50 day average or the monthly might be a reasonable target for a rise into July start.   Seems overly optimistic but if it gets the odds it might be worth going for.   I dont imagine it going further then that so those would be my outsider bets for this month, its only slightly off the favorite but over 10x odds seems fair for a possible outcome.     I have to force myself to consider that outcome relatively soon but BTC is volatile, it can do this.  My take overall is we have to prove the lowest prices possibly multiple times, that fits the negative narrative but I never imagine all of one thing occurs in simple ways.

We got a reasonable attempt at a turn around in the price.  Theres no reason to take BTC as a great thing to avoid, the YEN has really great problems underway and EURO is troubled hence it raises Dollar on balance and makes BTC under pressure when its trying to rise.  I do think the price action remains reasonable, nothing worth over reacting to.     I remember the prior bad sell offs and now we have alot of global event news but I dont think the situation is greatly altered from prior negative views of BTC.
   Stay reasonable, dont overcommit is probably best attitude to maintain


Target upside is about a monthly average, 50 day if you like around 27k.   I think we repeat alot for a while but theres opportunities for those keen imo

The biggest clue is continuing pressure or not.   Surprise events with unforeseen negatives would maybe create new lower prices otherwise the most likely general path for BTC is sideways back and forth and thats something its done many times.   People will speculate up and down at various times, for all this year maybe next but we'll just idle on anything larger then short term trades I think is most likely


Here is the weekly average, we challenge and move across this but to really be positive this level of momentum needs to regularly stay below price.   By that reference its possible to see how positive BTC price action is feeling at that time.   For now alot of time and trade has to repair the prior selling, I think its mostly time that people underestimate will need to pass by before BTC is doing ok again.  Its probably for the best that every part of the market has a chance to consider and be involved in BTC at this level, just recovering right back in 10k steps without enough time probably only helps money men more then the regular people who get any spare capital more gradually across a whole year of earnings, etc.

Pretty disappointing, not even a threat of 3 maps or a battle between them.  Navi could have had an off day but I should have just guessed for the favorite on that basis the odds were ok to risk it.

Favorites bet tomorrow would be Astralis, Faze and C9 to win.   Maybe some 3 maps as well.   Shows on HLTV Roobet is running a Fantasy league a big set of games, I havent seen that done before that I can remember, anyone can enter with a prize for correct predictions looks like.   Years ago I would write up reviews for games prior to bet, get some record of win loss percent but was all for fun though some tried running tip services etc. based on that record.   Would be preferable just to do well on this I guess.

2024 isnt exactly that far away, could be as early as FEB month apparently.   I would say generally the 2019 lows are harsh enough to justify a low and genuinely alter the balance between selling and buying strength, at a low enough price its recognized as 'on sale' combined with reluctant sellers or exhaustion of speculative weaker holdings, this is how a low can occur.
   It can be that the price is being put into effect right now, we are seeing action around the 200 week pricing which many make note for longer term holdings.   Suffice to say if you only just decided to sell you are more then a little late to that party.
   We are above both 19k and 20k levels with momentum having price above the 2 day average.  We can have some short term reset when meeting the weekly average, its just above these current highs.  This doesnt mean the price tumbles but sideways slower action may occur.    By these measures we can better decide if a low price has been put in or not.  Weekly bars count mostly.

I reckon if they up the free spins for the top tier holders it may help cement the advantage of having that much and since Spins are a relatively modest reward compared to the giant amount a % cashback or similar can give back to a big gambler, its still a small amount.   It flattens out a little too much for highest amounts though I realize it varies by activity really, all the levels really require people to hold for a year or more to properly benefit.

Another thing to bare in mind regarding FUN price is that its easier for it to go up with a weaker BTC price.  With the benefits being of a more fixed worth and the price is effectively devalued by BTC dropping some so this is part of why the FUN price does rise and should be expected to do so.   Its why I dont especially feel like selling after we went from 20 sats basically gaining 100% in that particular pricing, that movement is supported in this way not especially extended or liable to reversal imo.   I did state this plan a while back, for 2022 I intend to hold so it might as well include FUN in that time appreciation to benefits it has; we have price consolidation and larger effects or bad weather to outlast if you prefer.

