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31381  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Mining Solo ~ QUESTION on: March 26, 2016, 03:53:37 AM
Right now, If I were to solo mine Bitcoin with a hash rate of 200 GH/s what are my chances of generating a block? Or how long would it take me to find a block?

Its like playing lotteries, there are possibilities to win the jackpot (or to find a block) but are very low. 200 ghs is very low hash for bitcoin mining.

not really, it's not like the lottery, this is only true if the diff keep increasing, if the diff stay the same forever(just putting it on an ideal scenario) then it's not the same thing

becausee you know that one day you will find a block at 100%, for example a miner that do 0.01 a day, mean that it need as average 2500 days to find a block

the reason why this is not really true is because of the diff that don't remain the same

It is absolutely like a lottery. With 200 GH/s today you have a 1 in 6,120,183 chance of solving every block, so 1 in 42,501 chance of solving a block each day.  Like a lottery, your odds don't improve based on past performance.  Even if it's been 2500 day (and pretending the difficulty is the same) you have no better chance of solving a block that day than you did on the first day.  Just like after playing the lottery for 50 years you don't have any better odds of winning than you do when you buy your first ticket.

If the net income you can expect to generate with 200 GH/s is not worthwhile enough for you but you want to continue participating in mining, go ahead and solo mine.  You could hit a block, although likelihood is you won't.
i found one PPC block with 141 gh  in compac sticks
31382  Bitcoin / Group buys / Re: Latest Avalon6 group buy thread. 600 usd Ends Monday 28th on: March 26, 2016, 03:23:42 AM
check with ken/yan see if they can match. who knows they might match you have certainly helped sell plenty of miners for them that may not have ever been bought.

yeah I and tired tonight  going to stop typing before I write something dumb.

the game can wear me out. sometimes.
31383  Economy / Computer hardware / Re: NEW PRICING - 24", 16awg PCIE-PCIE and PCIE leads, and 6", 18awg M-F-M Splitters on: March 26, 2016, 03:21:34 AM
Would you be able to make f-m-f  combiner cable

I have some really good 15 awg 3 ft cables hooked into an Avalon 6 miner.

While the Avalon end seems decent the psu ends get hot.

I have some 20 jack break out boards for 2880 psu

So I need eight jacks to run two Avalon 6 miners

I rather use 16 jacks not 8

I can definitely have this produced at a price similar to the M-F-M cables listed on the first page, but theres pretty low demand for them (the 16awg cables are pretty reliable to 300W+) and it would need to be a custom order >100pcs, and with a 3-4 week delivery time.
The next best thing would maybe then be to use 8pcs of these: " 6" Y-SPLITTERS  " and 8pcs of these: " 24"  PCIe-to-PCIe "

yeah sidehack made some for me.

and if you have the 2880/2980 breakout board you will need them if you choose to run avalon 6's
31384  Bitcoin / Pools / Re: [100TH] [PPLNS 0.5%] Jonny's Mining Emporium (bravo-mining.com) - New Promotion! on: March 26, 2016, 03:10:35 AM
 fucking bitmaintech is giving away 100 usd coupons on the s-7


I am not sure what to do.

I also have 36 coupons for s-7's   4 s-7's for 1.25 coins each = cheap


31385  Bitcoin / Group buys / Re: Latest Avalon6 group buy thread. 600 usd Ends Monday 28th on: March 26, 2016, 03:08:30 AM
wow.. strategic timing I must say on their part.

let us know what the plan is or if the Avalon group buy turns into an s7 group buy.

Maybe run it by ken/yan see if they can in anyway match even if its only for this group buy. would rather give them my btc then those other people.

plus avalons seem to be block busters for kano. lol


what is the lead time on the current available units from bitmain? weeks? or same day like Avalon?

let me see promised times for bitmain.

5 days from payment


ANTMINER S7 BATCH 15 - Shipped out within 5 days BUY
ANTMINER S7 BATCH 15 - Shipped out within 5 days

AntMiner S7 BATCH 15 with 4.73th/s is available to order. Shipping out within 5 working days after full payment.

ahh I have been really busy with holidays and I have a lot to still do.

