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3401  Local / Разное / Re: Как в рф вольготно крутить фиат? on: August 10, 2023, 04:34:33 PM
~
а с киви это вопрос времени был. я их изначально не пользовал.

В рфии всё вопрос времени  Wink Так что пока работает можно пользоваться. Я только киви (своя карта + жены) и пользуюсь и никаких проблем пока не возникло. Буквально на днях покупал с алика вещи, тоже всё ок. Может их и задушат все-таки, но больше склоняюсь к тому что их заставили прикрыть лазейки для всякой скамоты/погранично легальных случаев использования, но все остальное работать будет.
Вон сотовых операторов тоже кошмарят:

Quote
Роскомнадзор объяснил требование блокировать серые сим-карты
Операторы связи должны прекратить обслуживать номера абонентов с неактуальными персональными данными для предотвращения мошенничества, телефонного терроризма и других видов правонарушений, говорится в сообщении Роскомнадзора, поступившем в РБК.
https://news.mail.ru/society/57325443/

Но это часть общего процесса закручивания гаек, а не желание прихлопнуть какой-то отдельный сервис.
3402  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Saudi Professional League 2023/2024 on: August 10, 2023, 04:24:07 PM
It is rather strange that Al Nasr won with such a modest score, plus the goal itself was scored from a penalty kick (Ronaldo scored the 4th game in a row). In any case, the final will be as expected - two Saudi teams will determine who will get the title. As far as I can see at the moment, the bookmakers have not yet decided on quotes, but it seems to me that the most obvious choice would be BTTS. Even if the coefficient is low (at least not less than 1.4), it makes sense to make such a bet.
It's not so strange. Shorta was the best one in iraqi premier league. Winning against shorta through penalty was not an unacceptable thing as well. it's hard to imagine if there will a club who will not be scored in the final between nassr vs hilal but i remind you that al hilal beat nassr in last match with 2-0 as final score.

The match between hilal vs nassr is quite hard to predict. I would prefer to bet on al hilal rather than nassr. Nassr has so many great players in the club but hilal's performance in the arab club champion league is very impressive.

Nassr was always unable to beat hilal in SPL last season. It's time for ronaldo to revenge bad result in SPL.

At the moment, the level of the Iraqi League is not comparable to the league of Saudi Arabia, so I was expecting a victory with a higher score. As for the final, I know that Al Nassr will not be the favorite, however I would like to see concrete numbers from the bookmakers. Has anyone seen them? I checked several bookmakers (I even had to look at the fiat local scam in my country) but I don't see quotes anywhere.
3403  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: August 10, 2023, 04:13:00 PM
In today's UEFA Champions League match Rangers vs Servette two teams came to the field to play. Enjoyed a very nice match between two teams. Rangers team goalkeeper played very well today. Rangers team scored 2 goals today and won the match. First 6.  J. Tavernier scored the first goal in the minute. And C. Dessers scored the 2nd goal in 15 minutes. Rangers scored two goals before the halftime of the game. Servette scored 1 goal in today's match. However, the performance of the players of Servette team was not very good. Today the goalkeeper of Servette team  Everyone has played very poorly since.D.  Douline received 1 red card in 59 minutes.

I think the Rangers must be very unhappy with the result - they had 35 minutes on the power play to get a good lead before the second leg, but the game ended just 2-1. One way or another, but at home Servette theoretically should play stronger, so the advantage of one goal is clearly not enough to play to keep the score. We can say that nothing has been decided in this pair. The Rangers should be glad that at least the away goals rule doesn't work anymore.
3404  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: August 10, 2023, 04:06:18 PM
Neymar wants to leave PSG for Barcelona. And PSG management also agreed to it. Because Neymar is not successful at PSG. And so PSG management does not want to pay high wages to Neymar. PSG Accept Neymar FC Barcelona Return.

However, these are still completely rumours. Nothing can be said for sure. But if neymar does not reduce his wages, Barcelona will not be able to add Neymar to the team. Neymar's wages are much higher now. And Barcelona is not financially stable yet. They will not be able to pay Neymar's high wages. But I think we will see Neymar in barcelona. I am looking forward to see how the Lewa-Neymar duo performs. Barcelona can dominate La Liga if Lewa-Neymar pair play well.