I recognized a while back we might get a push into 2019 prices with enough negative sentiment but its tricky to say for how long and with what volume and significance those prices would appear.   Its due to a confluence of factors such as FED tightening and the natural reflux from the 2020 exceptional measures, my personal take is this alignment will not last and we do not see a return to great currency strength witnessed in prior decades as we have progressed far beyond that situation & debt remains liable on short terms with that weight greater then any other factor determining currency as a denominator vs market values.
   
This is just a guess but Dollar Index appears to retract is how I view this chart below, if it should develop downwards and fail to move up further that would help confirm this moment as peak bearish pressure or peak Dollar strength.   Speculation is supporting the FED idea of raising rates but ultimately this possibility is capped, I have no doubt the ability to finance debt at higher rates does not exist.  However the mirage appears real and people are fearful hence we sell off, combined with war and many supply disruptions we are seeing market prices negative and volatility rising on trend.  BTC itself is not especially altered but DXY has not been this high in the entirety of the blockchain transacting hence its a real test of perseverance.

This is the wrong forum section, by caveat emptor its fine if you have some great idea to involve people in trusting a profit will occur but that would come under the marketplace services available part of the forum where people try to sell alot of different things good or bad.    
   'Im not a scammer honest'   great but any personal reputation and services selling would be elsewhere pretty sure.

Try the marketplace: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?board=52.0

BTC price action is continually below the 12hr average, thats quite aggressive negative.  We did attempt the 2 day average briefly but it failed, at that point be ready for a test of support which we have done and resolved downwards.


Weekend going into week start will I presume retest this loss of 19k or so.   Once thats checked we alternate to find the boundary below us and so on, its about the market finding its way through the dark back to a known path and greater confidence.

I can remember 2018 year end being very gloomy, doesnt even feel that long ago to me due to real life events that happened round that time.   I can also remember that was a good period to observe gold had likely lost its almost decade long downtrend.
   Problem we might have now is the Dollar index was at that time ready to lose value again and no doubt FED moves helped the speculative pickup in quite a few assets.   Right now YEN is weak making Dollar stronger then it would be otherwise, also Europe due to the war is supporting a higher Dollar FIAT value by lack of a counter trade in currency.    None of this has to dictate terms but it does seem to indicate we wont get the quick transition that end 2018 saw into the 2019 summer peak prices, that was quite rapid.

I saw a whole TV show, it might have been a small series about somebody who did this.  Sold all he owed to risk it on red and its not 50/50 due to the house taking a spot as everyone knows but for this amount you might as well get the free hotel room and some drinks for your trouble win or lose.   Is that possible and stay within BTC Im not sure, possibly a casino would arrange it or surely some operation in crypto will sponsor an event just for hype of such a bet.  
   Simplest thing in the world would be to go look up a few big twitch streamers who gamble and ask them for thoughts and any options, not too much hassle to talk briefly I reckon.  Apparently the top streamers can clear a million a month which surprises me but they wont be too overwhelmed and would appreciate the content for their stream possibly, who knows.     I would never rush a bet like this but Im boring like that so kudos for those that can

Market trades are like trying to hold a snake, it will double back on you and bite you.  When you let go it will do as it wishes anyway and resume its course from beyond your position.   Price action isnt often going to continue in simple straight lines across days and weeks because it would be entirely simple to benefit.   Price levels test boundaries before moving in the path of least resistance but usually it has find a lack of sellers or buyers before that.

Ok bit of a fantasy video but the main take away I agree with is massive volatility occurs and upset, obviously the fall of even a little government like Greece a few years back was causing monumental disruptive waves and in the end it was so tiny the larger parts of the EU just absorbed it all.   Wasn't fixed because it was down to fraud really and should not have been upheld for the tax payers to carry as a burden for generations.   The people suffering from that debt today as new workers and families weren't even alive when it was agreed to and thats why the traditional system we know now likely doesnt continue because the trillions accumulated are in no way fair or conducive to capitalism.
   Dont let anyone you know say it was capitalism that failed, centralism and central banks isnt capitalism, its politics.

