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2501  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Gresham's law and Bitcoin on: June 29, 2021, 08:39:58 PM
There is no law in any country that I'm aware of forcing Bitcoin to be accepted at a similar face value to other currencies. Bitcoin's value is free to fluctuate with respect to other currencies as market conditions change, so Gresham's law doesn't apply.

But you can still make an observation that people own both Bitcoin and fiat would rather spend fiat before Bitcoin, because Bitcoin increases in value while fiat decreases. It's not the exact formulation of Gresham's law, but it is quite similar to it.
2502  Economy / Speculation / Re: BTC Price Prediction: $350k before the end of 2022 on: June 29, 2021, 03:29:35 PM
Okay, $350k in 2022, then what? $3.5m in 2025? $20m in 2030? Bitcoin can't exponentially grow forever, in fact if $64k was the top of this cycle, it would already mean that it slowed down its growth rate, and people really need to readjust their moonmath models, or they will keep getting disappointed.
2503  Economy / Economics / Re: Poor and middle class as a mentality on: June 29, 2021, 03:22:21 PM
First, there's not enough resources in the world to make everyone rich or middle class. So, no matter how hard you try to solve this problem, poor people will always exist. And next, social status can change. Poor people can make smart decisions and get a great career or become entrepreneurs, and rich kids can absolutely go broke by mismanaging their inherited wealth. Children are not copies of their parents.
2504  Economy / Speculation / Re: If you feel sorry for entering BTC too late remember that entering earlier... on: June 28, 2021, 08:19:31 PM
Same thing happens now. It's not too late to enter today.

It's not exactly "same" thing. Bitcoin will not increase x100 in one decade like it did before. Bitcoin can't grow at the previous rate forever, it's pretty obvious that the growth has to slow down, and it probably already slowed down, as this bull run is already smaller than the previous ones. So, timing becomes more important, because it would help getting much more profits than FOMOing at whatever price and hodling. Of course for those who are bad at trading hodling is great, but it's not the best trading strategy.
2505  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Wright wins the bitcoin whitepaper copyright lawsuit without proving his claim on: June 28, 2021, 08:08:28 PM
I really hope this ruling won't be used as a precedent in any other cases of CWS, would be really bad if the law decided to see him as Satoshi. Imagine if CWS could now automatically takedown Bitcoin-related sites because of this stupid case. But you can't blame Cobra for this, everyone has a right to privacy, including to stay anonymous on the Internet.
2506  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin's inability to change is how it won the blocksize war on: June 28, 2021, 08:00:32 PM
Bitcoin succeeds because it proves its inability to change.

Bitcoin already had 2 major upgrades - SegWit and Taproot, and more will be coming in the future. Bitcoin doesn't need to radically change, like adopting PoS, for example, because it already works great. Bitcoin is decentralized, and it is its greatest achievement, there's no coin more decentralized than Bitcoin, and you don't want any centralization on a network that holds hundreds of billions of value.

I think Bitcoin could "change" meaning adopt a hard fork if it was necessary, like if some unforseen circumstances demanded the change of mining algorithm or block rewards. But so far it's not needed.
2507  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Rate of bitcoins being lost vs. rate of bitcoins being mined on: June 27, 2021, 07:45:43 PM
The only thing we can assume is that much more coins were lost in the past than now. Things like mnemonic seeds or hardware wallets didn't exist in early days, and people didn't value Bitcoin much, so it was pretty common to forget about your wallet files. But today almost every newbie has wallet backups, and people pay much more attention to storing their coins, because now they view it as a strong investment. Also, coins were much more concentrated in the past. People had hundreds or thousands of Bitcoin and were losing them, today if BTC is lost, it's probably less than 1 coin.
2508  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Moving Bitcoin to El Salvador on: June 27, 2021, 07:36:24 PM
Are you thinking of some sort of loophole like selling BTC in El Salvador to avoid paying taxes because out there it's a currency conversion and not taking profit on investment? I'm pretty sure the US or any other government will view it as taxable event, because generally governments always expect taxes from doing foreign investment activity, which usually results in a person having to pay taxes in both countries, unless there's an agreement between both countries.
2509  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: [Discussion] Is Blockchain necessary for our future? on: June 27, 2021, 07:30:51 PM
You don't need blockchain to have transparency, simple public reporting and maybe a bit of cryptography is enough. Corruption happens when the government is unwilling to fight it, in that case transparency doesn't help, because even when everyone knows exactly who and how much is stealing, no one gets punished.

While I'm still going to stand for my previous statement in this thread, I think you actually need blockchain(unless there's a different solution I'm not aware of) to have true transparency. Yes, public reporting could happen, but how to we know if they're faking it to some extent? Whereas with blockchain, we can make the verifications ourselves.

The most popular for of corruption is when government officials buy something for higher than market price and split the difference with the seller. And they do it even under full transparency, they just say that the price is justified and that's it, they never get prosecuted, because law enforcement and courts can be bribed. I live in a country with high corruption, and detecting corruption was never a problem, as long as journalists aren't being thrown to jail for doing their work, corruption will be uncovered, but what's next?

