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2721  Local / Économie et spéculation / Re: [BTC] Le bitcoin devrait remonter.... ou peut être redescendre on: June 07, 2022, 04:58:48 PM
Mais pour Vincent Ganne, un mauvais chiffre d'inflation (le "CPI") vendredi à 14h30 aux USA pourrait faire dégringoler les indices boursiers US et donc aussi le btc vers les 25000$.

Il pense que le rebond boursier aux US ces deux dernières semaines est dû au fait que l'inflation a commencé à ralentir aux USA. Donc si ce ralentissent de l'inflation n'est pas confirmé vendredi, le marché actions va de nouveau baisser fortement.

Si par exemple l'inflation était à 6.3 vendredi, le btc perdrait 10% selon VG.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SV7u8XkeMMA

Cela dit, il y aura bien un moment où une forte inflation poussera les gens à acheter du btc, non ?! Huh
Y'a pas à dire il maîtrise son sujet, et niveau AF y'a (presque*)rien à dire, en revanche niveau AT il est beaucoup moins convaincant car il ne semble pas convaincu lui-même par ce qu'il raconte. A 22'55 il m'a fait pouffer de rire lorsqu'il a sorti "Vous avez vu ça en fait beaucoup des peut-êtres, mais bon il faut être honnête, c'est compliqué..."

*Il fait un peu du putaclic en parlant de crash si les chiffres du CPI sont mauvais. Comme il le dit lui-même il y a des estimations à l'avance des agences de notation et cie de ces chiffres-là, avec un consensus diffusé partout largement à l'avance. Le marché anticipe donc déjà la publication de ces chiffres en fonction du consensus. Et je ne connais pas les statistiques mais ça ne doit franchement pas arriver souvent que les chiffres soient complètement décalés par rapport au consensus pour des valeurs aussi facilement contrôlables (inflation des prix des biens de consommation)
2722  Local / Économie et spéculation / Re: [BTC] Le bitcoin devrait remonter.... ou peut être redescendre on: June 07, 2022, 08:42:40 AM
Quand ça veut pas, ça veut pas.

Chute de 8% du btc cette nuit. La SEC aurait ouvert une enquête sur les origines du BNB.

https://fr.investing.com/news/cryptocurrency-news/le-bitcoin-plonge-sous-30000-toujours-incapable-dafficher-un-rebond-durable-2095337
Ca nous donne un joli Bart  Roll Eyes
Outre le cas Binance, je ne suis néanmoins pas franchement surpris par ce retour au support. Beaucoup ont vendu Bitcoin durant des années comme hedge contre l'inflation, et maintenant qu'on subit de fortes inflations partout dans le monde à cause de la guerre en Ukraine et des sanctions contre la Russie (et probablement aussi des conséquences du covid19) il ne tient pas ses promesses en enregistrant la plus longue baisse continue de son histoire.
2723  Economy / Gambling / Re: Livecasino.io - 🔥 up to 20% cashback 🔥 up to 20% rakeback 🚨 on: June 06, 2022, 05:08:01 PM
~snip~
You were just lucky with the rewarded free spins. The free spins were credited in the Book of Dead slots game. This game has high volatility, and it isn't common to get 3 bonus spins round within 50 spins on a high volatility slot game. I have won 5.6 USDT only from my 50 free spins. I think this is the lowest amount I have won from livecasino bitcointalk promo rewards.
Same for me, the 50 free spins on Book of Dead slot haven't been very generous with me because I only managed to win 4.80 USDT with them, it seems Coin_trader has kept all the luck with him and he didn't bother to leave a bit of it behind him. Tongue
At least, I can console myself with the 0.2mbtc I won from the Crypto Crunch Tournament.
2724  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Dealing with ISP block on Gambling websites on: June 06, 2022, 03:19:26 PM
That's very simple, once your ISP is blocked, you are not allowed to gamble due to legal restrictions.

Now, the solution is very simple, you use VPN to change your IP and that will give you access to enjoy the gambling site.
Some sites would okay that, but some will see it as a form of cheating since the word "bypass" is cheating for them, so I agree with the poster above, you know the risk, it's up to you if you are willing to take the risk of getting banned later.

The point to note is that here the ISP is blocking the gambling sites and there is no issue from the gambling sites blocking  your country. In this case , I think the gambling site will have no objection and your ISP won't be able to find you are accessing the gambling sites. Just make sure the VPN connecting location should not be any country which the gambling site has restricted.
You shouldn't count on the good will of casinos. If you lose your money at them they will stay friendly and warm with you but if you win money, you won't be welcomed anymore and they won't tolerate this kind of thing anymore. Then as Maslate said, it's risky.
The better and easier solution is to simply change your DNS server in your configuration. You can use the one of Google (8.8.8.8), or Cloudflare (1.1.1.1) for example.
Raflesia gave a link above of a thread explaining how to do it easily into Chrome.

