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321  Economy / Speculation / Re: Is It Time to Buy More BTC? on: April 18, 2024, 04:31:03 AM
Many people are optimistic that the price of bitcoin will increase, which does not mean it is guaranteed that the price of bitcoin will increase and bring profits to everyone who decides to buy bitcoin from now on. The market does not move according to the wishes of people, especially the crowd. Investing in bitcoin requires a long-term view, don't try to speculate just because everyone is optimistic about the bitcoin price and the halving does not guarantee us a price increase.

The right time to buy bitcoin is when you are ready for the risks you face if it happens, not before or after the halving event or when bitcoin drops in price.
Indeed, no one can guarantee that with every speculation made by someone that Bitcoin will experience an increase and can be profitable for those who have collected Bitcoin, so before deciding to invest our money in Bitcoin we must already understand the investment we are making and don't let it happen. just following other people in investing so that we make mistakes that cause us losses.
What you say is very correct, that the time is right to invest in Bitcoin when we are ready for the investment risks that we will face when carrying out the investment and also have to have a good plan before starting to collect Bitcoin so that we can get a profit from holding Bitcoin.
We have just over a day left until the halving event takes place and let's take a look at bitcoin's price at this time. Many people confidently believe that the halving is approaching and the demand for bitcoin will increase and from there the price will only increase without decreasing . But look what's going on and that's why I say don't be too subjective and always prepare yourself with a backup plan. Bitcoin is unpredictable and it will never please the crowd.
I believe that after the halving there will be a lot of people disappointed because things did not go as they expected , but that is part of the financial game that they need to accept .
322  Economy / Speculation / Re: Satoshi forces the price of bitcoin to continue to rise over time on: April 18, 2024, 04:19:14 AM
I think Satoshi didn't include halving in the design of Bitcoin for its price to rise. I guess the design was simply imitating the way gold mining works. As mining goes on, the gold deposits on the earth dwindle, and so the new additional supply also decreases. This is how Bitcoin mining works as well. As mining goes on, the reward decreases over time.

I don't see this as a weakness though. And I also don't agree that public trust on Bitcoin is based on high price. Although there is that portion in the community, they don't represent the public. Bitcoin has features. These features are the main reasons why people are behind Bitcoin.

But if he relies on the principle of gold to create a halving event for bitcoin, then he clearly wants bitcoin to increase in value over time because the scarcity factor also helps gold increase in price over time.

Although in the bitcoin whitepaper , he only mentioned it as a peer-to-peer currency, other than that , we cannot be sure that he does not want bitcoin to become an asset like gold. We cannot know what his thoughts were, but given what was going on, I cannot rule out the possibility that Satoshi also intended to turn bitcoin into an asset and not really a currency.

Probably because Satoshi knew very well how the fiat system would kill the value of money. Scarcity or finitude was there to address this. A fix supply in Bitcoin's design is probably grounded on the fact that money shouldn't be as easy to inflate as fiat. Otherwise he's not really addressing the never-ending rising of prices of goods and services and the devaluation of money.

Satoshi designed Bitcoin to be a currency and a currency is also an asset at the same time. So I guess this isn't something that we should be confused about. Satoshi definitely wanted Bitcoin to be an asset.

Also , I still have a question, even we can know that bitcoin becoming a currency will never happen because the government will never let it happen . The government is still the one who controls this world and they will still be the one who decides what bitcoin will become, this is something that everyone understands and I think Satoshi has definitely thought about this. Satoshi was wise enough to realize that, so it wouldn't be entirely correct if he created bitcoin with the sole purpose of becoming a currency . I still believe he also plans to make bitcoin an asset if it fails to become a currency.
323  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: April 18, 2024, 03:17:18 AM
Manchester United has a match against Coventry in the FA Cup semi-finals.  I hope they will be able to win that match at least. Because of the way they have been performing recently, it really is not good at all. They do not have any singles wins in the last four matches.

