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3581  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Please help! :( New bitcoin user who can't withdraw funds from MtGox account on: February 24, 2013, 12:45:33 AM
AFAIK its sunday in Japan.
3582  Economy / Gambling / Re: 80 BTC bet between Micon and mrb (are BFL ASICs real?) on: February 24, 2013, 12:02:07 AM
The more I read Josh' posts, the more one would actually start believing Micon. FFS josh, start acting like a pro. if you were on my payroll Id have you fired just for your immature communication. Well, that and for consistently missing deadlines and breaking promises for the better part of 6 months now, but I guess thats a BFL tradition thats perhaps cherished there.
3583  Economy / Economics / Re: Representational Monetary Identity on: February 23, 2013, 11:48:12 PM
To find money not created by banks you just have to:

1) Remember that banks have not always existed and that money was once gold and silver (not to mention salt, cattle, etc).

2) Notice the forum you are in, which is about Bitcoin, a form of money created by a peer-to-peer network, rather than by banks.

No that difficult, is it?

No one ever mentioned bitcoin being debt based, thats just a daft argument. And those old notes and gold coins are no longer fiat money. Fact is 100% of our fiat money is now an IOU.
3584  Economy / Lending / Re: 420's Non-Ponzi Interest Bearing Accounts & Options on: February 23, 2013, 11:37:24 PM
. The key is to know what you're investing in

I would agree with that. And if you hand over your coins to 420, do you have any frigging clue what you are investing in?
Nope.
3585  Economy / Economics / Re: Representational Monetary Identity on: February 23, 2013, 06:27:10 PM
Absolutely correct, provided you are talking about money as created by commercial or central banks, and not about money in general.

What other fiat money is there, besides money created by commercial or central banks?
3586  Economy / Lending / Re: 420's Non-Ponzi Interest Bearing Accounts & Options on: February 23, 2013, 05:14:36 PM
It's more than feasible that 420 can make these sort of payouts if in to the right investments and knows how to navigate them properly.

Ah there we go again. Heard it all before. Let me guess, you werent around when Pirate was, were you? Or Hashking ? Or Patrickharnett? Or Dank? Or any of the other financial masterminds that could make such enormous profits without risk.
 
Here is the thing though; anyone knowing of a bullet proof way to earn those kinds of returns (and the potential BTC gains on top of that)  would be filthy rich and not in need of any loans here. Particularly not at sharkloan interest rates.

Not that those mREITs seem all that bulletproof:
https://www.google.com/finance?cid=662081
3587  Economy / Economics / Re: Representational Monetary Identity on: February 23, 2013, 03:22:22 PM
If I have an ounce of gold and a pair of shoes worth two ounces of gold and you have two ounces of gold and a knife worth an ounce of gold, I can give you my pair of shoes while you give me an ounce of gold and your knife. In the end, we still own three ounces of gold each, both in monetary (golden) and commodity form, and nobody owes anybody anything.

Your example makes no sense,  all that happens is that goods, gold or IOUs are traded. Its not because I trade one debt claim against another or one debt claim against some gold, that it stops being a debt claim.  Our fiat money is created as a debt, and therefore remains the representation of someone's debt  no matter how often it changes hands, no matter what its traded against, until the debt is repaid and the money destroyed.
3588  Economy / Lending / Re: 420's Non-Ponzi Interest Bearing Accounts & Options on: February 23, 2013, 08:21:26 AM
I have good experience with 420 he is a non-ponzi

No one had more positive ratings than pirate when he launched his ponzi.

Anything that bears interest in bitcoin is suspicious, anything that pays these kinds of ridiculous interest rates is to be assumed a ponzi.

As tradefortress pointed out, you can get loans from banks or cc companies for only a tiny fraction of these rates.
3589  Economy / Speculation / Re: Prediction: $100 by April 31st on: February 22, 2013, 09:17:09 PM
Im guessing we will hit that before February 29th. Anyone taking bets?

(the first of which occurs in 2016 for anyone not paying attention, its a leap day)

100$ by 31st April would be crazy, but this is ridiculous...

Bad enough you dont realize what February 29th is, and then you didnt even see what you quoted lol.
I removed the color tags for you. Or try highlighting the quote.
3590  Economy / Speculation / Re: Prediction: $100 by April 31st on: February 22, 2013, 07:26:51 PM
Im guessing we will hit that before February 29th. Anyone taking bets?

(the first of which occurs in 2016 for anyone not paying attention, its a leap day)
3591  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Newest Update From BFL on Chips on: February 22, 2013, 07:50:14 AM
And Jody is the General Manager.  Unfortunately, in small organisations job titles often bear little resemblance to actual areas of competence or responsibility.  Josh is clearly not the project leader and he appears to be getting much of his information second-hand.  Jody's last blog post was ridiculous coming from a General Manager.  

