First of Joey's friends to appear on Top Gear – Who will it be?

It was announced yesterday that Matt LeBlanc is confirmed as another presenter on 'New' Top Gear. 'New' as nothing will be same after Jeremy Clarkson so for the most this change showed that this show will never be as popular as it was.

Still, we all know Matt LeBlanc as Joey Tribbiani from 'Friends' and thus we love him as well. And it will be interesting to see will LeBlanc have any of Joey's friends as the guest in Top Gear this year. Or maybe all of them, or still none of them?

It wouldn't be a surprise to see him and Chandler (Matthew Perry) driving in the same car, neither would it be strange to see Ross (David Schwimmer) with them, thus male friends have best odds to be guest at market you can bet at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/event/category-decimal/news/top-gear/all/

But Rachel (Jennifer Aniston) would be such a great guest, Monica as well (Courteney Cox), while Phoebe (Lisa Kudrow) is offered least chances to be his first 'Friends' guest, so thus you have great odds if you bet on her. Don't miss them.

New Hampshire primaries – Trump and Sanders or another surprise?

Okay, Trump lost Iowa but what now? A lot of people think that losing to Ted Cruz could even favor Trump in the long run as having strong Cruz will help him deal more easily with Marco Rubio later on. But what about Rubio? He was strong third in Iowa, stronger than anyone thought, and even earlier he was given solid chances in New Hampshire.

So, New Hampshire should once again confirm Rubio as a strong candidate for the Republican nomination but is he able to win it? His chances are much bigger than Cruz’s but Trump is still a strong first favorite. But Trump was also strong favorite in Iowa and he lost it so… What are your opinions on New Hampshire primaries? Find current odds at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/who-will-win-the-new-hampshire-republican-primary/
 
When it comes to Democrats, it is almost sure that Bernie Sanders will win New Hampshire as it is one of his home turfs, as he is only stronger in his own Vermont. But Iowa is also considered one of his home turfs and he was still even with Hillary, so could Hillary make a huge surprise and defeat him in New Hampshire? You have great odds for that at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/who-will-win-the-new-hampshire-democratic-primary/

All in all, it is getting more and more interesting and February 9 and New Hampshire primaries couldn’t be more closer.

Will Puerto Rico go bankrupt in 2016?

As Puerto Rico faces more than $400 million in debt service due in May and another $1.9 billion due in July, Senate Democrats sent two days ago a united message to Majority Leader Mitch McConnell: Allow Puerto Rico to declare bankruptcy on its massive $72 billion debt.

“We urge you to commit to working with us to swiftly enact legislation to give Puerto Rico access to appropriate restructuring tools,” said a letter to McConnell that was signed by all 44 Senate Democrats and two independents -- Maine’s Angus King and presidential hopeful Bernie Sanders. This is the only way Puerto Rico can avert a “growing financial and social catastrophe,” the group’s letter warned.

So, once again we have an open discussion about bankruptcy of Puerto Rico, though on the Senate side, McConnell has been silent, thus ignoring the near total economic collapse of a territory with 3.5 million U.S. citizens. Still, chances for Puerto Rico to bankrupt in 2016 are getting bigger and now you have an open market on Fairlay as well:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/puerto-rico-to-bankrupt-in-2016/.

Michael Bloomberg to run for a president – Could this really happen?

Few months ago there were talks that Donald Trump would run as a third party candidate if he doesn't get Republican nominations and thus would (taking away his votes from the Republicans) help Democrats win the Presidential election. But, with Trump getting more popular, things have changed and now we could get a similar situation on the other side.

In the recent weeks talks started that Michael Bloomberg (business magnate, politician, and philanthropist) could run for a president and thus take the votes away from the Democratic candidate. It is possibly true that with this talks he wants to make Democrats to choose Hilary Clinton instead of Bernie Sanders in the following primaries.

So, if Trump starts to win Republican primaries and Sanders makes a surprise against Hilary, there are rather good chances that Michael Bloomberg could run for a president and maybe even decide the following elections in Trump's favor. With those unknowns, chances that he would run are still rather small but those who believe in that have great odds at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/michael-bloomberg-to-run-for-a-president/

Anyway, recent reports connected with his friends say that he will decide on presidential run in the first week of March so you have few weeks more to analyze this and place a bet. Till then, you can also suggest what kinds of markets you would like to see in the future, or give your opinion on the Presidential Election markets already created HERE.