And blockchain works best when it has a decentralized network of nodes and no trusted input, which is not what most non-crypto blockchains offer. Especially not the blockchains for government.
2510  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Mircea Popescu died leaving 1 Million BTC behind? on: June 27, 2021, 07:24:46 PM
If someone started adding all the coins claimed to belong to someone (Satoshi, Winklevoss twins, Mircea Popescu, Bulgarian governments and so on), they'd quickly find that Bitcoin's supply is more than 21 million  Wink

I don't know much about Mircea Popescu, only that he had some controversial reputation. Could he be faking his death? Does he have any reasons to?
2511  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin will never be gone on: June 26, 2021, 02:33:44 PM
I'm pretty sure that at some point of history Bitcoin will stop to exist. Either practically, meaning it will be preserved as a collectible/historical item, or literally no computer in the world will run Bitcoin software and mine new blocks. But this will not happen anytime soon, probably not in our lifetime. Maybe it will happen in a few centuries, maybe even thousands of years. Just like Bitcoin changed the way money is organized, something radically new might come up.
2512  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: [Discussion] Is Blockchain necessary for our future? on: June 26, 2021, 11:31:53 AM
I don't think its over hyped, I think its mainly misunderstood which has actually been demonstrated in this very thread. There are clear benefits to the Blockchain when it comes to transparency, and I think transparency is something that everyone wants, especially when it comes to government spending or sensitive topics which could be subject to corruption.

You don't need blockchain to have transparency, simple public reporting and maybe a bit of cryptography is enough. Corruption happens when the government is unwilling to fight it, in that case transparency doesn't help, because even when everyone knows exactly who and how much is stealing, no one gets punished.
2513  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: If Bitcoin is legal tender in your country, would you really spend it instead of on: June 26, 2021, 11:04:45 AM
People, especially lower class, occasionally find themselves in need to tap into their savings to cover some spendings, and that's how Bitcoin would likely work - it will be a saving account first and currency second. In my country people prefer to keep their savings in US dollar, as it's more reliable than the local currency, but people occasionally have to pay with US dollars or convert them and spend them.

Some people might go 100% on Bitcoin if it will be convenient enough. In that case they will be spending Bitcoin like any other currency.
2514  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Will other countries adopt Bitcoin as legal tender after El Salvador's recent mo on: June 26, 2021, 09:40:48 AM
It would be wise for other countries to wait a bit and see how it goes. Maybe it's still too early to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender, because of problems like fees and volatility, as it would make people develop negative first impressions if they will be forced to deal with it. I wouldn't expect more legal tender adoption in the next months.
2515  Economy / Speculation / Re: Will BTC Go for Another All Time High This Year? on: June 26, 2021, 09:21:59 AM
The narrative behind this bull run was that US dollar is experiencing rapid inflation, so the companies will convert their reserves into BTC. But the Fed decided to take measures against inflation, enviromental FUD became quite strong, there are concerns about regulations by western countries, and price decline and volatility have also scared away potential investors, including institutions. There needs to be a large shift in sentiment on this market, but I don't see this happening in this year or maybe even the next year. El Salvador adoption is not enough to create FOMO.
2516  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Is the money printing / devaluing dollar argument for buying Bitcoin overrated? on: June 24, 2021, 06:02:17 PM
This narrative is a bit overrated, because some bitcoiners expect to see Zimbabwe-style hyperinflation of dollar, and this is very unlikely to happen anytime soon. Even recently the US decided to take measures to slow down the inflation, which contributed to Bitcoin's price drop, as this bull run started over fears of inflation in the first place.

But still Bitcoin is a good long-term asset, and it's more convenient than gold or real estate, because it was created as a currency. So the money printing argument is not completely invalid.
2517  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: If Whale hoards bitcoin, will the market run out of BTC to buy? on: June 24, 2021, 09:55:57 AM
Bitcoin is limited in quantity. News like so and so billionaire or so and so company bought 100,000 BTCs is now commonplace due to the dip.

It's absolutely not a commonplace. Microstrategy is the only company that accumulated close to 100,000 BTC. The rest of them have much less than that. And public institutional buying has stopped months ago.

Majority of Bitcoins are still held by non-whales, and a lot of the "whale wallets" are just exchanges and other services. Also, whales sell too, they aren't going to hodl till they die of old age.
2518  Economy / Economics / Re: When everybody tell you take take risk with money on: June 23, 2021, 05:18:13 PM
You can't get rich if you're not taking risks, that's the reality. The key is to keep risks low and have positive expected value. This is what separates investing from gambling - gamblers are losing money over long period of time, investors are making them, if they are somewhat competent. Sometimes it happens that investors get rekt and lose everything, while gamblers win big, but those are just exceptions from the rule.

But I would agree that you shouldn't take investing advises from strangers or friends or even family - always do your own research.
2519  Economy / Speculation / Re: WHO THE FUCK IS SELLING!? on: June 23, 2021, 05:04:38 PM
So, when Bitcoin is rising very fast, it's all organic growth and a result of mass adoption, but when it's falling after that, Bitcoiners start looking for manipulators, coordinated attacks and "weak-handed traitors". Why it's so hard to acknowledge a simple fact that what rises fast also falls fast? Bitcoin had a bubble, just like many times in the past, there's absolutely nothing out of ordinary going on.
2520  Economy / Speculation / Re: It's a good time for bitcoin on: June 22, 2021, 04:26:55 PM
This is just copium, something that inexperienced investors have to tell themselves to stop panicking.  If you're a holder, you should never care about what's happening on the market, hodlers don't need to rationalize dips and crashes saying "this is good for Bitcoin", hodlers have a long-term strategy. If you're a trader, then you should understand that there can be both bullish and bearish periods, and you should be ready to cut your losses and re-enter at better price instead of watching your loss grow.
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