|
Then two big betting games
Turkey fenerbaha-genderbigli
Win fenerbaha 1.32 I've bet 5 times the normal amount here. It's a simply 1.05 betting game normally! They just can't lose!
Over 2.5 goals 1.58
Genderbigli 1 goal or more 1.62
France basketball monaco-Nanterre
Monaco -6.5 1.81
Over 153.5 1.79 double bet
Monaco win 1.27 a four times bet here. Same idea than before, they just can't lose!
|
|
|
|
Well yesterday bets were not perfect and gave us a -47mB result, mainly because of this incredible Irish game where only 1 goal was made! I still don't understand how it's possible but we'll... that's why you call that a bet! Today's bets are a bit more risky mainly because a few games are really interesting so bets will be high! First andsecond: England everton-Norwich Win everton 1.72 double bet Under 3.5 goals 1.61 double bet Bets are doubled because odds are higher than 1.5 and I think it's really amazing to see such odds Third and fourth : Portugal benfica national Under 4 goals 1.5 Under 1.5 goals 1st half 1.74 This one is a bit risky it's more for fun  |
|
|
|
|
So after this awesome day let's hope we do at least as good!
First bet: Austria liefering-salzburg
Over 2.5 goals 1.6
It's obvious we gonna see at least a 4 goals game, so even with some security, this bet seems good!
Second bet: Austria innsbruck-salzburg
Win innsbruck: 1.75
Innsbruck is a great team with a great winning streak, I was amazed to find a 1.75 odd, anything over 1.5 is good here!
Third and forth: France dijon-ajaccio
Win Dijon 1.55
Over 2.5 goals 1.68
Here again, dijon is clearly above! And at home! Gonna be bloody
Fifth and sixth: France le havre-bourg en Bresse
Win le havre 1.47
Under 3.5 goals 1.5
Le havre is much better but they're really careful and defensive! So it should be less than 3 goals
Seventh: Slovakia myjava-ruzomberok
Win myjava 1.78
Here I doubled the amount! Seriously? A 1.78 odd? You can bet as long as it's above 1.4 for me
Eighth and nineth: Ireland limerick-athlone
Over 3.5 goals 1.64
Over 1.5 goals at first half 1.79
Limerick didn't lose a single match for months. They destroy their opponents, the odd on them winning is about 1.08...
Question is not are they going to win, question is by how far?
Tenth: Austria st polten-linz
Over 2.5 goals 1.89
|
|
|
|
Sixth and seven: Germany basket
Oliver-Brose
Win Brose -11.5 1.68
Over 154 1.75
I triple the amount to bet on the win of brose simply because they destroyed oliver in the first match with 30 more points, so winning by 11 points is rather safe so with such a good odd you can't ignore it
Eighth Netherlands groningen-heracles
Groningen win 1.97
Again it's an incredible odd for a result of a much with is clearly not 50/50
Iceland stjannan-throttur
Win stjannan 1.35
I doubled the bet here, I don't see how they could lose
I think I'm going to follow you with this handicap for Brose as I also seen the last game of those two team Brose dominant completely and finish the game with the huge edge thank you for reminding me of this game I almost forget to bet from it. good luck. Well I hope you did! In fact the -11.5 was even a bit too cautious, you could have gone with a -18 without a problem ^^ |
|
|
|
|
OK guys,today was as good as yesterday was bad!
Most bets were ok, 7/9 is a good ratio. It's enough to earn money on average, but here it's especially good thanks to 2 bets incredible: the basket one and the Iceland game.
It's a day at +184mB for me. I hope you're still following guys, next betting tips are coming soon!
|
|
|
|
The problem with tips are most of them are low odds, so if you are going with 5%, one loss, you have to win atleast 3 matches continuously to collect the loss, so if the odds are more than 1.60, then also you have to get a good percentage of wins to get some profit.
Indeed you're right but that was a special Monday and it was not my best day for sure xD Most of other tips are between 1.5 and 2, that's the best area to bet! |
|
|
|
|
Sixth and seven: Germany basket
Oliver-Brose
Win Brose -11.5 1.68
Over 154 1.75
I triple the amount to bet on the win of brose simply because they destroyed oliver in the first match with 30 more points, so winning by 11 points is rather safe so with such a good odd you can't ignore it
Eighth Netherlands groningen-heracles
Groningen win 1.97
Again it's an incredible odd for a result of a much with is clearly not 50/50
Iceland stjannan-throttur
Win stjannan 1.35
I doubled the bet here, I don't see how they could lose
|
|
|
|
|
Here are the new bets
First: Russia ural-Spartak
Under 3 odd 1.5
It's a really good odd for less than 3 goals.