The last match they were able to win in the English Premier League was against Everton.
And Everton is currently fighting to stay out of the relegation zone, lol.
I think you get the context here. So it is actually a very hit and miss prediction with anything about Manchester United at this moment.
But I don’t think it is actually going to be too much to ask from Manchester United to win the match against Coventry, they won 13 out of 15 meetings against Coventry.

My opinion is that it should not be that hard for Manchester United. But recently Manchester United has made everything hard for themselves.
324  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2023/24 Season on: April 17, 2024, 06:55:01 PM
Milan vs Roma

I think this is going to be one of the most interesting matches. First of all, I did not expect Milan to lose the first leg. I thought they were going to have an advantage going into the second leg. Or at least I thought they would not have any disadvantages going into that second leg. But now that is not the case. Roma has the upper hand. But the advantage is not very big as well. Roma has an advantage of only one goal. The aggregate score is currently one – zero in favor of Roma. So it is not something which Milan will not be able to overcome.

But the problem is the match is going to be played in the home ground of Roma. So this is probably a bigger problem than I thought at first for Milan. De Rossi said Ndicka's health is good now, so he will probably play tomorrow's match, That's why Roma's attitude is normal now. Best of luck Giallorossi's men, hope they can make it all together.
325  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: April 17, 2024, 02:23:48 AM

Quote
RAPH TRADE Barcelona ‘reject £60million transfer offer’ from Premier League club for former Leeds star Raphinha
BARCELONA have reportedly rejected a £60million bid for Raphinha from an unnamed Premier League club.
The Brazilian, 27, joined the Catalan giants from Leeds in a £57m deal in the summer of 2022.
Source: https://www.thesun.co.uk/sport/27339315/barcelona-transfer-bid-rejected-raphinha

I think they have made the right decision. Because he is an important player for them at this moment.
So, if they sell him, they will have to at least bring in a similar level of player if not better. You know, they cannot do that with 60 million.
I actually don’t think they will be able to do that with 80 million as well.

But I understand that they also need money. So I am not going to blame them if they actually sell him. However,  I also think at the same time that it is not worth it to sell a player who is playing well for the team trying to save some money. Yes, 80 million is a good price for him. I want to be surprised if Barcelona somehow manages to get something more than that.
326  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: April 16, 2024, 05:34:13 PM
I think it is safe to say that Inter is going to win the league title this season. And that means Napoli is not going to defend the title successfully. Napoli is actually not even going to finish in the top five in my opinion.

Juventus is not performing as well as they should be. But they will still finish in the top four. Unless something amazing happens.
Roma and Bologna is in competition for the fourth position. It is still unclear who will finish on the fourth.

Udinese 28, Verona 28, Empoli 28, Frosinone 27, Sassuolo 26, are fighting against each other. The competition between them is to see who can stay out of the relegation zone. The numbers mentioned beside the teams are the points that they are on right now. We can clearly see that there is only a difference of two points between all of them. So it is still unclear who will be relegated.
327  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: April 15, 2024, 05:57:37 PM

Barcelona vs PSG

This match is probably going to be one of the most important matches for PSG this season. Let's be real. PSG is not even a little bit worried about the Ligue 1 title. Because you know that is the default title for them. They are going to win that by default. What actually matters to them is the Champions League title. They are not playing well in that.

Right now PSG cares about all two things. Somehow keeping Mbappé in the squad devil not be successful in doing. And winning the Champions League competition. And it is not going to be a very bad prediction to say that they will probably not win the Champions League competition. The odds are definitely against them. Let's see if they can overcome this situation and actually beat Barcelona to go to the next stage of this competition. Which I will admit is highly unlikely.
328  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: April 15, 2024, 04:24:34 PM
Bayern Leverkusen's performance is extraordinary this season and they are the only team in Europe that has not been beaten this season, Bayern Munich's performance is certainly inseparable from the compactness of their team which is evenly distributed on every line, besides that the lack of star players owned by Leverkusen certainly makes it easier for Alonso to manage his squad, because I think it will be very difficult for young and novice coaches to manage the egos of star players and of course us Everyone knows that many star players often throw tantrums that require the coach to take firm action against these players, besides of course Alonso is at the right time to coach Leverkusen at this time when Bayern Munich's performance is deteriorating.
Even though he is still considered a young coach, Alonso is a footballer who has been in many teams in very different leagues during his career so he was also trained by quite experienced coaches at that time. So now he can apply all of that to the team he is coaching now and the results have also surprised many people at this time because before this season started we all certainly never thought that Bayer Leverkusen would never lose. But in reality that has happened now with only a few games remaining for this season.

