Its not a secret the price being lower is a positive if you are still buying or wanting to go up a tier.   Thats why I imagine the market for FUN token turns around because in the end its used rather then just plain speculation and using means supply taken off market order books.  Less supply vs even just average demand equates to a price rise eventually.   The site said they increased revenue and users so I presume even level demand is a fair assumption then.     
  The higher tiers are maybe but I think the 12.5k level is the one everyone should have as its the peak value for the price.  The main qualifier for having tokens or not besides speculation is if you use the site for more then one thing, purely just collecting the faucet its not worth it so much to bother but if you do the occasional sports bet (so have a balance here) and use up the wheel of fortune spins then its going to pay back eventually so might as well start when the price is low.
   I wouldnt say any great fortune appears from holding though continued development must be bullish, I would say the same for any token with utility if its improving its ease of use, spectrum of application its underlying positive; same applies to BTC and its way more important then market price swings.

Lots of pressure from higher Dollar on BTC now.  All this chart means is Dollar went up to peak of its trend levels, if its as a scales or ratio to BTC that makes it harder to rise.    This is 17 on a blackjack table or something, its kinda risky but also can be an opportunity if Dollar does top out in its value.   

We're in the process of forming a bottom, the problem is its only obvious in retrospect exactly when or where that process has completed.   I would say efforts to defeat downward momentum continue to occur but its not yet obvious and I dont think that will happen this month even.

We're about to once again challenge the 2 day and also weekly averages which are converging.  More important would be larger factors such as the actual negative trend from ATH and the 50 day average at about 45k but its descending every day.   People should stay positive overall in terms of a yearly perspective as factors such as the 200 day average reflect positive accumulation long term still.
  If we can tick off each objective on a list then I grow more optimistic, beat the recent high, beat 38k, beat 40k and confirm above the 50 day average.  We do all that and we've likely finished making new lows in this quarter.   Its always a case of variable probabilities, large events can push price off the road of where it was otherwise most likely to be.

Covid19 allowed BTC to rise more easily if anything is how I see it because the currency was loosened so much during that period.   At the same time distance transactions likely increased because of the dangers from crowding in normal shopping areas it promotes any standard which helps more distant transactions even cross border such as BTC is best at.
   I realize there is an obvious negative overall from these losses and deaths, I wouldnt deny that but it wont be the same for every sector and product usage.

Typically any significant point passed has to be confirmed in that ceiling before we go onto to make reliable new lows.   At present I see the market as consolidating and confirming the upper ranges of BTC.   We've tried and failed to pass the weekly average, now also below the 2 day average and until we break the overall trend from the ATH which is around 40k then it will likely continue in this disappointing way.
   Possibly if we fail to act positively for the next week or so then we do break downwards then.

For the moment we are not in the lowest range of pricing and staying above that is some small positive action.   It would be far better if we close above 37k or the blue line here which is 2 day average, over the weekend then it might prove positive.

BTC recovered back to weekly average but has to break range upwards just to meet its next battle at the downtrend now residing at 40k in inline with the decline from ATH



I think only the break past 40k upwards would really count as a proper rally noticeable by all participants.   At this time sellers would be beginning to be proved wrong and shorts will close out which helps with continued movement upwards.

People underestimate the volatility of BTC thats the problem, it means highs are greater then expected and also these giant waves recede also far more then expected.    If anything that makes 100k more likely then we realize because the amplitude of the waves is larger then most would estimate.

Sprout vs Dig   I think sprout is favored but I like the idea of a closer match here being possible.    They arent so far apart in ranks and DIG not being rated equally could be a good bet.   I think the match can goto 3 maps and thats my most likely bet and perhaps further bets if able to watch live and adjust .
  Better matches higher tier on Friday onwards

Back in a range again, needs to at least beat 38k and I think really the weekly average also.  Above that is the downtrend around 40k, again another battle BTC must win and regain the ground in order to declare its with a chance of accumulating positive momentum.   For the moment we have respite but not a serious rise in price only potential to do so.

Recent high to recent low and fib levels between them.  So we are past the 2 day average again but I'd feel alot better if we can pass a weekly average and stay above that, it'd be the start of some positive momentum that could be trusted.  38k appears to be the fair mid way point in all this, see if that point can pivot into forming this recent as the bottom.   It'll be a process as quite a bit of volume occurred, that has to plowed back out the way to progress up.

If we are in that larger cycle of prices then the full range would be down to 20k I presume.   However for it to happen all at once is not normally how it occurs, there's often a bounce along the way and that continued series of lower highs eventually leads to a multi year low.   There is the idea of war possible and FED actions but still it appears to have moved too much imo

5m bars on a chart is like throwing dice against a wall.   You can be right one minute and wrong the next, its a hard game to play because its so fast.   BTC does move on much slower movements and its always surprising when we know its so fast in appearance.   4hr bars is the lowest possible confident time frame I refer to, if we print a price on 4hr then its more likely to stick.
   Below 4hr bars is trading movements where we speculate and typically a trade would close out profits here not expect it to be a trend especially.



