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Like July I would have preferred if BTC stayed lower longer because that allows me to have more BTC for when it does rise. We broken the trend down so now its off to the races. I think also its inevitable we do trip up and reset but Im not thinking BTC is half as negative this year as some initially might have feared, mostly this will be true so long as Dollar appears to have peaked.
I would guess something like 2 years is the ideal term for holding FUN unless you are lucky in buying into a rise. For most in crypto thats a lifetime but if you consider the biggest gains have been longer term I dont mind holding the token that long as Iam also a long term user. There is the small bonus meantime of holding, the free spins and cashback are mostly going to benefit the biggest users. This all was clear from the start though the smallest payout odds were altered which as Im not a big player does effect me more; also its true that if 100k BTC is possible it should be beneficial overall and more so then just a plain BTC holding imo. I think alot want freedom to sell the peaks and buy the dips, but thats action often taken with fear which makes me doubt how many manage to trade properly without losing out of the longer term positive gains BTC has.
Anyway on that basis I will buy into dips in the token price in proportion to any weakness.
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Lows of today were the 50 day average, keeping this below us is quite bullish. I'll post the brief range we have kept, 4hr bars its not a bad place to decide us in direction, if we fail downwards it will take much longer then managing to resolve upwards towards the yearly averages where a bigger fight must occur I presume.  |
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Maybe a side bet on who will host might be the most immediate gain, Billy Crystal coming back easy  surprised nobody posted this yet : A host has not yet been named for the Academy Awards ceremony, which will take place on Sunday, March 27. The broadcast will air live at 8 p.m. ET/5 p.m. PT on ABC.
A full list of nominees follows.
BEST PICTURE
Belfast (Laura Berwick, Kenneth Branagh, Becca Kovacik and Tamar Thomas, Producers)
CODA (Philippe Rousselet, Fabrice Gianfermi and Patrick Wachsberger, Producers)
Don’t Look Up (Adam McKay and Kevin Messick, Producers)
Drive My Car (Teruhisa Yamamoto, Producer)
Dune (Mary Parent, Denis Villeneuve and Cale Boyter, Producers)
King Richard (Tim White, Trevor White and Will Smith, Producers)
Licorice Pizza (Sara Murphy, Adam Somner and Paul Thomas Anderson, Producers)
Nightmare Alley (Guillermo del Toro, J. Miles Dale and Bradley Cooper, Producers)
The Power of the Dog (Jane Campion, Tanya Seghatchian, Emile
Sherman, Iain Canning and Roger Frappier, Producers)
West Side Story (Steven Spielberg and Kristie Macosko Krieger, Producers)
BEST DIRECTOR
Paul Thomas Anderson (Licorice Pizza)
Kenneth Branagh (Belfast)
Jane Campion (The Power of the Dog)
Ryűsuke Hamaguchi (Drive My Car)
Steven Spielberg (West Side Story)
BEST ACTRESS
Jessica Chastain (The Eyes of Tammy Faye)
Olivia Colman (The Lost Daughter)
Penélope Cruz (Parallel Mothers)
Nicole Kidman (Being the Ricardos)
Kristen Stewart (Spencer)
BEST ACTOR
Javier Bardem (Being the Ricardos)
Benedict Cumberbatch (The Power of the Dog)
Andrew Garfield (Tick, Tick … Boom!)
