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261  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: F1 Formula Sports Racing - Sportsbet.io promotions & discussion thread on: September 11, 2022, 04:05:02 PM
A bit of Karma would do nice today in Monza and I do hope that Max won't win the race just because everyone seems to put the world in his palm and I'm the type of guy who wants to see racing on the line and not entertaining or FIA making new rules just for Max. I'm watching F1 since 98' and I've stopped watching it last race after that Yuki incident who made it even more clearly that Max needs to be a champ this year no matter what so today I'll just watch the results and hoping that Max will abandon and those yellow track suits will be on podium.

EDIT 1 : Verstappen is unstoppable...

I've already stopped watching the races too, just checking the odds of the bookmakers and the reports after the race has taken place. 11 wins out of 16... What could be worse for a whole season. On the one hand, Red Bull and Verstappen deserve such dominance, but on the other hand, it is obvious that Formula 1 is not a flexible sport and if the season develops in this way, then no one can fix anything and the very essence of the sport (competition) is completely lost.
262  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2022/23 on: September 11, 2022, 03:21:28 PM
FT: Real Madrid 4-1 Mallorca. In this game, Vinicius' finishing and overall intelligence have clearly improved. It was always a matter of skills, but now it's a matter of maturity. There is no doubt that those two young players are among the best. Rodrygo scored a great goal. For the first time ever, Antonio Rüdiger scored for Real Madrid in overtime.

Real Madrid, although they win every game, has already become a cash cow for those who like to bet live on favorites who have difficulty during the game. If I remember correctly, in almost every game, even if Real Madrid scored first, the score became 1-1 and at that moment the bet on Real was extremely valuable. I would like to know how long this pattern will last - either Real will start to win more reliably, or still lose points in some game.
263  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: What is the best way of contact steamers who do live stream their gamble? on: September 11, 2022, 02:51:34 PM
Hi guys! I need some good streamers who do live stream their gamble. So what is the best way of contacting them? If you know about it, or you have a good list of streamers please share. Or if you are a streamer you can contact me, and we can make a suitable deal for streaming. Thank you.

Perhaps you should at least in general outline the boundaries of your interest. Should these be streamers in English only or are other languages being considered as well? Should they be streamers with gambling content or just popular ones? What is the minimum number of viewers they should have?
I watch streamers of different subjects and each of them has contacts in "channel information" for business inquiries. I think this is the easiest way to contact them.
264  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [Boxing] Canelo vs Golovkin 3 - September 17 on: September 10, 2022, 01:18:43 PM
So Canelo will be trying to find a way to get this fight, but Bivol could very well ignore him.

That depends if he think fighting Canelo is not gonna generate a lot of money, but still, we cannot deny that Canelo generates good PPV numbers and people are still watching him, so I don't think that losing against GGG is going to ruined his career, he can always come back, especially if he will beat Bivol on their rematch.

I didn't think from Canelo's point of view, but from Bivol's point of view - if Canelo loses the fight to Golovkin, then Bivol can easily ignore Canelo, as far as I know he has no obligation to fight Canelo again.
As for a career, of course, it can be resumed, but in the event of a defeat, the myth of Canelo's greatness will be finally destroyed.

I felt that Canelo's words that he wants to end the great career of Golovkin are too disrespectful. Especially considering the fact that Canelo himself was beaten by Bivol and his career is also in question. Maybe this is just a statement to keep up the hype, but in my opinion the words were chosen incorrectly. Now if Golovkin wins, it's more likely that Canelo will be forced to retire, hehe.

We can't blame Canelo if he said those words to Golovkin because he just recently lost his face in the crowd after he was defeated for being too ambitious in getting belts in the higher weight class, I believe Canelo just wanted to lift up the hype again that was once surrounded his name.

Golovkin as usual is still humble after that, but if in any case that Golovkin will be the hailed winner then I really bet that Canelo's name will be destroyed as he will be climbing the ranks again after that and his worth will reduce big time because of that fact. So yeah, he might retire if that happens.

Maybe these words were said just for the sake of hype, but against the background of the fact that everyone has been waiting for this fight for too long and now Golovkin is too old, and against the background of the fact that Canelo is no longer invincible, these words look ugly.
265  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: September 10, 2022, 01:00:06 PM
It should be an interesting match between Bayern Munich and Stuttgart today, the defense of Stuttgart are looking pretty strong at the moment as they have only conceded 5 goals out of 5 matches played. Since Bayern Munich will have the advantage of playing this upcoming match in front of their home fans, I think they should be able to break down the defense of Stuttgart in 90 minutes and claim a victory.

