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301  Economy / Speculation / Re: Why has bitcoin prices not increased just after halving ? on: April 22, 2024, 01:57:04 PM
I thought that this thread is about someone who's ranting about just after the halving and why the price of Bitcoin ain't increasing. But you're right with that suggestion of yours to buy while they can still look at this level of $60k. We've never got tired of reminding people to buy Bitcoin at any range that seem to be good at the moment and we always tell to buy before we'll never get to see these prices again. Whoever listens or does the initiative to buy, they're always the ones that are victorious and laughing at the end to the people that have laughed at them because they've never believed Bitcoin.

For those willing to take risks or already knowledgeable about the bitcoin market, advising someone to buy bitcoin is always considered a good thing. But you giving advice to people who know nothing about bitcoin is no longer good advice. Even you yourself do not guarantee that your investment will bring profit, how can you give advice to someone who knows nothing about bitcoin? Dont rush to give financial advice to anyone if you don't want to be blamed like the OP.
It's true that they might blame you for giving tips about buying Bitcoin and I've been there and experienced that before. But how it could be that someone will ever know Bitcoin if they you won't tell them what Bitcoin is and whether they should buy or not? We already started from having no knowledge about it until we become curious, did some research and asked people's advise as well.

Not just days but months or even a year after it.  Cheesy

OP will soon receive more criticism when he claims that the bull season will come a few days after the halving. Not only OP but many newbies are having this wrong thinking and they don't know that it will take at least a few months or a year for the price increase season to come or never come, nothing is 100% certain.
That's okay, I know that he's optimistic about that but don't tell an instant advise that Bitcoin will soon pump. Give it some time and enjoy the ride.

For those who have never heard of bitcoin, I think we should introduce and provide materials, their knowledge will be many times better by giving advice to invest in bitcoin when they do not know anything. 

If OP doesn't rush to urge his friend to buy bitcoin, but instead takes the time to teach them everything about bitcoin and let them make their own investment decisions. I believe OP will not be blamed and his friends will also be more confident in holding bitcoin. Unlike now, they start to panic and may even dump if bitcoin suddenly drops in price.
302  Economy / Speculation / Re: Why has bitcoin prices not increased just after halving ? on: April 21, 2024, 04:11:34 PM
Bitcoin mining fees has increased considerably today after halving but there are no effect on bitcoin prices. I suggested some friends to invest before and they are blaming me for the suggestion.
I thought that this thread is about someone who's ranting about just after the halving and why the price of Bitcoin ain't increasing. But you're right with that suggestion of yours to buy while they can still look at this level of $60k. We've never got tired of reminding people to buy Bitcoin at any range that seem to be good at the moment and we always tell to buy before we'll never get to see these prices again. Whoever listens or does the initiative to buy, they're always the ones that are victorious and laughing at the end to the people that have laughed at them because they've never believed Bitcoin.

For those willing to take risks or already knowledgeable about the bitcoin market, advising someone to buy bitcoin is always considered a good thing. But you giving advice to people who know nothing about bitcoin is no longer good advice. Even you yourself do not guarantee that your investment will bring profit, how can you give advice to someone who knows nothing about bitcoin? Dont rush to give financial advice to anyone if you don't want to be blamed like the OP.

I told them to wait for final effect as it can take some days for effect on prices but they are impatient.
Not just days but months or even a year after it.  Cheesy

OP will soon receive more criticism when he claims that the bull season will come a few days after the halving. Not only OP but many newbies are having this wrong thinking and they don't know that it will take at least a few months or a year for the price increase season to come or never come, nothing is 100% certain.
303  Economy / Economics / Re: Financial Advice for a young millionaire on: April 21, 2024, 02:56:28 PM
In what business he is not interested to? Since there are two mentioned there but I believe it was the Textile industry one because I seem to not like it as well. Trading is hard but I will still choose it over it. Another good thing about trading is everyone can do it or you don't need to have a college diploma/degree before you get started on here.

