer without needing to discuss my post-count:

1.  Did you obtain a significant number of DMC shares (4200 from memory - could be slightly more/less) in return for assets with under a qurter of their value (both from GLBSE valuation of DMC sahres AND valuing DMC shares at nav/share)?
2.  Do you agree that Diablo trading you those shares lowered the current value (nav/share) for all existing shareholders in DMC?
3.  Do you believe you SHOULD be allowed to keep those shares?
4.  Would you end up keeping those shares if what you propose happens?
2486  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] Diablo Mining Company (DMC) [140.1 gh] [6.700 mh/share] on: September 16, 2012, 04:25:04 PM
Let's start with your conclusion first:

Your plan says absolutely NOTHING about Diablo's competence.  

Diablo's competence is not the subject of the motion. This isn't a popularity contest, sir. As for competence, Smickles will be hired to prepare full, transparent accounting statements. Secondly, diablo will be responsible to shareholders via motions. If he does not keep his contract then he will be removed. Additionally, there are now well-defined limits on DMC that Diablo feels comfortable operating within.


I was responding to you saying:

"This simple 3-step plan shows that Diablo-D3 is competent enough to manage DMC and is the best person for the job."

It does NOT show anything about his competence.  His basic ability to competently trade securities and manage investors funds has not changed as a result of you making that post.  IF he explained what he'd done wrong/badly in the past -and how he'd avoid making the same mistakes - then that MAY be evidence that he's now more competent than he was.

Why would we believe your claim that "If he does not keep his contract then he will be removed."?  Are you saying you believe he hasn't already broken his contract?
2487  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] Diablo Mining Company (DMC) [140.1 gh] [6.700 mh/share] on: September 16, 2012, 03:42:18 PM
20% is the steepest I've seen across my GLBSE holdings for management fees etc., whatever you want to call them.

How is this warranted?

If he designs, builds, and manages a million dollar data center, I think paying him $200k is fine. Plus, 40% of net to shareholders is a lot. Most companies in the real world pay 1 to 5% in dividends per year. This way, shareholders still get 3 or 4% a month. I think it's a good deal.

Another way of looking at it, is that this is incentive for Diablo to do a good job. If he does it right, he gets paid. Management incentive was something missing from the previous contract. Now that it's in, I feel confident we can move forward. A little accountability and transparency goes a long way.

Cool - so don't pay him the $200k until he HAS the million dollar data centre.  That way he has incentive to actually get it - rather than to draw 20% of turnover whislt losing share-holder's capital.

Totally agree accountability and transparency go a long way - so where are they in your plan?  Your plan removes accountability (by rewarding him irrespective of results) and says nothing about transparency.
2488  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] Diablo Mining Company (DMC) [140.1 gh] [6.700 mh/share] on: September 16, 2012, 03:33:39 PM
In a suprising turn of events, Diablo-D3 has agreed to hire me, usagi, as his representative in this issue.

I will speak on behalf of Diablo-D3 and represent him in this issue. My fee is 5 btc. Diablo has expressly authorized me to field all questions on behalf of the GLBSE, investors, and the public on this issue.

We are issuing a statement: Things have gotten blown out of proportion. Everyone wants what is best for DMC and for investors. Therefore we are prepared to make an offer. The DMC contract will be modified as follows:

1. Diablo-D3 will modify his contract to state his business plan:
a) Buying shares of mining issues on GLBSE.
b) Buying hardware (when appropriate) for the datacenter.
c) Buying solar power (possibly before mining hardware) and possibly reselling solar power into the grid should surplus exist.
d) Selling dedicated hosting/web hosting if there is spare datacenter capacity
e) Other sources of income, from time to time, to be passed through shareholder approval via binding motion.


