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3201  Local / Polski / Re: Wątek koronawirusowy on: April 02, 2020, 01:22:02 PM
@bitbay84 Masz sporo racji, ale z tą higieną i załatwieniem się na ulicy to bym nie przesadzał. To było 100 lat temu a nie 1000. Poza tym skoro wirus udeża w "dobrze prosperująca' gospodarkę, to czemu uwala kursy o 40% podczas gdy 10x mocniejszy wirus uderzający w rozwijająca się gospodarkę uwala kursy o 10%? Może odpowiedzią jest fakt, że teraz transakcję przeprowadza się w milisekundy a nie osobiscie przychodzi na giełdę.

Nowe dane z USA dot. bezrobocia. Pierwszy tydzień obostrzeń przyniósł 3.3 mln nowych bezrobotnych a drugi aż 6.7 mln. Łącznie 10 mln.


link
3202  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: Idena is the first Proof-of-Person Blockchain on: April 02, 2020, 12:54:02 PM
but if you look at the explorer 45% of the minted coins for last 6 EPOCHS, goes to the foundation address.

What? 45%?



I can see 3600 in here as invitation rewards. That's 0.7% of minted coins (52k daily for 10 days epoch). Where did you get those 45% from?

But it is fair point that this wallet should not have rewards for not spended invitations but did he gets it? Show me proof on explorer because i see only "Invitation (1st validation)" rewards.

Extending the time of a short session definitely won't reduce the possibilities of running two nodes by one person rather make it easier... Looking longer at senseless flips won't make them more meaningfull no matter if a newbie candidate or a human is looking at them...

Fair point. Short session should not be extended.

...
2. Cut the flips for the newbies.

Fair point. 1 after first validation, 2 after second, 3 after third (or 1 flip until you get given % of good flips) seams to be better for network but:

1- creating a flip is not only a privilege but also an obligation. They are necessary for network to exists, and we can't push this obligation to humans only. Doing 10 flips each epoch is not fun at all especially that reward for each flip is not encouraging (~25 DNA).
2- bad flips does not reach consensus - should not harm you and in 90% cases it works. It does not work in 10% cases because there is not enough validators for each flip - that should change with network grow.

Your point has advantages and disadvantages and to be hones i don't know if i would rather stick with current situation or force to change it.

For me more important is fact that candidate is taking part in long session... How is it possible that someone that did not proof to be a human even once can vote if flip is correct or not?

Quote
He made the minimum solving score for short flips to be over 90.74% speaking that the humans need 92%

Fair point. It is based on the assumption of a fixed number of invitations. If you give all humans 2 than there is fixed amount for verified and 90.74% satisfies the equation with 1 unknown. I agree with you that it should be improved. Something like only humans with 10+ epoch old account get 2 invitations or humans with +96% score. That should give more space for validated accounts and push 90.74% much lower.

@Railai rest of your post is complaining about lack of information, bad admins and throwing logs under newbies feet etc.
I didn't see better community on any coin. The mere fact that with the receipt of an invitation in most cases means getting a private mentor is something amazing. I spend hours for my invitees explaining how it works. As i can see you do that too.
Those logs under newbies feet are necessary to prevent attacks in which you beg for as many invitations as you can and go random validating half of your accounts and mine for whole epoch.



3203  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: What's your gambling system? on: April 02, 2020, 10:35:35 AM
Which one is the best and gives the best chances? Is there any which actually works?

PS
I see explanations about these variations in the thread, but it is hard to understand them correctly if one has not too much experience with martingale and that is why I want to get a straight answer if possible?

The best martingale system variation so far is this one - tripling instead of doubling but still it is much worse than simply going into casino and betting all your money in single trade double or go home broken (single bet system). So does it work? No ... but still it is better than regular martingale and any other martingale variation.

