Wisconsin Democratic Primary – Can Sanders continue his good run?

After he won all three caucuses held on Saturday, Bernie Sanders wants to follow those wins with the win at the next Democratic primary that is in Wisconsin on Tuesday, April 5. But, at the same time, Hillary Clinton will want to stop his series of wins as they will follow Wisconsin with caucuses in Wyoming where Sanders is a huge favorite.

Even though Hillary leads at Wisconsin polls, huge amount of people voting in Wisconsin should favor Sanders as there is currently some kind of a Bernie mania, especially among students that tend to vote for Sanders. Wisconsin is also an open primary that favor Sanders more than the close one does, though not as much as caucuses favor him.

The 2008 electorate in Wisconsin was 87 percent white so, considering the high share of white men as compared to black voters, it is also one of the places Sanders should have good chances. But polls still give Hillary nice chances, and she is about to start her campaign there, so Wisconsin primary could be a great market. Place your bets now:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/who-will-win-the-wisconsin-democratic-primary/.

And you already have on offer even more interesting Wisconsin Republican primary that has been opened with Trump as a favorite but now Ted Cruz is one with the bigger chances to prevail. Still, odds on both sides are rather good, with the great ones if you think John Kasich could win there, so don't miss to place your bet if you already didn't:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/who-will-win-the-wisconsin-republican-primary/.

So, what are your opinions on the Wisconsin primaries, and what others that will follow would you like to see created?

Wisconsin Democratic Primary – Can Sanders continue his good run?

After he won all three caucuses held on Saturday, Bernie Sanders wants to follow those wins with the win at the next Democratic primary that is in Wisconsin on Tuesday, April 5. But, at the same time, Hillary Clinton will want to stop his series of wins as they will follow Wisconsin with caucuses in Wyoming where Sanders is a huge favorite.

Even though Hillary leads at Wisconsin polls, huge amount of people voting in Wisconsin should favor Sanders as there is currently some kind of a Bernie mania, especially among students that tend to vote for Sanders. Wisconsin is also an open primary that favor Sanders more than the close one does, though not as much as caucuses favor him.

The 2008 electorate in Wisconsin was 87 percent white so, considering the high share of white men as compared to black voters, it is also one of the places Sanders should have good chances. But polls still give Hillary nice chances, and she is about to start her campaign there, so Wisconsin primary could be a great market. Place your bets now:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/who-will-win-the-wisconsin-democratic-primary/.

And you already have on offer even more interesting Wisconsin Republican primary that has been opened with Trump as a favorite but now Ted Cruz is one with the bigger chances to prevail. Still, odds on both sides are rather good, with the great ones if you think John Kasich could win there, so don't miss to place your bet if you already didn't:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/who-will-win-the-wisconsin-republican-primary/.

So, what are your opinions on the Wisconsin primaries, and what others that will follow would you like to see created?

University Boat Race – Cambridge or Oxford? And by what distance?

Following Sunday, March 27 will give us 162nd annual Univeristy Boat Race between Cambridge and Oxford. Men's race is scheduled for 16:10 on the River Thames that will have quarter of a million people on its banks watching this popular race. Millions will also watch it live on televsion (coverage on BBC2 begins at 14:30), as the light blues of Cambridge will try to end Oxford’s three year domination of the event.

Even though Oxford won the last three races, Cambridge is a favorite in this one as Oxford crew has undergone huge changes this year, with Constantine Louloudis, who captained the dark blues to four wins in the last five years, now gone, and only Jamie Cook returning. In contrast, Cambridge sees four of last year's squad returning, and have added the Great Britain’s oarsman Lance Tredell.

But it is far from decided and how tight the races have been trough the years shows the fact that Cambridge have won the race 81 times, while Oxford have secured the bragging rights on 79 occasions. There was a dead heat in 1877, and you have incredibly high odds if you think that dead heat could occur once again this year. So, either you prefer Oxford or Cambridge, you don’t want to miss the chance to place your bet:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/the-2016-mens-boat-race-winner/.

