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2541  Economy / Speculation / Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica on: January 12, 2012, 03:32:19 PM
It's orders all the way down baby!
2542  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoinica No Spread Charged for the next 12 hours. on: January 11, 2012, 11:49:24 PM
same thing that happened here.

http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/mtgoxUSD#rg1zig5-minzczsg2012-01-11zeg2012-01-11ztgSzm1g10zm2g25

bitcoinica was a few cents either side of gox - ironically this was during the 'zero spreads' offer, so I would suspect less people were liquidated than under normal circumstances.

The market was played by some big player(s). Gox, bitcoinica et al had nothing to do with it.
2543  Economy / Speculation / Re: Assumption "bears are stupid" on: January 11, 2012, 08:30:40 PM
In fact, I am not a Bear, I am a Bull, but on the long run. On a shorter time scale, I am a little bear and I still think we'll see the $5 in coming days.


I'm with you, orders all the wait down to <$1 just my play money though. Keep holding a chunk of BTC long whatever. If we do go to the moon I don't want to be left out Cheesy

2544  Economy / Speculation / Re: Mad Speculator now live on bitcoinica on: January 11, 2012, 03:43:32 PM
green position archived  Grin

same!

150554   BTCUSD   Market   -50.0   -   20 minutes ago   Executed @ 6.9564
2545  Economy / Speculation / Re: RALLY! on: January 11, 2012, 03:30:11 PM
Hourlies: Falling OBV with rising price. RSI touching 70 again.

Failure to break $7.25 for the third time will be a pretty hard pill to swallow, and at the moment I think the odds are against it. My order book overfloweth, at the prospect of a dip Wink

I've sold down to just my long term core holding whilst this plays out!
2546  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoinica "zhoutonging price" formulae (unofficial) on: January 11, 2012, 01:19:17 PM
Off-topic: I received Google Alerts about this, and when I saw "pastebin", I thought it was a database dump, LOL...

Hehe, this made me chuckle, I would have loved to have seen your face (I empathise for I am in a similar position with my work)

Wink
2547  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoinica withdrawals on: January 10, 2012, 11:13:24 PM
code was for USD's

not sure the *'s are connected to the withdrawals
2548  Economy / Speculation / Re: RSI gone from "overbought" zone on: January 10, 2012, 10:37:56 PM

...snip...

as for comparing BTC to classical markets -- why should there be resemblance? i rely on the data that makes up the history of the BTC market, because that is the only data we have to go on to get a feel for how the BTC market will behave in the future. bitcoincharts is my favorite site haha


This bit stood out to me. Before bitcoinica I would have agreed. The way the bitcoin market behaved was whack because there were no stop losses orders, no shorting. These two things are pretty fundamental to driving some of the price patterns in classical markets.

I still think that this market can throw up some surprises, but as any market can I don't think that in itself is surprising!

The main threats are big players shoving the market in ways that no amount of charting can predict. Provided you are prepared to lose your entire position if/when that happens then you don;t have anything to worry about.

Going all in on any move, is crazy even in classical markets in bitcoin, over time its a guaranteed blow up.
2549  Economy / Speculation / Bitcoinica withdrawals on: January 10, 2012, 10:31:42 PM
Credit where credit is due...

I just did a mtgox code withdrawal from Bitcoinica and it was completed in less than 10minutes.

Thanks zhoutong, you win 10 internets!
2550  Economy / Speculation / Re: Dyslexic trading & other follóns on: January 10, 2012, 01:27:16 PM
hehe. I have done this on gox plenty of times Smiley
2551  Economy / Speculation / Re: The falling knife is starting. on: January 10, 2012, 02:38:59 AM
what an anticlimax
2552  Economy / Speculation / Re: The falling knife is starting. on: January 10, 2012, 02:37:47 AM
here goes!
2553  Economy / Speculation / Re: The falling knife is starting. on: January 10, 2012, 02:34:50 AM
I have nothing to sell Cheesy
2554  Economy / Speculation / Re: The falling knife is starting. on: January 10, 2012, 02:28:46 AM
The wall at 6.17 is a flasher. I reckon it will disappear with any serious selling into it...
2555  Economy / Speculation / Re: The falling knife is starting. on: January 10, 2012, 02:05:47 AM
I wonder if that wall at 6 will hold...
2556  Economy / Speculation / Re: RSI gone from "overbought" zone on: January 10, 2012, 01:43:50 AM


call me when its in the 'oversold' part Wink
2557  Economy / Speculation / Re: [Daily Speculation Poll] :: Bitcoin, to infinity and beyond! or not.... on: January 10, 2012, 12:32:18 AM
miners have very little effect on the market

Miners don't have effect, the supply does. And supply will reduce twice.
(Miners costs don't have effect because of difficulty)

Reduced supply should drive price up (if there is a demand).

I don't think there is anything wrong with your reward logic. I just don't think you can assert a floor based on mining though.

So yeah when the reward gets cut in half i think we'll get a price bump, but the underlying price is wholly psychological. with a constantly shifting distribution of bulls and bears and their perceived value either side.

This will continue until such time as goods can be valued in BTC (as opposed to BTC being merely a proxy for USD). Then the fun will begin Cheesy
2558  Economy / Speculation / Re: [Daily Speculation Poll] :: Bitcoin, to infinity and beyond! or not.... on: January 10, 2012, 12:18:32 AM
agreed. this is pure psychology play.
2559  Economy / Speculation / Re: Why was there a spike up before the selloff? on: January 09, 2012, 10:34:00 PM
it couldn't possibly happen again!
2560  Economy / Speculation / Re: So is Bitcoinica to blame for all these dramatic selloffs today? on: January 09, 2012, 09:29:42 PM
It's no small coincidence that Iran was in the news today. It must be that.
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