PSG not only agrees, they dream of getting rid of Neymar (by the way, if they get rid of him, then the hole in the salary fund and the fulfillment of the FFP from the presence of Mbappe will be much smaller). Today I heard that they even agree to rent him out, but with a mandatory subsequent redemption. As for moving to Barcelona, given the problems of Barcelona, it looks a bit fantastic (even if part of the salary will be paid by PSG).
3405  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🦁 Fantasy Premier League ' Football Pool ⚽ Discussion Thread on: August 10, 2023, 10:09:47 AM
Anyone dare to publish their choices (preferably with justification)?  [...]

I did it first.  Wink
~

I saw it but thought it was just an example  Wink or attempt to mislead competitors  Grin

I made some purchases and now I can't understand - can I choose the team formation or is it always 4-4-2? I think everyone wants to play with a maximum of 3 defenders, but is it possible? I know that in some variations of Fantasy Football such flexibility is possible.
3406  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: August 09, 2023, 09:58:06 PM

A high salary is apparently not as valuable to him as playing for the club he has dreamed of since childhood. The fact that they are treating him like this now I think will only make it worse for the team, because in the Champions League without him it will be very difficult for them, unlike in the French league. If they make it out of the group stage, they are unlikely to go far without him

Do you know what the reason is for Mbappe to more or less boycott everything? It is not PSG, it is Mbappe who wants the massive bonus for the new season while he wants to leave the club at the same time. But you have to understand that this is a bonus he would get when he stays. His plan is to get PSG to pay him his bonus and also to let him go because otherwise they would lose the total transfer fee if he stays another year. That is his calculation. If Real goes up with the price, PSG could take a chunk of that money and also pay him a bonus he never deserved. Maybe it is not as idealistic as you think as if he just wants to go to the club he has been dreaming of since his childhood but now his bosses destroy his dream.

Yes, Mbappe is obviously a cynic, and all the fairy tales in 2023 about "my favorite club since childhood, etc." it's not even funny anymore. But he is in his right, he fulfills the contract and there can be no claims against him. PSG is another matter - they paid him for something, but they are trying to pressure him to get more from him than he was obliged to do. This is both unethical and somewhat illegal.
3407  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: August 09, 2023, 09:48:21 PM
The sum of the probabilities is 152%? Cool! This reminds me of the elections in my country  Grin
That was an epic comment Cheesy
In fact, they count every probability apart in each team. The probability for him to join Real Madrid is 59 from 100 and so on for the other teams. If we consider all these teams together then his probability will be around 40% for Real Madrid comparing to the other 3.

Interesting, I did not know about such an unobvious method of counting.
And yes, in one of the parliamentary "elections" in my country, the official preliminary figures were shown on TV, where the sum of the percentages of votes for different parties was 146%  Grin It became a meme.

By the way, this data is worth absolutely nothing without one more line: "the likelihood that Mbappe will remain at PSG." You can draw any percentage when choosing a club, but the main question that worries everyone will be whether he stays at PSG or not.
No I think a late deal will be done between PSG and Real Madrid. Second option will be Mbappe in the benches and a winter transfer to Real Madrid. That's what I think will happen personally.

Winter transition is out of the question - what's the point if Real Madrid can't use Mbappe in the Champions League? They will have to wait six months and get him for free.
3408  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Saudi Professional League 2023/2024 on: August 09, 2023, 09:27:14 PM
It is rather strange that Al Nasr won with such a modest score, plus the goal itself was scored from a penalty kick (Ronaldo scored the 4th game in a row). In any case, the final will be as expected - two Saudi teams will determine who will get the title. As far as I can see at the moment, the bookmakers have not yet decided on quotes, but it seems to me that the most obvious choice would be BTTS. Even if the coefficient is low (at least not less than 1.4), it makes sense to make such a bet.
3409  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Minimum Age to gamble on: August 09, 2023, 09:14:02 PM
There are a lot of such traps in life and they are probably necessary for people to gain experience and no longer do it (those who are able to draw the right conclusions). For example, in my country (or, let's say, the information space of my country), along with gambling advertising, there are a lot of advertisements both outright scams (such as "forex trading" although there is no any forex there) and around scams like trading courses, scalping, etc. . All of them promise mountains of gold and involve people in their networks, and it is natural that some young people believe in this.