Will Smith (King Richard)
Denzel Washington (The Tragedy of Macbeth)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Jessie Buckley (The Lost Daughter)
Ariana DeBose (West Side Story)
Judi Dench (Belfast)
Kirsten Dunst (The Power of the Dog)
Aunjanue Ellis (King Richard)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Ciarán Hinds (Belfast)
Troy Kotsur (CODA)
Jesse Plemons (The Power of the Dog)
J.K. Simmons (Being the Ricardos)
Kodi Smit-McPhee (The Power of the Dog)
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Cruella (Jenny Beavan)
Cyrano (Massimo Cantini Parrini and Jacqueline Durran)
Dune (Jacqueline West and Robert Morgan)
Nightmare Alley (Luis Sequeira)
West Side Story (Paul Tazewell)
BEST SOUND
Belfast (Denise Yarde, Simon Chase, James Mather and Niv Adiri)
Dune (Mac Ruth, Mark Mangini, Theo Green, Doug Hemphill and Ron Bartlett)
No Time to Die (Simon Hayes, Oliver Tarney, James Harrison, Paul Massey and Mark Taylor)
The Power of the Dog (Richard Flynn, Robert Mackenzie and Tara Webb)
West Side Story (Tod A. Maitland, Gary Rydstrom, Brian Chumney, Andy Nelson and Shawn Murphy)
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Don’t Look Up (Nicholas Britell)
Dune (Hans Zimmer)
Encanto (Germaine Franco)
Parallel Mothers (Alberto Iglesias)
The Power of the Dog (Jonny Greenwood)
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
CODA (Screenplay by Siân Heder)
Drive My Car (Screenplay by Ryusuke Hamaguchi, Takamasa
Oe)
Dune (Screenplay by Jon Spaihts and Denis Villeneuve
and Eric Roth)
The Lost Daughter (Written by Maggie Gyllenhaal)
The Power of the Dog (Written by Jane Campion)
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Belfast (Written by Kenneth Branagh)
Don’t Look Up (Screenplay by Adam McKay; Story by Adam McKay & David Sirota)
King Richard (Written by Zach Baylin)
Licorice Pizza (Written by Paul Thomas Anderson)
The Worst Person in the World (Written by Eskil Vogt, Joachim Trier)
BEST ANIMATED SHORT
Affairs of the Art (Joanna Quinn and Les Mills)
Bestia (Hugo Covarrubias and Tevo Díaz)
Boxballet (Anton Dyakov)
Robin Robin (Dan Ojari and Mikey Please)
The Windshield Wiper (Alberto Mielgo and Leo Sanchez)
BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT
Ala Kachuu — Take and Run (Maria Brendle and Nadine Lüchinger)
The Dress (Tadeusz Łysiak and Maciej Ślesicki)
The Long Goodbye (Aneil Karia and Riz Ahmed)
On My Mind (Martin Strange-Hansen and Kim Magnusson)
Please Hold (K.D. Dávila and Levin Menekse)
BEST FILM EDITING
Don’t Look Up (Hank Corwin)
Dune (Joe Walker)
King Richard (Pamela Martin)
The Power of the Dog (Peter Sciberras)
Tick, Tick… Boom! (Myron Kerstein and Andrew Weisblum)
BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
Coming 2 America (Mike Marino, Stacey Morris and Carla Farmer)
Cruella (Nadia Stacey, Naomi Donne and Julia Vernon)
Dune (Donald Mowat, Love Larson and Eva von Bahr)
The Eyes of Tammy Faye (Linda Dowds, Stephanie Ingram and Justin Raleigh)
House of Gucci (Göran Lundström, Anna Carin Lock and Frederic Aspiras)
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Encanto (Jared Bush, Byron Howard, Yvett Merino and Clark Spencer)
Flee (Jonas Poher Rasmussen, Monica Hellström, Signe Byrge Sřrensen and Charlotte De La Gournerie)
Luca (Enrico Casarosa and Andrea Warren)
