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2621  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 25, 2019, 01:49:31 PM
What can be better in this situation?

1. continue content through local resistance levels
2. hold this support level for current bitcoin price
3. break the red zone, hopping that short squeeze would fuel a bullish rally

All we need to do is track sideways at this level for 3 - 5 months.  Would be massively bullish, showing serious commitment to accumulation.  
2622  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 25, 2019, 09:15:04 AM
These are the Woobull HODL waves.  The area ABOVE the line represents the quantity of Bitcoin that have been held for that period of time.  

As you can see, the lines have turned sharply downwards in the last couple months.  That means that HODLING is getting much STRONGER.  

This is the most goddamn bullish thing I have read in months.  Look at the 12 month line (brown) drop like a fucking rock.  YES.

#stronghands*



http://charts.woobull.com/bitcoin-hodl-waves/

See here for an explanation of how they work:  https://blog.unchained-capital.com/bitcoin-data-science-pt-1-hodl-waves-7f3501d53f63

*With acknowledgements to Toxic
2623  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 25, 2019, 05:35:31 AM
Beautiful green shoots

2624  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 25, 2019, 12:23:50 AM
A lot of the Brexit issues relate to the privileged position the UK has as a member of the EU. For example financial passporting which allows UK financial institutions to sell financial services into the EU. With Brexit, this door slams shut.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/analysis-and-features/brexit-passporting-rights-eea-explained-what-does-it-mean-for-banks-economy-pound-euro-a8065131.html

These are the sorts of issues that are causing operations to move from Manchester and Leeds to Frankfurt, Dublin and Luxembourg. Ironically it is the lower paid white collar workers performing back office functions in the Brexit belt that will be hit hardest, along with pink collar functions like HR and PR.

and the downside?

Ummm much of the service centers built in the UK rust belt over the last decade, creating real wage increases and supporting the local economy, will be downsized or leave?  I don’t think many people realize how important financial services are to the UK economy.  It will be like austerity but not as cheerful?
2625  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 24, 2019, 11:33:11 PM
A lot of the Brexit issues relate to the privileged position the UK has as a member of the EU. For example financial passporting which allows UK financial institutions to sell financial services into the EU. With Brexit, this door slams shut.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/analysis-and-features/brexit-passporting-rights-eea-explained-what-does-it-mean-for-banks-economy-pound-euro-a8065131.html

These are the sorts of issues that are causing operations to move from Manchester and Leeds to Frankfurt, Dublin and Luxembourg. Ironically it is the lower paid white collar workers performing back office functions in the Brexit belt that will be hit hardest, along with pink collar functions like HR and PR.
2626  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 24, 2019, 08:51:16 PM
Good evening bitcoiners, just a comment from Sweden passing by

This was written in 1989, sounds familiar? https://www.apnews.com/bd45c372caf118ec99964ea547880cd0

Are you a heavy cigarette smoker Arie?
2627  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 24, 2019, 08:04:08 PM
Assuming it’s all completely innocent, we still end up in the same place. Bitmex does not have an acceptable level of liquidity to support market orders. Which is kinda important. 
2628  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 24, 2019, 07:50:45 PM
Would you be so kind as to enlighten me on slippage? In what way would it screw with trading?

I would assume the implication was that: if real volume be truly that large, then slippage should be much less than that experienced.
I understand the correlation between volume and slippage, but I'm not sure how exactly those contracts work as I've never used or read into them.

The particular trade that I found galling had me enter a stop loss at $xx93 (which was below a major support point).  The price fell through the support and the sell order executed at $xx20, which is $73 in slippage.

The most slippage I have previously experienced on breaking major support was $13 on Bitstamp at a much higher price (therefor far lower slippage in both nominal and percentage terms).

This leads me to believe that either: (a) Bitmex has exceptionally poor liquidity or (b) their proprietary trading desk is front running trades or (c) they are deliberately discriminating against fish in the order book.

The net result is the same.

While there are some complexities around whether one uses the last, mark or index price as trigger, it really all comes out in the same place.  None of this should be impacted by the particular rules of the instrument, and this was not a liquidation (I have never been liquidated and don’t intend to start).

I have had a number of other trades on Bitmex where my slippage has been about 10x what I would expect.   Given that Bitmex supposedly has 10x the volume of Bitstamp and 10x liquidity, something is rotten in the Seychelles.  I would go so far as to say either they are front running their own customers or their organic volume is about 1% of what they claim.  
2629  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 24, 2019, 07:34:55 PM
Would you be so kind as to enlighten me on slippage? In what way would it screw with trading?

I would assume the implication was that: if real volume be truly that large, then slippage should be much less than that experienced.

Yes.  In a nutshell. 
2630  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 24, 2019, 07:30:19 PM
So he claims it will be at least 6 years until we return to ATH, on no evidence whatsoever.  

I read into the blog that blogger subscribes to the 'time stretch between successive peaks' theory.

I find it ignorant of the underlying economics of the issuance halvening cycle, but it seems at least more than 'no evidence whatsoever'.

That’s fine but he should present some evidence of time stretch. Otherwise it is assuming the outcome.  
2631  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 24, 2019, 11:46:32 AM
^Lol
2632  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 24, 2019, 11:38:34 AM
I was a bit disappointed they did not point their guns at Bitmex.

How they did not? They checked all exchanges with more then $1 m of daily volume on CMC. That was close to 100 exchanges. They posted top10 with most volume. And 10th was polo with $1.4m  So best chance for Bitmex is to be 11th with less that that.  That information is not satisfactory for you?

Bitmex does not trade Bitcoin.  It trades Bitcoin futures, most notably a futures perpetual with physical delivery. And the claimed volume of Bitmex is massive (which makes me think it is fake because slippage is very bad). 

The only two futures exchanges that they mentioned were CME and CBOE.  And XBTprovider which I have never heard of but appears to be real.  Odd.  



2633  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 24, 2019, 10:15:19 AM
[...]
Well, I don't know who else would pay that much for an empty wallet... Seems like a bit of a dumb plan, though. Archived in case the post is deleted.
Recover the BCH value?

No it’s CSW trying to use them in his lawsuit or to pretend that he is Satoshi. 
2634  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 24, 2019, 09:08:11 AM
^beat me to it.  

Screenshot recorded for posterity.  

2635  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 24, 2019, 01:29:17 AM
Night
2636  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 24, 2019, 01:16:59 AM
Don’t know why. She is the UK’s second most successful female PM
2637  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 24, 2019, 01:13:29 AM
How funny. Think about it for 5 minutes then come back.

stupidly there is even such a yacht (sort of) http://ybi1.com/vedi_vidi_vici_mangusta_130_fast_offshore_motor_yacht_for_charter.htm

Dammit.  Will ask Craig to sue for copyright infringement.  Actually nm, cause they didn’t make the joke.  Joke is still safu.
2638  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 24, 2019, 12:55:06 AM
I want to call my yacht “I saw, I conquered, I came”



Edit:  although I might call it 15 for short (VVV)
2639  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 24, 2019, 12:50:06 AM
Think about it for 5 minutes then come back
2640  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 24, 2019, 12:43:16 AM
I have always wanted a yacht called Vedi vici veni
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