And I was the same 15 years ago, I firmly believed in Forex, and the fact that this thing can help me get rich. You remember this feeling - you consider everyone who works hard from morning to night fools, and you consider yourself a connoisseur of secret knowledge. Those who were able to withdraw $ 50 from forex yesterday, and are already planning which car they will take tomorrow. Do you know how, as a student, I realized that Forex is a fraud? I have accumulated bonus money in the amount of $ 100 and placed an order for maximum leverage in one of the parties. And when my account doubled, it was suddenly blocked. After that, I realized that the money I give to the Forex office turns out not to even go beyond it, to the world market. That's how the dreams of youngsters are erased into dust.

Yes, I understand perfectly what you mean. This feeling ... and it is not clear whether it is common to everyone (everyone thinks that they are smarter than others) or advertising unobtrusively inspires us with these ideas about easy wealth, but I remember that I also dreamed for a while. But practice quickly destroys this myth, and by the way, you are very lucky that your lesson cost only $ 100, many people lost a lot of money before they realized that all these "forex brokers" are unscrupulous casinos.
3410  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [banned mixer] 🦁 Fantasy Premier League ⚽ Pool Prize Fund (0.1 btc) on: August 09, 2023, 09:09:53 PM
Anyone dare to publish their choices (preferably with justification)?  Roll Eyes Yes, I want to brazenly take advantage of someone else's analytics  Grin
I have not started shopping yet, I do not understand the doubts about Haaland - in any case, he will give a good average result. Kane is the main snag - mentally he is already out of Tottenham, but will it be formalized (I think so).
3411  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tyson Fury vs Francis Ngannou Boxing October 28 on: August 09, 2023, 08:27:45 PM
No contradiction  Grin

Lennox Lewis vs Hasim Rahman is a perfect example. Two big strong men in the ring have the ability to win by virtue of connecting one solid punch and winning by way of knockout. It does not mean the favourite will win and it does not mean the best will win. I do however expect Fury to win.

Are you writing contradictory things or am I not understanding something? There is always a chance for a lucky punch, and as they say above, if Tyson teaches Ngannou some tricks, then his chances will become even a little higher. It seems to me that Ngannou should bet precisely on this - he will give his best in the first two rounds, having previously perfected a couple of simple combinations. If he does not win at the beginning of the fight, then you can not even watch the fight further.

Ok! But it seems to me that this is just an example in favor of the fact that even a dominant boxer can lose to an accidental blow - I think no one doubts that Lenox dominated until that blow.

That lucky punch will just be considered a lucky punch but yes Francis can win if Fury will no longer be able to get up. Mike can contribute to what Francis can learn from now on. I do think the confidence of Francis will be lifted because of Mike Tyson on his side.

Somehow one reason to admire Francis is that he always wants to prove himself to the people who doubted him and although this might just be one of the most unprecedented, he might be able to make it with just one lucky punch.  

No matter what the punch is, even if Fury slips and falls to the uppercut himself, a win is a win. Since this fight will somehow be official, then someone will write 1 on their record, and someone 0. But for me it will still remain a shameful circus (on Fury’s part) that chickened out and deprived the audience of the unification fight.
3412  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: August 09, 2023, 06:04:58 PM
It looks like Bayern are serious about getting Kane, they are making a fourth offer to Tottenham, this time it will be €120 million. At the very least, it shows that Bayern are very interested in this transfer and I would like it to happen, because I would like to see Kane in Bayern, he will definitely have more prospects. Given that Kane wants to resolve the transfer issue by the end of this week, it is understood that this will be the last offer of Bayern, now everything depends on Tottenham.

