It seems marvinrouge's MACD algo started to overcome Buy'n'Hold strategy.
It's a narrow margin, it could not be enough if the trend reverse in the next hours, as it seems (my algo will buy if we'll exceed 131 in the next hours). |
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Kicking myself for not entering. Good luck everyone, count me in next round.
2013-08-19 00:00 Simulation started. Balance: 1000.00 USD
2013-09-03 13:00 SELL - Balance: 1225.59 USD
nice! hope indeed seeing your entry on the next round  |
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nah, ebay will just have a bitcoin usage fee. why wouldn't they want to get in on the game? ebay had to pay someone a team for a week a month to create that animation, so you know they are at least a little serious about a bitcoin viability.
I know lot of people think it's easy to make graphic design, but creating a video like this one is a lot of work It must be the reason why the price rose recently |
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if I read this well, this model does not outperform buy and hold: only +643%
our newsletter has fared better :-) (had to throw this in :-))
If your newsletter is so great, why do you need to advertize everywhere in every topics ? Stop spamming and make your newsletter public during 2 weeks, people will choose on real results. |
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All MtGox historical data since July 2010 was uploaded and now can be used in backtests.
many thanks ! |
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What is it with the steep UP! arrows out of nowhere with you guys? The market is slow right now and whenever we're going up or down it has to pick up momentum (and volume!) first do do anything.
There is always low volume before a big movement (up or down). |
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Too soon to panic.
yep, a reversal to a cup n handle is still a possibity (but I wouldn't bet on that, in any case)  |
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FYI First sets of walls gone. Everyone panic.
panic or stop loss, that's a point of view |
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So I wrote some script to use the Gekko Bot to do batch-range backtesting to generate charts similar to what Goomboo posted back in Feb 2012. I ran multiple candles / timeframes / values. Here is some candy (timeframe picked to be after the Apr crash): The numbers you see is the expected PROFIT. The simulation started with a modest 2.5 BTC. Obviously <0 is not good (a loss). Interestingly enough it looks like M5 candles are NOT a good choice right now. Nobody reacts to such scaring low profits ? - bad time frames :the time frames < hourly give bad results, so M5 isn't the best choice... and 100 days is a bit short for daily time frame - the tested period is difficult : price goes from 140 to 105 without long rising trend... -> Earning some profit in these conditions is good enough |
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But hey, that was you already !!!!!  |
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I agree that the more data there is the better strategies you can develop. But keep in mind that markets change, I don't think the way the market behaved in 2011 is comparable to it's current behaviour.
Of course, but if a strategy gives excellent results in both 2013, 2012 and 2011, it's far more reliable than having excellent results in 2013 and bad results in 2011-2012. Some luck or a specific configuration could have biased the results |
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Seems to be working now, must be " instead of '
It should be no difference. I will look into it. Since few days, I can't backtest on 2011 data  More precisely, I can't go before 2011/06/27 Is there some bad data in the database ? At this time, Cryptotrader does not allow backtesting on historical data for the periods prior to 2011/06/27. Though, if you really need that, i could upload market data until June 2011 to the database. Do not do that only for me but if other are interested too, it would be useful, the more data we have, the more reliable a strategy can be, especially if you test on the long-term! In 2011 we had the biggest bitcoin bubble until now followed by a long deflation, it can be interesting to backtest on it, the years 2012 and 2013 are very different |
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Since few days, I can't backtest on 2011 data More precisely, I can't go before 2011/06/27 Is there some bad data in the database ? |
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Good idea IMO. Added it to the roadmap.
good news ! |
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A simple idea (but I don't know if it's easy to make) : it could be great to have graphical representation of the BUY and SELL entry points, like this :  Would be a quick way to see if a strategy works |
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It’s high-risk area at/above $110. Indeed. |
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So you maintain a 110 target? Hmmm....
nice call |
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