2725  Economy / Speculation / Re: Don’t rush to buy Bitcoin on: June 06, 2022, 02:09:14 PM
I agree that it won't go down that much. Its clear to me that bitcoin has already hit the very low, it won't go lower than that. Its obvious that we are just waiting to reach to the top levle and I believe that in order to reach that top level, we only need some time. So people who do not "rush" right now, will be hte people who will be upset about it later on. I hope that we could be quick enough to buy it, I bought some but I am willing to pay some more and waiting for that to happen. Its not going to happen overnight, but the moment I get paid, I will end up using that to buy some more bitcoin and I hope it won't go up before that.
I don't really think Bitcoin will rise as quickly as you seem to think, since Bitcoin used to have a reputation of being a hedge against inflation for many people, but when inflation started to rise in many part of the world due to the Ukrainian war and western restrictions against Russia, Bitcoin failed to perform as expected and collapsed.
2726  Economy / Speculation / Re: BTC Sentiment Poll for June on: June 06, 2022, 01:36:06 PM
Stable month, it seems. Nothing too different from May should be expected... There aren't major news or events which could possibly boost bitcoin price up. I see news keep saying bitcoin won't stay cheap like this for too long, but that is all they have to say for now, and although I think they are right, it's not convincing enough to push a bull run forward.
it is early to mention that this will be another May Month because with the first week they are the same but we don't know what will come in the coming weeks? though I don't understand the market sentiment nowadays but I still don't understand what are we waiting for.

all I wanted to see is that if ever there is something good to come then best that it will be a growth .

2021 is the best year ever and now that 2022 is here ? we can still see the new beginning .
No the first week of this month is not the same as the previous one because all the previous weeks since March 21st have been red, while the first week of June unexpectedly ended in green. This can be the beginning of a trend reversal and June could be a green month with a close above $31 794.


2727  Local / Économie et spéculation / Re: [BTC] Le bitcoin devrait remonter.... ou peut être redescendre on: June 06, 2022, 12:14:08 PM
Il y a déjà une bagarre autour des 31400$.  Undecided

On peut espérer dépasser un peu les 32000$ comme il y a une semaine. Pour aller plus haut, il faudrait du volume, une news.
La réaction du marché américain risque d'être critique à mon avis, si ils valident la hausse, un retournement de la tendance peut s'opérer, mais si au contraire ils la rejettent on risque de se traîner encore au même niveau pendant un bon moment, voir de redescendre.  Embarrassed
2728  Economy / Gambling / Re: FreeBitco.in-$200 FreeBTC⭐Win Lambo🔥0.2BTC DailyJackpot🏆$32,500 Wager Contest on: June 06, 2022, 11:01:02 AM
There was not a big surprise, Nadal won the main prize and made (at least) 1053 people happy with their 6.35 bet. It is less than 1159 people who bet on Swiatek, who was almost 100% sure winner.
Only 1053 bets on Nadal because bets were closed about 6 days before the final was held, at the start of the tournament he was not the favorite even young players from the same country with him were more favorite than he was. Ruud is not a balanced opponent for Nadal, especially in big tournaments like the French Open where Nadal is the king. Only those who bet on freebitcoin get big results if they bet on Nadal, didn't check directly but I'm pretty sure in other bookies the odds on Nadal in the final match are very low.
I'm not sure one week ago odds for Nadal to win the French Open were already way below @6.35, it's normal to have low odds the day before the final when only 2 opponents remain and when we know who they are but it's less common one week before when several big players are still in the tournament. Anyway despite his foot injury I believed in Nadal and for me he had not less chance to win than the other main contenders. I was maybe wrong because we will never know if he would manage to beat Zverev, if Zverev hasn't hurt himself but at the end I manage to get lucky this time. Congrats to the other 1052 winners

2729  Local / Économie et spéculation / Re: [BTC] Le bitcoin devrait remonter.... ou peut être redescendre on: June 06, 2022, 07:28:51 AM
Va-t-on avoir une dixième semaine de baisse consécutive ? Si oui, ça serait exceptionnel. En tous les cas, le RSI hebdo est survendu.
Finalement la 10eme semaine consécutive a été évitée. Mais 9 semaines étaient semble-t-il déjà un record. Le record précédent étant de 6 d'après cet article. Néanmoins, ca ne monte pas bien haut pour l'instant contrairement à ce qu'on aurait pu imaginer, et ca peut être juste une correction technique avant de poursuivre la tendance.