Hi OP,
Can you code/do virtualisation for martingale on 2,2x multiplier, or 120% profit on win. I would ask you for the difference between starting at 1 and starting at 2 with bankroll off 100,000.
Thank you

Sure. I was very busy last days and completely forgot about this topic. I still need to code simulation for Harunobu and others. I will try to find time to finally come back to this tread.
3204  Local / Polski / Re: Nowy wirus na forum :) April Fools 2020 on: April 02, 2020, 10:26:19 AM
Uff. Ograniczyłem wczoraj kontakt z zarażonymi i udało się wytrzymać cały dzień bez bycia zainfekowanym internetowym wirusem.


No wzięło na śmieszki krypto maniaków. 
Jest tego więcej Smiley

Craig Wright Victorious in Kleiman Case After Signing with Satoshi’s Key
https://www.financemagnates.com/cryptocurrency/news/craig-wright-victorious-in-kleiman-case-after-signing-with-satoshis-key/
3205  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Tokens (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN] GOLD - First 100% Liquid Stablecoin Backed by Gold on: April 02, 2020, 10:22:38 AM
I'd go by the buy prices of GOLD and Bitcoin; it could be more accurate since the graph may be a median. (That's something only GOLD team can tell).
So if I buy 1 GOLD for bitcoin at the official marketplace it costs 0.00820182BTC, which means about 53.02 USD.
A bit bigger than 51.95. And I guess that the market will adjust in time.

You are right. Chart is not what i should look at. Your calculation is much more accurate but it still looks like you can buy GOLD token with 4% discount over the bulionstar price. If its because of boulding supply much earlier when gold was cheaper than it's very nice of GOLD team that they share their profit from good trade with investors - because that's what it is.

2. I have made my research and confirmed that you actually have 19000+g of gold in the bullionstar vault,  this is great. How do people who purchase your tokens confirm that they are true owners of the physical portion of the gold in your care? Any legal documents in case? These are things that settles the mind of the holders.

Fair point. That's what i'm also concerned about.
3206  Local / Polski / Re: Wątek koronawirusowy on: April 02, 2020, 04:58:52 AM
To dopiero początek, a prawdzie liczby ofiar są dużo większe. Np. w Polsce niektóre szacunki mówią, że są 4x większe, w Chinach nawet 40x. W innych krajach podobnie, z wielu powodów publikowane liczby są zaniżone.
Początek koronawirusa trwa już 3 miesiące. Nawet jeśli x 40 na całym świecie (2 mln ofiar) to i tak jest to mniej niż w samej pierwszej fali hiszpanki, która od wybuchu do wygaśnięcia trwała raptem miesiąc. A dane dotyczące hiszpanki również mogą być sporo zaniżone. Pierwsza fala miała szczyt 500 000 ofiar tygodniowo (dla populacji USA równej 100 mln) a mimo wszystko DJI kompletnie ją olal. Dopiero 2,5 mln ofiar tygodniowo sprowadziło kursy w dół o 10% tylko po to, by w trakcie 3 fali pompować jak szalona.

Chodzi mi tylko o to, że świat idzie po omacku zupełnia jakby pierwszy raz miał do czynienia z pandemią a tymcasem walczył już z 10-50x silniejszą (nawet przy uwzględnieniu zaniżonych szacunków).

Nie bagatelizuję koronawirusa (choć tak może się wydawać z mojej wypowiedzi). Uważam jednak, że obecna panika na rynkach i strach o upadek gospodarki wiąże się bardziej ze świadomością, że to i tak wisiało na włosnu a wszystkie papiery wartościowe są bezwartościowe w stosunku do ceny. A nie w strachu przez koronawirusem. Spółka, która jest na rynku od 50 lat nie powinna spadać o 50% po 2 miesiącach mniejszych obrotów.
3207  Local / Polski / Re: Wątek koronawirusowy on: April 01, 2020, 07:04:41 PM
Koronawirus więc koniec świata, giełdy odnotowują rekordowe spadki, WIG20 notuje najgorszy dzień w historii polskiej giełdy, SP500 spada w miesiąc o 35%, DAX o 40%, WIG20 o 41%, brakuje złota, upada ekonomia ... mogę tak wymieniać i wymieniać.