2. Seeing as how if the business he runs can't exist if it can't pay him a reasonable amount, the dividend structure will be changed as follows:
a) Out of all the money DMC recieves as income (excluding sale of shares), Diablo will recieve 20%.
b) The remaining 80% will be used to cover operational expenses.
c) Of the money remaining after operating expenses, half will be paid as dividend each month, and
d) the remainder will be used to expand and grow the company.

3. Diablo-D3 will hire smickles of S2 capital management to do accounting for DMC (effective immediately).


This simple 3-step plan shows that Diablo-D3 is competent enough to manage DMC and is the best person for the job.

I will be speaking with Nefario immediately to vet this and see if we can't turn this situation around.

Let's start with your conclusion first:

Your plan says absolutely NOTHING about Diablo's competence.  It's a forum post by you - and hasn't magically transformed him into an investment genius.  If you want to demonstrate Diablo's competence then the way to do it is to explain the previous decisions he made - not in general terms, but in specifics.

Rewarding loss of 95% of nav/share by adding a salary in to the contract?  Would you be proposing a 30% salary if he'd managed to lose 98%?  

I have a fundamental disagreement with you on dividends (not just here, but in your own companies).  You seem to believe dividends are paid based on revenue, I believe they should be paid based on profit (there are exceptions to this - but not ones applicable here).  The amount to be split between remuneration to Diablo (if any at all), dividends and growth should come from profits - which should include gain/loss on the value of holdings.  Dividending out income whilst your capital drops is great for the business owner (if they take their cut based on dividends issued) but is terrible for investors.

Not just that but even if I accepted the princple, in your proposal it's all horribly wrong.  You're giving him his 20% cut BEFORE expenses (which come out of the other 80%).  So if there's 100 BTC revenue he gets 20 - and tough luck shareholders if expenses are 80 or more.  Double tough luck investors if the value of investments also dropped (which is pretty inevitable long-term on mining shares/bonds).

You may only be getting paid 5 BTC to represent Diablo, but you also received a large chunk of shares (far more than you already held) at a huge discount to nav.  Am I correct that in your proposal you'd get to keep those?

Share-holders shouldn't be voting anyway until the audit has been done - and Diablo has responded to whatever questions arise from it.  Not only does that protect shareholders, it also ensures that if he DOES remain in charge there's no cloud hanging over his head where people can claim it was all covered up.

Explaining what he did in the past is what's important - not your spin.

My commiserations to shareholders - as it's likely usagi's legitimate holdings + the ones she was given dirt cheap may well be enough to get a majority in motions (unless whoever else was gifted the other 10k shares vote the other way).

Oh - and if you're REALLY confident in DIablo's competence usagi then how about you make an offer which includes buying out any existing shareholders who want out at NAV (or close to it)?  That's assuming the audit doesn't show up stuff so totally incompetent (or worse) that even you can't try to spin your way out it.
2489  Economy / Securities / Re: Bitcoin-Insurance.com on: September 16, 2012, 03:52:05 AM
@Deprived: I see your point and you are right. So would changing the terms that an "interest rate of less than 4% on average for 30 days would count as a default" help? So far no policies have been sold, so changing the terms is still possible. I know that its quite low compared to the 1% daily hes offering now, but I also have to attract "sellers" of such policies.

You'd then have to revisit your time-scales.

What would defaulting on day 10 of a contract mean - would it:

a) mean that the 30 days was the 30 days ending on day 10 of the contract period?  If so then noone would take out contracts unless the previous 20 days were favourable to their desired outcome.
b) mean that the 30 days was the 30 days commencing on day 10 of the contract period?  If so then the outcome of the contract could potentially not even be know, let  alone settled, until 30 days after the contract had ended.
c) something else?