The Mitchells vs. The Machines (Mike Rianda, Phil Lord, Christopher Miller and Kurt Albrecht)
Raya and the Last Dragon (Don Hall, Carlos López Estrada, Osnat Shurer
and Peter Del Vecho)
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Ascension (Jessica Kingdon, Kira Simon-Kennedy and Nathan Truesdell)
Attica (Stanley Nelson and Traci A. Curry)
Flee (Jonas Poher Rasmussen, Monica Hellström, Signe Byrge Sřrensen and Charlotte De La Gournerie)
Summer of Soul (Ahmir “Questlove” Thompson, Joseph Patel, Robert Fyvolent and David Dinerstein)
Writing With Fire (Rintu Thomas and Sushmit Ghosh)
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
Audible (Matt Ogens and Geoff McLean)
Lead Me Home (Pedro Kos and Jon Shenk)
The Queen of Basketball (Ben Proudfoot)
Three Songs for Benazir (Elizabeth Mirzaei and Gulistan Mirzaei)
When We Were Bullies (Jay Rosenblatt)
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
“Be Alive” — Music and Lyric by DIXSON and Beyoncé Knowles-Carter (King Richard)
“Dos Oruguitas” — Music and Lyric by Lin-Manuel Miranda (Encanto)
“Down to Joy” — Music and Lyric by Van Morrison (Belfast)
“No Time to Die” — Music and Lyric by Billie Eilish and Finneas
O’Connell (No Time to Die)
“Somehow You Do” — Music and Lyric by Diane Warren (Four Good Days)
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Dune (Greig Fraser)
Nightmare Alley (Dan Laustsen)
The Power of the Dog (Ari Wegner)
The Tragedy of Macbeth (Bruno Delbonnel)
West Side Story (Janusz Kaminski)
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
Drive My Car (Japan)
Flee (Denmark)
The Hand of God (Italy)
Lunana: A Yak in the Classroom (Bhutan)
The Worst Person in the World (Norway)
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Dune (Production Design: Patrice Vermette; Set Decoration: Zsuzsanna Sipos)
Nightmare Alley (Production Design: Tamara Deverell; Set Decoration: Shane Vieau)
The Power of the Dog (Production Design: Grant Major; Set Decoration: Amber Richards)
The Tragedy of Macbeth (Production Design: Stefan Dechant; Set Decoration: Nancy Haigh)
West Side Story (Production Design: Adam Stockhausen; Set Decoration: Rena DeAngelo)
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Dune (Paul Lambert, Tristan Myles, Brian Connor and
Gerd Nefzer)
Free Guy (Swen Gillberg, Bryan Grill, Nikos Kalaitzidis and
Dan Sudick)
No Time to Die (Charlie Noble, Joel Green, Jonathan Fawkner and Chris Corbould)
Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings (Christopher Townsend, Joe Farrell, Sean Noel Walker and Dan Oliver)
Spider-Man: No Way Home (Kelly Port, Chris Waegner, Scott Edelstein and Dan Sudick |
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End of Jan saw the Dollar peak in its index value relative to other currencies. We are weaker since then and no new bearish news has occured to especially increase Dollar value vs all other assets. I think this matches the movement in BTC to a relief rally of fairly large proportions. Be optimistic for now until once again we are proven towards a pattern downwards. We've crossed 50 day average and appear to be ready to close above that, next reasonable target is the 50 week average and/or 200 day.
Be more cautious if we appear to print 44.5k as a ceiling, it might take a while to move further upwards but overall this is far more positive action then we've seen prior.