I can not see the sense in the avalon 6  when the s-7 is about 1.25 btc and the avalon 6 is about 1.45 btc.

I think holy scott was selling some avalon 6's at a one count.


https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1257327.msg14314794#msg14314794


his deal is not quite as good  but  I can't see doing this group buy avalon 6 is  612 to 640 vs

500 with the s-7.

I need to sleep on this anyone looking to post ideas please do.

31386  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc on: March 26, 2016, 02:52:11 AM
current picks below:

-3.0 = Amph

-2.5 = HagssFIN

-1.5 = blindminer

-1.2 = philipma1957  since it is my prize money if I win I will roll it back in

-1.0 = Last of the V8s
-0.9  = indiemax

-0.7 = Notist3d
-0.6 = edonkey
-0.5 = Brob12321

-0.3 = Zebedee

-0.1 =kipper01

0.0 = adaseb


+0.3 = tertius993
+0.5 = RichBC
+0.7 = ezeminer
+0.8 = wpt1wpt1
+0.9 = mavericklm
+1.0 = ingiltere
+1.1 = flikflak
+1.2 = mikestang
+1.3 = VRobb

+1.5 =pusttiu
+1.9 =HerbPean
+3.7 = fr4nkthetank
+4.2 = VirosaGITS

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   165,496,835,118
Estimated Next Difficulty:   166,134,795,465 (+0.39%)
Adjust time:   After 911 Blocks, About 6.3 days >>picks close at 816
Hashrate(?):   1,223,522,569 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.0 minutes
3 blocks: 29.9 minutes
6 blocks: 59.8 minutes
Updated:   22:50 (3.3 minutes ago)
31387  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: ANTMINER S7 is available at bitmaintech.com with 4.86TH/s, 0.25J/GH on: March 26, 2016, 02:50:26 AM
looks like another batch coming soon..


Dear Customer,

 

As a token of appreciation for being our valued customer, Bitmain would like to issue you a special $100 discount coupon towards the purchase of a new Antminer S7. All customers who purchased an S5 in 2015 or an S7 (if we get payment by 15:00, March 25 of Beijing time)are eligible for this promotion.

To take advantage of this limited time offer, simply log in to your Bitmain store account and go to the My Account page. On this page you can view any coupons that have been added to your account. If you’re eligible for the promotion, the coupon will be automatically deposited -- no further action is required to get this offer.

Don’t wait to take advantage of this special deal. Stock is limited and the coupon will expire in a few weeks.

As always, Bitmain values your loyalty and we look forward to building lasting relationships with all of our customers. This coupon is one way we can say thank you for making what we do possible.

 

All the best,

Bitmain

I see the coupons, S7 is only $482 after $100 off. Time to buy?

Ask yourself... why are they dumping these so cheaply now? What do they have waiting in the wings? Dollars to donuts they are clearing out inventory and will launch a new miner very soon.

yes so if your power bills are low these are a bargin.
31388  Economy / Computer hardware / I have new 100 off coupons for s-7's cheap. on: March 26, 2016, 02:44:07 AM


I have more then 5

pm with an offer.



100 off the batch 15 s-7.

just look what 4 of them let you buy 4 s-7's for

31389  Bitcoin / Group buys / Re: Latest Avalon6 group buy thread. 600 usd Ends Monday 28th on: March 26, 2016, 02:41:11 AM
okay I like these units  but just now I have been sent 36 100 dollar bitmain tech coupons for s-7's

I can get 4 s-7s shipped to my house in NJ for 2000 usd.

this gives me a problem   the s-7 underclocked to 3800 gh  is pretty much as good as the avalon 6  in terms of noise levels

which if I get a good one maxes near

3800 gh.  So 500 for an s-7 or 600 for an avalon 6

I am thinking I may be forced to not do this group buy.
I am thinking that buying this s-7 and downclock to 3800 is better
then getting the avalon 6's

I am not sure what to do.