Some do think that Oxford could win as the last year winner has advantage, though history doesn’t prove that, or their could win the coin toss and then they can choose their preferred station. Other think that the heavier boat has advantage and this year Cambridge crew is around 11kg heavier than the Oxford crew. And for you who are more in details, you also have markets on the winning distance:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/the-2016-mens-boat-race-winning-distance/.

So, who do you prefer and are there some other rowing events for which you would like to have created markets?



Once again, thank you for the suggestion and some other major rowing events will have its markets created as well.

University Boat Race – Cambridge or Oxford? And by what distance?

Following Sunday, March 27 will give us 162nd annual Univeristy Boat Race between Cambridge and Oxford. Men's race is scheduled for 16:10 on the River Thames that will have quarter of a million people on its banks watching this popular race. Millions will also watch it live on televsion (coverage on BBC2 begins at 14:30), as the light blues of Cambridge will try to end Oxford’s three year domination of the event.

Even though Oxford won the last three races, Cambridge is a favorite in this one as Oxford crew has undergone huge changes this year, with Constantine Louloudis, who captained the dark blues to four wins in the last five years, now gone, and only Jamie Cook returning. In contrast, Cambridge sees four of last year's squad returning, and have added the Great Britain’s oarsman Lance Tredell.

But it is far from decided and how tight the races have been trough the years shows the fact that Cambridge have won the race 81 times, while Oxford have secured the bragging rights on 79 occasions. There was a dead heat in 1877, and you have incredibly high odds if you think that dead heat could occur once again this year. So, either you prefer Oxford or Cambridge, you don’t want to miss the chance to place your bet:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/the-2016-mens-boat-race-winner/.

Some do think that Oxford could win as the last year winner has advantage, though history doesn’t prove that, or their could win the coin toss and then they can choose their preferred station. Other think that the heavier boat has advantage and this year Cambridge crew is around 11kg heavier than the Oxford crew. And for you who are more in details, you also have markets on the winning distance:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/the-2016-mens-boat-race-winning-distance/.

So, who do you prefer and are there some other rowing events for which you would like to have created markets?

Is Dilma Rousseff facing her last weeks as the president of Brazil?

At the start of the year there was a lot of talk about Dilma Rousseff and thousands of protesters who took to the streets across Brazil as Dilma's government struggled to lift the economy from its most severe crisis in decades. Well, in few months nothing have changed. In fact, The Economist’s newest South American cover is going hugely against her:



So, is is her time to go? It is not on her to decide anymore, as on March 18th Brazil’s congressmen voted to commence impeachment proceedings against the country’s embattled president.  Few phases are to be followed as her future will be decided and what is to follow is nicely explained by The Economist:

Ms Rousseff first needs to convince at least 172 lower-house legislators out of 513 to back her. She has ten congressional sessions, or two or three weeks, to present her defence to a special commission. This body then has five sessions to issue a recommendation to the full house, which must vote on it within 48 hours. If Ms Rousseff’s foes fall short of 342 votes, the case is buried. Should they succeed, senators must then approve, by an absolute majority of 41 out of 81, to accept the lower-house motion. If they do, a trial of up to 180 days begins, presided over by the chief justice of the Supreme Court. During this period, Ms Rousseff steps down and her vice-president, Michel Temer, temporarily takes her place. If at least 54 senators subsequently vote to remove her, Mr Temer would probably serve out the rest of the term, which ends in 2018.

Will Dilma Rousseff remain the president of Brazil through 2016? Probably not. At the moment, 68% of Brazilians say they favor impeachment, so by the end of the April Dilma Rousseff could be without a job. Still, if you think that she will be the president of Brazil till the end of year you have great odds on that at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/dilma-rousseff-to-remain-president-of-brazil-through-2016/.

What is your opinion on this, and what other markets regarding world politics would you like to see created?


Great suggestion. We will surely have some of them created in the following days.

Is Dilma Rousseff facing her last weeks as the president of Brazil?