I frankly dont believe the obsi securities are a good target for what you're trying to offer - as they don't have any clear point at which a default would become apparent (other than him saying he had defaulted or vanishing).  Betting on how much interest he'll pay would be hazardous - as he can set that at will and not disclose any verifable information to justify the decision.  That would allow him (or proxies) to bet on the side of the contarcts which he knew in advance was going to win - the prospect of which is sufficient in itself to totally deter me from gambling on that.
2490  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] Shorting CPA / Contract for Difference on: September 16, 2012, 03:25:55 AM

I bolded the part that I think is the real issue. Its getting really hard to justify investing in any glbse securities when simply holding bitcoins is the better investment. Can anyone honestly say there is anything on glbse that holds a candle to that ?

Essentially this is crippling the bitcoin securities market and will lead to companies being unable to raise funding.


Yep - I've looked in detail at a lot of the companies in this section over the last week or so.  There's very few that are at all attractive to invest in - and everywhere you look there's companies that don't follow their own contracts.

Were I invested in usagi's companies i'd have a ton of questions - but I'm not and none of her investors seem to care, so why should I?  The main reason I asked usagi more questions than most other operators is because she actually provides enough information to actually formulate questions - unlike the black-boxes many companies are.

So if you want to lend capital from nyan to cpa in return for holding 0-income yarr bonds you can.
If you want to further reduce nav in your mining investment company by selling new shares below NAV you can.
If you don't want to bother putting up your contractually obligated bid-wall for nyan.a you can.
If you want to claim you outperformed your sector by comparing an investment company to the performance of the worst-performing mining companies rather than to other investment companies you can.
If you want to claim that losing 40% of your nav is "protecting your investors money" as it's still worth more US$ than it was at the start (due to the exchange rate change) then you can.
etc etc etc

I'm not going to be asking any more questions or making further comment in usagi's company threads unless there's some direct benefit to me (e.g. I pick up some nyan.a below 1.0 and want the bid-wall up so I can cash out my profit) or I actually seriously consdier investing in one.

2491  Economy / Securities / Re: Bitcoin-Insurance.com on: September 15, 2012, 04:30:40 PM
Lets wait another 5 posts to see the same comment from another person Smiley

So far only1 person loaded the acc with money and withdraw it some hours later. I see that the offer of only 1 insurance is a bit small, maybe we could add 1 or 2 more. Which insurances would be interesting for you to buy / sell ?

Think part of the problem is what your existing contract is covering.

Here's what it says:

"Event: In case Obsi or the company/individual he invested in doesn't pay back the invested capital this insurance will pay out. Smaller delays of the interest payments, decreases in interest payments and the fate of an individual are excluded from this deal, same as any problem with third partys. The date of the default, is the date of the first missed payment."

The problem is that Obsi' share isn't a bond - and neither he nor the company/individual (if they exist) he invests in have undertaken to ever repay the invested capital.

The most likely scenario for it going wrong is that it's a ponzi all along.  In that case Obsi would be unlikely to say "I'm keeping all your money".  Rather he'd claim that whoever he was passing through to had suffered heavy losses and that dividends would be at zero for a while.  That way he could continue to get more funds in through his other companies (none of them allow share/bondholders to ever withdraw funds) - without being labelled a scammer. (That's IF it's a ponzi).

Your contract doesn't protect against this - yet the above is exactly the scenario I (and I'm sure many others) would want protection against (or more accurately, in my case, to bet on it happening - I wouldn't actually be investing in the HRPT).

IF it's a ponzi/scam then short of him essentially saying "I'm a scammer" there's basically no way to win - and IF he's a scammer then admitting it would reduce the amount he could run with so wouldn't happen.  Your contarct would have worked for pirate - where withdrawlas of pincipal were offered.  It doesn't where there's no way provided for you to ever get your capital back anyway - and hence failure to return capital is something you've essentially agreed to anyway.
2492  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] Diablo Mining Company (DMC) [140.1 gh] [6.700 mh/share] on: September 15, 2012, 03:05:34 PM

Let me repeat something, the electricity costs USD no matter what. If electricity is our largest operating cost, it doesn't matter if it costs thousands of dollars or dozens of Bitcoins... if I can cut that the whole way down to 1/5th of it, we save thousands, or we save dozens. That operating cost doesn't go away because we calculated the math in a different currency.