Price of Crude Oil – Which trend will it follow?

One of the recent trending topics is that about the price of the crude oil that has been going down for the last year and a half, but even more in the last few weeks. From 37.28 USD/bbl. at the end of the year down to the 27.88 USD/bbl. on January 20. After going up to 32.18, it is currently at 30.50 so it is interesting to see which trend will it follow.

Currently, there is a talk about the six factors that will determine price of oil in 2016, from US production rates to OPEC’s inscrutable strategy. Also production and consumption of Saudi Arabia, Iran, China, and Russian should influence a lot. So it is still a big question will the price be able to stay in the $20 range that is considered to be inexpensive.

Price of Crude Oil to be Under $30.50 on April 1 – Bet at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/price-of-crude-oil-to-be-under-30-50-on-april-1/.

So, now you have an open market to predict will the price of crude oil be under or over $30.50 on April 1. So considering which trend and factors you believe in, you have good odds if you place your bets right now.

End of the year price of Crude Oil, in which range will it be – Bet at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/end-of-the-year-price-of-crude-oil/.

So, at the moment it looks like the price at the end of the year should stay in the range of $25 - 49.99, but for you who think that it could go even lower you have great odds for the end of the year price of under $25, or for any above $50, especially those over $75, though it is hard to believe that price of oil could go back so easily. But, with oil you never know. Or, do you?

Iowa caucuses - 7 days to go, Who will win them?

We are seven days away from the start of the long season of the US Presidential Election primaries and caucuses, both for the Republicans and Democrats. And it all starts in Iowa next Monday with the caucuses for both parties, that will be followed by the primaries in New Hampshire. But who will win them and thus make a great start, considering the influence of the opening results?

Few months ago it was a huge question who has chances among Republicans but how time easily changes a lot of that, shows the fact that today Donald Trump is by far the first favorite with only Ted Cruz having chances to defeat him in Iowa. Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Ben Carson are almost without any chances so the only question at the moment is do you or do you not trust Trump. And then bet at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/who-will-win-the-iowa-republican-caucus/.

And for all of you who trust (or do not) Donald Trump you still have an open market if he will win the first four states that you can find here: https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/who-will-win-the-iowa-republican-caucus/.

When it comes to the results of Democrats in Iowa, things didn't change as much in the previous months, so it is still a tight race between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders, with others being just formal candidates. Though Sanders' chances are raising a bit, Clinton is still the first favorite but no matter which one of them you support, you have rather strong odds at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/who-will-win-the-iowa-democratic-caucus/.

Anyway, we are heading towards some interesting weeks so you can also propose other markets that you would like to see.

Yes, you are so right. With all of this and few more interesting Bitcoin projects, this is surely gonna be an important year. Thus, through the time, you will have different markets in connection with the trending topic in the Bitcoin community.


And, as for the time being, with the nominations, you also have once again all the main six Oscars markets so you can now find even better odds. No matter if you trust in DiCaprio or Spotlight, or even movies like Room or Brooklyn, you can find something you would like to bet on at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/event/category-decimal/news/oscars/all/

But to be honest, after watching all the movies, Leonardo DiCaprio and Brie Larson are the main favorites for reason, Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu as director as well, though the Best Picture category is far from sure. So, what are you opinions on Oscars, and would you like to see some other Oscars markets as well?

BAFTAs 2016 – Will ‘The Revenant’ be the big winner?

Two weeks before Oscars we will have another movie awards introduction with the 69th British Academy Film Awards, more commonly known as the BAFTAs. The nominees were announced ten days ago, with ‘Bridge of Spies’ and ‘Carol’ both having the most nominations at nine each. But there is only one question, will ‘The Revenant’ be the big winner?