It is a pity that Bayern could not resist and did not stop at the third proposal. If Tottenham won't agree to a deal now, it will be stupidity on the scale of signing Mbappe last year. Kane is good, but 120 million for just the remaining year of the contract is too much to refuse. And it is also important that Bayern needs him to try to win in all tournaments, but Tottenham for what? To be honest, with or without Kane, Tottenham make no claims.
3413  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: August 09, 2023, 05:57:07 PM

source

judging from the data on the transfer market, it seems that Mbappe chances of going to Real Madrid are far greater compared to other team because Mbappe also want a team that can take him to win the champions League title and that opportunity is at Real Madrid. I also know that PSG are interested in buying Dembele but I think its better for Ramos

The sum of the probabilities is 152%? Cool! This reminds me of the elections in my country  Grin
By the way, this data is worth absolutely nothing without one more line: "the likelihood that Mbappe will remain at PSG." You can draw any percentage when choosing a club, but the main question that worries everyone will be whether he stays at PSG or not.
3414  Local / Трейдеры / Re: доллар соскамят on: August 09, 2023, 05:51:25 PM
Там задача, чтоб и овцы целы и волки
То есть до сотки терпимо а потом нет, каждый рубль роста дает 100млрд в бюджет  Grin это все продуманно и под вниманием идет

Я хз как где, но уже наблюдаю суматоху среди тех кто работает - люди начали туда-суда бегать (зачастую с повышением зарплаты сразу на +50%). Маховик инфляции уже запущен раскручен. Эти 100 ярдов это тьху и растереть на фоне того, что с дальнейшим ростом будут обесцениваться триллионные долги населения. Этого допускать никак нельзя, так что думаю еще увидим и другие меры в попытках усилить рубль.
3415  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: August 09, 2023, 05:46:33 PM
@savetheFORUM You probably haven't seen the latest news. Real Madrid are ready to sign Mbappe this season. And Florentino Perez says Madrid have prepared funds of 180 million for Mbappe. And if Mbappe admits that he wants to leave PSG this season, Madrid management will officially make an offer to PSG management for Mbappe. But Mbappe is not interested in leaving PSG this season. He will leave PSG as a free agent. And will demand a bigger signing bonus from the club he joins.

The Madrid team is very stable and strong. And one weakness in their squad is that they lack experienced scorers. Vini and Rodrygo are not experienced enough. This is why Madrid need an experienced scorer like Mbappe. And having Mbappe in the team will make their attack even stronger. And I think they will be able to dominate La Liga and Champions League

Interestingly, these 180 million include the full amount of the transaction or is it just the cost of the transfer? It seems to me that Mbappe is not worth 180 million now (given that PSG have a need to get rid of him) so the price should be lower (maximum 150 million although this is also a big overpayment in my opinion, but these are the realities). Real Madrid and Mbappe are waiting for PSG to come to terms with the fact that they will have to admit that selling Mbappe will not be as crazy as buying/re-signing him.
3416  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Saudi Professional League 2023/2024 on: August 09, 2023, 05:24:52 PM
I am not sure about Mohammed Salah. Yesterday his agent Ramy Abbas claimed that he is "committed" to Liverpool. But none of this would matter if the Saudi clubs can offer a good contract for him. The current offer from Saudi Arabia is worth £155 million (apart from the transfer fee of £52 million) for two years, which was made by Al-Ittihad. I don't know whether Salah would accept the offer or not. His current salary at Liverpool is just £18.2 million per year. Saudis are offering almost 4x his current salary. I wouldn't read too much into what Ramy is saying. There is a good chance that Salah may move to Saudi.

Yes, quadrupling salaries is always the strongest argument, it is difficult to refuse such an offer. I don't wish Liverpool any harm (hope they can break City's hegemony) but it would be interesting to see Klopp's reaction if Salah were poached by the Saudis now. He probably would have started whining even harder about the fact that FIFA and UEFA should do something with Saudi Arabia  Grin
3417  Local / Новички / Re: возможно ли заработать с малыми вложенияl on: August 09, 2023, 01:12:43 PM
~
Мы тут в топике уже давно выяснили, что понятие заработать у всех разное, но завышенное. Все как минимум хотят заработать много. Но из 1 доллара сделать 1000 долларов сегодня невозможно. Чтобы подобное провернуть, надо быть либо ну очень удачливым, либо сверх гениальным. Но если человек очень удачлив и сверх гениален, то он не тратит время на малые вложения.

