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2721  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: December 22, 2014, 01:23:26 PM
My prediction: gold and bitcoin will find equilibrium and become tidal locked.

can you put a time on that?

I think something is going to happen to gold soon. The price is being suppressed by counterfeit certificates. Rich people want real gold.

Bitcoin (and the free market) really need to find some peg. Gold ETFs have served that purpose to some degree, but Bitcoin will drag gold much higher as its ad-hoc digital twin. If I were to venture a guess it would have to do with whichever country has enough gold and is willing to acquire bitcoins as well. When people start losing faith in fiat currency and bonds, they will trade gold for bitcoins.

I can think of unthinkable scenarios regarding confiscation of gold or its ownership belonging to a designated class. Bitcoin would be the only way the rest of us can be licensed to hold gold.

Most likely it will occur organically as fiat currencies fail. Both bitcoin and gold will see huge swings in the next few year, but 2019 will be when they become pegged.

thanks for putting a time on it.

by 'tidal locked' and 'pegged', do you mean they have a very high correllation coefficient or something else? 'peg' sounds like something that is being actively enforced through market operations or redemption offerings, but I doubt that's what you mean, right?
2722  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 22, 2014, 01:20:09 PM
BTC2k dumped, BTC5k to go  Wink (BTC7k hit one of bitstamps addresses last night)

edit: https://blockchain.info/address/1Drt3c8pSdrkyjuBiwVcSSixZwQtMZ3Tew

just out of curiosity: how do you know it's a bitstamp address?
2723  Bitcoin / Mycelium / Re: Mycelium Bitcoin Wallet on: December 22, 2014, 12:39:37 PM
v2.1.0 has been released to https://github.com/mycelium-com/wallet , https://mycelium.com/bitcoinwallet , beta channel and very soon also staggered release to general channel.

Changenotes from 2.0 to 2.1:

*) Optimized output selector that omits dust from transactions and makes fees smaller on average
*) Fallback geocoder
*) New NFC function to push payment request
*) Show total amount of coins in accounts view
*) Customizable fees
*) Pin reset function with a 7 days enforced delay
*) Fix crash if you don't have a flash on your device
*) Preview of secret sharing import/cold storage - Compatibility for Mycelium Entropy
*) Ability to delete Mycelium Local Trader accounts and trade sessions
*) Bugfix for synchronizing single address accounts with a zero balance: now allows you to view the history
*) OKHttp - connection pooling for faster syncing (preparation for orchid integration)
*) Button for each account to manually resync (in case of possible malleabilty, or otherwise getting strange sync edge cases)
*) Removed permissions no longer needed due to version upgrades (account, SDcard)
*) Now requires Android 4.0 - 2.2 is explicitly no longer supported.

you guys are unstoppable!

orchid?

Quote
2001:10::/28 — ORCHID (Overlay Routable Cryptographic Hash Identifiers).[27] These are non-routed IPv6 addresses used for Cryptographic Hash Identifiers.

this?

can you explain what you're planning there?
2724  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 22, 2014, 12:34:21 PM

with that tiny rocket? I doubt both.
2725  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][AUR] Auroracoin - a cryptocurrency for Iceland on: December 22, 2014, 12:33:57 PM
Didn't the airdrop already happen?

3rd stage started Nov 25th and should last 3 month. Now auroracoin.org domain expired.

more info: http://blockexplorer.auroracoin.eu/chain/AuroraCoin (see links at the top about claim stats)
2726  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 22, 2014, 12:21:50 PM
2727  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][AUR] Auroracoin - a cryptocurrency for Iceland on: December 22, 2014, 12:18:42 PM
Someone noble may wish to renew the domain, if the registrar allows it. I remember when hotmail.com (I think?) expired in the 1990s, and a guy renewed it for Microsoft.

This assumes that the website was still working up to the point the domain expired.

This tx sure looks like an airdrop transaction, though, and has taken place today:



what's up with that?
2728  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][AUR] Auroracoin - a cryptocurrency for Iceland on: December 22, 2014, 12:06:48 PM
Airdrop is now over!

As of December 21st 2014 the auroracoin.org website expired which means claiming auroracoin is no longer possible. All news and updates can be found @ www.aurorapr.co.vu

as you have taken over the role of baldur, don't you think it's time to destroy the remaining premine?
2729  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: December 22, 2014, 12:05:36 PM
My prediction: gold and bitcoin will find equilibrium and become tidal locked.

can you put a time on that?
2730  Local / Trading und Spekulation / Re: Der Aktuelle Kursverlauf on: December 22, 2014, 11:49:54 AM
Ich teile franz2 und klaus Zurückhaltung nicht ganz.