At the start of the year there was a lot of talk about Dilma Rousseff and thousands of protesters who took to the streets across Brazil as Dilma's government struggled to lift the economy from its most severe crisis in decades. Well, in few months nothing have changed. In fact, The Economist’s newest South American cover is going hugely against her:



So, is is her time to go? It is not on her to decide anymore, as on March 18th Brazil’s congressmen voted to commence impeachment proceedings against the country’s embattled president.  Few phases are to be followed as her future will be decided and what is to follow is nicely explained by The Economist:

Ms Rousseff first needs to convince at least 172 lower-house legislators out of 513 to back her. She has ten congressional sessions, or two or three weeks, to present her defence to a special commission. This body then has five sessions to issue a recommendation to the full house, which must vote on it within 48 hours. If Ms Rousseff’s foes fall short of 342 votes, the case is buried. Should they succeed, senators must then approve, by an absolute majority of 41 out of 81, to accept the lower-house motion. If they do, a trial of up to 180 days begins, presided over by the chief justice of the Supreme Court. During this period, Ms Rousseff steps down and her vice-president, Michel Temer, temporarily takes her place. If at least 54 senators subsequently vote to remove her, Mr Temer would probably serve out the rest of the term, which ends in 2018.

Will Dilma Rousseff remain the president of Brazil through 2016? Probably not. At the moment, 68% of Brazilians say they favor impeachment, so by the end of the April Dilma Rousseff could be without a job. Still, if you think that she will be the president of Brazil till the end of year you have great odds on that at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/dilma-rousseff-to-remain-president-of-brazil-through-2016/.

What is your opinion on this, and what other markets regarding world politics would you like to see created?

Will Sanders win all three of Alaska, Hawaii, and Washington?

Last night Sanders lost Arizona to Hillary but he easily prevailed in both Utah and Idaho, other two states that voted yesterday. They both held caucuses, so it was once again shown that this format favors the Vermont senator. Because of this he will be a huge favorite in all three states that vote in caucuses on Saturday: Alaska, Hawaii, and Washington.

Even Hillary’s team admitted that Sanders will be a huge favorite next weekend but they think that even a string of victories by Sanders over the next few weeks would have little impact on Clinton’s position in the race. And, at the moment, it is almost sure that Sanders will easily close Washington and Alaska caucuses.

But, he is not such a superb favorite in Hawaii caucuses, though even here he is a rather big one and wins in Utah and Idaho are surely going to help him. So, you now have an open market on whether Sanders will win all three caucuses held on Saturday, with great odds if you think that Clinton is able to stop him even in one of the states. Bet here:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/sanders-to-win-alaska-hawaii-and-washington/.

So, what is your opinion on following Democrats' caucuses, and what other markets would you like to see created?

Will Sanders win all three of Alaska, Hawaii, and Washington?

Last night Sanders lost Arizona to Hillary but he easily prevailed in both Utah and Idaho, other two states that voted yesterday. They both held caucuses, so it was once again shown that this format favors the Vermont senator. Because of this he will be a huge favorite in all three states that vote in caucuses on Saturday: Alaska, Hawaii, and Washington.

Even Hillary’s team admitted that Sanders will be a huge favorite next weekend but they think that even a string of victories by Sanders over the next few weeks would have little impact on Clinton’s position in the race. And, at the moment, it is almost sure that Sanders will easily close Washington and Alaska caucuses.

But, he is not such a superb favorite in Hawaii caucuses, though even here he is a rather big one and wins in Utah and Idaho are surely going to help him. So, you now have an open market on whether Sanders will win all three caucuses held on Saturday, with great odds if you think that Clinton is able to stop him even in one of the states. Bet here:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/sanders-to-win-alaska-hawaii-and-washington/.

So, what is your opinion on following Democrats' caucuses, and what other markets would you like to see created?

Trump won Arizona but will he prevail in Wisconsin?

Yesterday Trump won Arizona and its 58 delegates, while Cruz scored a victory in Utah and appeared poised to win all of its 40 delegates by winning more than 50 percent of the vote there. So now Trump has at least 739 delegates, nearly 60 percent of the total he needs, but Ted Cruz is still confident he is able to stop him.

Next on the schedule for Republicans is Wisconsin primary on April 5, before they move to New York on April 19. Cruz will campaign in Wisconsin for three straight days, starting Wednesday, while he was earlier today also endorsed by Jeb Bush. But, it is the question does this come too late in their attempts to stop Trump.