Graduating from college is going to be a long journey and many graduates still ends up to be jobless but learning on how to trade is I think won't take over a year. The boy must also have his own interests, E.g. if he likes to eat or cook, then building up a restaurant business would be a better option for him.

First, did you become rich through trading? How much money have you made trading with your 1 year experience? Because this is the boldest advice I've ever heard, it's the first time I've seen someone advise others to drop out of college and become an trader to get rich. And to be able to give this advice to others, you must at least be rich and successful as a trader. If you haven't achieved anything significant then you are not qualified to give such bold and baseless advice.

By the way, it seems like you want to blame education when you graduate from college but are unemployed. Why don't you try asking many students who have graduated and have high-paying jobs, even after many years of working, they have become entrepreneurs, while you are unemployed? So is it your fault or the education sector's?
304  Economy / Economics / Re: Is Bitcoin’s bull run coming to an end? on: April 21, 2024, 02:44:18 PM
Quote
Is Bitcoin’s bull run coming to an end?

The market has become increasingly unpredictable since the Bitcoin ETF was approved and frankly, none of us know what will happen next. Bull season may not have arrived or has actually ended, all possibilities are possible. But it's just that we're expecting a big bull season like before, so most believe it hasn't really come yet. Personally, I also think that the bull season has not yet come, let alone it has ended.
And my question is if it doesn't come or is over then what do we do next, does anyone have a plan for this scenario?
305  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: T20 and T20I cricket prediction and discussion on: April 21, 2024, 02:16:43 PM
-.-
Here is another argument.

Dhoni is 42 yo wicketkeeper batsman. Let's say he comes as early as 4-5 down, so most of the time after 12 or 14 overs and in case of some collapse then maybe in between 8-12 overs. That's a period where spinners operate and the field is spread, you have to rotate the strike and even try for doubles (don't forget he's old and WK). Also, he used to be good against spinner but not anymore, as far as hitting 6s is concerned.

No, what I was trying to say is that only giving the last four over for him is probably not enough. In the last four overs, there are only 24 balls and even if the strike rotation is really good, he is going to get around 12 to 15 balls at that period of time. I think he should at least get somewhere near 25 balls to play at least. It will be better if he comes in around the end of 13th or 14th over. so he will be able to watch some balls before he goes all boom boom.

In the last match, I am pretty sure that he only played eight balls. What if he actually got at least 15 balls in total to play? He could have actually got 40+ on his own and that also in a very quick time. I know he is not that good anymore against spin because he is currently concentrating on finishing the innings. He is not that good because he doesn't bother about it that much. But I just think giving him a little more time in the middle is a risk worth taking. But in the last match, there was no fall of wicket between the 11th and the 16th over if I am not wrong. So I guess they could not do that anyway.
306  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin pump|before halving on: April 21, 2024, 02:04:59 PM
The crowd I am talking about here are retail investors like us and we are not the ones who can dictate the direction of the market even though we make up the majority of the market. The crowd will not dare to buy, but if bitcoin only increases a few percent, the crowd will Fomo and buy regardless, crowd psychology is easily manipulated and many sharks understand this.

Have you checked bitcoin today? After the volatility, bitcoin is now trading above $64k and those who have been selling or waiting for bitcoin to hit $50k must be very impatient. Like I said, I wouldn't be surprised to see them buying bitcoin as it passes $70k in the coming days.
I feel like we can "dictate" in the sense that a single whale can't, but we retail as one could, we just need to be together. Whenever there is a big movement in the crypto world, you can check and see that it is more about amount of people and not amount of money, because a million people buying at the same time will end up being more than a single person selling, this is the eternal truth and will stay like that. I get that it may not be simple and we could end up with a situation that is different.

I believe that we could do as well as we could hope for, and there is nothing wrong with just trusting the fellow retail investors and their capabilities, we are strong enough that we could make as much money as possible.