I thought Leverkusen would not be able to win this match. As they have played a match just one day before this one. I thought they would probably get one point from this match or even if they did, they would struggle. But I was very wrong. They were able to win this match pretty easily. They have been able to beat Bayern Munich for the Bundesliga title. This has happened after 11 years. Since the last 11 years, Byren Munich has been the team to win the title. This season, everyone thought it is going to be the same old story as Harry Kane joined Bayern Munich. With a few matches left, Leverkusen was able to make sure that they won the title. And they were also able to win the match by a big difference. The final score was 5-0 in favor of Leverkusen. Xabi Alonso has been able to win the Bundesliga title both as player and as a coach.
329  Economy / Speculation / Re: Satoshi forces the price of bitcoin to continue to rise over time on: April 15, 2024, 01:09:52 PM
I think Satoshi didn't include halving in the design of Bitcoin for its price to rise. I guess the design was simply imitating the way gold mining works. As mining goes on, the gold deposits on the earth dwindle, and so the new additional supply also decreases. This is how Bitcoin mining works as well. As mining goes on, the reward decreases over time.

I don't see this as a weakness though. And I also don't agree that public trust on Bitcoin is based on high price. Although there is that portion in the community, they don't represent the public. Bitcoin has features. These features are the main reasons why people are behind Bitcoin.

But if he relies on the principle of gold to create a halving event for bitcoin, then he clearly wants bitcoin to increase in value over time because the scarcity factor also helps gold increase in price over time.

Although in the bitcoin whitepaper , he only mentioned it as a peer-to-peer currency, other than that , we cannot be sure that he does not want bitcoin to become an asset like gold. We cannot know what his thoughts were, but given what was going on, I cannot rule out the possibility that Satoshi also intended to turn bitcoin into an asset and not really a currency.
330  Economy / Speculation / Re: Is It Time to Buy More BTC? on: April 15, 2024, 01:01:40 PM
For me yes this is the right time to buy bitcoin both as a long term or short term basis,  this is significant enough since most of the market speculators are cashing in on all the befits of bitcoin both at long term or short term basis and this is what is most Important for any investor,  some of the gains of holding bitcoin is that it value always changes at frequent time and is out of the control of any centralized or individual influence or control so bitcoin will continue to recover even if it falls below your buy price.

and If we pay attention to the market sentiment when viewed from the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index is now at level 65 is still quite strong and I think ahead of the halving moment in about 5 days, investors are increasingly likely to feel optimistic and focus on BTC in anticipation of price increases as a result of the recent decline.


Many people are optimistic that the price of bitcoin will increase, which does not mean it is guaranteed that the price of bitcoin will increase and bring profits to everyone who decides to buy bitcoin from now on. The market does not move according to the wishes of people, especially the crowd. Investing in bitcoin requires a long-term view, don't try to speculate just because everyone is optimistic about the bitcoin price and the halving does not guarantee us a price increase.

