Consider that price isnt the most important thing, its the ongoing usage that is superior.  Imagine price falling is a necessary lubricant to keep interest and volume high enough for the network to continue and this is a higher purpose then the price on any particular day this year.  If we have to fall the whole of 2022 then so be it, celebrate that BTC continues on and is very likely to be able to regain any price lost this year so what is the real harm especially so long as the greater purpose is served.
  People tend to feel BTC is weaker at the lower price, it can be that it stays stronger for that fall and flexibility; its the market purpose which is surpassing price and individual desire for gains.

The lesson is be rich enough to take a private plane or ship into international waters for your gambling needs, then you are legal.   Lots of things are quite unfair if you dont have money, I wouldnt worry too much about your gambling usage just dont hold too much at once is probably the solution I guess but mostly you should not be hassled in any more moderate solution.

A move down to prices in the 20's even the low 20k area wouldnt really be a crash at this point, its just a development of this prior action known.  Its nothing close to positive but neither is it unforeseeable hence I would not describe it as a crash especially.    BTC is under pressure currently, we know alot of speculative points far and diverse across the market are suffering downwards pressure,  I find BTC reaction still moderately positive comparatively.
  The most negative phase will be the test or threat of 2019 pricing which would be too far for some, only the 200 week average is still pushing upwards now so thats where I expect the market to check should we persist in a negative trend.

It shouldnt be a question of poverty, really BTC needs to be the product that excludes nobody if at all possible.   I always had faith this is what the 'bit' part of BTC meant, the smallest people not silly obsession with whales.
  
In one way thats bullish that we have so much potential ahead of us and price manages to move this far so far.   Also its about the audience availability and convenience, to have aspirations for mainstream the product must be the easiest path to take.  The giant long address sequence cant be said to be easy to remember or use, its cumbersome but so were the first cars thats ok.   So we'll need more development, people can and do use QR codes so thats the indicated level of ease comparatively required for greater BTC usage that is really hands off no effort type transaction thats superior to the traditional FIAT or digital centralized route.  

We have high inflation right now and you have more then a hint why its still dangerous to take a loan. There is great upset and possible volatility and instability to the economy while that inflation takes place, not every person can be sure of repaying the loan so confidence is low.  Low confidence across an entire economy leads to low growth feeding the problems that might be causing the inflation to begin with.
  There is no ideal isolated scenario for this, the study and theory of taking the loan is quite different from the reality unfortunately but its not incorrect still.

Big blip on a small picture.    Best thing outside of trading is dont go below weekly bars when trying to draw a conclusion, the market gets pretty wiggly at times.     

Yesterday we had a blip down which was not surprising because overall markets were also quite negative.  It didnt stick, I think that might be some indication market is not as negative as it appears.   Certainly would be a nice surprise, other reasoning would be many moving averages are aligned with highest recent prices so we have a ceiling of falling momentum.   If we were step above that decline it stands to reason the relief rally might be a decent one.  Its the trends not the singular sharp move so much I hope to spot out.

Consider looking at your graph with candlesticks for 30 seconds on a regular basis.   I started off on line charts, its much simpler which for a graph is good but its also containing less information.  Line shows closing price only, candles describe what occurred during that time frame.

Dollar is rising, simple answer to the question might be the best you will get.   Its never exactly that simple but BTC tends to rise on cycles up and down and it lost quite alot of momentum when price made a new high but could not follow through on that.   Thats helped aided the trend to sell, tends to be the case with speculative price action it will reverse back out but overall BTC has a longer trend and its still positive.   
  Dollar value is still falling overall again long term so I dont see its all much of a threat, waves break and they recede thats a timeless action you can say will always happen.

Thats not an unreasonable take but there are no absolute limits to price action and quite simply not every price, every day or week is accurate sometimes its noise.     There are outside outlier prices recorded on low volume amounts and generally this action is discarded automatically as insignificant, on some days of the year there is so much fear and upset the erratic prices will register with enough volume to show as normal.   Thats when we can get a bullish pin, a sharp spike down that recovers.   We can trade below 20k, does it matter beyond that day is more of a question.
   I do wonder about this prior 2017 high because it was cast in the midst of a transaction backlog, the liquidity from real users was reduced.  I wont be as worried as normal if we do need to test beyond 200 week or even 2019 highs despite appearing to be especially extreme.   As always its going to be hard to judge calmly in the noise if this should occur.
  
If dollar were ever to fall off its perch and its appearing nothing close to that right now, but if that was happening all prices would become unreliable at that time.   Great opportunity and chaos really, it would be destructive but market upset or disorderly markets rely more on personal judgement and attributable worth people can ascertain, do not make the mistake of believing every story broadcast to be perfectly founded or every price correct beyond that short term moment.

The Stake thingymebob that appears when loading, is just sitting there currently.  Is that just me its delaying the loading for or is there similar delay for others, I'll try again when I come back.   I only wanted to check bet results so not super urgent anyway.   This dodar gif thing:




Thats really big, congrats

Some learn, most dont would be more accurate.  The market repeats itself alot, maybe the majority of trades are done for speculative reasons, borrowed money flows within the market and people buy knowing they have no choice to sell later so its just a bet in effect.   Thats the reason we tend to go in circles or cycles and guessing if we are finally positive or negative in conclusion is the wider call.

Right now we had some bearish news event and DXY or dollar index is rising back up again, dramatically so.  It certainly seems like it would effect matters but BTC is relatively untouched for today at least, main markets have pulled back quite alot in reaction.

I placed some on Lewis because he is a great talent and experience with the career span of many in sports extending past previous generations so I dont doubt him personally.   I dont know his car will be the competitive or in a dominant place it was last year.   With these high odds, many doubt him but he is the type that can win from the back of the grid in some circumstance only a few can claim to be that able.