Second and third: Norway StartIK-Rosenborg
Win Rosenborg 1.35
Over 2.5 goals 1.58
Rosenborg won most of its games with much more than 3 goals
Fourth: Norway kongsvinger-kristiansuund
Win kongsvinger 2
I'm not saying kongsvinger is 100% going to win but they're still having a huge win series and a 2 odd is probably what you could get at best
Fifth: Switzerland young boys-st galen
Win young boys 1.36
Young boys is winning absolutely everything, no way they gonna lose
|
|
|
|
|
So Monday was a truly bad day for our bets! Nearly half answers were wrong which makes a rather horrible stats with 1.5 average odds ^^
Well shit happens, here two games destroyed our predictions, especially the Switzerland game which was a real surprise. The game was the first draw of last 20 games and one of the only three getting less than 3 goals.
But well that's why it's important to have a good bankroll management.
It's going to be hard to do less good so that's the good news.
|
|
|
|
Props for doing it the right way by keeping track of your bankroll and listing all of your bets and odds.
I would suggest not making the 50 mB a hard and fast rule. It really doesn't make sense to bet the same amount on a bet with 1.21 odds and one with 1.76 odds. One has a much better chance of winning, so you should bet more on that. The idea of slitting on the West Ham game is a good one, but you shouldn't need to have to make 2 bets to do the common snese thing and bet less on the long shots.
either way, good luck.
Hey there, thanks for your comments. On the contrary the 50mB rule makes a lot of sense IMHO ^^ Of course you have a higher chance to win on a 1.21 odd than on a 1.6, that's the main idea. But you don't earn money because odds are in your favorite, you earn money because you believe the odds priced by the booker are higher than what the odds really are! You earn money on that difference and on nothing else Hence the idea is to have a constant amount for two things: First is to be forced to keep a constant strategy. Without such thing, how do you determine how much you bet? Problem will be that you'll get influenced by your emotions and your previous bets. Even if you don't want to, at the moment you'll decide how much you bet, you'll get influenced. Second is to keep in mind betting is relative. You'll earn much more on a bet priced 1.8 if you estimate it's real odd being 1.5, than on a bet priced 1.2 if real odds are... well 1.2 Against the fixed bet isn't the only solution, but it's both efficient and very easy to follow It's easier for accounting, but another method isn't that hard and makes more sense. A common method is that you take your unit size (for you 50 mB) and if the odds are 2.0 or higher you bet 50mB, and if the odds are lower than 2.0 you bet enough to WIN 50mB. That way you get more money on easier bets. We don't need to go down into all the math, but it is common sense that you should bet more on bets if you are more confident in them, and you should be more confident in bets with lower odds. You are throwing away money and/or opportunity to profit by betting the same amount on a 1.2 bet as a 2.4 bet. Sorry again but I have the firm impression your reasoning is completely false ^^ What you're saying is in a sense "you bet more on lower odds because you can earn more". That makes as much sense as saying to bet more on a dice game if you have higher chances. You don't make money by betting on confident bets, you make money by betting on bets priced higher than reality by the booker. It's much more profitable to bet on something with a 2.5 odds if you think real odd is 2 than betting on 1.2 odds if real odd is 1.2 But with you're reasoning, taking the odd as an absolute can lead only to great losses because the small odds losses will be much more important than big odds win. Would you make a bigger bet on red on the roulette wheel or on the number 7? If you can't answer that question correctly this project is doomed. You don't understand how betting works your question is flawed ^^ The good question would be: Would you bet more on something with 50% chance of happening and giving you 2x the amount or on something with 10% chance but giving you 12x the amount? That's the good question ^^ |
|
|
|
Here's an important advice for anyone wishing to bet to earn money: KEEP A RECORD OF ALL YOUR BETS Of course it's first because you need to keep a track of your method and of your bankroll. But not only. The bet I made on Russian game was 50mB bet on 1.5 goals or more. It was considered as a loss while game ended 1-2 Of course it was just a small mistakes and thing like this happen. But as I keep a record of all my bets, I saw it immediately and just asked the booker to check. It took 3 minutes to be relayed with a small bonus for the inconvenience and that's why it's mandatory to keep a record of all your bets |
|
|
|
Props for doing it the right way by keeping track of your bankroll and listing all of your bets and odds.
I would suggest not making the 50 mB a hard and fast rule. It really doesn't make sense to bet the same amount on a bet with 1.21 odds and one with 1.76 odds. One has a much better chance of winning, so you should bet more on that. The idea of slitting on the West Ham game is a good one, but you shouldn't need to have to make 2 bets to do the common snese thing and bet less on the long shots.
either way, good luck.