Tymczasem w 1918 wybuchła pandemia hiszpanki. Jednej z najbardziej śmiercionośnych pandami. Śmierć poniosło od 21 000 000 do 100 000 000 ludzi (są różne szacunki). Koronawirus jest obecnie w 0.1 % tego obecnie (~50 000 zgonów). Jak zareagowały rynki?


link

Przez 12 miesięcy trwania pandemii DJI spadł o 10%! A co najciekawsze odbijał jak szalony równo z drugą falą której szczyt wynosił 12 zgonów na 1000 obywateli (dla USA to 1 200 000 zgonów w ciągu 1 tygodnia? ~170 000 dziennie dobrze liczę? Chyba źle, uzupełnie te wyliczenia). Jak to jest możliwe, że 50 000 zgonów w ciągu 70 dni (714 dziennie) idenksy spadły już tak bardzo i zbliża się ekonomiczny koniec świata?

Może wtedy spółki na giełdzie miały wartość a nie były nadmuchanymi balonami z wycenami 100 krotnie przekraczającymi wartość.
3208  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Overview of Bitcointalk Signature-Ad Campaigns [Last update: 29-Mar-2020] on: April 01, 2020, 11:22:13 AM
New campaign
COINSAGA.COM SIGNATURE CAMPAIGN

  • Sr Member: $20 in BTC/Week
  • ]Hero/Legendary: $25 in BTC/Week
I would like to point out that manager is at member rank, his last thread was opened 2 years ago and he just woke up after half year of absence. There is also no escrow.
And the most important ... he is infected!

3209  Local / Polski / Re: Wątek koronawirusowy on: April 01, 2020, 08:32:36 AM
TVP prowadzi lekcje, by pomóc dzieciom nadrobić zaległości w związku z kwarantanną.

https://streamable.com/kvb29

Nie wiem, czy to prima aprylis, czy te dziewczyny na serio prowadzą matematykę w ten sposób.

Tak trudno zatrudnić 1 matematyczkę?
3210  Local / Polski / Re: Signature campaing - regularnie płatne pewniaki on: March 31, 2020, 03:24:33 PM
We are OPEN for another week! Get your applications in NOW Smiley.

Same rules, requirements and payments as last week and it officially starts tomorrow and ends next Tuesday. This means you have all of today to apply.

Blender.io znów otwarty i tym razem również na 1 tydzień. Hhampuz musi miec anielską cierpliwość do tej kampanii.

Manager: Hhampuz
Nazwa kampanii: blender.io
Jakie rangi: 10x Sr. Member, 10x Hero Member i Legendary
Ile do zarobienia/tydzień / ilość postów: 40$/tydzień Sr. Member. 45$/tydzień Hero Member i Legendary; 15 postów na tydzień.
Dodatkowe informacje: Kampania będzie trwała tylko tydzień.
3211  Local / Polski / Re: Wątek koronawirusowy on: March 31, 2020, 12:39:57 PM
Tu oficjalny przekaz wraz z przykładami:

https://www.gov.pl/web/koronawirus/kolejne-kroki

Quote
Sklepy i punkty usługowe – 3 osoby na kasę lub stanowisko do płacenia
Do każdego sklepu (zarówno małego, jak i wielkopowierzchniowego), a także do każdego lokalu usługowego może wejść maksymalnie tyle osób, ile wynosi iloczyn liczby wszystkich kas i liczby 3.

PRZYKŁAD To znaczy, że jeśli w sklepie jest 5 kas, to w jednym momencie na terenie sklepu może przebywać 15 klientów.

Czyli będzie tak jak mówisz. W ogromnym sklepie będzie 30 osób (10 kas), każdy będzie robił zakupy przez 30 min ładując wózek do pełna, czytając etykiety, myślac co na obiad. Na godzinę 60 osób, 900 dziennie. Czyli można się spodziewać, że 30 osób w sklepie i 1000 pod sklepem ale ... w 2 metrowych odstępach.

Quote
2 metry – minimalna odległość między pieszymi

Wprowadzamy obowiązek utrzymania co najmniej 2-metrowej odległości między pieszymi. Dotyczy to także rodzin i bliskich.

