Bitcoin Forum
June 23, 2024, 08:48:49 AM *
News: Voting for pizza day contest
 
  Home Help Search Login Register More  
  Show Posts
Pages: « 1 ... 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 [133] 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 ... 417 »
2641  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 24, 2019, 12:16:35 AM
I wouldn't bother extrapolating your personal experience to the general population


I edited to add wikpedia link.  You can peruse the sources yourself at your leisure.  

Relevantly the US divorce rate is in decline:  http://time.com/5405757/millennials-us-divorce-rate-decline/
The probability of a marriage lasting for 10 years or longer is something different than the rate of divorce. Even if the former probability excludes cases of deaths ending marriages early. Feel like the 3% number is still too low, even though I'd expect most failed marriages to divorce earlier on rather than later.

Well, strictly speaking 100% of all marriages eventually end
2642  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 23, 2019, 11:41:25 PM
I wouldn't bother extrapolating your personal experience to the general population


I edited to add wikpedia link.  You can peruse the sources yourself at your leisure.  

Relevantly the US divorce rate is in decline:  http://time.com/5405757/millennials-us-divorce-rate-decline/
2643  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 23, 2019, 11:38:23 PM
The odds of a marriage in the US today lasting for ten years is about 3%.

Yeah no

Your numbers are wrong by at least an order of magnitude

Quote
Rate of divorce" usually refers to the number of divorces that occur in the population during a given period. However it is also used in common parlance to refer to the likelihood of a given marriage ending in divorce (as opposed to the death of a spouse).

In 2002 (latest survey data as of 2012),[39] 29% of first marriages among women aged 15–44 were disrupted (ended in separation, divorce or annulment) within 10 years.[40] Beyond the 10-year window, population survey data is lacking, but forecasts and estimates provide some understanding. It is commonly claimed that half of all marriages in the United States eventually end in divorce, an estimate possibly based on the fact that in any given year, the number of marriages is about twice the number of divorces.[41] Amato outlined in his study on divorce that in the late of 1990s, about 43% to 46% of marriages were predicted to end in dissolution. According to his research, there is only a small percentage of marriages end in permanent separation rather than divorce.[42] Using 1995 data, National Survey of Family Growth forecast in 2002 a 43% chance that first marriages among women aged 15–44 would be disrupted within 15 years.[39] More recently, having spoken with academics and National Survey of Family Growth representatives, PolitiFact.com estimated in 2012 that the lifelong probability of a marriage ending in divorce is 40%–50%.[43]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Divorce_in_the_United_States#Rates_of_divorce
2644  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 23, 2019, 11:15:08 PM
2645  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 23, 2019, 10:51:49 PM
The reason the price is so jittery at the moment is because we are currently doing a rerun of the $6k precipice.  Except this time we are going to break through and drive a stake through the heart of this bear market based on our support from the 200 Weekly MA.  The next week is critical.

2646  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 23, 2019, 10:45:32 PM
you'll probably feign disinterest Hairy but according to this you stand finally to become LegendaryHairyMacLairy in 2 day and 2hours (or any fortnight thereafter)

Hairy: "My dear Eddies and Boblaws, Toxics and Yfronts, Globbos and Gooses, Hueristics, Homers and Juans, LFCs and Lightfoots." [cheers]

Old guy: "Lightfeet!"

[Observers laugh]

Hairy: "Today is my seven hundred and seventieth birthday!"

Observer: "Happy Birthday!"

[Long pause]Last of the old shitposters: "Happy Birthday!"

Hairy: "Alas, seven-eleventy is far too short a time to live among such excellent and admirable observers." [cheers abound.]

"I don't know half of you half as well as I should like, and I like less than half of you half as well as you deserve." [There is a dead silence from the crowd. They gaze at each other blank-faced, trying to figure out if they were just insulted. Jimbo smiles.]

Hairy: "I, uh, I h-have things to do." [fidgets with the Casa behind his back. Whispers to himself] "I've put this off for far too long."

Hairy: [to the crowd] "I regret to announce — this is The End. I am going now. I bid you all a very fond farewell." [whispers to Jojo] "Goodbye."

[Hairy plugs the Casa in and vanishes.]

Observers: "Ooh!"
2647  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 23, 2019, 10:01:43 PM
still i don’t get it (the whole getting to marry stuff )

Marriage is a fitness thing.  And not the picking up and putting down heavy objects type.

Quote
A major survey of 127,545 American adults found that married men are healthier than men who were never married or whose marriages ended in divorce or widowhood. Men who have marital partners also live longer than men without spouses; men who marry after age 25 get more protection than those who tie the knot at a younger age, and the longer a man stays married, the greater his survival advantage over his unmarried peers.

https://www.health.harvard.edu/newsletter_article/marriage-and-mens-health
2648  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 23, 2019, 08:58:07 PM
2649  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 23, 2019, 08:47:00 PM
Take me down to the
Haiku city where the grass
is green and - dammit
2650  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 23, 2019, 08:39:03 PM
Looks like a Velar. Can't say how good it is on the road but it really is aesthetically perfect. One of the cars I'm planning to buy after we'll reach 100k.  Cool

Velars are stunning.  One of the most beautiful SUVs ever made. However I suspect the pic is a 2019 Range Rover Sport, which aren’t too bad either and have serious off-road credentials.
2651  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 23, 2019, 08:25:55 PM
^ fella's blog
http://thepatternsite.com/Blog-Mar19.html#P19

edit: wait what?
5500 baby

So he claims it will be at least 6 years until we return to ATH, on no evidence whatsoever. 