When it comes to Wisconsin, Trump is still rather favorite to prevail, and the fact that John Kasich is still in race could help his as well as Kasich's votes would surely go into Cruz's favor. But, it is far from decided as Wisconsin is open primary so new voters can register even on election day.

Still, people think that Cruz is undervalued and his early campaign could help him as well. On the other side, opinions are that Brussels attacks will help Trump. Anyway, being the only Republican primary in the next few weeks, Wisconsin will get a lot of attention so you can already find Fairlay markets and place your bets here:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/who-will-win-the-wisconsin-republican-primary/.

And, what are your opinions on the latests and following primaries, and which one would you like to see created?

Trump won Arizona but will he prevail in Wisconsin?

Yesterday Trump won Arizona and its 58 delegates, while Cruz scored a victory in Utah and appeared poised to win all of its 40 delegates by winning more than 50 percent of the vote there. So now Trump has at least 739 delegates, nearly 60 percent of the total he needs, but Ted Cruz is still confident he is able to stop him.

Next on the schedule for Republicans is Wisconsin primary on April 5, before they move to New York on April 19. Cruz will campaign in Wisconsin for three straight days, starting Wednesday, while he was earlier today also endorsed by Jeb Bush. But, it is the question does this come too late in their attempts to stop Trump.

When it comes to Wisconsin, Trump is still rather favorite to prevail, and the fact that John Kasich is still in race could help his as well as Kasich's votes would surely go into Cruz's favor. But, it is far from decided as Wisconsin is open primary so new voters can register even on election day.

Still, people think that Cruz is undervalued and his early campaign could help him as well. On the other side, opinions are that Brussels attacks will help Trump. Anyway, being the only Republican primary in the next few weeks, Wisconsin will get a lot of attention so you can already find Fairlay markets and place your bets here:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/who-will-win-the-wisconsin-republican-primary/.

And, what are your opinions on the latests and following primaries, and which one would you like to see created?

Who will be the Next Editor of US Vogue, when Anna Wintour retires?

With tragic day that brought us Brussels explosions, and that will be followed with new set of US primaries, it is time to mind off a bit with market that is concerned with one light, but at the same time really important, topic: the Next Editor of US Vogue.

It is hard to find more influence Editor-in-Chief that it is Anna Wintour in US Vogue, a position she has held since 1988. She is one of the most important figures in the fashion world but at the same time person whose retirement is expected for years back. In fact, even in 2008 we already had press headlines ‘Is Anna Wintour Ready to Retire?’.

But, another interesting topic is who will take over Vogue after her retirement? In Fairlay markets you have on offer seven names with ‘Other’ option opened if you have someone else in mind. And first favorite at the moment is Glenda Bailey who has spent the last 15 years as the editor of Harper’s Bazaar.

Bailey is followed by Amy Astley, current editor-in-chief of Teen Vogue, and therefore a popular choice. She is given same chances as Lucy Yeomans who was previously the editor of Harper’s Bazaar and now edits the popular fashion website Net-a-Porter.

They are followed by few more popular names in the fashion world, so you (or at least your partner) could have positive opinion on some of them so you can catch great odds at Fairlay. But first, we all have to wait for Anna Wintour to get into the retirement and thus this market will be open till January 1, 2019. Here are your odds:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/next-editor-of-us-vogue/.

Who will be the Next Editor of US Vogue, when Anna Wintour retires?

With tragic day that brought us Brussels explosions, and that will be followed with new set of US primaries, it is time to mind off a bit with market that is concerned with one light, but at the same time really important, topic: the Next Editor of US Vogue.

It is hard to find more influence Editor-in-Chief that it is Anna Wintour in US Vogue, a position she has held since 1988. She is one of the most important figures in the fashion world but at the same time person whose retirement is expected for years back. In fact, even in 2008 we already had press headlines ‘Is Anna Wintour Ready to Retire?’.

But, another interesting topic is who will take over Vogue after her retirement? In Fairlay markets you have on offer seven names with ‘Other’ option opened if you have someone else in mind. And first favorite at the moment is Glenda Bailey who has spent the last 15 years as the editor of Harper’s Bazaar.