The biggest winners in the market are mostly the sharks, the market makers, and the biggest losers are the retail investors . To me, the cryptocurrency market is still a largely manipulated market , I don't think it works according to supply and demand so that's why I don't want to follow the crowd most of the time .

Currently, bitcoin is trading above $65k and many altcoins have also had a significant recovery in the past 2 days . Meanwhile , as you can see, many predictions and many people are still bearish and waiting for bitcoin to drop to $50k.
307  Economy / Speculation / Re: If China Supports Crypto, Where Can Bitcoin's Price Go? on: April 21, 2024, 01:54:22 PM
China has banned cryptocurrencies completely, they have taken a tough decision against Bitcoin. Now if China supports cryptocurrency, what could be the value of Bitcoin? We all know that China is an influential country. Other countries greatly support China.

Also, if an influential country or person supports Bitcoin or cryptocurrency, the value of Bitcoin will definitely increase. For example, when Elon Musk, the richest man in the world, announced that Tesla would accept Bitcoin as a means of payment from customers, Bitcoin's acceptance increased and its value increased to around $64K.

Currently China is a large population and influential country. If China supports something, other countries support that thing and that thing grows rapidly.

Is there any possibility that China will support cryptocurrency in the future? If supported, at what level can the price of Bitcoin go?

if I am wrong anyway, please correct me.
China has never announced that it fully supports cryptocurrencies, but what they have done by creating a digital yuan CBDC has made it clear that China supports the development of cryptocurrencies

China once made the bitcoin market red with their policy of banning all bitcoin mining in China but the miners were smart, they just moved to a nearby area of China

However, the view that China can influence the Bitcoin market in a big way must be removed, their influence on cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin, is not large, even though they are a country with a strong economy


I know that we don't have much sympathy for countries that ban bitcoin , and China is one of them. But we should not deny their influence and impact on bitcoin . They once caused difficulties for the cryptocurrency market when they issued a ban on bitcoin mining, although bitcoin itself recovered after a while . But that means they have a significant impact on the market and if they change their mind and support the market it will bring huge impacts no less than what the US market brings .

Their influence was wane down throughout the years, if this is 2018, maybe we will believed that they have huge impact on the market. But when they ban mining and then attack Bitcoin itself like the debate on the mining's effect on the environment, enthusiast totally removed China as the main influencer. And we have seen some miners moving out as well and relocating even to US because of their hard stance.

So even if they make a U-turn today, it won't make any significant effects. The thing with Bitcoin enthusiast is that we won't forget what personalities or what countries in this case has done for the market, specially if it is very negative and once we forget them, that's it, no amount of news will change our stance for them.

Their influence has not diminished, it's just that the cryptocurrency market has adapted to not needing the Chinese market . But I believe that Hong Kong's approval of a bitcoin ETFs is related to China, and many people are also very happy and supportive of this. So , I don't think bitcoin or cryptocurrency market enthusiasts will reject China if they intend to return .

China is the second largest economy in the world, I do not believe that if they openly support cryptocurrencies the market will not react. Like I said, we hate them but we can't deny their influence .
308  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Women's Cricket Prediction & Discussion - T20 & ODI on: April 21, 2024, 01:39:48 PM

I think that today’s match could be won by Pakistan but still we cannot say anything because this is an ODI match in which all teams start to play slowly in mid-overs and then up to 35 to 40, the team once again starts to hit.

I think in this situation, Pakistan bowlers have to maintain the match and don’t have to pick any wicket but just try to protect the boundary, because if they pick any wicket then the next player starts to hit due to the pressure and then if that player starts to hit then could not be stop that’s why if they play with patience then they can win the match.
I mean to say that with a tight bowling spell, they can still win the match if the wickets for the West Indies women are hard to come by. They need not lose hope and try to protect the runs till the last ball.
Pakistan Women won the toss and elected to bat. Pakistan women were all out for 223 runs before the allotted overs were over. Pakistan women's batting line improved a bit in today's match compared to the first match. Bismah Maroof and Sidra Ameen both scored fifties but the strike rate was not good. Sidra Ameen scored 50 runs off 70 balls and Bismah Maroof scored 65 off 105 balls.