BTC prices since its inception have been rather random. Without an actual economy to back Bitcoin, it will continue to be unstable. Your example of BTC doubling is just as possible as BTC halving. We pay electricity in dollars, hell, we pay every cost in dollars, it simply doesn't matter what the price of BTC is now or what it will be in the future, we must pay those costs.

The point is that for a bit-coin mining operation (what Diablo claims to be) your revenues are produced in BTC not US$.  Each block mined produces the same number of coins irrespective of the exchange rate.

When the exchange rate changes, the cost of mining (the electricity element) also changes.

If, at the current exchange rate, the cost in electricity to generate 1 BTC is X BTC (X would be less than 1) then were the exchange rate to double (twice as many US$ per BTC) then the new cost in electricty to generate 1 BTC would be X/2 BTC.  This is a simplfication - ignoring the impact rising difficulty has.

YES - you still DO save money by having cheaper electricity.  But it's less of a saving.  If you're saving less per unit mined the time needed to reach break-even obviously also increases.

Further unless mining is inherently unprofitable (i.e. even with free electricty you couldn't make a profit) then there MUST be an elecricity price (expressed in BTC) where it's more profitable to invest in more mining gear than to invest in cheaper electricty costs. 

This is indisputable - just consider the extreme where electricty were free (or as near free as made no difference).  Hopefully you can see that at point there'd be zero value investing in cheaper power.  Now there's also the other extreme - if the electrical cost of generating 1 BTC WAS 1 BTC then there'd be no way to make a profit UNLESS you invested in (or otherwise obtained) cheaper power.

Somewhere in between is the point at which investing in cheaper electricty makes more sense than investing in additional hardware and buying the higher electricty rate. 

Now here's where you're going wrong:

1.  Nowhere in this thread have you made any effort to calculate where that cross-over point is - yet the only possible financial justification for investing in generating power rather than using the same cash to invest in more mining gear is that there's some non-trivial chance that it's actually more profitable to do.
2.  You don't seem able to grasp that the exchange-rate has a huge impact on where that crossover point is.

Let me explain point 2 for you.

Let's say we'd bought our hardware and were mining.  We'd worked out that the point at which investing in  cheaper power was better than buying more mining hardware was X BTC (X<1) to mine 1 BTC.  Your power currently costs X*1.5 BTC to mine 1 BTC - so all looks rosy.  But now the exchange rate doubles.  Suddenly the cost to mine 1 BTC has dropped to X*0.75 BTC - and we're in territory where we're now making less profit (or more loss) than if we'd just spent all the capital on mining gear.

And if the exchange rate rises further then each rise just makes even worse the loss of value gained.

All I'm trying to prove to you here is that IF you denominate the investment in BTC then exchange-rate fluctuations can have a huge impact on profitability.  I can't see why anyone would invest when you've produced no calculations or figures that address this at all.

There's even the theoretical possibility that exchange-rate fluctuation could make investing in solar-power completely unprofitable (expreseed in BTC) even if it ran for the whole 30 years life-span and all power was sold off at market rate.

 You're selling shares denominated in BTC - so the base-point for calculation of profit is "how well would investing do, compared to leaving the BTC sitting in my wallet".  Whenever you invest in something that generates product valued in US$ then the answer will ALWAYS be "that depends very much on how the exchange-rate fluctuates." 

And when you're considering investing in two different things (mining and generating power) it's not a bad idea to work out how profitable each of them is - then you may well see you could make way more money (and have less complication) just doing twice as much of one of them with the same capital.

I've only referred to mining here - not to running a data-centre.  That's because this apaprently is (or was supposed to be) a mining company.
2493  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] Diablo Mining Company (DMC) [140.1 gh] [6.700 mh/share] on: September 15, 2012, 04:17:29 AM

missed zeros, even though missed, still has value.