The right time to buy bitcoin is when you are ready for the risks you face if it happens, not before or after the halving event or when bitcoin drops in price.
331  Economy / Speculation / Re: Inflation and Bitcoin's Potential Impact on: April 15, 2024, 12:45:13 PM
Bitcoin was created after the severe economic crisis of 2008 and with designs such as decentralization, finite supply... clearly Satoshi wanted to create an asset to combat the inflation that fiat money causes. But today bitcoin is being used as a speculative asset because of its high volatility, so whether we use it to effectively deal with inflation depends on each person. In the short term, bitcoin's volatility is not suitable for us to use it to fight inflation , but if we use it in the long term, bitcoin is even more effective than gold.
332  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: btc purchases on: April 15, 2024, 12:35:30 PM
It would be very risky for us to directly contact traders on Binance and external P2P trading because we don't know who they are and if we get scammed by them there is no way to complain. I tried doing this once, I tried to talk to them to do an outside transaction but they refused immediately because it was really too risky even though the amount was very small. I don't think this is a good idea to try while we also have decentralized exchanges.

Based on personal experience, I would suggest everyone stay away from P2P merchants or users who ask you to contact them outside the platform and make trades with them because that has a lot of negative consequences and I have seen it. They might even offer you better rates and ask you to make trades with them privately, and they might not even scam you but things they do can put you under a lot of risks.

I have seen people facing such things where the buyer contacts them offering a higher price than the market and says he will do third-party payments, remember, third-party payments are a very big red sign, never take third-party payments from anyone on any P2P platform because your receiving account can get in trouble because of that.

The buyer would offer you high prices for accepting third-party payments, and then they send scammed funds to your account and take USDT from you, later on, people who got scammed by the buyer will start approaching you or registering complaints against you.

I agree with you and in my opinion, once we join any trading platform, we should comply with all their regulations and should not arbitrarily make outside transactions because will not be guaranteed or protected if something goes wrong.
I also use P2P on binance quite often and I never reply to messages or have to explain myself to any of the buyers and sellers. I always comply with binance's regulations and if the trading time expires and my transaction is still not resolved, I will complain directly to the support staff. We should only work and communicate with platform staff, and not talk or argue with anyone outside the platform or any social network. The risk is too great.
333  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: April 15, 2024, 12:21:11 AM

Quote
When Kylian Mbappe completes his expected move to Real Madrid this summer, it could have the domino effect of taking Vinicius Jr to Liverpool for a club record fee.
That is according to a report from Sport, which reports that when Mbappe moves to Madrid it will raise doubts about Vinicius Jr’s future at the Santiago Bernabeu.
Source: https://www.footballtransfers.com/en/transfer-news/uk-premier-league/2024/04/kylian-mbappe-vinicius-jr-liverpool-real-madrid-transfer-news

This is something I have not thought about before. I always thought that they were going to play Mbappé as a striker of the team. I personally did not think that they would have any problem with Vini jr and Mbappé both being left-wingers. And I still don't think it is going to be a big problem. I just think that the media is trying to make a big issue out of it so that they can gather some views. I don't think Mbappé is going to have any issues playing as a striker in Real Madrid. I also believe Vini jr is going to perfectly complement him
334  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: April 14, 2024, 05:14:54 AM
-.-

IMO, it is very likely that Bayer Leverkusen will celebrate their League title after beating Wender Bremen. yesterday's match against Westham in the quarter-finals did not dampen their enthusiasm to win the Bundesliga. moreover, Alonso still has players he can rely on in the Bremen match, Victor Boniface could be the main starter in tomorrow's match. since he was injured and returned to join his teammates, Alonso has always placed him on the substitute bench. In the match against Bremen, it was time for Boniface to show his abilities. plus, several other players are also absent after their injuries.

We can refer to the odds provided by the bookies, you can see the gap between the two teams that will compete. Leverkusen with @1.21, while Bremen with @13.00. although if Bremen played defensively, it would be difficult for them to hold back Leverkusen who were very highly motivated.  So, I doubt if this match will end in a draw. apart from this match being held at the BayArena, it will be difficult for Bremen to hold back Xavi Alonso's team who immediately want to finish this competition. so, Leverkusen can fully focus on the Europa League and DFB Pokal. my estimate is that Xabi Alonso's team will score at least 2 more goals in tomorrow's match. so maybe the Over option could be an option for those who want to bet, there will be a minimum of 3 goals from both teams.