A target of 224 runs was not a bad target in the women's game. If Pakistan women could have bowled well, they could have won this target. West Indies Women eventually won by 2 wickets. Pakistan women's bowlers put in a lot of effort today but were beaten in the end. West Indies Women won the series with one match in hand.

In the end, this was a pretty easy win for West Indies women. The target from Pakistan women was not big at all. After the bad performance in the first match from Pakistan women, I thought West Indies women are going to have to try harder to win the second match and Pakistan women are going to give them a bigger competition. But in the end, it was pretty easy for West Indies women to reach the target that the Pakistan women set  for them.

Well actually it was not easy. Because West Indies did have to play for the whole 50 over and they had only two wickets left in the end. But still I think the performance from Pakistan women was not good enough and the target should have been a bigger one. I think Pakistan women could actually win if they had actually played the whole 50 overs somehow.
309  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: April 20, 2024, 03:26:34 PM
La Liga points table already we can see that Real Madrid is still 8 points ahead of Barcelona. And this season they have plenty of chances for the title and this is not going to be missed by Real Madrid but they will improve their game tremendously. Madrid also have a chance to win La Liga this season as Ancelotti is currently in the Champions League beating Pep Guardiola's side in the semi-finals. Ancelotti is currently playing an important role for Madrid and he looks to be most successful this season. And this season I think Real Madrid will become stronger in the Champions League and Ancelotti will make his boys work harder to win the Champions League and La Liga.
I have no doubts that Real Madrid can win La Liga this season, they have everything to do it and their competitors Barcelona also do not have a good performance to be able to put pressure on Real Madrid so there is no difficulty for Real Madrid to win the title.
An 8-point lead is not an easy thing to catch, especially since Real Madrid has very good strength and consistency.
And in my opinion, what happened in the Champions League will actually make the Real Madrid team even stronger, now they are in the semifinals after beating defending champions Manchester City and Real Madrid is very close to winning the Champions League title.

Real Madrid is almost certainly going to win the La Liga title. And I don't think because of the Champions League competition, they are going to drop in terms of performance in such a way that they will end up losing the La Liga title. The only hard matches that Real Madrid has left to play are probably only against Barcelona and maybe Villarreal.

Other than that I do not see them having any problems in the La Liga competition this season. Of course, the biggest target for them is currently the Champions League competition Because of that. Real Madrid is playing against Bayern Munich in the Champions League competition semifinal. I know Bayern Munich has been able to win against Arsenal but I don’t think they will be able to do it against Real Madrid, to be honest.
310  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: April 20, 2024, 03:00:19 PM
Leverkusen broke Juventus's record, Juventus unbeaten 43 times, but now Leverkusen is undefeated in 44 matches so far. This is really crazy, even Manchester City and Real Madrid didn't even able to reach this achievement.

Leverkusen will have three tough matches: Dortmund 1x and Roma 2x. If Leverkusen able to stay unbeaten, they could unbeaten in all leagues this season!


https://twitter.com/bayer04_en/status/1781066996697669969

Leverkusen has been and still are breaking lots of records. I believe they will also keep breaking more records as well. They have also entered the semifinal of the Europa League competition. That is another achievement for them.