Oops - though it doesn't change anything about the principle involved.  Originally had the costs 1/10th the size but then increased them just in case Diablo started talking about how my figures proved what a huge return the equipment gave.  Of course forgot to also amend the BTC values up by a factor of 10.
2494  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] Diablo Mining Company (DMC) [140.1 gh] [6.700 mh/share] on: September 15, 2012, 03:15:37 AM

Yes, that does not include maintenance costs.

Dragging BTC/USD exchange prices into this is a red herring. It doesn't matter what the price of BTC is because the power company charges us in USD. Power usage is the largest operating cost of a data center, more so than anything else by a huge margin, and this operating cost can only be measured in USD.

Solar power, as I demonstrated, can reduce this operational cost by up to 1/5th. Let me repeat what I just said: our largest operational cost, a smart investment early on can reduce this to 1/5th. This is an economically driven decision, and it is not a tiny return on investment whatsoever.

Insurance cannot be applied solely to the solar panels, such insurance would apply to everything, and would be a separate operational cost, thus obviously not included here in these calculations.

Additionally, small scale solar panel installations are surprisingly low maintenance if they don't have sun trackers (no moving parts). Maintenance will obviously only cost a fraction of what we paid for the panels no matter how difficult the maintenance is.

The more you post, the more obvious it becomes you really don't have any clue whatsoever.

If investors invest BTC then profit/loss needs to be measured primarily in BTC.  VERY simple example using small round numbers.  These figures ONLY demonstrate the effect exchange rate has  and have NOTHING to do with how long it would take to break even.

We'll say current exchange rate is $10=1 BTC
WEll say equipment costs $1000 (10 BTC)
We'll say your electric costs/week are $5 and your equipment reduces that to $1
So your equipment is saving you $4 = 0.4 BTC per week and is worth $1000 (10 BTC)

Now let's say at some point later the exchange rate is now $20=1 BTC
Your equipment is still worth $1000 - but that's now only 5 BTC
And you're still saving $4 per week in electic costs - but that's now only 0.2 BTC

Electricty being sold in US$ does NOT cancel out the impact of exchange-rate fluctuations on the value of the actual equipment.  It actually ADDS to the impact of exchange-rate fluctuations.

When you're talking about a mining operation that is cancelled out to some extent by the increased value of mined coins.  If you're talking about a data-centre which sells its services in US$ then the exchange rate also has huge impact on profitability (expressed in BTC).

Put very simply, even if everything else works out as good about your plan, your plan is doomed to utter and complete failure (when expressed in BTC) if BTC continues to gain strength vs the dollar.

At best your plan could be considered as shorting BTC (or at least betting that it wont rise against the dollar) - until, of course, we consider the utterly pathetic rate of return it would give even if all your optimistic expectations proved true.
2495  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] Diablo Mining Company (DMC) [140.1 gh] [6.700 mh/share] on: September 15, 2012, 03:03:53 AM
So, shareholders. Not only do you not get to vote on who the auditors will be, nefario will not even say who they are. The report may not even be released until AFTER the vote. He also refused to answer the question if smickles would be allowed to be one of the auditors (one of the few people I trust to fairly look at corporate financials).

What gives, nefario? You claim I haven't been transparent enough, and you turn around and do worse?

I'd agree with you this extent:

If you aren't able to get a .csv file of your transactions yourself (due to being locked out of your account), nefario should generate one and send it to you.  Then you can get whoever you want to examine it and compare it to whatever nefario's auditor(s) produce.

If you're genuinely concerned about transparency then all you have to do is authorise nefario to release the .csv to all.  Your strawman about protecting the identity of others you traded with has already been blown away.
2496  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] Diablo Mining Company (DMC) [140.1 gh] [6.700 mh/share] on: September 15, 2012, 01:40:21 AM

792Mwh would cost me (assuming a commercial rate instead of industrial, I'm not sure what the minimum is to get into industrial) $85,219. 660kw of panels would cost $462,000 to install, or only a little under 6 years at current rates.