Bailey is followed by Amy Astley, current editor-in-chief of Teen Vogue, and therefore a popular choice. She is given same chances as Lucy Yeomans who was previously the editor of Harper’s Bazaar and now edits the popular fashion website Net-a-Porter.

They are followed by few more popular names in the fashion world, so you (or at least your partner) could have positive opinion on some of them so you can catch great odds at Fairlay. But first, we all have to wait for Anna Wintour to get into the retirement and thus this market will be open till January 1, 2019. Here are your odds:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/next-editor-of-us-vogue/.

House Of Cards – To be the Next President

SPOILER ALERT: There could be few spoilers for those of you who still haven't watched Season 4.

Okay, we thought that Season 4 will be the last season of the ‘House Of Cards’ series but in the meantime it’s been renewed for Season 5 and we also didn’t get the new President in Season 4. We did get similar campaign that we have in the real life but final election is left for the next season, with addition of the hugely popular candidate Will Conway.

Still, after watching Season 4, some are even scared with the things Frank Underwood and his wife Clare will do for Frank to become the next President. So, in the markets you now how at Fairlay, Frank Underwood is by far the biggest favorite for the next President. If you think Frank will be spectacular winner in the next election, place your bets here:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/house-of-cards-to-be-the-next-president/.

Of course, you have even better odds if you think Frank will not be the next president. Second favorite is the new and very popular character Will Conway who leads in all the pools and at the moment only he can stop Frank. But you have great odds on ‘Other’ option as well, if you think Clare Underwood, Heather Dunbar on someone else could surprise.

So, what is your opinion? Will it all be about Frank or that Reddit theory ‘The deck is now complete after 4 seasons of 13 episodes; so the fifth will be about how the metaphoric house of cards come tumbling down.’ could be true after all?

House Of Cards – To be the Next President

SPOILER ALERT: There could be few spoilers for those of you who still haven't watched Season 4.

Okay, we thought that Season 4 will be the last season of the ‘House Of Cards’ series but in the meantime it’s been renewed for Season 5 and we also didn’t get the new President in Season 4. We did get similar campaign that we have in the real life but final election is left for the next season, with addition of the hugely popular candidate Will Conway.

Still, after watching Season 4, some are even scared with the things Frank Underwood and his wife Clare will do for Frank to become the next President. So, in the markets you now how at Fairlay, Frank Underwood is by far the biggest favorite for the next President. If you think Frank will be spectacular winner in the next election, place your bets here:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/house-of-cards-to-be-the-next-president/.

Of course, you have even better odds if you think Frank will not be the next president. Second favorite is the new and very popular character Will Conway who leads in all the pools and at the moment only he can stop Frank. But you have great odds on ‘Other’ option as well, if you think Clare Underwood, Heather Dunbar on someone else could surprise.

So, what is your opinion? Will it all be about Frank or that Reddit theory ‘The deck is now complete after 4 seasons of 13 episodes; so the fifth will be about how the metaphoric house of cards come tumbling down.’ could be true after all?

Can Sanders stay in the race? It is time for Arizona, Idaho and Utah to decide.

After losing all five states two days ago, Sanders is confident better days are ahead of him, and our prediction markets confirm that as he is favorite in both Idaho and Utah, next caucuses scheduled for March 22. But next Tuesday surely won't change a lot as most delegates are given in Arizona primary, also on March 22, that is in favor of Hillary Clinton.

But, can Sanders make a surprise in Arizona? He has invested more than $1.5 million in ads in this country but at the same time Arizona is in terms of demographics and geography somewhat similar to Nevada where Clinton won in February, 53% to 47%. Still, if you think Sanders can make a surprise by winning Arizona, find great odds at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/who-will-win-the-arizona-democratic-primary/.

Utah is similar to Arizona, but in the opposite ways as Clinton tries to make a surprise by winning it before current favorite Sanders. Some think current momentum will help Hillary to prevail but Sanders still has more support and caucuses go in his favor as well. But Utah it is far from decided, so odds are solid on either side of the market:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/who-will-win-the-utah-democratic-caucus/.

As for Idaho, it should be the most one-sided country next Tuesday as Sanders is a big favorite to win it. He will be in Idaho Falls tomorrow morning for his "A Future To Believe In" rally, and though people think Hillary has a momentum, Sanders should prevail easily here. You don't agree? Then find great odds on Hillary's win and bet right now at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/who-will-win-the-idaho-democratic-caucus/.