If Josh doesnt know, he should keep his mouth shut and stop making bold claims and promises he cant keep. Not too mentions bets he will lose.
But more importantly, its his damn job to know or find out.
What are they paying him for otherwise? And remember, you are paying him.

As for Jody, she promised shipment in June or something, didnt she? I wouldnt be too surprised if she turned out to be correct.

Quote
There needs to be one person giving updates and that person needs to be someone who actually knows what the fuck is going on rather than someone who's been cast in the role of community liaison because they run a mining pool and can "relate" to miners.  If Josh is going to be given that role, then the project lead needs to be giving him regular, accurate information about where things are at rather than Josh always chasing information. I don't get the impression that Josh is the one setting deadlines at all.  My impression is that he makes extrapolations based on the information given to him by others and has little direct control over anything.  

Honestly, Josh seems to be acting like I did on my first job 15 years ago, when my idea of project management was acting as a go between between developers and customers,  sugar coating the bad news to the customer, giving it to him little by little, begging the devs to hurry up and never see a delay coming until after it had happened. I had no clue what I was doing, and I failed to realize the devs were acting to me just the same way i was acting towards the customer, and no one was really managing anything. The only thing i managed was customer frustration and it definitely was my fault that neither I or my customer had a realistic view throughout the project. Project management is all about managing risks. You cant manage a bloody thing if you cant even identify the risks.  This is all the more important if you are subcontracting most things out and have no direct control over it.

Quote
It's quite odd given that the original plan was for Josh to personally walk the chips through all the remaining steps once they left the fab, but perhaps that plan was more something which Josh hoped to do rather than something which was actually approved.  I'm not sure how you can oversee a technical project if you don't know - for instance - that blank alignment wafers even exist and that not having one will slow down the bumping process.

Exactly. Now Im not an electrical engineer either, but  im not sure how he expects chips and PCBs to be fully tested and qualified the very same day they might arrive at the testing facility.  

Quote
My perception is that it's easy for the people who are actually responsible to hide behind Josh

Josh is actually responsible. He may not be able to speed up anything, and whatever he does, maybe there wont even be a single shipped asic until summer and that might not be his fault,  but its his fault for not knowing this and  keep failing to deliver on his promises.
3592  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Newest Update From BFL on Chips on: February 21, 2013, 10:55:11 PM
I feel like I'm the only BFL who has some sympathy for Josh.  He's just the messenger

No he isnt. He is COO.  And he better start acting like one rather than acting as a messenger/apologist.
I wont hold him personally accountable for all the previous missed deadlines before he got hired,  but he is responsible for making and meeting them now.
3593  Economy / Lending / Re: $1000-2000 of BTC Loan on: February 21, 2013, 08:32:44 PM
other crucial question is, are you loaning in dollar/euro or btc? Say I lend you 30 BTC, will you be paying back 30+ interest if BTC goes to $10 or to $100, or will you be paying the dollar equivalent? The laptops price will  be in dollar, so if the BTC price would collapse, your lender might be enticed to keep it. if the price goes through the roof, then you might want to forget about the laptop. And even if you'd want to keep your word, you might have a hard time paying back $3000.
3594  Economy / Lending / Re: $1000-2000 of BTC Loan on: February 21, 2013, 05:19:52 PM
To be clear, are you willing to escrow the macbook (so sending it), or are you just promising it? If the latter, its fairly pointless Im afraid. If the former, you are rather brave, pick carefully. I would also suggest using escrow for the bitcoins, so that who ever lends you has to send the btc to the escrow first, then you send your mac, upon reception, have the bitcoins released to you. Do the same when you pay back the loan.
3595  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Ripple Giveaway! on: February 21, 2013, 11:16:48 AM
rUf2nA1PXapTVmospPxXWNNyu7CEGFFvhR
3596  Economy / Goods / Re: WTB: Rooted Android phone on: February 21, 2013, 10:02:13 AM
Id buy a no name Chinese phone. ive bought a few over the past years, and they are generally really pretty nice and they are almost always prerooted (and if not, easily rootable if its using a MTK chip). Something like this:
http://www.ebay.com/itm/Smart-Phone-Android-4-0-Dual-Core-3G-GPS-4-7-Inch-F9300-MTK6577-B-/330829671572?pt=Cell_Phones&hash=item4d06fc2c94

Only a fraction of the price an S3 and not so much worse.
3597  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Newest Update From BFL on Chips on: February 21, 2013, 08:21:08 AM
You know full well they had working prototype chips months ago, back when they were using the QFN package. They even did the testing you're so intent on bitching about. I have full confidence in their chip design.

There is only so much you can test using a different package, particularly if its true those chips destroyed themselves from heat.

