Due to the country of residence, it is quite problematic for me to use fiat bookmakers, maybe I will try to understand p2p crypto markets because betting against such crazy odds (like that Haaland will score a goal = 1.22) looks like too profitable. I would like to see the emotions of people who bet on Haaland and with Manchester City's 4-0 victory they still lost ) Such bets are even worse than betting on winning a Formula 1 race with odds of 1.5-1.6.


Interesting. In fact, we have a situation where, at odds of >1.5, there is a sharp increase in the value/effectiveness of the bet. I'm trying to understand at whose expense this is happening. The margin of the bookmakers is already quite small, therefore, it should not decrease sharply. I'll try to check the math of these actions a little later.

It’s a good strategy, but it seems to me that you are either initially not very involved in gambling, or vice versa, you already have serious experience. I thought so because allocating a budget once a month is a rare event, and if you do not use additional money management (breaking down this budget at least into weeks), then losing at the beginning of the month is very difficult to wait for its end. For example, I am not much involved in gambling and I have discipline but it would be difficult for me to wait even one week if I wanted to play a little.

I heard that many players say that poker bots exist and work and I saw some investigations on reddit. But there is no direct evidence, this remains only the speculation of the players (probably angry that they lost). But I know that there are programs that collect statistics about the behavior of players in different situations so that later, based on this statistics, you can understand how they play and, for example, recognize a bluff. Such programs can be called bots, although they do not perform a game function.

Therefore, the share of the state should be reduced to a minimum wherever possible. We can't have private courts or police (although some functions like security can be performed by private firms) but I don't see any reason why we should involve the state in running the casino business. A lot of individuals and organizations are ready to do this, compete with each other and provide the best service - why break this working system? After all, in the end we will get the worst product with a corrupt official. It's just not wise.

I think PSV will easily win in the Netherlands, in this pair they are much stronger. Apparently the fate of the Rangers to fight for the Europa League )

In today's game Dynamo - Benfica, Benfica looks like a favorite, but a repeat of the score 2-2 is possible. Both teams score a lot, but at the same time concede goals, so Dynamo can play evenly in the home game and it will be a productive draw. The easiest choice for this game is BTTS.

Has anyone noticed on YouTube that Carlsen is advertising some kind of casino? I don't remember the name, but I do remember the slogan "Zero Risk Gambling" hahaha. Judging by his participation in poker competitions and this advertisement, it can be assumed that he is increasingly immersed in the world of gambling. Is this just making money interesting or is he seriously interested in this area? I hope this is a passing fad, I would like to see him in the next cycles of the Candidates Tournament.

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In fact, when your gambling addict friend asks for a loan, there are no good solutions. In 99.9% of cases, you will either lose a friend, or money, or both. I do not think that the advice can change anything in his situation, since at this stage of addiction, only more radical methods of treatment will be effective. And as you rightly noted, a friend's interest in treatment is also necessary.

Maybe the arrival of Morata will return Atlético's performance to its previous level (last season was a failure for them, not only in terms of points scored, but also in terms of goals scored). Then they will again be able to return to the championship race, although now no one (judging by the odds from the bookmakers) believes in them. This would be great since everyone is talking about Real Madrid and Barcelona, but what justifies the high assessment of Barcelona is not clear, since they still cannot even decide on their composition and are in general in crisis.

If we analyze this case, then in fact gambling may not be taken into account here - maybe he would have changed his mindset from watching some movie or book. I would say that the key to this story is not that he went to the casino, but that he had his own company. Probably not every casino visitor has his own company hehe. If I go to the casino tomorrow and even win 10-20 thousand dollars, then it will not change anything for me, since I am not a business owner.

Team Spirit had two incredible streaks in a row - the loser's bracket final also consisted of comebacks (I don't understand how they have the mental strength to play second all the time waiting for a chance to turn the game). In the final, the decisive game was the second - after it, PSG broke down and made too many mistakes in the remaining two, which, by the way, is strange, since it could be assumed that, taking into account the final of the loser bracket, Team Spirit will be a more tired team and the longer the final lasts, the weaker they will be play. It turns out that yesterday Team Spirit spent more than 10 hours on stage and they had enough strength to win.

Live bets show practically the same odds of teams:

Team Spirit 1.80

Team Aster 1.95

In my opinion, in this scenario, it is more reliable to take a total over 2.5. In general, the game looks like it is completely random, so I will not place bets here, but just enjoy the game (although I prefer LoL).

But in most cases, bookmakers get information faster than you (those rare cases when someone has an insider does not make sense to take into account), so when you decide to change the bet, the odds of the bookmakers will already be changed taking into account this event. It is clear that reacting to events, your bets will be closer to winning than if you place a bet a month before the event and forget about it, but the question is not just to be more accurate, but to be more accurate than the bookmaker.

It will be interesting to see how long this chemistry lasts. It is said that Neymar (who by the way scored an insane amount of points in the goal + pass system in just two games) on Instagram liked a post criticizing Mbappe. In recent days, Mbappe has been talking a lot about who is worthy of Ballon d'Or and naturally does not forget to mention himself, it seems that at least Neymar does not like this and, in general, it looks like Mbappe has caught a star disease.

I understand my assumption will sound absolutely unbelievable, but maybe the Manchester United players for some reason are not happy with Ten Hag and are trying to merge him? Sometimes this happens when the team plays poorly on purpose so that the management gets rid of the coach (because it is easier to change the coach than all the players), the question is what could happen between the coach and the team, that everything came to such affairs and even at the beginning of the season when Manchester United had every chance to fight with the rest on an equal footing.

By experience, you probably mean the ability to play/knowledge of the rules and game mechanics (poker or blackjack or something similar)? Because I don't know what kind of experience comes from playing slots where the player presses one button and watches the result. Even in dice, you can say that it is interesting to try different auto-betting settings (different strategies), but it is clear in advance that in the end you will still lose. And by the way, playing for fake money, for example, poker, will not give all the experience that a real game gives, since in a real game a huge component of the strategy is psychological pressure on opponents by raising the bet.

The most shocking result in my opinion is Bayer's loss at home to Augsburg. Now Bayer has 0 points after two rounds and is in last place - who would have guessed that?
It seems to me that the limit of surprises has already been exhausted in this round, so in the remaining matches you can safely bet on the favorite, the only problem is that there is only one favorite in the remaining three pairs - Bayern and the odds of it winning is 1.13, which can hardly be considered a big win.

You say this as if all people are smart in all matters, and meeting a fool in life is a rare case ;-) In fact, there are many people who are simply stupid, plus there are many people who are smart in some way but suffer from a lack of common sense, so some wacky idea, but wrapped in a beautiful package, can deceive them. For example, not gambling, but trading (Forex, etc.), not astrology, but Technical Analysis and so on.

Yes, I understand the meaning of distance betting. In any case, betting is a conversation about a distance, no matter what the odds are 1.1 or 20 and not about a one-time event that you have to guess. By the way, why more than 1.5? Due to bonuses/insurance (if I remember correctly, the bonus increase in multibet odds, etc., starts from this number).

The odds 38 look absolutely insane (like City are already leading 3-0 hahaha). And another thing that caught my attention is the odds that Haaland will score a goal today 1.22 - if i could bet on the opposite event, I would do it.

I agree with your conclusions. It would be nice if the moderators closed this topic.
If someone wants to discuss live betting, then he can do it on the forum - if potential participants in the discussion have time and interest, they will answer on the forum, telegram are not needed here. And in general, I don’t know who is interested in the opinion (even a specialist) of any person in a live game - everyone has their own strategy, their own bankroll, so advice that will be useful for one better will be harmful for another.