I also have 36 coupons for s-7's   


31390  Bitcoin / Pools / Re: [35 PH] ** 5x AVALON6 GIVEAWAY ** Kano CKPool (kano.is) [0.9% PPLNS] US,DE,SG on: March 25, 2016, 11:44:34 PM
Block by monysto with 49THS!  That gets him on the Acclaim Board with his first kano block!

That's block number 7 for Block Friday!  Cheesy Cheesy  There's still 39 minutes left to hit #8!

Edit:  And I'm glad to get off page 666...that was going nowhere fast!  Shocked

the easter bread did the trick.  sweet!
31391  Bitcoin / Group buys / Re: Latest Avalon6 group buy thread. 600 usd Ends Monday 28th on: March 25, 2016, 11:27:17 PM
so this being my first group buy using btc. how does the payment part work? come Monday you say pay me X btc and then we send that? used to paying in $ so sending/paying money early didn't matter.

I try to hold the coins as little as possible.
So I will say please send at btc addy xxx around 9 pm Sunday to about 3 pm Monday est

Then send all coins in 1 send to block_c btc addy.

It lowers the risk of a large btc price shift.

if you go to my profile  you will see this address.


https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=64507


Avalon6 Group Buy - 1BHKKrAh5oTacQnmjfACXjE9cGyFRR8rVD


So you want one unit and you are in Los Angles   that is going to be 600 + 12  I would send a pm to you   and say   612 usd is

1.45440010   please send that to   the group buy address    make sure to   use all numbers as the 0010 on the end  helps me track your payment

you would send that amount to the addy above make sure to go to my profile above  and realize it is my profile  and matches the address.

you sent the btc.  tell me the transaction id.     i make sure it is for the exact amount 1.45440010    every one else pays in say 10 units


come to 14.65000114 btc.


   I do a full send of the coin to block_c
 I send block_c all shipping info.

 Lets say 5 go to me for east coast shipping and 5 are drop shipped by block_c for west coast shipping and central usa shipping.

This makes it easy for yan from block_c to do his job and people get to do small 1 or 2 unit orders.  or 3 or 4 or 5 or more.

I used to test every unit at first but then I realized I should just test   over seas ones since usa sales can get replacement gear pretty easy.

But if they are going to Montreal, Finland or U.K.  knowing I sent a working unit is helpful.

right now I did about 50 units in 3 sales all the units were good but a wire or 2 was bad.  the four pin ones have a 4 % fail rate so far

2 bad and 50 good

31392  Bitcoin / Pools / Re: [35 PH] ** 5x AVALON6 GIVEAWAY ** Kano CKPool (kano.is) [0.9% PPLNS] US,DE,SG on: March 25, 2016, 11:16:57 PM
I just had some Easter bread with baked in eggs for supper. Was too lazy to make the omelette .

Still think the baked eggs should work for something.

And I guess they did as we are now on page 667!
31393  Bitcoin / Group buys / Re: Latest Avalon6 group buy thread. 600 usd Ends Monday 28th on: March 25, 2016, 10:25:57 PM
I will sit out this round but I'd like to get at least 1 more Avalon 6, probably next round if Philip will do another group buy.

By the way, I figured out why my a6 was having problems, it was my old corsair rm1000 PSU, as soon as I replaced it with two server psu's, it stabilized and it's hashing at 3950 ghs. So, make sure you have a good power supply at least 1200 Watts, set your A6 at freq 500 and fan minimum 40, as suggested by philipma and others. Do not exceed voltage over 12.3, or your a6 will burn up. I had one of my Bitmain S7 go up in flames, it couldn't handle 12.8 volts, so it's normal for these miners to burn up if you overvolt it.

yeah these miners can be touchy
31394  Bitcoin / Pools / Re: [35 PH] ** 5x AVALON6 GIVEAWAY ** Kano CKPool (kano.is) [0.9% PPLNS] US,DE,SG on: March 25, 2016, 09:46:42 PM
...
I just told him to look at the trend and rent ... when a pool is on a hot streak
...
No idea why that advice would be considered any good.
Future blocks have nothing to do with past blocks.

