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261  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 15, 2014, 11:24:21 AM
Because they void the argument "one bitcoin will be worth a small fortune one day since there are only 21 million of them and umpteen trillion dollars of e-commerce per day".

There are many things wrong with that argument, but one of them is that there is an infinite number of cryptocoins, and they all are in principle as good as bitcoin for the purpose of low-fee payments via internet.

Umpteen trillion dollars divided by infinity is equal to zero...

There is something to be said about this however. The primary reason that Bitcoin caught on and didn't fizzle like all other virtual currencies or even other cryptocurrency proposals is the blockchain -- the center of trust for all similar cryptos. The older and larger the chain, the more trust there is. This means that all (most) the alt coins can quietly disappear into niche uses. This is the main reason I was excited about merged mining -- one chain to rule them all. [Namecoin, however, has its own problems]

Basically it's the same argument about Visa/MasterCard and the zillion other card companies.

[...] when lots of people really start using bitcoins for payments, not because they want to support the cause but because they are more convenient and cheap than other methods [...]

I was sceptical too until actually using BTC to pay for minor stuff online. For example Fiverr was a nice surprise. I made two orders and paid each with a different system (PayPal and Coinbase). And I've realised, PayPal is mad fugly. It is immensely bloated for what it's supposed to do. You probably have more menus than Amazon has for all your settings and preferences. In comparison, Coinbase's plugin was simple and easy to understand and use. According to comments on Fiverr's announcement to take BTC, many sellers appear to ask to receive BTC directly (to wallet or Coinbase account), simply because PayPal charges immense fees.

It can also be argued this is not the "true" way to use BTC, but does it really matter? I can easily visualize a unified crypto payment plugin. Select currency; select wallet or wallet provider; pay.

I believe cryptos are here to stay. Can't say about BTC, but it's a working proof of concept / minimal viable product.
262  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 15, 2014, 11:02:44 AM
According to Wisdom, there are some shenanigans going on at Gox. A few hours ago a dump was marked as a 200 BTC order in the order history but only showed up as a 155 BTC sell on the volume indicator. Also, are the orderbooks on Wisdom accurate? I might be seeing things but it seems to me that there are "phantom orders" that show up in the books but that don't get counted when a dump eats them.

Billy cashed out around 10k BTC during the last downtrend and doesn't seem to be out of coins.
263  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 15, 2014, 08:01:59 AM
Ladies and gentlemen, proof that Mt. Gox works better than expected: statistically, the price traces an excellent typical example of a Geometric Brownian Motion:

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