Leverkusen was able to win the Europa League match against West Ham pretty comfortably. And I will actually say that this should not have a big impact on their performance against Bremen in the next match.

Yes, they did not get enough rest before the match, thats why i think about a daw with Bremen. But I think if they can actually rotate the players well enough, They will be able to make sure that they win the match and also the Bundesliga title with that. And yes I also agree that the team is going to be very motivated to win this match. But I think they will try to not go hard in the first half and try to conserve energy so that they can play well equally in the second half.

On paper, this should not be a problem for them. You know Bremen are in 12 positions now and i can't see any consistency from them current season. if i talked about their last game, they played against Frankfurt and made 1-1 draw with them. on the other hand, Leverkusen is in top of the table and has a good consistency this season. so it will not be wrong if I expect same result what they had done with Westham last day and keep their unbeaten form stable.
335  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: btc purchases on: April 14, 2024, 04:41:02 AM
Binance and other exchanges also have P2P marketplaces -- I believe you don't need KYC to view these. Many leave their contact details, least last I checked.
But if you read his statement carefully you will  see that the OP wants a non custodial wallet that doesn't require him to be Kyced or uploaded any of his identity or any other details.

If you read my response carefully, you'll see I'm telling him how to avoid using any wallet other than his own, and the P2P trader he's buying from. Not telling him to use the exchange, but to obtain direct contact with traders. That's how I got mine, the same guys I sell to from years ago. It's got its own risk, sure, but we all operate risking our reputations -- that's in some way a lot more secure than escrow.

It would be very risky for us to directly contact traders on Binance and external P2P trading because we don't know who they are and if we get scammed by them there is no way to complain. I tried doing this once, I tried to talk to them to do an outside transaction but they refused immediately because it was really too risky even though the amount was very small. I don't think this is a good idea to try while we also have decentralized exchanges.
336  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin halving countdown on: April 14, 2024, 04:32:23 AM
It has been earlier predicted that the Bitcoin price will surpass $100k, and if that's not possible this year, we hope that next year it will reach that level, so investors should hold tight to their assets. 
Bitcoin has always halved before creating a new All-time-High, but since this year's turn, we were able to see a new All-time-High before halving, I will like to say that don't be surprised if our anticipated halving date comes and pass, and yet instead of the sign of a bull to begin, we start seeing signs of a drastic bear in the price of Bitcoin till next year. But however, it's never too late, as that will be an opportunity for some to accumulate more BTC now that they could as BTC is currently valued at $62,000, and likely to fall below $60k before the next 24hrs.
Well, many people are excited and predict bitcoin will touch $75k and even $80k as bitcoin went back to $71k a few days ago. But what I see now is that most people are predicting that bitcoin will drop to $60k, even $40k when they see bitcoin has dropped in the last 3 days. People change so fast  Cheesy Cheesy.

If you believe that bitcoin will drop to 60k$ in the next 24 hours, have you prepared USDT to catch DIP or when it reaches $60k you will continue to predict it will drop to $50k and you will wait to buy if it drops about $50k?

There have been many pessimistic predictions and I think this is a good sign that the market will recover. I bet bitcoin will recover from now on because there is so much fear in the market.
337  Economy / Speculation / Re: Iran strikes Israel. Crypto crashing heavily... on: April 14, 2024, 04:12:37 AM
The cryptocurrency market has experienced worse things like Covid, the Russia-Ukraine war and it always emerges stronger after every black swan of the world, so there is no reason to be afraid of a war between Iran vs Israel. Although these black swans come suddenly and are hard for anyone to predict, to me, all the news is just for market makers to turn them into reasons to manipulate our psychology. Many people started to panic and sell their bitcoins and assets and that's why the market turned red. But I believe everything will soon pass and those who sold bitcoins will soon buy them back at a higher price. Don't let whales take your bitcoins because of news like this.
338  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Few days to 4th Bitcoin Halving on: April 14, 2024, 03:59:25 AM
1. Could this mean that we are on the verge of witnessing an explosive Bitcoin rally as a result of the Bitcoin ETFs approval.

