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301  Local / Ekonomi, Politik, dan Budaya / Re: Sulitnya Mengedukasi Masyarakat Untuk Menolak Amplop Para Calon! on: February 16, 2024, 06:35:02 PM
Memang sulit dan gak bisa dihindari juga jika menurut saya,jika tidak diambil mungkin ya dia sedang ada kebutuhan yang mungkin sayang sekali untuk menolak amplop calon caleg tersebut.
Karena kita gak tau ya kebutuhan dan keperluan orang mungkin sedang terdesakkah(dan sulit cari pinjaman).
Memang ada sebagian orang yang memanfaatkan momen itu dan jumlah uang nya lumayan loh gak main-main 1 hari bisa dapat 1jt bahkan lebih jaminan nya ktp saja dan harus menycoblos calon caleg tersebut.
2019 dan 2024 sistemnya berbeda. Tidak disemua daerah, tapi didaerah saya itu terjadi menurut pengalaman yang sudah saya jalani. 2019 sistem amplop pemilu lebih tertutup dan tidak semuanya menerima atau kebagian akibat cara yang tertutup.
Di pemilu 2024, amplop tidak lagi menjadi tertutup. Semua orang sudah tau dan sudah menunggunya untuk diterima.

Besaran jumlah yang diterima dalam amplop berbeda dan tidak dalam jumlah besar. Tertinggi 100k per amplop dan per jenis pemilihan. Jika jenis pemilihannya DPR RI, 100k tidak mungkin diberikan per 1 suara karena jangkauannya luas.
Beda dengan DPRD yang lebih sempit jangkauan wilayahnya per daerah pemilihan.

Bagi yang sudah terima, saat hari H, pilih jangan tidak pilih.
302  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: February 16, 2024, 05:52:45 PM
I think both of these games are big candidates to be very competitive and lovely to watch. My favourite sides for these games are Inter and Napoli honestly. I don't think Inter would lose or draw with Atletico Madrid home while they are in a great shape. When it comes to the other game I don't like Barcelona at all this season. They are really weak at defending. This can be a good advantage for Napoli home together with Osimhen's return from AFCON.  Smiley
Inter Milan can possibly win if they play at home. It is difficult for Napoli to see them achieve victory at home even though Barcelona has not been good this season.
Osimhen's return to the squad could provide good news to consider Napoli's possible victory against Barcelona.
I repeat again that Barcelona's strength is difficult to predict if they compete in the UEFA Champions League competition.
303  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2023/24 Season on: February 15, 2024, 09:14:20 AM
I won't be that easy to believe in Roma performance even though the new coach has had a slight influence on improving performance, but competing at UEL is not an easy job.
We are speculating on betting and I am a little doubtful that in the 1st leg it looks like Roma will lose because Feyenoord seems to be in good condition without having any problems.
It looks like Feyenoord will at least score 1 winning score but if De Rossi has a strategy not to lose or hold a draw I think it would be better and take revenge in the 2nd leg match when Roma is the host.
UEL is not an easy job which is different from the domestic league. The UEL competition is more difficult to read the opponent's strength.
There are doubts about the result of the match in Rotterdam which means that AS Roma could lose. I think it is likely that it will only be a draw even if Feyenoord plays as hosts.
AS Roma in Serie A is not doing well but has started to improve and this will be a sign that Feyenoord needs to be wary of them.

AS Roma has good goal statistics in the last few matches, so against Feyenoord it will not be difficult for De Rossi's squad to score goals.
A draw would be the best target if achieved.
304  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: What if? (2) on: February 15, 2024, 08:26:01 AM
-snip-

But, what if it really happen in the future?