Have they actually lost a match so far in the Europa League?
I don’t remember them losing any matches in the Europa League this season, to be honest. I think if they are actually interested, they might end this season staying unbitten as well which will be another record. They have already been able to win the Bundesliga title for the first time ever. I think they are not worried about the match against Dortmund too much. Because they should be much more interested in winning the Europa League competition and also the DFB pokal. The biggest concentration from them is probably going to the Roma match in my opinion. Both of the first leg and the second leg.
311  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: T20 and T20I cricket prediction and discussion on: April 20, 2024, 09:31:06 AM
Match between Lucknow Super Giants and Chennai Super Kings was very exciting. Two teams played differently. Chennai Super Kings tried hard but they had trouble scoring enough runs. They only scored 176-6. Lucknow Super Giants played with clear goal in mind. Quinton de Kock and KL Rahul batted really well. KL Rahul scored 82 runs which was the best part. Even though he did not get 100 runs his batting helped the team to win. Nicholas Pooran also played well and helped Lucknow Super Giants to win easily.
Lucknow Super Giants played confidently and did well. Chennai Super Kings need to work on their batting. Match was very exciting and kept fans interested until the end.
I was totally unprepared to see Chennai Super Kings lose yesterday's match. Chennai Super Kings in yesterday's match did not have a good batting and bowling performance due to which they scored only 176 runs. If the bowlers of Chennai Super Kings could have bowled well, then Lucknow Super Giants batsmen KL Rahul and Queanton de Kock would not have been able to make a partnership of 134 runs. The opening pair of Lucknow Super Joint completely knocked Chennai Super Kings out of the game after which Chennai Super Kings could not come back into the game. Most of Chennai Super Kings' bowlers scored high runs per over in yesterday's match, including Mustafizur Rahman and Tushar Deshpande, who scored over 40 runs in their four overs. But there is a relief news that Chennai Super Kings were defeated by Lucknow Super Giants in yesterday's match but they managed to retain their previous position in the points table due to Chennai's good run rate.

Does anyone else think that Dhoni should be in a little earlier?

I get that he is a finisher and he did his job well. But at the stage when CSK was 90/5, Dhoni could have come in and scored much more quickly. Because we saw that the track was not as bad as it looked earlier. And if he was in earlier I think the score could have been bigger.

What I am trying to say is that Dhoni has saved India from similar situations like that a lot of times in the past and also in his prime. But the thing is the score was not that bad. The bowlers of CSK did not do a good enough job as well. The performance from LSG was really good by the way. The way they attacked from the start and finished comfortably, definitely is going to give them a lot of confidence as well. Great win for LSG after two losses.
312  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tennis League All Thread on: April 20, 2024, 05:54:27 AM
Home tennis player Alexander Zverev lost in straight sets to Chile's Cristian Garin, of course this is a disappointing result because he is the first seed in ATP Munich.

WTA Stuttgart, Iga Swiatek has the opportunity to win her third title in this tournament after making it to the semifinals and she will face Elena Rybakina, not so sure that Swiatek will face obstacles to get to the final because Rybakina, although impressive this year, had to lose two sets to get to the semifinals so her performance wasn't very good here and she said it was quite difficult because the ball was slow on this surface.
The surprising thing was Aryna Sabalenka who lost to Marketa Vondrousova, so far Sabalenka has not had good results apart from AO, and also Coco Gauff lost to Marta Kostyuk, if Swiatek makes it to the final it looks like she will face an easier opponent later.

This was a very unexpected result from the match of Zverev. And what was more surprising was that him being unable to even take one set. This type of performance was unexpected for him, especially in the quarterfinals of the competition. Garin should not be able to win against Fritz in the semifinals but we'll see what happens.

Swiatek vs Rybakina
This is definitely going to be very competitive. Yes I think in the end it is going to be a win for Swiatek but we have seen what her opponent is capable of. She is definitely capable of giving a good fight for the win. And I actually disagree, I do not think it is going to be a walk in the park for Swiatek

Sabalenka losing was a little surprising. But not so surprised that it was unbelievable or something. It could happen. I guess it was more unexpected than surprising. Everyone expected her to win. But the comeback from her opponent was actually really good.
313  Economy / Economics / Re: Counting the cost of a ww3. on: April 19, 2024, 09:51:04 AM
Through the conflict between Palestine and Israel, there is always a conflict between the countries of the Middle East, which could lead to World War III. If there is a third world war, then the economic situation of different countries of the world will be very critical. I think this will have a huge impact on cryptocurrency as well. We may have seen a few days ago that the small war that broke out between Iran and Israel had an effect on the price of Bitcoin. When Iran attacked Israel then there was a small shock in the market which caused the price of everything in the market including Bitcoin to fall. There is already an economic recession all over the world and if war starts between different parts of the Middle East then the economic situation of the world will continue to worsen.