Fact is they they are yet to do the first tests of BGA chips,  and even assuming they managed to do basic functional verification on the QFN chips, there are a millions things different now. A package change is no minor tweak, it changes the interconnects, signal integrity, the package and ball alignment have to be checked,   it completely voids any thermal or physical stress tests, the PCBs are new, its probably safe to say they have will have to redo chip characterization if they ever did any previously, they can only guess how the underfill will cope (assuming they used any, if not that might be a serious reliability problem). You know, these are the kind of things that even highly experienced companies like nVidia or AMD get wrong occasionally. For instance here:
http://www.theinquirer.net/inquirer/news/1050052/nvidia-chips-underfill

Just small snippet from the above link:
Quote
The next theory is slightly more plausible - that Nvidia didn't have time to properly test. A heat cycle test of packaging material takes about three months to do, and you can't really rush it.
The Inquirer (http://s.tt/14c7t)

 Ill grant that a bitcoin asic is substantially less complicated than a modern GPU but still..
3598  Economy / Economics / Re: Deflation arrives in the EU. on: February 20, 2013, 11:42:49 PM
I understand this discussion may be going over your head sublime, here is some study material thats perhaps more appropriate for you:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5iRXZrFDFCA

Let me know if you have any questions.

We are discussing Principle and Interest effect here and you are saying charge interest or not doesn't change anything?Huh It is the whole difference, the interest you do not charged is acutally charged in real world and once your described cycle is done, there is unsettled obligations that need another round borrowing to go on. And borrowing going on and on is my point.

Of course it doesnt work like that in the real world. When was the last time you bought clay from a banker?
You said you didnt understand how interest debt could be paid off if the money is never created. I told you how with a silly example, its because interest money doesnt get destroyed like debt money,  so the interest debt is repaid by transferring existing debt or actual wealth (which doesnt get destroyed with the loan either). Its completely logical and nothing like the spooky ever growing cartoon debt monster thats keeping sublime up at night.
3599  Economy / Economics / Re: Representational Monetary Identity on: February 20, 2013, 04:43:42 PM
Mirelo, you really dont understand. Money today is almost universally credit money, its created based on debt, its literally created out of thin air by banks based on your or my pledge to repay it later and money therefore represents a debt itself.  This is true for your bank account which is created by the bank, its true for notes which are created by the central bank, usually based on government bonds (ie debt). Our money  used to represent a debt by the issuer expressed in gold, which made it easier to understand (the money was redeemable for a fixed amount of gold, and therefore a 'good for gold' note, which really is just a tradeable  debt certificate). Now its value is no longer pegged against gold or anything, but it still works the exact same way.

Quote
If I have U$ 100,00 and a pair of shoes worth U$ 200,00 and you have U$ 200,00 and a knife worth U$ 100,00, I can give you my pair of shoes while you give me U$ 100,00 and your knife. In the end, we still own U$ 300,00 each, both in monetary and commodity form, and nobody owes anybody anything.

What you completely miss is that these banknotes already are a tradeable form of someone else's debt. We exchange debt all the time and since its fungible, we have no idea who's debt it represents, but money is debt of and by itself.  your "monetary debt" is therefore a bit of an oxymoron, and btw, you can not redeem such debt or any debt by giving me anything of value. You have that backwards. Im not forced to accept any goods as payment of any kind of debt, I am however forced (by law) to accept fiat money to redeem any sort of debt. That money however, is nothing else than a bank or government sanctioned debt of someone else. Fundamentally, our money works no different than if you wrote "good for $100" on a cheque book, or on a piece of toilet paper,  and used that is if it was $100. The only difference is that we use trusted institutions called banks to verify creditworthiness, and guarantee the debt.
3600  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Announcement - ASIC mining processor by Butterfly Labs on: February 20, 2013, 03:14:12 PM
Quite frankly, Im astounded by the level of amateurism shown here.

Josh, your project management skills seem to be limited to relaying time estimates you get from your suppliers, whom you are clearly pressuring to fastrack what is a minuscule order for them,  and then passing on that  information unprocessed and with no contingency provisions whatsoever as firm promises to your customers. Big surprise you keep missing deadlines.

I also cant believe you still  think you are  days away from mass shipping when you havent had a single prototype chip to test yet. How do you plan in a few days to do functional tests, do proper chip characterization, test the chip, package and underfill for thermal and mechanical stress, verify BGA alignment, check impact of voltage fluctuation and what not? And Im just talking about the chip here, not even the rest of the PCB. This typically takes weeks, and more often than not is an iterative process as you rarely get everything right on the first try.

One would have thought that BFL had learned some lessons from their first product launch disaster, but I guess not. Anyone who thinks BFL will ship more than a few untested prototypes this month, I got a bridge to sell.
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