What will happen to Bitcoin if in the future we will be experiencing this internet apocalypse?
Ruined and confused all human work. All elements of society cannot be separated from the internet because the internet has become a basic need for everyone, even though a small number of areas do not have internet access like the one we use all the time.
If an internet apocalypse occurs and all human work activities stop, Bitcoin may experience the same thing next.
I think the internet apocalypse will occur when this world and all the inhabitants on all planets no longer exist.
305  Local / Altcoins (Bahasa Indonesia) / Re: Doge menyimpan rencana besar on: February 15, 2024, 08:12:58 AM
Doge coin sebuah shitcoin yang memiliki popularitas yang cukup besar serta jaringan yang luar dalam waktu cepat, saat halving terjadi doge coin di beli oleh elon dengan jumlah yang banyak dengan adanya dorongan maka peminat dogen coin semakin bertambah, tidak semua orang kaya dengan membeli doge banyak juga yang rugi karena membeli pas harga di atas tapi sampai saat ini belum ada pergerakan yang meyakinkan trader besar untuk membelinya.
Dogecoin tidak lagi layak untuk dikatakan sebagai meme coin selama ini karena Dogecoin memiliki komunitas dan poplularitas yang besar di ruang kripto bagi pelaku pasar.
Semua orang dengan mudah bisa mendapatkan jumlah Dogecoin sesuai keinginan karena harga yang dapat dijangkau.

Disaat orang sudah mengetahui perjalanan Dogecoin di pasar, mereka berani membeli dalam jumlah banyak dan membiarkannya tersimpan untuk jangka waktu yang lama dikarenakan pengalaman saat melihat bagaimana peningkatan harga yang pernah terjadi pada koin yang berlogo anjing ini.
Mengharapkan peningkatan besar lagi seperti yang pernah terjadi akan sulit. Bila peningkatan tinggi terjadi lagi, tidak akan sama seperti dulu.
306  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: February 15, 2024, 07:59:17 AM
The recent Champions League matches were pretty boring. I wasn't impressed by Real Madrid against Leipzig and Bayern is definitely in a decline. Manchester City won without any problems, but I don't think that they are in their best shape. It would be nice if Lazio wins(or makes a draw) against Bayern in Germany. I really like it when smaller teams eliminate the bigger and wealthier teams from the big tournaments like the Champions league. This proves that football isn't dead and money aren't everything in this sport. And yes, Thomas Tuchel isn't a coach for Bayern. He must be sacked.
I only watched the Lazio vs Bayern Munich match for 20 minutes. After that I switched to the PSG vs Real Sociedad match. During the 20 minutes of the Lazio vs Bayern Munich match, not many moments happened and in my opinion the match was a little boring.
The PSG match was more interesting and I was very entertained even though the first goal only came in the second half. Real Sociedad put up quite a good fight even though the PSG players who were included in the line up gave their best play to get the expected results.

If four matches give a boring impression, then four more matches will not be boring.
Napoli vs Barcelona and Inter Milan vs Atletico Madrid will be interesting matches.
307  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: February 14, 2024, 09:25:23 PM
I can't really understand the behavior of Barcelona with their player, Frenkie de Jong. We all know Barcelona is not in a good situation and buying any new player is impossible for them. Also, Frenkie de Jong was recently one of the best players in this team but they don't respect him enough. Barcelona even tried to sell De Jong to Manchester United but his performance made them keep this player. Now he is sad because Barcelona is not willing to extend his offer to pay him more salary and that's why he could leave.


This photo is able to provide various perceptions and views of Frenkie de Jong.
Firmness in principle to stay at Camp Nou when offers from Manchester United were rejected several times, at that time I thought that Frenkie de Jong was ready if something unexpected happened to him at Barcelona.

Choosing to accept the final offer submitted with a high bargaining value by Manchester United could result in him getting a main place in the Manchester United squad. de Jong is a player who can play in several positions, Onana, who often makes mistakes, is still the main choice there.
But between Frenkie de Jong and Barcelona they will find the best solution regarding this information.
308  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Why are people getting scared to Trade on: February 14, 2024, 09:04:55 PM
Lately, I have noticed in most crypto groups I'm in,  many crypto enthusiasts are increasingly participating in airdrops and crypto events organized by exchanges or project developers to earn USDT or tokens. Is it because these "people" are afraid to trade or they do not believe they can make money from trading? Don't get me wrong, I understand that this can also generate passive income, but what I'm curious about is whether these activities truly yield significant profits or not.
In my opinion, the most obvious reason why people are afraid to trade is because the expected profit is smaller than the loss obtained. This reason is strengthened by not having adequate knowledge about trading. They also can't afford to think every day about technical and fundamental analysis, so it's not wrong if the people you mean are willing to spend time involved in airdrops that don't require them to spend money.