If the middle east is cool then maybe world war 3 is not likely to happen I think it is never possible. Because there are always quarrels between different countries of the Middle East due to which they have become enemies of each other. As long as these hostilities are not resolved, there will be a threat of World War II.


But there will not be a third world war just because of the conflict between Iran and Israel . The war between Russia and Ukraine is even larger in scale, with the indirect participation of many countries , but that does not create a third world war . So how could a small war in the Middle East cause a third world war ? Don't simply think that if there is a war between two countries, there will be a world war . World War 3 will cause our human world to become extinct , so it will not happen as easily as we think.
314  Economy / Speculation / Re: If China Supports Crypto, Where Can Bitcoin's Price Go? on: April 19, 2024, 09:41:37 AM
China has banned cryptocurrencies completely, they have taken a tough decision against Bitcoin. Now if China supports cryptocurrency, what could be the value of Bitcoin? We all know that China is an influential country. Other countries greatly support China.

Also, if an influential country or person supports Bitcoin or cryptocurrency, the value of Bitcoin will definitely increase. For example, when Elon Musk, the richest man in the world, announced that Tesla would accept Bitcoin as a means of payment from customers, Bitcoin's acceptance increased and its value increased to around $64K.

Currently China is a large population and influential country. If China supports something, other countries support that thing and that thing grows rapidly.

Is there any possibility that China will support cryptocurrency in the future? If supported, at what level can the price of Bitcoin go?

if I am wrong anyway, please correct me.
China has never announced that it fully supports cryptocurrencies, but what they have done by creating a digital yuan CBDC has made it clear that China supports the development of cryptocurrencies

China once made the bitcoin market red with their policy of banning all bitcoin mining in China but the miners were smart, they just moved to a nearby area of China

However, the view that China can influence the Bitcoin market in a big way must be removed, their influence on cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin, is not large, even though they are a country with a strong economy


I know that we don't have much sympathy for countries that ban bitcoin , and China is one of them. But we should not deny their influence and impact on bitcoin . They once caused difficulties for the cryptocurrency market when they issued a ban on bitcoin mining, although bitcoin itself recovered after a while . But that means they have a significant impact on the market and if they change their mind and support the market it will bring huge impacts no less than what the US market brings .
315  Economy / Speculation / Re: BTC Sentiment Poll for April on: April 19, 2024, 08:59:39 AM
-.-
-.-.

Those of us who choose to hold don't really need much of a plan apart from waiting and increasing our patience rating until history is created and that is the best plan that we have prepared beforehand. not now.
Didn't happen in April, if I'm still alive I'll get it in another month. Tell me what your backup plan is if your prediction is wrong so we can do it too.

My investment plan is quite simple, always have 20%-30% USDT available in the account and if my prediction is wrong and bitcoin corrects significantly, I will use the remaining USDT to buy bitcoin or altcoins I have put on my watchlist but have not yet purchased.

And if bitcoin increases according to my expectations and plans, I will continue to optimize part of the profit. Because I believe that if bitcoin increases in price from now on and is able to set a new ATH after the halving then a correction will occur in the following months. In the long term, we are not yet into the crazy bull season we are waiting for, so I have no intention of investing 100% of my capital right now.
316  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin pump|before halving on: April 19, 2024, 08:50:30 AM
We might deal with the price lower than $60k before the actual halving, and this can be a good opportunity to buy again.
This could be the trend for the next few month before we see another series of recovery, for now let's wait for the halving to happen and decide on what to do next. Right now, I'm just waiting for the right timing to buy again and seriously, if the war begins we might see a big panic again in the market and that could lead to another drop.
So what would be the right time to buy bitcoin if not now? What guarantees that bitcoin will continue to fall more than its current price? There are a lot of people gradually becoming pessimistic and predictions of bitcoin falling to 50k USD are appearing more and more, that's when I think bitcoin can't fall any further. Instead, I believe a recovery will happen soon, so buy as soon as you can and don't hesitate as there is no guarantee the price will continue to fall.