One goal conceded on average from opponents which are not Bayern is not such a good defense. Bayern scores more than 3 goals per game on average so in this match you should expect something like 4-1 or 4-0 in favor of Bayern. In the previous round they had already misfired, so in this game they will be as focused on the result as possible. Bayern's odds of winning are estimated at 1.21 and this looks profitable (Stuttgart scores little and this meeting is unlikely to be a breakthrough for it).
266  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: September 10, 2022, 12:42:11 PM
In today's matches, I bet on the victories of the hosts. PSG will play against Brest, so there can be only one favorite in this match. Olympique Marseille, which will play against Lille, will have a much more difficult task. Both teams announce a fight for the top positions this season. However, I believe that the hosts have a better team, and an additional advantage is playing at the Stade Vélodrome, where Olympique has won all the games this season.

I wonder if it makes sense to bet on PSG - the odds are too small, only 1.09, it probably makes sense to bet on the condition that PSG will win with a handicap of -1 or -2 goals. Statistically Marseille looks like the clear favorite plus they are playing at home. Probably the bet on them is justified - 2.08 is a good odds in such a situation.
267  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: The Rise of Mobile Gambling Is Leaving People Ruined and Unable to Quit on: September 10, 2022, 12:27:08 PM
As explained on article, mobile phones accelerate the process of addiction in different forms. Gambling causes urge to deposit and it is easy for mobile users to click few times to refill his casino balance and keep repeating till it becomes zero, in worst case addiction leads to serious debt. Main reason is again access to faster internet, mobile banking, online casino combination, IMHO.

But most people enjoy it without negative consequences. They are just tools and some people know how to use them and some don't. What can we do to ensure that people do not use these tools for harm? In any case, do not ban mobile banking and the Internet. I think people who have problems with gambling should help themselves (or with the help of specialists) but not at the expense of restrictions and bans for other people.
268  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [CHESS] FIDE Candidates Chess Tournament 2022 on: September 09, 2022, 12:54:23 PM
how clear Boristhecat?
seems like opinions are quite split in this case

Some friends commented that Carlsen didn't use to behave like that...

maybe he's getting a bit out of shape due to pursuing other things in life than chess
I don't know

We are not top grandmasters and not public figures to keep politeness/conventions. Given the fact that there is no direct evidence, but some big people in the world of chess are openly talking about cheating, this means that there was 100% cheating.

I somehow disagree with your statement.

Hans Niemann is not just a chessplayer but he is a GM that rose to the ranks at just 19 years old. While he may cheated in the past, this does not absolutely equate that he cheated on his on-the-board game against Magnus. He actually provided a statement since he felt that these cheating allegations damaged his reputation. After his game with Magnus, chess.com instantly banned him without even showing any proof of the alleged cheating incident.

While I do respect Magnus in every way; and that he will not do something unfounded especially that this tournament is really prestigious, at this hour, evidence must be presented on how Hans cheated. Until they present concrete and convincing evidence on the cheating allegation, I wouldn't blatantly call Hans cheating in this tournament.

What is your argument? He was caught cheating twice. Do you think this fact testifies rather in favor of the fact that he is honest or in favor of the fact that he is a cheater?
Chess.com always bans without explanation or proof, mostly it is done automatically (if chess players' moves repeat the first line of moves from chess engines), but maybe an exception was made for Niemann and he was banned manually.

In fact, I think absolutely all professional chess players understand that Niemann is a cheater and internally laugh at him (and some do it openly), just watch this video.
269  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: "The Lower-Risk Gambling Guidelines" Is this a joke? on: September 09, 2022, 12:02:53 PM
Playing before bed when you are already lying in bed with a smartphone seems like a convenient option to play for half an hour or an hour, but from my own experience I can say that gambling can throw me off balance (win or lose) and eventually I will have trouble falling asleep. In my youth this was not a problem, but now I have to take it into account. It's quite funny how age and marital status affect our attitude towards gambling.

that's because you need a balanced brain chemistry to sleep
usually serotonin is transformed into melatonin that makes you feel relaxed and asleep
gambling will usually flood your brain with exciting neurotransmitters, it can definitely ruin a good night of sleep

I know very well the chemistry behind it all. The problem is that we can't do anything about it and end up back where we started - it's not easy for a family man to find time to gamble. And the advices in the first post that seems absurd to some people (who are obviously freer than family people) actually makes sense.

It would be great if that happened to me. I would actually avoid playing before bed. because I was worried that I would lose the game and it made me want to keep playing. When I'm not in control, then I will make more deposits, and this will bother me even more to be able to tide comfortably. This is what I experienced, of course it will different from what was experienced by other members in this forum.