Quote
Weeks later, it equaled a negative record in terms of consecutive weekly candles closed in the red (6). However, the streak continued, and bitcoin saw its 9th such candle in a row last week.
[...]
As such, it saw its first weekly green candle since March 21st.

https://cryptopotato.com/change-of-direction-bitcoin-finally-ended-its-longest-ever-sequence-of-9-red-weeks/

2730  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Sportsbet.io 🏀 NBA Finals 🏀 Golden State Warriors vs Boston Celtics 🏀 Game 2 on: June 05, 2022, 08:47:15 AM
A)  Yes
B)  Over
C)  Warriors    
D)  Warriors    
E)  Warriors    
F)  Celtics    
G)  Warriors    
H)  216
2731  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Sportsbet.io 🎾 Roland Garros 🎾 Prediction Contest (Round 7) on: June 05, 2022, 08:17:52 AM
a) 11 b) 1:56
2732  Local / Hors-sujet / Re: Le dernier film/série/docu que vous avez vu on: June 05, 2022, 07:57:20 AM
Comment déchiffrer (presque) n'importe quel message codé ? 🔑🔓📜 (durée 13 min)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z4tkHuWZbRA
Une explication et application de la méthode Markov Chain Monte Carlo (et comment la déjouer)
+ explications sur le codage utilisé par le tueur du Zodiac

2733  Local / Wiki, documentation et traduction / Re: [ANN][Tuto] ChipMixer.com - Mixer bitcoin - le mixing réinventé on: June 05, 2022, 06:38:46 AM
La question de l'anonymat va devenir délicate.

 Il devrait y avoir des restrictions légales à ce que les (gouvernements du moins) puissent tracer chaque transaction/adresse jusqu'à son propriétaire.. au même titre que les lois protégeant la confidentialité des infos personnelles
 
 Ils en sont à "bloquer" tout les fonds provenant de certaines sources.., avec ça ils ont les échanges, agences, services cryptos qui font leur flicage de leur côté en tant qu'entités indépendantes et autonomes
 mais alors pourquoi (pourraient)-ils fliquer / suivre plus d'individuels qu'ils ne le devraient puisque pratiquement ils n'en n'ont pas besoin !??  Et selon les lois!
Il devrait y avoir des lois contre ça, je suis bien d'accord et au niveau européen si possible. Mais pour les fiats il y a déjà des lois AML, alors je les vois mal faire une exception pour les cryptos qui sont encore moins facilement traçables et arrêtables. Avec la Russie qui a dit réfléchir à légaliser l'utilisation des cryptos pour les transactions internationales afin de contourner les sanctions occidentales, il y a peu de chances qu'ils se tirent une balle dans le pied au nom des droits des citoyens.
2734  Local / Économie et spéculation / Re: [BTC] Le bitcoin devrait remonter.... ou peut être redescendre on: June 04, 2022, 12:17:41 PM
Va-t-on avoir une dixième semaine de baisse consécutive ? Si oui, ça serait exceptionnel. En tous les cas, le RSI hebdo est survendu.
Depuis le bottom du 12 Mai à 26k ça ne baisse plus tellement j'ai l'impression, ca parait même très flat je trouve sur les graphs, pas de gros mouvement dans un sens ou dans l'autre, quasiment aucune volatilité. On sait que bien souvent les longues périodes de "sideways" sont suivies d'un gros squeeze, short ou long. On va voir dans quel sens ca part mais bizarrement j'ai l'impression que plus longtemps BTC reste à ce niveau, moins il a de chances de tomber plus bas.
En tous cas si il est toujours vu comme un hedge contre l'inflation il devrait commencer à attirer du monde.
2735  Economy / Gambling / Re: FreeBitco.in-$200 FreeBTC⭐Win Lambo🔥0.2BTC DailyJackpot🏆$32,500 Wager Contest on: June 04, 2022, 08:35:06 AM
Oh, how I regret I did not bet on men's Roland Garros results!
Today Zverev (odds 48.72) lost half-final not with Nadal (6.35) but with his health. And in few moments we will know the second player for the final, Ruud (43.07) plays against Cilic (76.28, Other!).
Even if Nadal win the main prize, odds >6 make a big win for everyone who placed the bet.
I cannot imagine that Rolland Garros would be won by someone with odds >40, but it would be really really great. 183 people who bet on Ruud or 251 who bet on "Other" will remember it for long.
Thank you for posting the odds, I didn't check the final ones and I didn't remember how they were when I placed my bets. I think odds for Nadal are high because the market has closed several days ago and many commentators were pessimistic about him due to a serious injury at his foot. Anyway he's one of the 4 players I had bet on then if he wins my bet will be in profit at those odds.
He's now the big favorite of the final with odds of @1.2 against @5.0 for Casper Ruud on other sportsbooks then I hope he will manage to win his 14th Roland Garros.
2736  Economy / Gambling / Re: Does anyone know where you can get broadcasts faster than sports book bet 365 on: June 04, 2022, 07:45:46 AM
Livestreams will always be delayed.
There's another way tho, but it requires some investment.

