I think calculating the correlation coefficient will give you what you want.  Expect it will be quite high. 

Badger doesn’t want to rescue my wee outstanding short.  So sad. Too bad.

This has been a bullish dump

So far, at a macro level, it matches almost exactly.  Don’t ask me why, I just work here.

Please sir no one deserves that

Block size changes or other features are not an emergency.  

If a hard fork is necessary, and the community agrees to the change, then it can be planned in advance.  The most likely outcome is that lightning would not skip a beat.  Keep in mind that the only interaction between lightning and main net is opening and closing a multi-sig transaction.  A block increase should not, all other things being equal, have any impact on an open multi-sig transaction.  A planned hard fork can test in advance and address any potential bugs.  

Keep in mind that the entire ethos of Bitcoin development is not to have any hard forks so we are still talking about a very low probability event.  

Edit:


Also if parties are cooperating, they can close their channels instantly.  They dont need an onchain transaction to close.  I get your point about how potentially it could make hard forks harder, but a hard fork doesn't have to affect lightning at all.  It probably wouldnt.  

There has never been an emergency hardfork on Bitcoin.

For an emergency hardfork to happen on Bitcoin, would require an existential threat to the network.  In those circumstances you better shut your channels right smart.  

If the hard fork destroys the lighting network and you cannot close your channels in time, tough shit.  The integrity of main net takes precedence and everyone knows it.  Maybe you will lose your coins locked to lightning, maybe the person who gets them will be honourable and return them, maybe the hard fork will force close channels.  Who knows.  Lightning is intended for low value, high volume payments.  It is not intended to be as secure as main net.  

Security is expensive, horrifically so in a decentralised context.  If you want strong security, don't put anything on lighting. 

Keep in mind we are talking about a very low probability event.  Bitcoin is riddled with low probability events that could destroy it.  Quantum computing, global government ban, SHA-256 is broken, all intel/amd processors get backdoored etc etc.  

Cool false alarm.  He last posted there on 15 Feb and is showing as active today so he's ok.  Probably too busy drinking rum and lying in the sun. 

When was the last time Bitcoin had an emergency hard fork?

So umm Elwar put his seastead in the water on 2 February and hasn’t posted since 5 February.  Is that right ?

Has anyone heard from him?

Nah.  We are supposed to track sideways until October 2019.  No manipulation required.

No it is a change in parameters, width of the pipe rather than how much water flows through the pipe.



https://twitter.com/aantonop/status/1100425255062065153?s=21

They show up to meetings on time

Get a local to run an extension cord across the border

How about a nice daily chart

Edit:




I made a lot of money out of Dentacoin back in the day...