Hey there, thanks for your comments. On the contrary the 50mB rule makes a lot of sense IMHO ^^ Of course you have a higher chance to win on a 1.21 odd than on a 1.6, that's the main idea. But you don't earn money because odds are in your favorite, you earn money because you believe the odds priced by the booker are higher than what the odds really are! You earn money on that difference and on nothing else Hence the idea is to have a constant amount for two things: First is to be forced to keep a constant strategy. Without such thing, how do you determine how much you bet? Problem will be that you'll get influenced by your emotions and your previous bets. Even if you don't want to, at the moment you'll decide how much you bet, you'll get influenced. Second is to keep in mind betting is relative. You'll earn much more on a bet priced 1.8 if you estimate it's real odd being 1.5, than on a bet priced 1.2 if real odds are... well 1.2 Against the fixed bet isn't the only solution, but it's both efficient and very easy to follow It's easier for accounting, but another method isn't that hard and makes more sense. A common method is that you take your unit size (for you 50 mB) and if the odds are 2.0 or higher you bet 50mB, and if the odds are lower than 2.0 you bet enough to WIN 50mB. That way you get more money on easier bets. We don't need to go down into all the math, but it is common sense that you should bet more on bets if you are more confident in them, and you should be more confident in bets with lower odds. You are throwing away money and/or opportunity to profit by betting the same amount on a 1.2 bet as a 2.4 bet. Sorry again but I have the firm impression your reasoning is completely false ^^ What you're saying is in a sense "you bet more on lower odds because you can earn more". That makes as much sense as saying to bet more on a dice game if you have higher chances. You don't make money by betting on confident bets, you make money by betting on bets priced higher than reality by the booker. It's much more profitable to bet on something with a 2.5 odds if you think real odd is 2 than betting on 1.2 odds if real odd is 1.2 But with you're reasoning, taking the odd as an absolute can lead only to great losses because the small odds losses will be much more important than big odds win. |
|
|
|
A last minute bet for today! (Crazy day indeed)  Russia: Sp Moscou-Arsenal Tula Over 1.5 goal odds 1.42 It's really a gamble to bet on one of the two teams as they're both good and efficient. But it's much less risky to bet on the amount of goals! Both teams are rather agressive and around 85% of their games were with 2 goals or more ! |
|
|
|
Props for doing it the right way by keeping track of your bankroll and listing all of your bets and odds.
I would suggest not making the 50 mB a hard and fast rule. It really doesn't make sense to bet the same amount on a bet with 1.21 odds and one with 1.76 odds. One has a much better chance of winning, so you should bet more on that. The idea of slitting on the West Ham game is a good one, but you shouldn't need to have to make 2 bets to do the common snese thing and bet less on the long shots.
either way, good luck.
Hey there, thanks for your comments. On the contrary the 50mB rule makes a lot of sense IMHO ^^ Of course you have a higher chance to win on a 1.21 odd than on a 1.6, that's the main idea. But you don't earn money because odds are in your favorite, you earn money because you believe the odds priced by the booker are higher than what the odds really are! You earn money on that difference and on nothing else Hence the idea is to have a constant amount for two things: First is to be forced to keep a constant strategy. Without such thing, how do you determine how much you bet? Problem will be that you'll get influenced by your emotions and your previous bets. Even if you don't want to, at the moment you'll decide how much you bet, you'll get influenced. Second is to keep in mind betting is relative. You'll earn much more on a bet priced 1.8 if you estimate it's real odd being 1.5, than on a bet priced 1.2 if real odds are... well 1.2 Against the fixed bet isn't the only solution, but it's both efficient and very easy to follow |
|
|
|
Of course he has a lot of supporters, in fact he has millions of them, but IMO he will not be elected. To be elected you should be supported by the majority and that's where he fails. Trump looks like a good candidate from 60s or from 70s but not from nowadays.
A majority is needed to win, in case of a two-way fight. But consider this scenario: 1. Trump as the GOP nominee 2. Hitlery as the Democrat nominee 3. Jeb Bush as the GOP rebel 4. Martin O'Malley as the Democrat rebel. Now the race has become a four-way fight. In this case, even 30% of the vote might be necessary for an outright win. What? In USA if you got 4 candidates it's the one gathering most votes who is elected??? You don't have a second turn with only two candidates ? Oo |
|
|
|
|
OK there is another page I forgot ^^
Fifth and sixth bets: Ireland derry-finn harps
Winner derry 1.49
Over 1.5 goals 1.45
Reason: I was surprised to find such good odds for the over 1.5 goals. Derry wins a lot at home and finn harps lost a lot when they're not at home. Most importantly, 90% of their games had 2 goals or more.
Seventh bet: England West Han - Manchester
Winner Manchester 2.5
Draw 3.49
Reason: here I split the bet in two (25 on each)because West han won barely 15% of last 20 games but draw are still common. Here you win either on Manchester or draw with such odds so nothing to be afraid of.