2. Do you think that the Bitcoin Bull market is going to end sooner than later after the halving?


1. Bitcoin is definitely going to experiencing a phenomenal growth in price due to the insane combination of ETFs + halving effect. The current dip right now looks like the final flush before an epic run that has always been the norm with Bitcoin's halving.

2. Imo, not sooner. If anything, Bitcoin is just starting and the run is going to extend to the coming months. We're going to break the ATH for the umpteenth time this year. My intuition is telling me that we'll see Bitcoin trade much more higher than here. Possibly a 100% increase.

In short, bitcoin investors all have optimistic thoughts and expectations like you because no one wants bitcoin to fall in price because if it falls or the bull season ends early, we will lose money.

But if we stay calm and evaluate fairly, anything can happen, history may or may not repeat. As an investor in the market, I think things are never easy and there will always be changes from the house that make the match more unpredictable. The financial game is a fierce one, it is not a place where everyone can make a profit.

Halving or not, bitcoin is essentially a financial market, halving does not change this fact. Therefore, we need to be alert and analytical, do not rely on intuition to invest.
339  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin the HERO we never knew we needed on: April 14, 2024, 03:45:40 AM
My question to us right now do you think Bitcoin will eventually erase the commercial banking sector???
Bitcoin was not created to replace commercial banking, bitcoin is an alternative and we use bitcoin freely and independently. It is unlikely that bitcoin will replace commercial banks as many countries only allow the use of bitcoin as an investment asset. Bitcoin being anonymous will be much safer and that is why people simply avoid KYC, but if you use an exchange that requires KYC that means our data is also recorded on that exchange.

Most people avoid KYC, but when we use an exchange that has obtained an operating permit in our country, KYC is an important thing to do because otherwise we cannot carry out transactions. Although there are options that we can do and if we want to appear more anonymous then use an exchange that does not require KYC.

Personally I don't think so, most people are using centralized exchanges and I guess up to 90% of investors have accounts on centralized exchanges. Very few people care about KYC because people's real purpose when investing in bitcoin is profit, getting rich quickly, not looking for privacy as we think. I just ask one question, if your income is not even $1k or $2k per month and you have to work 14 to 16 hours a day, do you need more privacy or more profit?

Bitcoin was created with the intention of being a decentralized currency, but why did it become an investment and speculation? Everything has its reason.
340  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: April 14, 2024, 03:40:24 AM
only zero to zero after the first half between Juventus and Torino.

The match isn't as fun as it often happens lately but the only thing that matters are the points brought home

next year Serie A should have 5 places available for the Champsion League so the minimum objective could be fifth place and no longer fourth.
The Torino vs Juventus match ended in a draw. With Juventus's recent struggles in Serie A, I knew this match would end in a draw if Torino failed to score Juventus a goal. If Juventus keeps on performing like this, they will have to fight to qualify for next season's UEFA Champions League competition. Juventus are lucky Bologna drew with Monza; if not, Juventus would have been leading Bologna by just two points in the league table.



Actually, this match was actually very important for Juventus. And I am pretty amazed to see that they have not been able to get three points out of this one.
U.S national team's celebrity McKennie failed to lead Juve toward winning against Torino who are currently in 9th position on the table. So I can't see Allegri's men any chance of winning the title in this competition. D. Vlahović got a huge chance to net the ball but this Serbian striker was unable to make those chances on target.

I think if this continues, Juventus is not going to stay in the third position. Honestly, they might have some problems staying in the top four, to be honest. The point difference between the team that is in the fifth position and Juventus is not very big at this moment. In this match, I think there were not too much action, to be honest. I do agree that sometimes even goalless draws can be pretty good entertaining but this was nothing like that.
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