We are failing the 35k area it seems like and its failed that last attempt above 2 day moving average,  volume is favoring the downside for now.   Weds is FED news and we'll see if it can alter, maybe this point is a pivotal place to watch in that back and forth.   US open in a couple hours 33.8k now

Theres going to be some people who spin 50 wof every day of the year.    I hope they get their Rolex eventually, it does take alot tbh I think your results posted above were good though not specially lucky.   I much prefer that perfectly level 50 reward for clarity

Its not easy for 100x to occur because that BTC price action movement has to shock into end of month and the odds are closed.    Im sure it happened since but only time I especially remember and I guessed for some win it was July 2020 which was significant, even now the market cant push past the dollar index levels of that moment.    Hence why I think the selling now is weak hands more then anything genuine underlying, some are inclined to buy high sell low & the market is brutal in testing resolve like that.
   We are failing 35k area, that has to confirm on 4hr bars but its not positive into end of month because volume favors negative and Putin is really making the most of the spotlight.   We might peak in negative movement Weds as thats the FED press conference.  Closing price is a week from now, a Monday
  If it goes into 20k's then I was wrong but imo I didnt feel like chasing that possible and its only sub 25k where its really a jackpot in odds of 177x  at that multiple I should have placed a few sats tbh.    That would be a spike down though imo, it only counts at midnight

The 2 day and 12 hr averages converged and we got a recovery above both.   So it could at least be the start of a process which shows that was the bottom price for this month.   It has to build on that, there isnt any great signal a low will hold in that moment.  Usually there is a peak in volume of some kind, but I think the double top or that idea it doesnt happen singularly is probably my best confidence for a turn around.

 I already bet the range we're in so Im in the money but the timing is wrong, now the odds dropped because its become 'obvious' as a bet.    I get to find out how much the timing bonus will be as I placed that ages ago,  it was always supposed to be deserving of something closer to 100 to 1 odds as an outside event.      Then we dive bombed, I want that after the lock really, now the speculative rebound would be back to about 40k to end month, six month range say fib levels are around there at 38 and 44.5k
  If price is elastic in any way we shouldn't just be moving down continually, I think in the closing hours to place Jan I'd go the rebound idea but the odds arent attractive to me I'm not enthusiastic to guess movement from here so I will stick with what I already placed.
21hr till bets close

Why stop at months, I think we can speculate this whole year might be a fear year.  I'd call it consolidation, natural process and revision and its not as bad as it appears but people get to fear readily so yep good call by OP.     
  I'm not a great fan of hype either, if somehow I could trade both engage and sell I would be alot richer doing so.    It often OTT overdone silly fear imo, BTC behind the scenes matters more.

If we just repeat 2021 in 2022 then Im bullish, if we break past 19k then its more serious but I think BTC is fine overall.

This is not a pretty picture so in rough terms, we are quite deep into this.   However just like people warn we rise too much too fast, I dont see its super valid in being this bearish in such an immediate way.   



People just assume all prices are directly correct but I think its more natural we do correct pricing and to be inaccurate is a norm hence why pricing will jump around.    When we move so far in one direction I start to consider the swing back from that push.

Its weekly bars, i should have put a time scale on there but its just a sketch like pricing I think we keep revising price towards greater precision; markets are not an absolute.

Wouldnt imagine Tyson needs publicity but its free so why not and being heard of recently helps to sell and getting noticed on whatever product or brand you are trying to raise the profile of.  I doubt it was Tysons decision himself no doubt he has a PR team.   Glad he doesnt have to fight really, if he was serious about the drug problems it sounds like he just needs to stay calm and cool so he can enjoy his well earned retirement.   He should be fine to earn enough to be well off forever on his reputation in theory though he took bad actions no doubt.

Its not really possible, we'd know about a seller of this size.   This is more gradual and crowd based selling by multiple people, a natural sell off though with pressure from external events I think.
  Even if Saylor hedged we'd probably know about that too, with the counter party having to be pretty considerable.   He is a large holder for sure

I would estimate if we close the weekly bar here it is appearing to be some kind of more nasty level sell off.   So it doesnt have to be taken in a fatalistic way but also (quite likely) the damage done will take time to accumulate momentum upwards.   The old guard in BTC wont be too surprised or wary about it, not new to have a bigger cycle.    I imagine Saylor knows people with level of experience even if he doesnt have it himself.

Do you know there is a bear market now, just because its gone down with some harsh news and fear has crept into the markets generally.  I dont see its especially defined long term in that way.   When we have confirmed for definite that we cannot break the common averages like 50 and 200 day I will start to believe it better then yes we must trend down over many months maybe more then this year.
   In terms of guessing, I recognized making a new high like that and failing to catch hold and keep it wasnt very positive pattern to occur.

Lately there has been a difference because the price is descending, inversely the spin reward alters so to that extent its been worth waiting.     I did not expect this much straight line weakness, often theres a bounce attempt far more often but main markets dragging us down a bit I think.   War + the FED
  So collecting the spins till now has reached the point where it maxes out at 50/500/5000 vs the prior lower nominal amounts.    If you spend or withdraw it all on the day its no difference especially but most retain a balance of some kind.

Anyway we hit the buffers here relatively, any saved spins I would use up no point not to imo.


Previously yea but with RP system allowing for more spins also it's increased the chances of the larger prizes triggering just because more spins are likely to be occurring via RP usage.