BAFTAs 2016 - Best Film
 
But though it could win it, ‘The Revenant’ is not the first favorite for the Best Film of the year, as the biggest chances are given to the ‘Spotlight’. Still, it means that you have better odds if you bet on ‘The Revenant’, while also great ones if you believe that ‘The Big Short’, ‘Bridge of Spies’, or even ‘Carol’. You have your favorite so bet at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/baftas-2016-best-film/


BAFTAs 2016 - Best Director

As for the Best Director award, the first favorite is Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu with ‘The Revenant’, while the second one is Ridley Scott with ‘The Martian’. Adam McKay for ‘The Big Short’ has solid chances, while you have superb odds if you think Steven Spielberg for ‘Bridge of Spies’, or Todd Haynes for ‘Carol’ could win it. So bet at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/baftas-2016-best-director/



BAFTAs 2016 - Best Actor

You have also great odds, if you think that the award for the Best Actor could go for anyone who is not Leonardo DiCaprio (‘The Revenant’). Other nominations are Eddie Redmayne (‘The Danish Girl’), Michael Fassbender ( ‘Steve Jobs’), Matt Damon (‘The Martian’), and Bryan Cranston (‘Trumbo’), all with the huge odds at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/baftas-2016-best-actor/


BAFTAs 2016 - Best Actress

A bit more interesting are nominations for the Best Actress, though Brie Larson is rather favorite for her role in the ‘Room’, while she is followed with the young Saoirse Ronan for the lead role in ‘Brooklyn’. And if you trust Cate Blanchett (‘Carol’), Alicia Vikander (‘The Danish Girl’), or Maggie Smith (‘The Lady in the Van’) find your odds at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/baftas-2016-best-actress/


All in all, when it comes to the movies awards, February is all but boring, and you also have enough time to watch the movies and give your opinions on these or similar markets that could be created. So which one would you like to see?

2016 Summer Olympics – Who will win most gold medals?

Today we are left with 200 Days more till the start of the 2016 Summer Olympics in Rio de Janeiro, so it is time to create first market for the main sporting event of this year. As usually, you are free to suggest any markets you would like to see when it comes to the winners of specific sports and disciplines.

For the start, you have the most general market about who will win most gold medals in Rio. After they won 46 gold medals in London 2012, most people think that hardly anyone can compete with the USA Olympic Team, so it is not surprise that the United States are the first favorite to win most gold medals.



Still, with 38 gold medals won in London, China Olympic Team is the one who could make a surprise winning most gold. They already did that at domestic Olympics in Beijing 2008 when they won 51 gold medals. They are second favorite, while there is almost no chances that any other country, even Russia or United Kingdom, could threaten USA and China.

All in all, with the respect to all the other countries, in the end it could be close battle between USA and China, and if you have your opinion who will be the winning nation at 2016 Olympics, you can already find your odds at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/country-to-win-most-gold-medals/.

Razzies – Who are the biggest movie losers of the year?

The 88th Academy Awards ceremony will on February 28, 2016 honor the best films of 2015 and with the recent nominations Oscars are trending topic but right now we are interested February 27 – Oscar eve. That is the date when the 36th Golden Raspberry Awards will be held, awards that nobody wants to win as they honor the worst the film industry had to offer in the previous year.

Two days ago we got this year’s nominations revealed and all five films up for Worst Picture at this year's Awards are big budget productions that have no excuse for being among the year's "berry" worst. Still, they are there and you have an open market which movie will get Award for Worst Picture. Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2, Fifty Shades of Grey, Fantastic Four, Pixels, or Jupiter Ascending? Bet at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/razzies-worst-picture/.

Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2 is so horrible that is not only the first favorite for the Worst Picture but its Kevin James is also the main favorite for the Worst Actor Award. But it won't be an easy job for him to win it as some other popular actors are nominated as well: Adam Sandler for two movies (The Cobbler and Pixels), Johnny Depp for Mortdecai, and Jamie Dornan for Fifty Shades of Grey, and Channing Tatum for Jupiter Ascending. Who do you prefer? Bet at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/razzies-worst-actor/.

Yes, you are right. Fifty Shades of Grey was so awful that it also got nomination for the Worst Actress Award but Dakota Johnson is a second favorite at the moment, as Katherine Heigl for Home Sweet Hell has the biggest chances. Other nominations are popular and beautiful Jennifer Lopez for The Boy Next Door, Mila Kunis for Jupiter Ascending, and Gwyneth Paltrow for Mortdecai. They were all beautiful but who do you think was the worst? Bet at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/razzies-worst-actress/.

Donald Trump to win the first four states – Is it really possible?

Few weeks ago, we were discussing will Donald Trump win any Republican Party presidential primaries and caucuses, and now people are already talking how many will he win. Even before there was opinion that everything is possible if Donald Trump opens with the win in Iowa, or even follows it with another one in New Hampshire.