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Price has beaten the downtrend after an extended period of following a regular pattern from the ATH. Its recovered back the 50 day moving average which was at one time the bullish measure underpinning the highest prices, we are presently slightly recovered but underneath the lowest prices of the Autumn bottom so it has something to prove here. It would appear for now the low is in, I think it could hold off selling any further this whole year so no prices into the 20's On a yearly view this could be considered bullish still |
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G2 is good with Monesy in
One of the best clutches here Ive seen, channeling old kenny. Changes my view of G2 its so good even if I think the team overall is important its nice if you just have somebody who kills every other opponent. mibr beat complexity and navi recently, they are a fair few ranks under G2 but definitely a good underdog team it would seem in the classic Brazilian way, I do think it was Monesy being exceptional which means I expect more  Copenhagen Flames over Blink is probably too easy of a bet though blink took a map from Dig & Can Forze crush Dig or possibly consider 3 maps if not |
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Solar is great, the chart for cost per watt is like a ski jump. Its fallen so much I hope solar is massively more viable ongoing then it used to be even in fairly northern parts of the world, obviously its been viable in a desert terrain for a while. Big one I heard is skyscrapers with all the windows able to function as part solar panels, thereby the building becomes justified in its energy usage; really big if true since cities are natural polluters. storage of excess energy is an issue (one that Bitcoin mining can actually help alleviate) I see a few people really disagree with this idea but I do think BTC is useful for remote energy use out of hours and so on it has a purpose not obvious at first site. I think the simple idea of pumping water up a mountain to a reservoir is superior for storing energy longer term. Theres a few other ideas but on a base level BTC is finance efficiency not the literal storage of the physical. These two things arent really separate, its really about timing and peak energy usage being available so yes I think BTC has relevance in its continual demand and ability to be placed almost anywhere. |
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BTC isnt going to make 100k this year, I said as much last year and I still think more work is there to do. The reason being in simple terms, the rise upto 100k should not be a perfectly straight ramp up but more of a spiral ascension. Ironically the more bumps and levels we put into the price as we gain, the build is more structurally safer; the more likely we hold those levels long enough that all and any can benefit from that appreciation in BTC worth. A fast rise up excludes too many people and it actually does harm not to halt on the way as it also means a fall back down is far more able then is best for long term stability and confidence; in short 100k in 2022 would not be healthy imo. Also you could relate it to Dollar which has only just topped out in its trend, to see a far higher peak in BTC expect that DXY trend to be at its diametric opposite making a trend low on multi year measures. |
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They might aid someone but they cannot solve the problem entirely. All this measure does it make it slightly more difficult to be tempted to break your avoidance of a habit you wish to end. Its a speedbump to slow down a problem, a serious reoccurring problem is not going to be helped as there are so many alternatives to gamble. I used to gamble in card games during school breaks even, not for large amounts of money but almost anywhere you can go and gamble something so how can one site be held responsible in entirety. They are obliged to aid self restrict and hopefully that promise to does continue and keeps improving as best they can but overall its a stopgap and a bigger final end is going to be required for any real problem.
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Right now we are in orbit of the 50DMA or daily moving average. The reasons arent just the standard momentum of this measure but also its been the closing weekly price on a number of occasions. A moving average isnt real resistance but we can certainly touch this point of common interest and retract some in the fairly short term of sub week timed bars. Iam bullish now we are now operating outside of the regular downtrend pattern of descending high prices each week since the ATH.  We just need to close in this rough area which I do believe we will, later we get profit taking and other tests of weakness. This 43k area we approach with some comprehension of a ceiling is merely the bottom pricing that occured in September. To be truly bullish on a wider time frame we need to climb above this and maintain it as a low we can rely on, this is the battle forthcoming. |
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As I thought it might, the market is not retracting from these 'highs' its just travelling sideways across back forth with the 12hr average which is a very fast measure of momentum. 2 day and weekly moving averages will later catch up with price action to apply pressure on move or stall; this occurs not the weekend but main markets who tend to have copious quantities of skepticism on crypto in general. For now we are risk on, take trading profits but stay optimistic above the weekly average is best I have often observed. |
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The overall answer would be integrity I think, its not one thing. The closest poll answer there would be security I guess but also how the site is handling any general hitches or problems players might have which is more detailed and complex then just 1 thing. Generally the oldest sites will have the most experience in this category but its possible for a well prepared and knowledgable new site to make inroads also though I think it takes time to develop this mutual trust, I believe this is the most important element to operations.