The most universally relevant subject to study would be the probability branch of mathematics and in this its highly applicable for the pure numbers side to a game even minus a person you can 'autopilot' out the trajectory of most games.    Sociology or psychology I think would be more relevant there as to what motivates people in terms of playing vs knowing it is a business with a cost to it.  You could theorize the flight fight response and how this raises adrenaline levels and could be linked to gambling.   Like alot of high energy sports there is a large amount of risk and competetive element in there that we as humans are motivated to take part in from our heritage as hunter gatherers.  
  Economics I find only relevant via gambling as an instrument of taxation in an economy.  Law because gambling is often restricted is relevant from that sideline.

Its not an actual effect, its a perception or speculative alteration of sentiment.   The Federal reserve cannot raise interest rates above inflation, they can only make noises to reduce the dilution of the US dollar.   Whatever they do its like clapping your hands at an errant bear, sometimes it works but the FED isnt in control thats delusional imo.  Its still going to be true that 2023 the US dollar declines at some rate of decay in its value, within ten years its easily possible to say the value will have halved which is quite incredible.
    Because its gradual people are accustomed to always losing money they have earnt, I guess I would relate it to propaganda we accept it as normal when its not correct for your earnings to removed from your wallet afterwards its kinda ridiculous.    BTC is effected by negative sentiment right now but the Dollar itself is on the same negative gradient its had for decades so I only see trading themes.  
  
Market news is always expected vs actual, surprise downside or upside.   +50 basis pts will be normal I think

I already do pay people to manage funds but thats mainstream main market dealing of normal stocks and commodities.   For crypto I think its far more volatile and disruptive as its still the wild west compared to the main economy which has been there for centuries.      Theres always the chance I take some fund where the manager decides to hold crypto, thats his choice vs regulation and all the other factors but I trade my own crypto and I also bet it when I want, I dont need a manager really.
  It might be more relevant to high worth people who have a company registered that can handle this all, companies can back date losses (vs tax) across six years and this is advantageous but me as a sole person nope.

Stanislaw world class IGL playing at the moment for a team called Bhop, how the great have fallen.    On the basis he does have alot of experience I put down 3 maps vs Bad news bears.    

Another one Complexity are in theory not a bad team, ranked 24 over their opponents in Dubai tomorrow; OG ranked over 30.  However the odds are close to 4 to 1 for Col to win because they have been crash and burn in most recent games.   Can they come back in the heat ?  I'll go with 2-1 OG win just for fun
& a multi all the favorites to win Dubai Thurs

Blast Premier next Weds

I would have guessed ENCE (World rank: #3) from the games I saw they were on top form but the result I see now is a collapse, what happened I missed it I was driving the whole day unfortunately.     I mean the best games are close and this was not close, it was a disaster with best of 5 and 2 out of the 3 maps played being ENCE picks but they fell off the edge of the map, only 3 rounds won on that last map Ancient.   They ran out of battery ?  Did they go drinking or something. 
  Hard to get inside peoples heads for what occurred, C9 perhaps just had kept their powder dry and counter strat hard.   I would have bet wrong by at least thinking more maps played, lucky escape.   Will have to investigate some, reminds me of an old bet I wiped out on where the game was delayed hours until past midnight & they lost bad as favorites

Why should it be fake, the price is not always the same everywhere.   Theres a New York price, theres a Europe price on a few different things because the market vary by time and location maybe risk premium in some countries; I know for sure the BTC price varies quite alot in some parts of the world.
   Somebody is quite welcome to buy cheap and sell high if it benefits them, if theres a free ride of some kind thats not an unknown type of event.  Usually the gap closes because the oversupply condition stops existing or theres some risk to taking that trade, the cost and time of transferring the balance would be one.  If I have a balance both places and can immediately sell one buy the other, sounds ideal actually; I think it happens everyday in various markets.

I did a spread like that for month end, some results are more profitable then others.  Others might only mean break even or a small loss, beats an all out loss.

Wouldnt this site have the highest volume of FUN bought and sold because its the central hub and place people get the benefits for holding it.     Theres other prices but volume weighted its likely to center around most of the trade done here.  Its possible they just dont include other order books in the pricing here and rely on natural market arbitrage to bring other prices similar to this one.

I dont know we have to be so specific to just wheat, I agree its an important market but my overall take is commodities are booming in this decade and probably beyond that.   The reasons are fairly clear, we have a large amount of the world population outside of the west emerging from multiple decades of decline namely China and India.  If the world has a requirement for growth in commodities because those two countries are becoming more developed not purely agrarian then the production of food will become more important.
   I think agriculture and fertilizer production are two of those commodities, Russia doesnt have to invade another country but Ukraine is a natural competitor to them and with valuable assets such as their ports on the black sea.   Without transport via shipping Ukraine will require the alternative of 1 million truck loads to sell their grain, thats the scenario at present where Russia just retains their current captured land.     Its a war about money and power over assets yet again, the rest is an excuse for killing.


Food waste is recycled in quite a few countries now, it is a waste not to of course.  Any rubbish dump can become explosive for reasons related to that as gas naturally occurs from decomposition and accumulates until ignited.  I think India that happened recently, waste management is respected quite a few places now but still great improvements do need to be made.    Part of the commodity cycle is higher prices incentivizing the investment into recycling goods to be reused also

India has very few oil reserves like China, two of the worlds most populated countries but they do intend to have refining capability and have built alot of assets on that basis.   They need to process oil to justify the cost of those operations while having little oil and with elevated market prices probably not creating much opportunity.  They might fall in line later on but Im not sure if they are allied with Russia or not, seems they are not from last Ive read on it.   Pakistan changed leader after appearing to back Putin, the government dismissed the prime minster though that too is disputed no doubt.