309  Local / Ekonomi, Politik, dan Budaya / Re: Kekhawatiran menjelang Pemilu on: February 14, 2024, 08:42:36 PM
Disisi lain, yang menjadi perhatian saya adalah jumlah golput, biasanya disinilah awal dari kecurangan. Sebab kertas suara Pemilih Golput tersebut sangat berpotensi di salah gunakan, semoga saja kali ini kecurangannya menjadi lebih sedikit dari sebelumnya. Indikator kesuksesan Pemilu bisa dinilai dari banyak hal, salah satunya adalah minimnya kecurangan yang terjadi di TPS.
Kata disalahgunakan itu sama saja dengan kecurangan. Main jujur saja. Haruskah saya mengatakan dengan sejujurnya bahwa kecurangan itu ada yang dilakukan dengan cara paling lembut.
Saya kira sebagian besar dari kita dapat menilai sendiri bagaimana pola yang dapat disalahkangunakan.
Salah satu celah untuk itu dengan memanfaatkan situasi besaran angka yang memilih untuk tidak datang ke TPS atau yang agan sebut dengan nama golput.

Golput adalah celah paling besar untuk dapat dimanfaatkan sebaik mungkin. Bagi yang pernah terlibat sebagai penyelanggara di tingkat PPS dan KPPS, saya kira sudah sangat paham metode yang akan dilakukan.
Sekarang saya baru saja bangun dan mendatangi TPS tempat saya memilih, jam segini mereka masih melakukan perekapan data di tingkat TPS.
Jam-jam seperti inilah waktu terbaik untuk bermain, stamina saksi sudah pada habis.
Sebagai warga negara yang baik, niat harus baik dan perbuatan juga harus baik. Jika kita sudah memilih sesuai dengan pilihan. Itu sudah menjalankan yang terbaik.
310  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: February 14, 2024, 08:23:30 PM
today it looks like the PSG vs Real Sociedad match will be much more interesting than the Lazio vs Bayern Munich match. Because Bayern Munich has an opponent that is not very balanced in my opinion, I prefer to see the match for PSG because at least there is a little balance in terms of performance even though Real Sociedad has started to not be very good in some of its matches recently. However, in the Champions League anything can happen because Real Sociedad can also surprise PSG with their performance.
In my opinion, Lazio will be a balanced opponent if you assess Bayern Munich's performance in the last few matches. Bayern Munich's overall performance is indeed above Lazio's, so we can judge that Lazio is not a balanced opponent for a team like Bayern Munich in the Champions League.
Both matches are now past the first 20 minutes, but no goals have yet been scored.
Now, I have moved on to the PSG vs Real Sociedad match to see how they both play.
311  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2023/24 Season on: February 13, 2024, 04:30:19 PM
-snip-
Liverpool have everything they need to take this trophy home especially with their vast experience and excellent players. Bayer Leverkusen who’re coasting high under Xabi Alonso still have a shot and I now see them cementing that hope with their win against Bayern Munich, this is supposed to scare other teams that they real mean business and are ready to put up a fight for that title.
Between the two of them, who is your favorite if they both make it to the final match?
Because of this, we realize that Bayern Leverkusen is at the peak of its best game this season. But we in England are also trying to achieve the best this season according to our abilities.
There's no way Alonso will let victory go to Liverpool, who has nostalgia between himself and Liverpool.