That's assuming no maintenance costs.

If the investment is in BTC then that's also assuming the BTC/US$ rate remains unchanged.  If, for example, BTC doubles in value aginst the $ in those 6 years then after the 6 years (assuming zero maintenance costs) you'd still only have made back half your initial investment in BTC.

Where what you propose really starts to fall down is if you compare it to any other investments on here - or even directly to mining.  Compare s[pending that money on power-generation to spending it on more mining power (and just buying the power) and using part of mined income to expand.  You'll find the mining makes way more profit (or less loss) whether BTC gos up. down or stays unchanged vs the us$ (only possible exception is if it devalues far less quickly AND bitcoin crashes in price).  All the solar-power does is suck away loads of the cash for a possible tiny return a long way down the line.

I don't dispute your claim that long-term investing US$ in solar power could generate some profit.  But we're talking baout investing BTC not US$ - and you need to compare it to other investment available.  Just because something could make a profit doesn't mean it's a good idea to it - if there's other options equally (or more) accessible that could make more.  Unless, of course, the decision to do it is entirely politically rather than economically driven.

Without ongoing maintenance costs your estimate of 6 years is totally unrealistic. For one thing you'd need insurance - or if someone vandalises it are the shareholders just supposed to kiss goodbye to their investment?
2497  Economy / Securities / Re: Bitcoin-Insurance.com on: September 14, 2012, 04:20:34 PM
@Deprived I think you didnt understand the system completly. Those 45 BTC you think that BI will lose, come from the "extra interest" generated, by working with the money. Its no fix amount yet, as we dont know which rates we get ourself from save investments and therfor not what we can pay to the loser. Those 45 BTC represent the interest for 1 cycle (3 months) for 200 BTC which calculates to 7.5% monthly (0,075 * 200 * 3 = 45)

Yeah, misread it - the 22.5% I calculated is for 3 months not 1 week.  So your (BI's) profits in that example are whatever profit you can generate over about 7% per month (allowing for compounding) on funds available to you.

The problem then becomes making that 7% - essentially the vast majority of shares/bonds on here are either:

1.  Mining bonds/shares - good luck making 7% a month on those.
2.  Companies investing in shares - most of these invest in 1., meaning you pay them a fee.  Try finding some of these who have made ANY real profit over any significant period.
3.  The high-risk stuff that people want to insure.
4.  Comapnies with an undisclosed business plan (typically making unsecured loans that then get defaulted on or investing in type 3. shares and defaulting when the investment gos South).  The track record of these is far from good.

There's just not much else around to invest in - and pretty much nothing that you can safely rely on to make retuirns of over 7% per month.  There's some ASIC-based shares (mining or development) which may be good bets - but they all have risks of a serious downside, which you can't afford to take.

Try to list even half a dozen shares that will pretty reliably give you 7%+ per month AND have the liquidity you need.

Now look at it from an investor's point of view.  If these reliable investment vehicles are available to you paying out 7%+ per month then they're also available to us.  So for an investment in you to be worthwhile, you need to have potential to be paying US out more than that 7%+ per month (not initially, obviously, but longer-term).  SO we'd want to see figures from you showing what volume you needed (based on the capital requested) to deliver good returns.

I believe usagi is likely correct that there's no real market for it.  There's plenty of market of people who would want to "insure" against default - but those with the confidence to take the other side of the bet will just invest directly. 