Do you mean changing marital status or not gambling before bed? I didn't understand what you want. In fact, I don't even know what to achieve easier, haha.
270  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2022/2023 on: September 09, 2022, 11:52:29 AM
Two-week delay to honor Queen Elizabeth's death is too much. I think a day off as national mourning of Queen Elizabeth's death and everything will be back to normal. I know Queen Elizabeth's death is a very big event in England but Premier League clubs can't just postpone for two week because of that. The Champion League is ongoing, a tight schedule with matches from both Premier League and Champion League close or even overlapping with each other will be big trouble for England's clubs. They won't have enough time for players to rest or recover from injury and will lower the performance in both leagues.

Last year, covid broke the calendar of games, and this year officials want to break it due to the death of the queen. I respect the queen and national traditions, but I think such a long mourning is unreasonable. Do not think that I'm cynical, but dying at 96 is absolutely normal - I think that many of those who sit on this forum will not live to that age. In my opinion, a minute of silence at the beginning of each game would be enough.
271  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tennis League All Thread on: September 09, 2022, 11:41:11 AM
Jabuer run continues in the ladies side, as she defeated Garcia. So she will be the first one to reach the finals.

Swiatek and Sabalenka still battling it out, as usual Swiatek lost the first set. And then storm back in the second to win by 6-1. Start of the third set now, and it seems that he has gotten his confidence back and her momentum. Sabalenka needs everything if she wanted to win.

After yesterday's unexpected results in the Europa League (football), I had an idea to bet overnight (on Garcia) and wake up in the morning and see the expected victory. It's good that I abandoned this idea! Garcia, being the favorite of the game, lost so limply (according to the score) - I don’t even want to look at the game report, I’m just glad that I didn’t place a bet.
272  Other / Archival / Re: [BTC] Лотереи, Конкурсы, Раздачи... on: September 08, 2022, 01:46:49 PM
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273  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Europa League Discussion Thread -- 2022/23 | Group Stages on: September 08, 2022, 12:41:19 PM
Had a blast with Champions League opening day, so am definitely looking in tonight's clashes for some tasty encounters with high odds.

Zurich over 8/1 and Bodoe/Glimt are over 6/1. Plenty of other underdogs too but I don't know if I should bet on total unknowns. Arsenal and Eindhoven are the ones I'd bet against, even though they do seem to have a far better team on paper.

What do you guys think?

After losing to Manchester United, Arsenal will look to win convincingly. Given that the next game in the Premier League is at home for them and not against the strongest opponent (Everton), it makes no sense for Arsenal to save energy. In the national championship, out of 7 games, Zurich managed to make 2 draws and lost 5 games - there is not a single prerequisite for them to beat Arsenal.
274  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [CHESS] FIDE Candidates Chess Tournament 2022 on: September 08, 2022, 10:22:15 AM
Weird news from Magnus Carlsen, who withdrew from the tournament he took part in yesterday:

Quote
I've withdrawn from the tournament. I've always enjoyed playing in the
@STLChessClub, and hope to be back in the future
source

It looks especially strange against the background of Mourinho's quote that he attached to the message. Hopefully later we will find out what all this means, but it is clear to me that Carlsen is moving further and further away from chess. Sad.

Maybe it's just a break.

It is now clear (although Carlsen doesn't talk about it at all) that this was due to Carlsen's opponent Hans Niemann cheating. I find it strange that the organizers of the tournament invited Niemann, who has already been caught cheating in online tournaments 2 times. Despite the fact that the opinions of the grandmasters are divided (for example, Karpov believes that the defeat is only the result of Carlsen's bad play, and Nakamura that Niemann cheated), it seems to me that everything is very clear here.
275  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2022/23 on: September 08, 2022, 09:30:16 AM
What a performance from Barcelona last night in the champions League, very beautiful football that shows passion, xavi has not  achieve anything yet as a coach in Europe but I believe he will turn out to be a world class coach, I think he wants his players to play like him when he was still playing,is been long I saw Barcelona play with passion like they did last night, and another thing I observed is that Barcelona have a strong team that can compete and lewandowski will reduce the missing we have been missing Lionel Messi.

I do not understand your optimism based on this game - this is an absolutely normal result given the gap between the class of opponents. In the coming rounds, Barcelona will have easy opponents and games with them will also not show the real strength of the team. Barcelona will play at the Allianz Arena on September 13th and it will be a good game to see how strong Barcelona are. At the moment, the calendar favors Barcelona as easy opposition in La Liga allows them to focus on the Champions League.
276  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [Boxing] Canelo vs Golovkin 3 - September 17 on: September 08, 2022, 08:50:13 AM
I don't think that Bivol vs GGG will happen even if he wins against Canelo in their fight. He will be too small at light heavyweight He is a career 160 lbs and this just the first or the second time that he will step up to 168 lbs, Canelo's best weight. So I think win or lose in here, Alvarez will fight Bivol and I think there will still be hype for this match even if the cash cow lost to GGG.