There are many API service providers, you may get lucky with a few low-tier games where your API service is a bit faster than bet365 itself. You will have to do extensive research tho. And bet365 limits max bets for such games. So there are a lot of hoops. You can't beat the house this way.

or you can be present at the game yourself
watch this: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kvT_yIVI2Qw
Not sure if it still works tho lol, maybe for a few leagues and slow umpires?
May I ask you what do you call an "API service provider" please? It's a service allowing you to place bets without using the graphical user interface of the sportsbook or it's a service offering fast live streaming? You say bet365 limits max bets for such games, you mean bet365 closely monitor those providers and is aware of all events broadcasted by them? On most of sportsbooks you can't place instant bets on live events, there is always a delay between when you placed a bet and when it is accepted by the sportsbook. And if an event happens during this lap of time or if odds change, your bet will be rejected.
2737  Economy / Gambling / Re: Blackjack.fun | 0.28% House edge | Live tables | Baccarat |Slots| InstantWithraw on: June 04, 2022, 06:36:13 AM
Anyone paying attention to this week's Freeroll list? Looks like we lost one of our weekly Freerolls with a 2mbtc prize every Saturday
It should be 2 days before it starts 35 tables are full but I don't see it on this week's list, has it been removed/discontinued?
or maybe the admin forgot to add it too bad if it's really deleted  Undecided 

Played a few freerolls, not for me. Same people playing it anyway, who don't really need it lol

So no I won't miss it if it's gone, probably good to bring it back later but have a way for newbies to "earn" tickets into it, maybe 1 type with 7-day old accounts only, another for those who've made a deposit, another for regulars. Keep them all separate I would say but maybe now they're focusing on player growth first. IM experience freerolls don't really attract loyal players.

Well adding a few rules would be better than removing this tournament because this tournament is one way to attract attention
Or maybe go back to the previous suggestion each participant needs to buy a ticket to join total prize pool + bonus will be a prize, what do you think?
That's a good suggestion IMO.
The paying tournament could be offered at a small participation fee if it accepts few dozens of people and if it is advertising through mailing to the Blackjack.fun members and through the signature of the campaign participants.
With 35 participants  it would represent 0.057mbtc by player to reach a pool of 2mbtc. And this fee could be lowered if Blackjack.fun give some funds to the pool. A blackjack tournament with entry fee under 0.05mbtc could interest many players IMO.
2738  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Your epic fail experience in gambling on: June 02, 2022, 04:10:53 PM
It's a good way to reduce the risk of spending too much money because the temptation from the casino will be even greater no matter what results in we get.
If we can win money from the game, we should withdraw the winning money as soon as possible and not continue the game because it can trigger us to use more money.
After we suffer a defeat, it's better to stop immediately and calm down, like you said to relieve tension after playing.
At least multiply to stop for a moment so you can still control yourself.
I'm sorry but you can't play to any game if you stop playing immediately after each defeat, because games where you never lose don't exist, that wouldn't be real games. When you play at slots for example, you need to overcome long losing streak of dozens of losses, and sometimes hundreds of them, before getting a big win. The main difficulty is to be able to predict the length of those losing streaks to be able to get over them without wiping out your bankroll by adjusting your stake accurately.
2739  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Hard earned money - Busted in seconds on: June 02, 2022, 03:39:32 PM
A valuable lesson we can take when gambling is not to be too obsessed with winning when we experience losses. Because this can eventually
cause us to lose large amounts of money in a short time. I also experienced it when I first played gambling, I was very obsessed with covering
the losses I experienced by betting bigger every time I lost. Even though it only made me lose money faster and I learned from my mistakes.
Sometimes we don't realize that when playing gambling, the main key to avoiding big losses is to control our emotions. If we can control our emotions,
I believe we can accept when we experience losses and be able to stop before our capital runs out.
When you encounter a big loss, even if you stop your session it doesn't mean you will be able to cope with it after your session. The frustration of having lost a large amount of money could follow you and obsess you. And even if you have been strong enough to stop your session you will come back the next day or the next week to try to recover your loss. People can't borrow money when they are at the casino, they are doing it when they are outside, while they are not gambling anymore. Things are not so simple.
2740  Economy / Gambling / Re: Livecasino.io - 🔥 up to 20% cashback 🔥 up to 20% rakeback 🚨 on: June 02, 2022, 02:49:47 PM
Do not think negatively and do not judge newbie accounts are always cheater, you cant generalize like this.
Even if they are cheater as you judge, livecasino wont let them win because I believe livecasino is professional and know how to deal with cheaters.
Newbie accounts can be alt account of older/higher rank member in this forum because they do not want to use their main account to participate in such contest due to a reason i.e privacy.
It's not mandatory to participate to those contests, if people you are referring to don't want to associate their main account to the contest or the casino, they are free to stay away. Alt accounts shouldn't be allowed to participate as they create suspicion.
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