What is your opinion on the following Democratic primaries, or do you think those of Republicans are easier to predict?

Can Sanders stay in the race? It is time for Arizona, Idaho and Utah to decide.

After losing all five states two days ago, Sanders is confident better days are ahead of him, and our prediction markets confirm that as he is favorite in both Idaho and Utah, next caucuses scheduled for March 22. But next Tuesday surely won't change a lot as most delegates are given in Arizona primary, also on March 22, that is in favor of Hillary Clinton.

But, can Sanders make a surprise in Arizona? He has invested more than $1.5 million in ads in this country but at the same time Arizona is in terms of demographics and geography somewhat similar to Nevada where Clinton won in February, 53% to 47%. Still, if you think Sanders can make a surprise by winning Arizona, find great odds at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/who-will-win-the-arizona-democratic-primary/.

Utah is similar to Arizona, but in the opposite ways as Clinton tries to make a surprise by winning it before current favorite Sanders. Some think current momentum will help Hillary to prevail but Sanders still has more support and caucuses go in his favor as well. But Utah it is far from decided, so odds are solid on either side of the market:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/who-will-win-the-utah-democratic-caucus/.

As for Idaho, it should be the most one-sided country next Tuesday as Sanders is a big favorite to win it. He will be in Idaho Falls tomorrow morning for his "A Future To Believe In" rally, and though people think Hillary has a momentum, Sanders should prevail easily here. You don't agree? Then find great odds on Hillary's win and bet right now at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/who-will-win-the-idaho-democratic-caucus/.

What is your opinion on the following Democratic primaries, or do you think those of Republicans are easier to predict?

Merrick Garland's SCOTUS nomination – Who will prevail, Senate or Obama?

After few weeks of discussion and analysis, President Barack Obama today finally nominated Chief Judge Merrick Garland for the Supreme Court, so now all is set for Obama’s fierce confirmation fight with Senate Republicans. Even with this being election year, this Supreme Court nomination will be widely discussed in the following months.

Garland currently serves as the top judge on the D.C. Circuit, and he's widely admired by Democrats and Republicans but that doesn’t change a lot. At least for now, as Republicans have been clear in prior weeks that they will block Obama's pick, regardless of qualifications, and that was today once again confirmed by Majority Leader Mitch McConnell.

Republicans want the next president to be elected, before they even consider the hearing of the next SCOTUS nominee. So, the long battle between Obama and Senate is in front of us, while today Donald Trump, the Republican frontrunner, quickly backed up Senate Republicans saying they shouldn't give Barack Obama's pick a hearing.



So, Obama will need to convince at least 14 Republican senators to join Democrats to break an inevitable filibuster and at least five Republican senators to vote with Democrats for confirmation - but first somehow convince McConnell to back off from his absolutist position against even giving the nominee a hearing (for the first time since 1875).

All in all, nothing will be decided too soon and this will be a long battle as The White House is hoping to create some movement by this summer, but many expect that this battle will go all the way through November, with Democrats threatening to turn it into a major political issue before the elections so could Republicans give up before it hurts them?

Anyway, this will not only be a trending topic in the following days but also in the following months, so you already have an open market at Fairlay. Will Senate confirm Merrick Garland's SCOTUS nomination is the question, so be quick to place your bet because odds could easily go against your opinion. Find the SCOTUS odds right now at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/will-senate-confirm-merrick-garlands-scotus-nomination/.

What is your opinion on this SCOTUS nomination, and what other political markets would you like to see?

Merrick Garland's SCOTUS nomination – Who will prevail, Senate or Obama?

After few weeks of discussion and analysis, President Barack Obama today finally nominated Chief Judge Merrick Garland for the Supreme Court, so now all is set for Obama’s fierce confirmation fight with Senate Republicans. Even with this being election year, this Supreme Court nomination will be widely discussed in the following months.

Garland currently serves as the top judge on the D.C. Circuit, and he's widely admired by Democrats and Republicans but that doesn’t change a lot. At least for now, as Republicans have been clear in prior weeks that they will block Obama's pick, regardless of qualifications, and that was today once again confirmed by Majority Leader Mitch McConnell.