Eighth a.des ninth : Ireland Dundalk-Wonderers
Winner Dundalk 1.18
Over 3 goals 1.76
Reason: Dundalk is at home and first of the championship. Wanderers is tenth. All the games of 2015 were done with 4 goals or more. The ninth is a bit more risky but has a good profit and as Dundalk is at he they should really destroy Wonderers.
Tenth: Costa Rica Alajudense-Herediane
Winner: Alajudense 1.81
This bet is a little bit more risky than usual but the odd I found was excellent for a team playing at home and winning a lot! Nearly 2 for a home play against a bad team? That's a good opportunity! But don't bet if you don't find an odd higher than 1.5 in my opinion.
|
|
|
|
|
I've got an unusual number of bets for this Monday, but we'll when the situation is good you have to know to seize the opportunity. Sometimes I don't bet for 3 days but that's not the case today!
First bet: Croatia Dinama-Sloven
Winner: Dinama odd: 1.21
Reason: easy, Dinama won each and every game against Slovenia since 2011, and they seem rather performant for now not tired at all, a rather safe bet I'd say.
Second bet: Austria KSV-FAC
Winner: KSV odd: 1.65
Reason: KSV has impressive results when they play at home (which is the case here) while FAC is making a terrible season until now, they're the last of the championship. Of course that's not an absolute proof but I'd say any bet with an odd superior to 1.5 is good here!
Third and Fourth bets (so 50 mB each): Switzerland Basel-Thun
Winner: Basel 1.44 over 2.5 goals (odds 1.46)
Reason: Basel is at home and first of championship. They literally destroyed Thun in most past games, basel won 16 out of the 20 last games against Thun and put more than 2.5 goals in 15 of them
Again any odd superior to 1.25 seems good to me
|
|
|
|
Hey people! I've bet for a few weeks on betcoin.ag mainly on football (or soccer depending on where you're from ^^). And I've been rather successful, a 25% roi so I've decided to share my reasoning here hoping discussion will help me improve those results and maybe helping someone to do the good bet! Don't hesitate to make any proposition if you feel like you have a good opportunity!  First of all for people not used to regular betting, it's important to manage correctly your bankroll. I'll update regularly my bankroll here in order to keep a history of it but the idea is the same overall. I manage my bankroll always the same way. I place all my bets as a fixed amount of average 5% of my bankroll at the beginning of the week. For now my bankroll is of 1125 mB so my fixed bet is of 50mB. That's not exactly 5% but it makes everything much simpler to calculate. So for this week every bet placed is of 50mB there is absolutely no exception for this rule. That's the most important point to win on the long run! Having a stable and rigorous way of managing your bankroll. There are numerous ways of managing your bankroll, mine is just one. But choose your method and keep to it |
|
|
|
|
Hey rosinpl,
I know it's not exactly the rights thread to post this but I saw some posts talking about it and it seemed fine. THe site is down for me, both on computer and phone.
To be precise I can't access it by computer and can't login on phone. I just wanted to connect to check the results of the bets I placed yesterday and place some new on next tennis games, but seems like I won't be able to do it.
Don't know if I'm the only one though, problem might come from me.
|
|
|
|
Well, this is very sensitive topic.
Someone will say that it's human right and that we can't and shouldn't stop people to love each other.
Other will say that marriage is sacred thing, connected with God's blessing and spirituality and isn't only physical thing or emotion.
I agree with second viewpoint.
People can love each other but why they want to change definition of marriage?
All rights regular married couples have, they also have in many countries.
So, why is important to have marriage license than?
What is true agenda behind it?
Do you know that some people also want to decriminalize incest and pedophilia?
So, what is next step than?
Allow mother to marry son or father to marry daughter?
Or 70 year old man to marry girl of 7 years?
I'm afraid that this is true agenda behind all this talks about human rights for everybody.
You are first brainwashed to accept gay marriage by media, but gradually you will be pushed to accept incest and pedophilia, i have no doubt about it.
Everything in the name of ''human rights''. such sweet words but can freedom and rights exist without responsibility?
YOu're wrong in almost everything you're saying. Let's go one step after the other: -Marriage is not linked to God in any way. Marriage is an institution linked to the state, that's all. It's a contract between two persons recognized by the state, doing a marriage at the church is completely different and has nothing to do with any legal aspet. -It's important to have marriage for another very simple reason: Man A is married to woman A. They have a child together. The woman dies. Man A keeps the child. Man A falls in love with Man B. If they can't marry each other, the Man B has no right on the child (understand he can't takes any part in his education and can't take care of him if anything happens to man A). You think it never happens? Trust me it does. Several cases already happenned... -It had nothing to do with pedophilia or anything like this because in those cases there is no mutual consent. So legalizing gay marriage isn't the first step to legalize zopphilia... |
|
|
|
|
Show Posts