Liverpool and Bayern Leverkusen are the teams with the most predictions as teams that will be able to advance to the final. Personally, I feel this is encouraging, but it is too much to assume that there is no team as strong as the two of them.
312  Local / Altcoins (Bahasa Indonesia) / Re: Apakah anda membeli koin meme untuk bull run selanjutnya on: February 13, 2024, 04:04:52 PM
Setiap bull run terjadi pasti ada coin baru yang muncul, pilihan terbaik untuk menghadapi  terjadinya bulk run ke depan kita harus lebih teliti dalam membeli terutama coin meme,
Agan sangat yakin dengan coin meme apalagi yang lagi trending topik silahkan saja agan beli asal yakin dan berani mengambil keputusan yang tepat bagi agan.
Jika saya memilih altcoin untuk menunggu bull run terjadi lebih pada altcoin top yang punya popularitas yang bagus.
Meme coin bukan sebuah kepastian akan mengalami nasib yang indah saat bull run tiba. Pilihan terbaik untuk altcoin pada masa bull run yang top 50. Dikecilkan lagi dari 50 ke 20 daftar marketcap.

Meme coin yang sudah kita lalui beberapa tahun yang lalu bisa menjadi pengalaman jika meme coin tidak akan menjadi pilihan yang terbaik termasuk saat bull run. Pengalaman tersebut memberikan penjelasan untuk memilih altcoin yang berpotesi daripada meme coin meski akan meme coin baru akan muncul.
Top 10 hingga top 50 atau sampai top 100. Kalau meme coin, saya ragu bisa mendapatkan pengembalian besar saat bull run.
313  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Day trading or Long term on: February 13, 2024, 03:40:52 PM
-snip-
-snip-
So risks taking would really be the main issue here on each individual on which not all people or investor would really be having the guts on doing so and just simply choosing up on holding instead
rather than on making some active trades.
Risks must be taken whether big or small. The courage to take risks depends on how each individual carries out crypto market activities. For experienced investors, the courage to take risks on Bitcoin investments is not a difficult thing to do, except for other coins that are not as strong as Bitcoin.

Experienced Bitcoin investors only think about the chance of Bitcoin reaching the highest price. As long as they think the current price is still far from the predicted next all-time high price, they are still not afraid to buy courage.
In contrast to individuals who use Bitcoin for daily or short-term trading. Maybe this situation makes them overwhelmed in monitoring market prices.
314  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: February 13, 2024, 03:22:24 PM


All analysis and predictions about the Napoli vs Barcelona match are better saved for now. We will wait to see who is closest to the reality of the results that will occur in leg 1.

Today, two matches will take place at the same time. FC Kobenhavn vs Manchester City and RB Leipzig vs Real Madrid. Discussing these two matches is more appropriate. Manchester City, who is the defending champion, is predicted to easily secure a place in the next round.
Tonight, Manchester City will not disappoint because the hosts, FC Kobenhavn, did not perform very well during the group phase.

Real Madrid, who are dominant because of their stable performance in the domestic league, could possibly get 3 points when facing RB Leipzig.
As the favorite team in away matches, Real Madrid must be able to score goals at the Red Bull Arena.
315  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: February 12, 2024, 08:25:30 PM
-snip-

No, I am not considering a draw even though Barcelona drew against Granada in La Liga yesterday. Barcelona must return home with a win from the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, they must fight and win an important victory from the first leg. Probability does not show who is the favorite in this match, but Barcelona is a team that has better experience in the Champions League than Napoli and this is what will differentiate the two teams.
It's not a problem if you don't consider a draw and remain optimistic that Barcelona will return to Spain with full points.
In terms of experience and winning mentality, you have similarities with me in seeing that side. The experience and mentality of winning in this big European tournament, Barcelona is superior to Napoli, but this cannot always be used as a guide to predicting the outcome of a match between two teams who are not in the best playing form. That's why I think that the most likely scenario to occur amidst conditions like that is a draw.
316  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: What about the lost BTC? on: February 12, 2024, 08:07:53 PM
Knowing that BTC has a limit, and we're getting there soon, isn't it possible to have some compensation for those lost BTC?
I don't think this is about deposits in private banks or government-owned banks getting compensation if the assets held there are lost.
Loss of assets is absolutely the responsibility of the owner. If Bitcoin is an asset that has been lost, then no compensation will be obtained. The question is, where will we collect the lost BTC?