Republicans want the next president to be elected, before they even consider the hearing of the next SCOTUS nominee. So, the long battle between Obama and Senate is in front of us, while today Donald Trump, the Republican frontrunner, quickly backed up Senate Republicans saying they shouldn't give Barack Obama's pick a hearing.



So, Obama will need to convince at least 14 Republican senators to join Democrats to break an inevitable filibuster and at least five Republican senators to vote with Democrats for confirmation - but first somehow convince McConnell to back off from his absolutist position against even giving the nominee a hearing (for the first time since 1875).

All in all, nothing will be decided too soon and this will be a long battle as The White House is hoping to create some movement by this summer, but many expect that this battle will go all the way through November, with Democrats threatening to turn it into a major political issue before the elections so could Republicans give up before it hurts them?

Anyway, this will not only be a trending topic in the following days but also in the following months, so you already have an open market at Fairlay. Will Senate confirm Merrick Garland's SCOTUS nomination is the question, so be quick to place your bet because odds could easily go against your opinion. Find the SCOTUS odds right now at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/will-senate-confirm-merrick-garlands-scotus-nomination/.

What is your opinion on this SCOTUS nomination, and what other political markets would you like to see?

Next for the Republicans – Arizona and Utah on March 22, who will win them?

Another interesting Tuesday is behind us and it looks like everyone can be pleased but Marco Rubio who easily lost to Trump his home state of Florida and because of that decided to get out of the race. With 99 delegates won in Florida, Trump improved his lead ahead of Ted Cruz who was mostly second in countries that held primaries yesterday.

But, at the same time, a big question was opened as Trump lost Ohio to John Kasich who, by prevailing in his home state, probably stopped Trump from gaining Republican nomination before the party's convention in Cleveland. Still, there is enough delegates to be awarded and next Tuesday, March 22, it is time for Arizona primaries and Utah caucuses.

“There is great anger. Believe me, there is great anger,” Donald Trump said last night and because of this he is a huge favorite in Arizona which has a lot of angry and disaffected voters. Cruz's chances improved a bit last night as Rubio got out of the race so his votes should go to Cruz now, so if you think it could be enough for a win bet right now at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/who-will-win-the-arizona-republican-primary/.

At the same time, all the demographic analysis show that Utah is horrible state for Trump and Cruz should easily prevail in this one, especially after Rubio is out of the race. So, there is chance that Utah could be another country in which Trump's nomination is stopped but if you think that angry Trump could prevail even here, Fairlay offers you great odds:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/who-will-win-the-utah-republican-caucus/.

So, what is your opinion on the following primaries, and which other markets would you like to see created soon?

Next for the Republicans – Arizona and Utah on March 22, who will win them?

Another interesting Tuesday is behind us and it looks like everyone can be pleased but Marco Rubio who easily lost to Trump his home state of Florida and because of that decided to get out of the race. With 99 delegates won in Florida, Trump improved his lead ahead of Ted Cruz who was mostly second in countries that held primaries yesterday.

But, at the same time, a big question was opened as Trump lost Ohio to John Kasich who, by prevailing in his home state, probably stopped Trump from gaining Republican nomination before the party's convention in Cleveland. Still, there is enough delegates to be awarded and next Tuesday, March 22, it is time for Arizona primaries and Utah caucuses.

“There is great anger. Believe me, there is great anger,” Donald Trump said last night and because of this he is a huge favorite in Arizona which has a lot of angry and disaffected voters. Cruz's chances improved a bit last night as Rubio got out of the race so his votes should go to Cruz now, so if you think it could be enough for a win bet right now at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/who-will-win-the-arizona-republican-primary/.

At the same time, all the demographic analysis show that Utah is horrible state for Trump and Cruz should easily prevail in this one, especially after Rubio is out of the race. So, there is chance that Utah could be another country in which Trump's nomination is stopped but if you think that angry Trump could prevail even here, Fairlay offers you great odds:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/who-will-win-the-utah-republican-caucus/.

So, what is your opinion on the following primaries, and which other markets would you like to see created soon?