100 block segments thats is my mantra
31395  Bitcoin / Pools / Re: [100TH] [PPLNS 0.5%] Jonny's Mining Emporium (bravo-mining.com) - New Promotion! on: March 25, 2016, 09:43:15 PM
Yeah... I'm still debating, too.  Unfortunately all of my coin is tied up right now, so my only recourse is to purchase some.  I have a $1000 instant buy limit on coinbase so that rules out getting 2 more.  Maybe I'll just go with 1... hmmm... decisions decisions Tongue

don't worry just tossed 50 th here for a bit

I hit a block on kano.is
 I will hit one here today
and I will hit one on mmpool today
A true triple block friday

the simple reason is I am having turkey for easter sunday and all of us that go bowling know a turkey is a triple strike
31396  Bitcoin / Pools / Re: [100TH] [PPLNS 0.5%] Jonny's Mining Emporium (bravo-mining.com) - New Promotion! on: March 25, 2016, 09:39:26 PM
Yeah... I'm still debating, too.  Unfortunately all of my coin is tied up right now, so my only recourse is to purchase some.  I have a $1000 instant buy limit on coinbase so that rules out getting 2 more.  Maybe I'll just go with 1... hmmm... decisions decisions Tongue

don't worry just tossed 50 th here for a bit
31397  Bitcoin / Group buys / Re: Latest Avalon6 group buy thread. 600 usd Ends Monday 28th on: March 25, 2016, 09:32:42 PM
There a difference between the fans other than noise?


Probably should have asked earlier but this buy includes all the stuff from the last group buy correct? pi/cables..etc

the stock fan is louder  they both move a lot of air well.

these come with

1 rasp pi  with programmed  sdcard
1 wall wart
2 usb cords
1 four pin wire
1 small adapter between usb and four pin wire

I will not include a sanyo ace fan  as I only have 3 left.

link for 1 case of them
http://www.amazon.com/Sanyo-Denki-SAN-Ace-120mm/dp/B00YOC80IO?

and link for 1 of them


http://www.amazon.com/Sanyo-Denki-SAN-Ace-120mm/dp/B00QWB1X3O/ref=sr_1_1?
31398  Bitcoin / Pools / Re: [35 PH] ** 5x AVALON6 GIVEAWAY ** Kano CKPool (kano.is) [0.9% PPLNS] US,DE,SG on: March 25, 2016, 09:07:26 PM
boom here we go.  another fine block friday.

I was planning on a nice big cheese omelette for dinner.

200% luck over the last 5 blocks

anyone notice this is page 666 for the thread

Nice job hitting that block...which machine was the one?

nice hash rental  33th for 24 hours fixed at.0031

nhando

 nicehash works for smaller rental too.  I spent .09 btc for block friday did pretty well
31399  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are open.... prize = 0.1 btc on: March 25, 2016, 08:30:20 PM
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   165,496,835,118
Estimated Next Difficulty:   165,543,889,013 (+0.03%)
Adjust time:   After 954 Blocks, About 6.6 days >>>>>> picks end at 816
Hashrate(?):   1,200,983,467 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.0 minutes
3 blocks: 30.0 minutes
6 blocks: 60.0 minutes
Updated:   16:25 (4.5 minutes ago)



https://blockchain.info/blocks

404262 (Main Chain)   2016-03-25 20:21:07

403201 (Main Chain)   2016-03-18 09:50:30


1062 blocks made in 7 days 10 hours  30 minutes

should be

7 x 144 = 1008
6 x  10 =     60
6 x   .5 =       3

1071

so 1062/1071 -1 =   (- 0.84%)
 
31400  Bitcoin / Pools / Re: [35 PH] ** 5x AVALON6 GIVEAWAY ** Kano CKPool (kano.is) [0.9% PPLNS] US,DE,SG on: March 25, 2016, 08:23:32 PM
boom here we go.  another fine block friday.

I was planning on a nice big cheese omelette for dinner.

200% luck over the last 5 blocks

anyone notice this is page 666 for the thread
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