Part of the gains is in the yield, the benefits.   Anyone who bets a fair amount, its a no brainer to at least have some.  Thats partly why I think it'll be ok if the site has the same or greater usage you are part of that long term continued trade.

Underdog bet is for when you dont mind losing a small amount and think its reasonable somehow everyone could be wrong.   Betting Lewis does the impossible isnt a bad idea but maybe it should be 50 to 1 to be good value for the chance he has, Im not sure but dont bet big amounts on what is not going to happen most times.  I can remember Panis winning Monaco in the rain despite rarely even placing, rain is a good time to go outsider type bets in F1 if you can guess the weather is erratic it helps.

It shouldnt matter if its a working idea and their commitment is long term.   No doubt it took time to develop the idea and they havent been able to come to market before now with double checking all aspects are operational.   Really crypto requires involvement and trade occurring at low prices and high prices regardless because the majority of the interest cannot just be speculating on a price or the people who say its a pyramid scheme will be a step closer to being proven right.   Gambling with crypto has been a consistent business ongoing for years so I dont conclude its a mistake, just has to be regular and reliable so people have faith in it.

I hope this is correct, certainly seems well founded because the path to accuracy in predictions is multiple perspectives of which these indicators should give some insight.   Even if we are forming the bottom pricing it still requires testing and probably we do that multiple times before moving substantially later.
  I think we might take this whole year, there is still a ton of doubt circulating and the majority of people dont derive any confidence from these array of analytics so confidence is low and I think price also will take time to develop.
The price action is really close to the bottom, we dont have any clear momentum upwards.   The process to turn this around from negative to positive, first we arrest the fall and stabilize and probably require time to do so.

We need more of these threads, when people are all doom its time to be optimistic so I celebrate and thank OP for the insight into crowd dynamics in fear.    It would be best not to name 1 particular nominal figure because Dollar is not static anyway, we keep printing more of them into circulation far more then GDP growth would justify.   Whatever the bottom price it'll be tested more then once I think or we'll get some ridiculous spike down that we barely see because it was done and dusted before most had time to trade it personally.  That how I view 20k mostly, it was too brief imo and Im not sure it contains alot of volume so I expect multiple tests.

Tulips are a product still used hundreds of years later, if thats the comparison I hope BTC does as well.

OG is wrecking everyone.  Flamez ace'd fairly easily vs a team far ahead of his on their map pick I was just watching.   ENCE were doing great, ranked #2 but nope they lose the match in 2 maps and wreck my bet dam it.   I'll be lucky to just break even today, I have split it up more but my favorites multi failed from Navi losing to OG  but also Faze getting 5 rounds on dust2 is close to diabolical lol 
  I should avoid betting on a team that just won the major, its a psychological effect similar deal to world cup winners after they win in soccer.

 Story rings true, it happened in Australia also, search for petrol or gas station owners receive millions. They fled the country in a yacht I believe, not legal as they had a business they had duty to return but the Japanese man Im not sure.

This gambling fortune doesnt make sense to me but its not a one off.   IF you win millions through luck or fate somehow then I dont see why it's then gamble fodder.  I would buy nice car, boat, house, everything.   Why do I gamble after winning I know people do that but I suggest joining a racing club or some other pursuit of adrenaline might actually be more profitable.     At this point buy a race horse!  become the person on the race course if you are that rich why not go for it.  Buy the casino if you are really rich

Navi result is erratic, they are well off their best game unfortunately.  I did fear that and won on 3 maps at least once but I included them once too often in multis with the other games of which I got all correct.   3 maps seems a good bet for most of Blast matches now but I put it separately this time but also 1 bet for all the favorites to pull through which is fair.   Navi can beat Big, odds reflect some doubts but perhaps it should be even at this point not sure.