It's funny to read such predictions. And there are still new ones. None of this comes true. These "predictors" do not care about their reputation at all.

Factors affecting the price of BTC exist. The fact is that we do not know which factors are the strongest. Until now, someone is talking about supply and demand, and someone about the masters of the market. For us, it will always remain intractable.

There should usually be an accumulation. This means that, for example, there will be a long side trend throughout the year. Thus, it is likely that a significant market growth will not soon.

After the big wave of ICO, many owners of tokens, both investors and projects, appeared. They all want to sell their tokens and get their money. This will significantly complicate the increase in prices for ethereum. I think that at prices above 200 there are many strong resistances. Therefore, it is unlikely that the price will be able to hold above 200 in the near future.

Yes, it looks like a correction inside a downtrend. The reason for this correction may be the closure of short positions before the Christmas holidays in order to take profits.

Yes, blockchain can be used for payments. But now it is technically far from perfection. I think that 10 years is not enough for such a large development that 20 turned into 100K. Moreover, there are stories that in the course of the year some have made out of 200K less than 10K. And it can go on .

We all know that there are periods of raise and drop in the market. For almost a year the market has been in decline. It is logical to expect growth, rather than fall, with a greater probability. Therefore, those who came now came at a great time. Of course, we will understand this only in the future.

As we can see, buying and holding can not always be a good strategy. First of all, you need to try to understand why this happened. For investment, as well as for trade, you need to have a strategy.
For example, here is one of the investor’s tactics:
if for some time your asset becomes cheaper, a part can be exchanged for BTC or for $;
then, if with some time the asset does not fall, you can later exchange it back (with profit or more coins).

Yes, the technical ability to check such the KYC is not everywhere.

Let's look at this discussion from the side. This recognition of defeat. No KYC! As a bounty hunter, I repeatedly refused to receive a reward when the team demanded KYC. And survived it. As an investor, I bought assets on exchanges without verification.

#Proof of authentication
Campaign: signature
BT Username: CLywaTeLb
BT Profile Link: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1155670

Campaign: Medium
Medium Account URL: https://medium.com/@boxi4ek

In this case, it would be nice to note that crypto is one of the most risky financial environments. If someone earned a lot here, then anyone lost a lot. Many unfortunate investors have not yet admitted their defeat.

Exactly. In January, there were a lot of pumps of all kinds of shitcoins. I make some money. The difficulty was that the exchange did not give me the opportunity to sell some of this shits on high. This may not be suitable for long-term retention, but they are very good for short-term trading in good time, because it makes 10X very easy.

Yes, that is why many tokens will die before they start living. If the market provided more favorable conditions for some projects, their tokens could bring some profit. However, it is better for us to hold. The best assets can give so much that the loss of other assets will be brush-fire.

The human psyche is curious. When we want something, we resort to what we like to get what does not depend on us: the mantra, as the title of this topic; we are looking for reasons to grow at some point (Q4, SEC decision)

Yes, I had such a regret. It's funny that I later repeated this mistake with two assets (one of these is Pundi-X) . It is important to draw conclusions and not to repeat mistakes again.

Yes, buying just because there was a big fall is stupid. For today's buyer it will not be easier if the purchase was made very cheap, if the loss is 70-80%.

The correct sentence. Since prices have fallen significantly, one or two altcoins will not change anything. You can leave them on the market and forget until the crypto changes trend. You almost do not risk, but have the opportunity to at least return your investment.

It is not as easy to do as said. If you see a loss, for example, 80%, it is very difficult to sell this asset. Yes, we all understand that the fall can go on. Leaving a position with huge losses makes it impossible to recover loss, it is also meaningless, because the money received is already insignificant and does not change anything.
And another thing, if you made a loss, why do you think that by buying other assets you will not get a loss again?

Traders in the stock market have such a principle: to enter a position if there are signs confirming the movement signals. The crypto market in this sense is the same.
Now there is no sign of the beginning of growth. In 2019, rise is possible, but there are no reasons for this yet. There is only our desire for this. Therefore, now may not be the best time to invest.

Этт верно. Смотреть на свои активы тошно, делать ничего не хочется. А вспомнтите эту эйфорию год назад! Как и многие, к крипте, занимаю выжидательную позицию. Лучёк помню, храню как память, надеюсь, что память вырастет в нечто большее.