Wyłączeni z tego obowiązku będą:

rodzice z dziećmi wymagającymi opieki (do 13 roku życia),
a także osoby niepełnosprawne lub niemogące się samodzielnie poruszać i ich opiekunowie.
3212  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Tokens (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN] GOLD - First 100% Liquid Stablecoin Backed by Gold on: March 31, 2020, 08:10:19 AM
From what I know GOLD team is buying 100g gold bars, which are still available for sale there. So I see no issues.

1g of gold in futures is equal to 51,95$
1g of gold bulionstar is equal to 55,85$ (https://www.bullionstar.com/buy/gold-bars - 5585 /100)

That's what i'm talking about. 7.5% spread.

1g of gold in goldtoken is equal to 51,95$ - based on this chart


https://gold.storage/pl/market
3213  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: What do you think about Arbitrage trading... on: March 31, 2020, 07:16:33 AM
that is most times disappointing and unsustainable with blocked deposits and withdraws due to "wallet Maintenance" being the main problem.

In fact, you can arbitrage without withdrawing.

1- arbitrage inside single exchange between different pairs (f.e buy btc with usd, sell btc to eth, sell eth to usd). If spread is higher than 3x fee than you can make litle profit in 1 second (mostly during BTC pump/dump). I did that manually on small exchange but for short term because i was "kicked from job" by trading bot later on that someone turned on. Potential profit was too small to beat for it with other person and his bot. Big exchanges are overtaken by whales and their super latency bots and vip10 low fees.

2-arbitrage between 2 exchanges without withdrawing - f.e you have 100$ and 100$ worth btc on both exchanges. If price of BTC is better on one exchange you dump BTC on 1 exchange and in the same time (as fast as possible) buy on another exchange with funds that you have there (without withdrawals, you have funds on both exchanges). If things change you do the oposit. It's perfect if you hodl a coin for long term and want extra (but small) profit with low risk. Just put btc or usd on other exchange and arbitrage.

Withdrawals are not mandatory to arbitrage.

To OP. Arbitrage is not about doing 30% in one trade because of strange unreasonable price difference (most likely locked withdrawals). Its about doing 0.1% multiple times daily in trades that should take less than a fragment of a second to reduce exposure to currency risk to minimum.
3214  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Overview of Bitcointalk Signature-Ad Campaigns [Last update: 23-Mar-2020] on: March 31, 2020, 06:50:48 AM
After just one week blender.io SigCamp has finished.  It looks like the campaigns are starting to get a little thin on the ground, so people might want to stop and have a think about which campaign they want to stick with for a while.

From the very beginning of recrutation this campaign was meant to be 1 week camaping. Hhampus warned everyone about that in announcement post.

Blender.io is open again. Typically for this campaign duration is set to 1 week. From March 24 to March 30. Hhampuz is looking for 10 senior and 10 hero members.

We are open for applications and another week of campaigning here for blender.io

Same terms as before, one week, apply now (starts tomorrow, ends next Monday)!


In fact majority of new campaigns last for 1-4 weeks.
3215  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: Idena is the first Proof-of-Person Blockchain on: March 31, 2020, 06:38:31 AM
IDENA NOT FAIR FOR INVITATION CODE , only old member and multyple user always get code invitation from admin. I user indonesia and join group telegram get kicked from admin  Cheesy
bad project

Yes this is definitely bad project for you. Based on the entry in your trust summary you would rather choose and promote ponzi shame.

"multyple user" - yhy.. in proof of person blockchain.

"join group telegram get kicked from admin" - I'm more than sure that you was kicked because you didn't pass bot test.


More than 5K will make running a node unattractive for many.

With current price that is undervalued based on $2M marketcap and 1300 uniqe and equal nodes!

I don't think we will see more than 10-20K nodes, since the return will start to get very low after at 1$ price.

With 1$ DNA price and 10k nodes you will have 150$ monthly for 15 min quiz once per 2 weeks. People work in shoe factory in third world country for 10h daily for less than that.
I would continue to support IDENA even with 5$ per month.