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Bet history show 44$ That would be a big problem, whoever considers the case is removed from the full details and is going to give a response based on the recorded logs. It has to be arguable or repeatable as a bug or its not likely to make much headway as a complaint. I'am quite paranoid about these things but even just for my own records I would prefer to stream my games so I can go back and check for sure what the heck just happened there; I would advise that for most people to improve clarity for both sides in this. |
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I have not seen Bitcoin having bullrun at the begining of the year as per last few years data it has always been the other way around Theres always blood in the water after holiday season, I think its just like a wakeup from the complacency over the lower volume of all those no main market trading days. This year we have the cold water shower of a war threat and together with FED at least appearing to be the bad guy taking away the easy money jar. My personal take and not everyone will agree is that FED only make moves with shadow gestures, in effect they have a very hard time doing anything resembling hard money. Market has fear anyway because its so massively leverage to the weakening of dollar. FED has indicated a reduction in fiscal deficits would aid a restriction to inflation but politics is unlikely to deliver, they cannot really counteract that effect. Anyway none of this has to matter, its macro economic effects but dollar weakening is what I had expected from a chart which I will post since it so neatly adhered to that recently.  I can remember a real hard money double digit rates policy and it could put BTC into 3 digits but we arent even on the same planet as those times right now hence I remain bullish and BTC moves in FEB ultimately are preparation for higher imo. I'm listening to a fund manager and in the middle of his market estimate he says BTC 40k is bullish for stocks because it means risk is back on, he isnt wrong really but its funny as hell also  |
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Lots of upset type matches today and Im glad I missed them as the straight 2 map finish means I would be unlikely to have caught it correctly, I would expect 3 maps usually. I think Astralis must still be adjusting to having blameF on the team and how best to combat each strategy operated against them, they are no longer the flawless machine with no crevice to exploit they now leave plenty of opportunities despite remaining a great team overall.
Navi getting 7 rounds only on Mirage is slightly ridic, I will choose to credit NiP for staying solid to close that series out. I think some of this has to be called warmup or something, it'll be different coming into the Major.
Forthcoming, I'll go with Nip over OG but also I'd imagine it does take the full 3 maps to do so. It was very close last time they played.
G2 Vitality I dont know but 3 maps seems best
I'll guess Big over Faze but I reckon this might be the most volatile of the 3 outcomes. I need to watch more anyhow
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Fear should be over at this point, its broken the trend of falls since the ATH and has started some process of recovery. Both the recent bottom pin candle on the chart and also todays break upwards was done with good volume to it. |
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Should be a good break upwards we can see in price action just today, the dollar continues weakly and this helps BTC to make progress vs its continual decline from the ATH. Now its broken that trend it should not be so regular in that negativity. No doubt it wont rise without struggle but immediately is looking alot better now imo  |
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Though its Feb we are still fighting the decline from months ago, it remains a straight trend downwards. Once again price action is challenging that trend of descending lower highs but so far we have not yet proven the next high is not in line to be lower.  Right now the downtrend and weekly average are both in the same place. Continuing each 4hr bar upwards from here no lower then this morning action (UTC) would prove to be especially positive. Obviously previous attempts have not lasted long especially. My overall take is these continued challenges like thin ice will eventually give way, we will resolve upwards. My determination on that process is improved by recent weakness in dollar, I see DXY as peaking on a trend high. However we need to see this process occur not just in speculation, I'am expecting weaker Dollar which flies against recent fear of higher rates from FED and so on; a tide change in Feb is possible still. |
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There is no face to place on the market, thats a human reaction to want to humanise things just like people want to believe animals feel as humans do and thats far more arguable then a price trend which forms a uniform movement or consensus not a singular entity with a mood. Markets move as a natural wave but its not a person more a chain of reactions rather then just one. Bots do operate on markets but they are micro time frame trading a form of arbitrage, algo trading doesnt create prices the capital 'invested' still has to be placed by a person in its origins.
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That amount of movement for no major failure or news like corruption or accounting problems is slightly over normal volality I think. That could be part of the larger picture for all markets and asset type or just technology sector perhaps but I think it might also be that more news is oncoming for the Meta idea Facebook wants to invest with. Someone fairly large decided its not going to be profitable especially, at one point there was excessive worry about mobile adverts for example.
Anyway I dont think BTC follows just one stock, we'll have to see if tech pulling back in its gains since the surge of distancing highlighted them is really going to relate to BTC. My general take is some parts of tech are totally justified in their revenue. The best guide overall for sentiment is Dollar index which has topped out in its trend up I think, thats what I will watch more. Profit taking on inflated stock values is secondary.
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