What I am pleased with is that not only on this forum but also on most other social networks became pessimistic and predicted bitcoin would drop to 50k USD, and that is a sign that bitcoin will recover because the market always go against the crowd.
Well, the market doesn't always go against the crowd if the crowd is reacting to what they think is going to happen which means that if the crowd thinks that the market will drop and they don't buy, the market will have a hard time going up because there won't be much demand and that many buyers. Similarly, if the crowd thinks that the market will go and they start buying, the market will go up because there will be more buyers than sellers in the market.

Leaving that aside, I would also say that I'm optimistic that the market will start recovering from this point onward and there won't be a further dip, but then again, we can only make predictions and the market can react differently based on any event or news that might circulate in the industry next.

The crowd I am talking about here are retail investors like us and we are not the ones who can dictate the direction of the market even though we make up the majority of the market. The crowd will not dare to buy, but if bitcoin only increases a few percent, the crowd will Fomo and buy regardless, crowd psychology is easily manipulated and many sharks understand this.

Have you checked bitcoin today? After the volatility, bitcoin is now trading above $64k and those who have been selling or waiting for bitcoin to hit $50k must be very impatient. Like I said, I wouldn't be surprised to see them buying bitcoin as it passes $70k in the coming days.
317  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin way forward - Towards $100k or $50k on: April 18, 2024, 05:42:07 AM
I know no one can speculate or predict it accurately but just share your thoughts with any valid reasons behind it.
Overall, as you said, speculation and predictions about Bitcoin are not correct/accurate, there are many Bitcoin experts currently speculating about the future of Bitcoin, Not only experts, companies often spread rumors about their speculation about Bitcoin's sustainability
For example:
Such as Bit Mining company Youwei, James Butterfill chief researcher at CoinShares and including Antoni Trenchev, Carol Alexander and Matrixport they speculate and predict variously about the price of Bitcoin, $70-$150k for this year.

But, personally, I will predict Bitcoin's highest price for this year at around $80, after that it will be the opposite of what that person predicted, but I remain optimistic, Bitcoin will be better than the current price.

But I want to ask you further , do you mean this year's highest ATH is $80k and is that the highest ATH this bull season or just this year's ATH, and will bitcoin reach even higher ATH during the bull season 2025? If $80k is the final ATH you expect this bull season then you are actually quite modest and your assessment of bitcoin's potential is quite low .

My prediction is that the bull season will start in the fourth quarter of this year and last until 2025, and I believe this will be a super cycle so I am very optimistic about bitcoin's ATH . I even believe it could touch $150k or more once the bull season is over.
318  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin pump|before halving on: April 18, 2024, 05:33:07 AM
My fingers and toes are doubly crossed that bitcoin doesn't fall below $60k, however.

It's on the brink of going down < $60k. There are data that shows the reason for this downside is that there are no inflows coming from Bitcoin Spot ETF. But as we look throughout Bitcoin past historical logs, prior to the halving, this is just but normal to see no actions or even the price going down.

So in 2 days, we will see if the trend will continue. On the other hand, this could be taken advantage as we can buy at this current price and accumulate and hold. There's nothing better to buy cheap Bitcoin in a downturn before the halving and then just wait till it recover and bounce back and see a parabolic rise till the end of the year.
We might deal with the price lower than $60k before the actual halving, and this can be a good opportunity to buy again.
This could be the trend for the next few month before we see another series of recovery, for now let's wait for the halving to happen and decide on what to do next. Right now, I'm just waiting for the right timing to buy again and seriously, if the war begins we might see a big panic again in the market and that could lead to another drop.