The only real exception to that would be the actual issuer of P IF it was just a simple scam/ponzi - then they could reduce their payouts by "insuring" them right up until before they pulled the plug on it.  Maybe that's where your market is.
2498  Economy / Securities / Re: Bitcoin-Insurance.com on: September 14, 2012, 02:17:41 PM

==========
Code:
The math Example: A user A wants 100% of his capital insured

A invests 100 BTC in Bitcoin Insurance, buying insurance policies and 100 BTC in P bonds paying 7% weekly (like Pirate did, or Obsi still does)
B invests 100 BTC in Bitcoin Insurance selling insurance policies

In case P defaults:
A will get 100BTC + 100BTC from BI, lost 100 BTC to P. total 200 BTC investment riskfree with 0 BTC interest
B will lose 100 - 45 BTC with BI

In case P does not default
A will lose 100 - 45 BTC with BI, but get 100 + 125 back from P. total 200 BTC investment riskfree with 70 BTC interest
B will win 100 + 100 BTC with BI, total 100 BTC investment with 100 BTC interest


Where is the win?
A can make 35% interest in 3 months with 100% of his capital covered.
B can make 100% interest in 3 months with 45% covered in case of a default


Can see where the win is.  Now let's see where the loss is:

A and B both pay 100 into BI

In case P Defaults.

A gets 200 BTC from BI
B gets 45 BTC from BI

BI loses 45 BTC

In case P doesnt default

A gets 45 BTC from BI
B gets 200 BTC from BI

BI loses 45 BTC

Seems like whatever the outcome BI loses 45 BTC - which you somehow have to make back on a 200 BTC deposit you hold for 1 week - that's 22.5% interest per week you need to make.  You can't manage tha teven if you invest the 200 direct into P yourself and pray he doesn't default.
2499  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] Diablo Mining Company (DMC) [140.1 gh] [6.700 mh/share] on: September 14, 2012, 01:32:06 PM

I have stated from the beginning that I will do things my way to the best of my ability. I don't think anyone should be the judge, jury & executioner, but if someone must be named in those roles, it should be handled by someone with an interest in the security. I am a majority shareholder in my share-based offerings and I think any disputes should be handled amongst ourselves.

A smile & a handshake is enough for me. If it's not for you, don't invest.

Well we'll have to agree to disagree here.  When 2 parties to an agreement have a dispute there's absolutely no way one of those parties can also be the judge.

It's fine talk about things being "handled amongst ourselves" - but when that fails someone else HAS to make the final decison.

Nefario's post above this makes exactly the same point (amongst others).  I'm not going to waste my time and clutter this thread any more by repeatedly saying the same thing which you either ignore, don't understand or just firmly disagree with.
2500  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] Diablo Mining Company (DMC) [140.1 gh] [6.700 mh/share] on: September 14, 2012, 03:52:16 AM

To be clear I'm not calling Nefario's competency into question. These securities were launched with a contract between myself and my shareholders, I don't think anyone should be able to insert themselves into the gaps, no matter their intentions.

You're missing the fundamental point.

WHO interprets and enforces the contract between yourself and your shareholders?  Whoever does that has to:

1) Decide what the contract means,
2) Determine which parts of it are actually valid/enforcable,
3) Decide whether the parties to the contract are acting in good faith and which (if any) of them have broken the contract or their other responsibilities to one another,
4) Enforce it.

Without someone in that role the contract is meaningless - not worth the virtual ink on which it's written.

Given that someone has to have that role you can't then have a contract which explicitly attempts to deny that role - as the whole contract becomes unenforcable sue to noone being entitled to enforce it (you'd in effect be saying that X arbitrates disputes over the contract - but only so long as they rule in your favour).

Your shareholders have to trust that you'll deal with them fairly and with some degree of competence: otherwise they shouldn't have invested with you.

But similarly, when using GLBSE, you have to trust that nefario will deal with YOU fairly and with some degree of competence when it comes to disgareements over the contract between you/your shareholders or other aspects of your dealings via his exchange: otherwise you shouldn't be using it.

You appear to have some view that everyone should trust you, but you should trust noone else - and that in any dispiute between you and your shareholders YOU should be judge, jury and executioner.  Frankly, as a potential investor, that scares me.  A lot.
Pages: « 1 ... 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 [125] 126 127 128 129 130 »
Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!