Just pretending for the moment he is not horribly wrong headed (suspend your disbelief if you will) would it truly be an awful outcome to have a 600% ROI spread out over the next 6 years?
2652  Economy / Speculation / Re: *Q2-BTC-PRCE PREDICTION-GAME* Q2 LIST GAME on: March 23, 2019, 06:04:01 AM
Here is my TA as promised.  We are slightly front running the 2015 fractal, which gives a price of $4500 on this chart.  But this chart is BFX price so need to subtract $100.  The extra $9 is just for fun.

2653  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 23, 2019, 04:43:33 AM
Quite right, the Brits excel at rationing and queueing.

for fuck's sake, life went on BEFORE the EU...I'm old enough to remember such a thing

Who wouldn’t want to go back to 1973 if given half a chance
2654  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 23, 2019, 03:56:45 AM
Obese finger
2655  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 23, 2019, 03:43:45 AM
Hey I’m not the one opening “no deal” command posts in nuclear bunkers !

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6834367/Cobra-committee-takes-No-Deal-amid-moves-activate-Operation-Yellowhammer-Monday.html

The Economist has this to say:

Quote
A REFRIGERATED PLANE flying round-the-clock sallies to bring medicine to a besieged population, emergency waste centres established to deal with overflowing rubbish and martial law imposed on a restive population as the queen is whisked from the capital by helicopter to escape rioters. Leaks from the government’s preparations for a no-deal Brexit sometimes sound as if they have come from the imagination of a pulp-fiction novelist. Many Brexiteers blame the alternately frightening and farcical stories on dastardly “Remoaner” officials, working to undermine the case for leaving without a deal.

https://www.economist.com/britain/2019/02/07/no-deal-plans-become-ever-sillier-and-the-public-cant-wait
2656  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 23, 2019, 12:40:45 AM
could you not say 'pre-planning'. it's 'planning' or 'preparing'

Fair enough - the Guardian agrees with your choice of terminology.

Quote
One source with knowledge of Operation Yellowhammer made clear that while planning had stepped up, the overall picture remained chaotic and “rudderless”.

The planning appears to only run so deep, with government departments and the people who rely on them, to fend for themselves.

Quote
The classified document, seen by the Guardian, sets out the command and control structures in Whitehall for coping with a no-deal departure and says government departments will have to firefight most problems for themselves – or risk a collapse of “Operation Yellowhammer”.

“The … structure will quickly fall if too many decisions are unnecessarily escalated to the top levels that could have reasonably been dealt with internally …” the document says. It also concedes there are “likely to be unforeseen issues and impacts” of a no-deal Brexit that Operation Yellowhammer has been unable to predict.

Quote
“Central government is not providing leadership,” said the source. “At the moment we are trying to plan for everything. There is no direction of accountability. The response to a no-deal Brexit needs to be built from the bottom up.”

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/mar/22/secret-cabinet-office-document-reveals-chaotic-planning-for-no-deal-brexit

The Department of Health has a handy questionnaire for health care providers to be provided every 24 hours.

Quote
“Please confirm that you can maintain business critical services until the next daily ‘sitrep’ submission is due?”
“Are you assured you can maintain urgent cancer treatments until the next daily ‘sitrep’ submission is due?” and
“Is your organisation planning to suspend any patient services until the next daily ‘sitrep’ submission is due?”

We can think of the potential partial collapse of the NHS as an opportunity for libertarians to put the word 'personal' back into 'responsibility'.  Under the circumstances, if you are dependent on medication, it is perhaps better to be an outside observer.
2657  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 23, 2019, 12:23:53 AM
Ok I stand corrected.  Hard Brexit date now 12 April.
2658  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 23, 2019, 12:17:01 AM
If you are a cancer patient in the UK or have some other serious illness requiring regular medication, now would be a good time to stockpile or go on overseas holiday to somewhere you can receive treatment in the event of a hard Brexit in 8 days time.

Quote
NHS trusts will have “no choice but to prioritise” which patients receive cancer treatment if a no-deal Brexit delays the import of radioactive isotopes, the Royal College of Radiologists has warned.

https://www.hsj.co.uk/policy-and-regulation/some-cancer-treatment-may-be-delayed-post-brexit/7024457.article

The manner in which UK citizens are blithely going about their daily lives without any pre-planning or taking personal responsibility for themselves in what may be a challenging period is concerning.
2659  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 22, 2019, 10:20:06 PM

Also :



Sorry for the redundancy of my posts but I think this report is pretty interesting (and I'm not sure many will take the time to read it).

It is an excellent report and well worth the read.  I learned something from it and confirmed other things that I have suspected for some time. 

I was a bit disappointed they did not point their guns at Bitmex.  I believe much of its volume is fake, although given the fakery is more sophisticated (wash trading by their own trading desk rather than wash trading between the spread) it would be much harder to detect. 
2660  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 22, 2019, 10:07:14 PM
2. Blockfi weaseled out (as expected). Not going to bother even to ask them any questions. Irrelevant.

This is a surprisingly better result than exit scamming
Pages: « 1 ... 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 [133] 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 ... 417 »
Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!