А у вас какое понятие заработать (не завышенное как я понимаю)?
Людей понять можно - тут не форум школьников, а время взрослого человека стоит дорого. Чем зарабатывать неинтересную сумму (да еще и не гарантированную если мы говорим о всяких мутных схемах) лучше на диване лежать или пройти пройтись воздухом подышать.
Однако, в связи с тем что рфия деградирует, наступают смешные времена когда любая активность может принести бабок больше чем работа на заводе/офисе (взять те же подписухи).
3418  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: August 08, 2023, 09:20:05 PM
In winter, the cost of the Mbappe will be exactly zero. And not at all because only six months remain until the end of the contract, but because Mbappe is needed for the Champions League. But with Mbappe on PSG's squad at the start of this season, even if he moves to Real Madrid, he won't be able to play for Real Madrid in the Champions League this season. Therefore, PSG do not have the option to “play bad for half a year” and then sell him, they have to do it now or never.
This is most likely the scheme because who also wants to spend big money on a player whose contract only has 6 months left (it would be better to wait until his contract expires) so now PSG clearly feels overwhelmed to find a club that really wants Mbappe but dares to pour big money.

Now the closing time is approaching but they still can't deliver anything good for their bottom line. The ultimatum given to Mbappe a few weeks earlier was ultimately not very effective because the result remained the same Grin
~

PSG have found several clubs, but Mbappe is the problem. This is a three-way deal and Mbappe wants to either go to Real Madrid or work out the contract to the end. There are no options to sell a player without his consent. Therefore, PSG has until September 1st to reach the last stage of "Acceptance". We have already seen the previous ones: Denial, Anger, Bargaining, Depression  Grin
3419  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: August 08, 2023, 08:57:34 PM
If you remember the story of how Barcelona and Dembele traded when signing the last contract, then I'm glad that everything ends like this. It is clear that everyone is trying to impose their own conditions, but at some point Dembele had no choice and he had to sign a contract for an even smaller amount, which Barcelona initially agreed to (Barcelona seized the moment). But as we can see, Dembele repaid Barcelona for this by leaving at the most inopportune moment.

Funny how you see it this way.
Before the new contract, Dembele is a player that has done nothing for Barcelona in 5 years. No big club wanted Dembele, but Barça trustee him. They couldn't give him a big contract because he was always injured. No way you'll give a player that is always injured a big contract. The fans supported him, the manager trustee him. He says it openly. He wanted to build a team around him, but at the first sight of a better contract he ditched the club that has trusted him so much.
No club will have that much patience for a player that's gets injured that much, certainly not PSG. Neymar has one of the best stats in Europe during the period he was at PSG yet he wasn't enough.
Dembele will surely regret going to PSG.

Are you saying that Barcelona is a saint and was just doing charity work when they signed a contract with Dembele? All these formal words and thanks are worth nothing. In fact, Dembele told Xavi that he doesn't want to stay where the shit is flying at him - probably now that the paths of the club and the player diverge, we believe more in the sincerity of these words, right?
I don’t know how his fate will turn out at PSG, but at least he will be happy with his salary  Wink
3420  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Saudi Professional League 2023/2024 on: August 08, 2023, 08:40:21 PM
In the end, Al-Nassr won 3-1 and they have an easy semi-final ahead of Al-Shorta. Al-Hilal, apparently, in turn, will easily defeat the winner of the Al-Shabab and Al-Wahda pair (damn what names I can break my tongue or fingers) and in the final we will see a confrontation between two Saudi teams.
By the way, Ronaldo scores the third match in a row  Cool
Since Ronaldo joined Al Nassr, he has dramatically increased performance. Every game, he scores one or two goals. Very extraordinary. In truth, the contest was great. I also believe Al Nassr will win the SPL this season. Their future seems amazing. In my opinion, this is something we should all pay attention to, not just pay attention but really, really focus on.

If I'm not mistaken, then if you take the averages, then they are even worse than in United. He had a good start but then his performance dropped. Maybe this is due to disappointment from the level of partners. If so, next season things should go well, although age now has more weight with each season and nothing can be sure.
Tomorrow we will see the semi-finals, but they will be largely formal, but this is a good opportunity to improve your statistics.
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