Controversial arguments. If Canelo does lose to Golovkin (unfortunately, this is unlikely due to Golovkin's age), then the halo around his achievements will be completely destroyed (and many will repeat that previous fights were actually in favor of Golovkin too). In that case, Canelo would still be a dangerous opponent, but disadvantageous - what's the achievement of beating him one more time? So Canelo will be trying to find a way to get this fight, but Bivol could very well ignore him.
277  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [ BOXING POLL ADDED ] The Heavyweight Battle of Britain - FURY vs JOSHUA on: September 07, 2022, 11:59:23 AM
Seeing that I'm the first one to vote for AJ, hehe. Fury is the favorite, but if the odds of AJ winning are more than 10, then I will bet on him. I am an optimist and do not want to believe that this will be just a dull fight where the favorite will defeat a boxer who has already lost 3 fights out of four before this meeting. There must be some intrigue. And in general, Fury's victory will not be beneficial to anyone - AJ will have to finish with boxing (three defeats in a row) and Fury will get a victory over the one whom Usyk defeated twice, this is hardly a valuable achievement.
278  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Motosport General discussion tread --- Formula1, MotoGP, WTCC, ETCC, DTM..... on: September 07, 2022, 11:15:03 AM
Ferrari in his home race.... can they re-claim a win in Monza?

I think they are not so far behind, in one race. Obviusly in the season they are off, but with a little bit of luck and no mistakes they can win, lets see how good its RB in this track. And take an eye of course in Mercedes.

Italian Grand Prix Race - Winner

Verstappen, Max - 1.37

Leclerc, Charles - 6.95

Hamilton, Lewis - 9.50

Russell, George - 11.10

Perez, Sergio - 12.60

Sainz Jr., Carlos - 24.40

This is the opinion of the bookmakers at the moment. Verstappen won 4 races in a row and already 10 out of 15, but it seems to me that the odds of 1.37 for him to win look like a mockery. I understand that in terms of probabilities the events are unrelated and "races have no memory" but it seems to me that the longer the winning streak, the more likely it is that the next race will be less successful. Leclerc's odds look tempting.
279  Local / Новички / Re: Любые вопросы и ответы от гуру - новичкам on: September 07, 2022, 10:45:14 AM
Могут ли эти транзакции попасть в один блок?

Могут а могут и не попасть. Зависит от комиссии той и другой  транзакции, загруженности мемпула конкретного майнера и что остается в А после первой транзакции.

Спасибо. То есть если баланс адреса А позволяет, то теоретически в один блок можно поместить хоть тысячу транзакций с использованием адреса А. Для меня это выглядит контринтуитивно, так как получается, что в одном блоке "блокчейн" отдельного адреса вырастает не на одну единицу, а сразу на много.

ПО указанное в первом посте еще актуально?

Каков множитель увеличения времени поиска при увеличении искомого текста на один символ? То есть если публичный ключ с 1test ищется за 2.4 минуты, то ключ с 1test1; 1test12 и т.д. будет искаться за 2,4х; 2,4х2 и т.д. Каков х?
Здесь зависимость экспоненциальная, и нет четкого времени нахождения паттерна, так как это вероятностный момент. Количество возможных символов в Legacy-адресе равняется 58, и вероятность того, что на первом месте будет нужный вам символ будет 1 к 58. Вероятность того, что на первом месте будет два нужных символа равняется 1 к 582 или 1 к 3364,  три символа 1 к 583 и так далее. Каждый последующий символ будет в 58 раз сложнее найти, чем все предыдущие, так что если первый вы ищете в среднем 2 минуты, то два символа будете искать примерно  2 часа. Поиск трех символов займет уже примерно 5 суток и так далее.

Из этого разве не следует, что х=58?
280  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: "The Lower-Risk Gambling Guidelines" Is this a joke? on: September 07, 2022, 10:37:59 AM
I understand what you are talking about and meant just about such game sessions. 3 hours is a good time to "feel the game" to take your mind off everything and have fun. But I talk like a family person and such sessions are definitely not available for me on weekdays, and there are so many things to do with the family on the weekends that I would rather play once a week than twice because I would not like to hear my wife's reproaches, haha.

No husband wants to hear their wife's reproach and when they start talking they'll not gonna stop until they're not done lol.

Well, I have to agree weekends are meant to be for the family, I mean the whole day or so. But, some people can still manage the balance between personal and family leisure. Me too I am a family person, but I've changed a lot now in terms of my gambling habits. I could spend a spare to gamble every other night after work but I choose not to, usually.

Playing before bed when you are already lying in bed with a smartphone seems like a convenient option to play for half an hour or an hour, but from my own experience I can say that gambling can throw me off balance (win or lose) and eventually I will have trouble falling asleep. In my youth this was not a problem, but now I have to take it into account. It's quite funny how age and marital status affect our attitude towards gambling.
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