So what would be the right time to buy bitcoin if not now? What guarantees that bitcoin will continue to fall more than its current price? There are a lot of people gradually becoming pessimistic and predictions of bitcoin falling to 50k USD are appearing more and more, that's when I think bitcoin can't fall any further. Instead, I believe a recovery will happen soon, so buy as soon as you can and don't hesitate as there is no guarantee the price will continue to fall.

What I am pleased with is that not only on this forum but also on most other social networks became pessimistic and predicted bitcoin would drop to 50k USD, and that is a sign that bitcoin will recover because the market always go against the crowd.
319  Economy / Speculation / Re: BTC Sentiment Poll for April on: April 18, 2024, 04:42:11 AM
I guess.  The boomer markets seem to have stopped selling off, it's now just mostly crypto that's still going down.  For what reason, not really sure.  But the thing is it's funny how after all these years a lot of people still feel iffy about crypto and the legitimacy of it.  It's been more than 10 years guys...  Crypto is not going anywhere, esp BTC.

But yeah.  I locked the poll as per tradition.  Rooting for the guys who voted yes.  LFGGG!

74.2% of us here voted Yes that Bitcoin will close above 75k. I think with 12 more days remaining according to my time zone, with the current price estimate still experiencing a decline in the next few days until the halving, it is doubtful that it can close at a price above 75k even though according to Coinglass's monthly return data for April 2023 it is green +2.81%.


Instead of selling, it is better to hold until Bitcoin reaches a price of 100k. I don't know what some people are thinking when they decide to sell because Bitcoin, which I know, has been proven and cannot be doubted.

I want to know which scenario did you vote for before? One thing I see is that some people who were quite bullish at the beginning of the month are starting to feel negative because of bitcoin's recent correction. Many people are changing their attitudes very quickly because bitcoin has continuously decreased in price since this topic was created, if OP gives them a chance to vote again , I believe the majority will switch to “NO” instead of “YES”

But personally, I will still maintain my opinion, Bitcoin will still increase in price and will reach more than $75$ this April. Of course , I also have a backup plan if my prediction is wrong but I will not change my opinion just because of recent minor corrections.
320  Economy / Speculation / Re: Is It Time to Buy More BTC? on: April 18, 2024, 04:31:03 AM
Many people are optimistic that the price of bitcoin will increase, which does not mean it is guaranteed that the price of bitcoin will increase and bring profits to everyone who decides to buy bitcoin from now on. The market does not move according to the wishes of people, especially the crowd. Investing in bitcoin requires a long-term view, don't try to speculate just because everyone is optimistic about the bitcoin price and the halving does not guarantee us a price increase.

The right time to buy bitcoin is when you are ready for the risks you face if it happens, not before or after the halving event or when bitcoin drops in price.
Indeed, no one can guarantee that with every speculation made by someone that Bitcoin will experience an increase and can be profitable for those who have collected Bitcoin, so before deciding to invest our money in Bitcoin we must already understand the investment we are making and don't let it happen. just following other people in investing so that we make mistakes that cause us losses.
What you say is very correct, that the time is right to invest in Bitcoin when we are ready for the investment risks that we will face when carrying out the investment and also have to have a good plan before starting to collect Bitcoin so that we can get a profit from holding Bitcoin.
We have just over a day left until the halving event takes place and let's take a look at bitcoin's price at this time. Many people confidently believe that the halving is approaching and the demand for bitcoin will increase and from there the price will only increase without decreasing . But look what's going on and that's why I say don't be too subjective and always prepare yourself with a backup plan. Bitcoin is unpredictable and it will never please the crowd.
I believe that after the halving there will be a lot of people disappointed because things did not go as they expected , but that is part of the financial game that they need to accept .
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