Thus, you now have new Donald Trump market and you have great odds if you believe in him. It is about Trump winning the presidential primaries and caucuses in the first four states: Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Nevada. Can he really do it, or is everyone exaggerating his chances? We will find out in February, and until then bet at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/donald-trump-to-win-first-four-states/.

House Of Cards – To be the Next President

Two days ago, we got the TRAILER for the last season of the “House of Cards” TV series and with it we cannot wait anymore for the new season to be released on the Netflix. Actually, we have to wait, as we will get our new 13 episodes on March 4, 2016. But at least, we will get them all at once and as soon as possible we will know who will be the Next President.

“They say we get the leaders we deserve, I think America deserves Frank Underwood. And in your heart, you know I'm right,“ says Frank Underwood (played by Kevin Spacey) at the end of that last trailer and he is really the main favorite for the Next President. But this great series gave us some exciting twists so could someone else as the Next President be the new one?

Could Clare Underwood make her revenge in the best way possible, or could the Next President be Hector Mendoza who is potential Republican candidate and thus second favorite at the moment. Democratic candidate is Heather Dunbar and you also have great odds for other options if you think huge surprise is possible. It is fiction but superb fiction so bet at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/house-of-cards-to-be-the-next-president-1/.

Dilma Rousseff to remain president of Brazil through 2016 – YES OR NO?

In 2011 Dilma Rousseff became Brazil’s first female president but less than five years later she is becoming the most hated president in Brazil's history. In the last few months thousands of protesters took to the streets across Brazil as at the same time Dilma's government struggles to lift the economy from its most severe crisis in decades.

Last week economists forcasted that Brazil heads for the worst recession since 1901, as Latin America’s largest economy could shrink 2.95 percent this year. So Brazil’s policy makers are struggling to control the fastest inflation in 12 years without further hamstringing a weak economy, and New Finance Minister didn't change much since December.

With all of this there is no doubt that protesters will continue to demand the ouster of President Dilma Rousseff. She already faces impeachment proceedings but they could drag for months so at the moment she is still slightly favored to survive (the next presidential election is in 2018) so if you are against her (or for her) you can find good odds at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/dilma-rousseff-to-remain-president-of-brazil-through-2016/.

To win the 2016 Nobel Prize in Literature – Murakami or someone else?

For the last few year, Japanese writer Haruki Murakami was the biggest favorite to win the Nobel Prize in Literature but he never won in. This October we will get new Nobel literature laureate and popular Murami is once again the biggest favorite.

But once again he could be skipped and for the time being second favorite is a Kenyan writer Ngugi Wa Thiong'o, while good chances are also given to an America writer Joyce Carol Oates. And if you don’t trust in any of them, odds on authors like Philip Roth, Adunis, Ismail Kadare, Jon Fosse, or any other you can find at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/to-win-the-2016-nobel-prize-in-literature/


To win the 2016 Nobel Peace Prize – is it time for Angela Merkel?

Barack Obama won the Nobel Peace Prize in 2009, whole European Union in 2012, Tunisian National Dialogue Quartet last year but now we have the question who will win it this year? At the moment most people think that it should be Angela Merkel and there is no need to say why would she need to win it.

But if you don’t think that Merkel will become Nobel laureate, then the second favorite is a global civil society coalition International Campaign To Abolish Nuclear Weapons. It is followed by Pope Francis and if you have some other favorites, then you can find all the odds at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/to-win-the-2016-nobel-peace-prize/

Guns N' Roses to play at Reading / Leeds 2016 Festival – YES OR NO?

First big music news in 2016 is the confirmation of the Guns N’ Roses Reunion as Axl Rose, Slash and Duff McKagan will play together at the Coachella Music & Arts Festival in April. We still lack more details about this reunion between Axl Rose, and Slash and McKagan who exited the band in 1993 but it surely a great news.

With this, there is a lot of speculation what will happen after Coachella and will they perform as well on some other Festivals. For now, the biggest chance for their Europe Reunion to happen is at Reading / Leeds Festival in August and thus you can now place your bets at Fairlay if you think they will actually perform there:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/guns-n-roses-to-play-at-reading-leeds-2016-festival/.