3216  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Tokens (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN] GOLD - First 100% Liquid Stablecoin Backed by Gold on: March 31, 2020, 06:18:14 AM
Based on various sources we are currently in Gold Bullion Shortage - "when the physical bullion market's available bullion supply for sale and immediate delivery is unable to sufficiently meet the investing public's demand".
(f.e Traders have reported a growing global shortage of gold bars). If Gold token is backed by physical gold are there any restrictions or limits to buy Gold token now? Has gold token team any issue with access to physical gold currently? Is this shortage real or just fake news (who would know it better if not GOLD token team?).

As I know price of phisical gold is even up to 10-20% higher than futures price currently and you need to qait up to 8 weeks for delivery. As I can see Gold token price is still very close to futures price.
3217  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: Idena is the first Proof-of-Person Blockchain on: March 30, 2020, 02:46:35 PM
100000 nodes means 100000 users. Aint gonna happen. First, people in average are very very stupid, literally hicks, whose literacy skills wane as they grow older. Only 1 in 1000 knows how to set up a node, and much less know how to keep it running. Rest assured that people will keep avoiding crypto in the future because risk aversion and low information field to which they are exposed are two key restrains that keep people from stepping in.

Between 3000 and 5000 are still good numbers,we have to understand that there will be also people that will miss their validation. Already 1k members is a lot for a project in such early stage

You guys think that it will be so easy to stop IDENA? Just look at this chart.



And estimation on logarithmic scale:



Another one based on last 7 epochs



3000 looks very easy to achieve. We can see it after 5 epochs from now if we will maintain this grows speed. This unique project brings people outside of crypto society. As i know devs are mostly focused on them. That's why they don't spend too much time on Bitcointalk. Most participants have invited at least 1 friend/relative and teach how to validate correctly.

Maybe i'm too long in here to remain objective but i'm extremely bullish on IDEA network grow and DNA price.

If DNA price will push IDENA to top 100 CMC we will most likely see 100 000 nodes, because 1 person from third world country will bring here whole village (of course this one with internet connection).
3218  Economy / Gambling / Re: 🔥🎲Luckydice.com 🎲🔥 - ⭐ 100,000 USD Jackpot ⭐ Cashback ⭐ Faucet ⭐ Unique Game ⭐️ on: March 30, 2020, 08:16:56 AM
From where you got the info?

Just my quess. They were very active here posting not only updates. They were answering questions and sugestions like:

Hey guys, sorry for delay, we completely redesigning Fairness and How to Play sections with code examples, so it takes longer. Should be ready in few days.

So how about the prize range for the Silver and Gold Chest?  ... snip...

Silver Chest average prize is ~$10, and for Gold Chest ~$100. ... snip...

Thanks for your cool site! I did not understand only the jackpot. Is it progressive or fixed?

Thanks! Jackpot is progressive, 0.1% of wagered allocated to Jackpot.

Thanks for help in fairness calculations ... snip...

Its surprising that they simple give up on bitcointalk and other social media as you pointed out (Facebook & Twitter). Hope that everything is fine.
3219  Economy / Gambling / Re: 🔥🎲Luckydice.com 🎲🔥 - ⭐ 100,000 USD Jackpot ⭐ Cashback ⭐ Faucet ⭐ Unique Game ⭐️ on: March 30, 2020, 06:18:21 AM
Well looks like Luckydice team fired a guy responsible for communication with bitcointalk community. They were very responsible and active here until the end of signature camping when whole topic died.

It's a shame, I think that the combination of slots with dice that luckydice invented is very interesting and worth being presented to bitcointalk community well.
3220  Economy / Gambling / Re: Roobet.com | Crypto’s Fastest Growing Casino 🦘 on: March 30, 2020, 06:08:37 AM
What's your favorite game? Let us know 😊

I would be really happy to see Poker on your site or any other skill based PVP game.

By the way -> I can't access Roobet.com currently. Are there any issues?
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