Even assets held in private banks or government-owned banks will not immediately provide compensation if the loss occurs and is not caused by them on the part of the bank.
The one who has complete control over Bitcoin ownership is the owner. If you lose the key, you will lose Bitcoin from your Bitcoin ownership status. The number of Bitcoins has not changed, remaining 21 million.
317  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Day trading or Long term on: February 12, 2024, 07:40:35 PM
So I have been trying to wrap my head around which is a better option, day trading crypto or buying for long term keep.
While they both have their pros and cons, they both come with a form of risk and they are meant to generate profit.
The major difference between them is that day trading tend to make profit from small market volatility, while hodling make profit from the bigger change in crypto value.
  Day trading involves more techniques, self discipline and rational decision making.
Which do you prefer and think is better
Bitcoin price is past $50K. If $49.8K is currently the trading price, then a return to $50K is very close.
The market is experiencing quite promising things to look forward to Bitcoin's new ATH which is likely to occur unexpectedly. There are no altcoin graphs that are red, all have increased due to Bitcoin experiencing an upward price spike.

In reality, doing daily trading is not bad, but being a holder is better if we analyze what is happening lately. Holders who choose not to trade daily really feel the positive impact compared to traders who choose daily trading apart from the necessary techniques and strategies.
318  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: February 12, 2024, 07:17:51 PM
Barcelona isn't any better either so I aswell will not be expecting Barcelona to beat Napoli, moreover this is champions league an snot their various domestic leagues where they are usually able to put up any form of performance and be able to still get ahead probably because they are used to the style of play in their domestic league.
Because both of them are not in the best playing form in the domestic league, when they compete in the first leg of the Champions League in round 16, it is difficult to predict how the result will be.
Even though Barcelona is not very good in La Liga, it is possible that they can get the desired results if judged from the experience and winning mentality that the Blaugrana have.
Not so good in the domestic league, it is not certain that in the Champions League they will also perform less convincingly.

The enthusiasm to get to the final round is probably still very strong in the minds of Barcelona players and coaches.
Leg 1 in Italy, I analyzed if Barcelona could get points. Bad scenario for the results of the 1st leg, I'm sure it will be a draw.
319  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Premier League 2023/2024 Discussion Thread ⚽ on: February 10, 2024, 09:12:58 AM
Manchester City vs Everton

Everton will be playing Manchester City at Etihad. Will they be able to stop them from entering the top of the premier league table for the first time this season?
-snip-
Everton stopped Manchester City's progress at the Etihad Stadium, of course not but it doesn't rule out the possibility that it could happen even though the chance is too small for it to happen.
Why? because Everton this season is not a better team than other bottom teams. This season it is predicted that Everton will be able to make a difference as happened last season when they were almost relegated, but until now there has been no significant change in their performance.

People who will bet on the possibility that Everton will be able to stop Manchester City from topping the standings are those who are prepared to lose money even though in a football match, a team that is considered weak can turn out to be a very strong team. For this fight, I don't think that applies.
320  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: The Psychology of Investing in Bitcoin on: February 10, 2024, 08:44:03 AM
-snip-

What are your thoughts on this ~ Let's discuss
I think it's too complicated to think about too many terms that appear in the investment world. If we want to invest and the goal is only to get a profit from the type of investment we are going to make, then it is enough to understand what the purpose of investment is, types of investment and how to invest.

For people who want to use Bitcoin as an investment asset, understand what Bitcoin is and how Bitcoin works and what benefits you will find if you invest in Bitcoin. After that, learn to understand when to buy and when to let go. One more thing, how to keep Bitcoin assets safe after purchasing them. This way, it won't make us dizzy because we keep thinking about terms that disturb our minds.
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