Ich denke das nächste reward halfing (vorauss. Spätsommer 2016) wird wie das erste auch massiv unterschätzt werden. Ich möchte keine Zahl dran machen, da es ja noch andere einflussreiche Faktoren gibt, aber "everything else being equal" halte ich eine verfünf- bis verzehnfachung des Kurses allein durch die Halbierung für realistisch (achtung: bauchgefühl-alert, habe keine schlüssige Argumentation dafür). Wieviel davon schon im Vorfeld oder erst im Nachgang passieren wird (am genauen Tag passiert wahrscheinlich wieder garnix, lol) hängt von der Einschätzung der Marktteilnehmer ab. Jungs, dannach haben wir lediglich 5% inflation, 75% der Bitcoins sind gemined. Damit sind wir wohl zumindest annähernd in der Liga führender fiat-Kohlen. Also, ich glaube dem Bitcoin würde es auch ohne Finanzsystem-Meltdown ganz gut gehen. Ob wir das erleben werden weiss ich nicht, grad sieht's ja eher nicht so gut aus für's Finanzsystem.

Ich bin mir auch nicht sicher, ob eine dicke fette Finanzkrise oder Zusammenbruch des Finanzsystems unbedingt zu 'ner Bitcoin-Rakete führen würde. In dem Chaos suchen die Leute Sicherheit. Land, Kunst, Immobilien, Metall,... Ich sehe Bitcoins weitere Verbreitung aber in beiden Fällen (mit oder ohne Zusammenbruch des Finanzsystems) als wahrscheinlich an (auch wieder Bauchgefühl-alert).

Und letzter Bauchgefühl-alert:

2015 wird auf jeden Fall ein gutes Jahr für Bitcoin.

(you can quote me on that)
2731  Local / Trading und Spekulation / Re: Der Aktuelle Kursverlauf on: December 22, 2014, 11:35:44 AM
Die Mehrheit ist pessimistisch:



Das ist schon mal gut...
(Umfrage zu finden auf "Wall Observer")

Um ehrlich zu sein glaube ich, daß diese Mehrheit nicht pessimistisch ist, sondern hoffnungsvoll. Die wollen cheap coins!

Thing is: die wollen immer noch billigere coins. Wenn der Kurs bei $200 ist kaufen sie auch nicht, weil sie dann auf $100 warten, dann auf $50, usw. Irgendwann haut der Kurs dann doch nach oben ab Wink.

Und tschüss.

(aber jetzt noch nicht)
2732  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 22, 2014, 12:23:36 AM

Could be just a pool shuffling coins about. No?

Edit: I'm going with Yes

why would a pool hold this many coins.

170,000 got moved in this tx: https://blockchain.info/tx/5fcc0caeeedf3dcbfd72cf2ce01a32483191245bcc8b485a17f44416afffa1cf
2733  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 21, 2014, 08:58:26 AM


cup'n'handle ?
2734  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 21, 2014, 08:52:27 AM
The Greater Rule of Thirds will not give in to a Lesser Rule of Thirds below 270. It would kill the arbitrage and altcoin markets. Superstition, emotion, and margin trading will drive price up to 360 because the short sellers have run out of space.

btc swap liquidity on bfx is drying up.



only expensive coins can be borrowed

will be interesting to watch...
2735  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][AUR] Auroracoin - a cryptocurrency for Iceland on: December 21, 2014, 12:21:37 AM


very simple indeed.
2736  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 20, 2014, 09:53:26 PM
18k shorts and the price still going up  Grin Grin

yeah. price going down with btc swaps going up is rather normal. price going up with swap amount increasing should be worrying for the bears... it seems to take a lot to keep the price down these days. On the other hand: maybe the swaps were taken, but the coins not sold yet.
2737  Economy / Economics / Re: Dollar coming to an end on: December 20, 2014, 07:42:18 PM
Oil and Bitcoin are two scare commodities.

oooooh! aaaaah!

*runs away in fear*
2738  Local / Trading und Spekulation / Re: Der Aktuelle Kursverlauf on: December 20, 2014, 07:06:13 PM




Hier der gleiche Chart in der Stunden-Sicht.

Das ist doch nicht dieselbe linie, oder? Im oberen Chart ist sie im Mai 2015 bei 325, im unteren schon Ende Januar.

Oder hab ich 'nen Knick in der Optik?
2739  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 20, 2014, 04:31:16 PM
Why does a 1015 BTC short show up here http://bfxdata.com/swapstats/btc.php

but not on wisdom https://bitcoinwisdom.com/markets/bitfinex/btcusd

Any ideas?

that first link shows the bitfinex swap market orderbook, the second one shows bitfinex BTC/USD market.

you're comparing apples and oranges, the swap market doesn't trade currency pair, it's for lending/borrowing (btc in the case of your link)

2740  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][AUR] Auroracoin - a cryptocurrency for Iceland on: December 20, 2014, 04:21:40 PM
There's a explanation for that.
There are few Icelandic auroracoin community facebook groups with 1-4k members. There are two big buyers who have adds pinned in every group looking to buy all your auroracoin slightly below price for icelandic fiat.
Since there is no current use for auroracoin besides trading them for other cryptos, majority of all airdrop coins get sold to those two addresses for fiat.  

Good explanation.

I've suggested exchange cold-storage before and was slaugthered for it.

Let's see how you will fare...

I myself have still not made up my mind as to what to believe.
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