Guns N' Roses to play at Wembley before end of 2017 – YES OR NO?

There are also speculations that Axl and Slash could even go to the studio to record some new tracks and thus is would be a complete reunion. Still, we don’t now if they even talked with each other yet or this reunion was arranged by an army of lawyers and managers.

Anyway, if this reunion is a real thing and not a one-time gig (like Led Zeppelin did in 2007 and never after), they could easily follow with some studio work, more festivals and even a huge concert at Wembley. So, if you think that Guns N' Roses will play at Wembley before end of 2017 you can find great odds at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/guns-n-roses-to-play-at-wembley-before-end-of-2017/.

Rahm Emanuel to resign as Chicago mayor by April 15 – YES or NO?

On November 24, agruesome video of 17-year-old Laquan McDonald's fatal shooting at the hands of a Chicago police officer was released by the city’s police department on, more than a year after the shooting took place. Ever since then it was a trending topic, as well with the calls for the resignation of Rahm Emanuel, the Chicago mayor and former Obama chief of staff.

And, in late December, protesting intensified after officers fatally shot a man and a woman, one of whom is believed to have been mentally ill, in the city’s West Side. So much that Mayor Rahm Emanuel cut short a family vacation this past week and returned to a city in crisis with people who share opinions like: “Oh, it’s personal, all right. We’re making it personal.”

The protests reflect frustration with chronic problems Emanuel inherited in Chicago, a city long plagued by police brutality, failing schools, rampant gang violence and dire ­finances. But as Emanuel enters his second term, critics say he has deepened distrust in City Hall through a string of scandals affecting his administration, a lack of transparency and his abrasive personal style.

Although Emanuel built a reputation in Washington as a crisis manager and consummate fixer for two presidents, critics and friends alike say it remains unclear how, or whether, he will be able to fix this crisis. So, do you believe that Rahm Emanuel will resign as Chicago mayor by April 15? If you believe that this will happen, you have great odds at Fairlay:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/rahm-emanuel-to-resign-as-chicago-mayor-by-april-15/.

After the Spanish general election was held on Sunday, trending topic in European politics these days is Who will be the next Spanish prime minister? At the moment, marathon political talks are expected before government can be formed but leftwing parties’ balance of power puts current prime minister Mariano Rajoy’s future in doubt.

Mariano Rajoy, leader of the the conservative People’s party, is still the first option for the next PM but without such a big chances as he had before Sunday. Especially as a Socialist-led coalition is shaping up to be the most likely to rule Spain. And with this Spain’s Socialist party leader Pedro Sanchez has good chances to become the next prime minister.

At Fairlay: https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/who-will-be-the-next-spanish-prime-minister/ you have great odds if you think a third person will be the next PM of Spain. Also, Anti-austerity party Podemos said it would block any attempt by Rajoy to form a government. But Ciudadanos’s leader, Albert Rivera, said his party would abstain from the confidence vote to allow the PP to form a minority government.

All in all, in the coming weeks King Felipe VI will reach out to all parties to hear their positions and name the party that will have the chance to try and form a government. If the candidate fails to obtain an absolute majority, the king must put forward a new candidate. If no government is formed within two months, new elections must be held.

So, what is you opinion and who do you favor to the be the next Spanish prime minister?

Donald Trump is still a trending topic when it comes to the 2016 US Presidential Election. You already have open markets How much will Trump's campaign cost? and Will Trump to be a third party presidential candidate in 2016?, but now you have another market on whether people will actually trust him.

In US Presidential Election markets you can bet that he will be next President, that he will be Republican nominee, or even that he will win Iowa Caucus or New Hampshire Primary but now you can make even better bet by answering the questions Will Donald Trump win any Republican primaries or caucuses?

At the moment, at https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/will-trump-win-any-republican-primaries-or-caucuses/ Trump has rather high chances to do this but a lot of people think that if he doesn't win Iowa Caucus or New Hampshire Primary, he will hardly win any after that. If you have that opinion as well, then you have great offer at the moment. And, of course, like always, you can suggest other markets that you would like to bet on.

It is almost certain that Leo Messi will win the FIFA Ballon d'Or award for the best football player of the year, so now the only question is can he add to it FIFA Puskas Award as well. This award is given to the player who have scored the most aesthetically significant, or "most beautiful", goal of the year.

That one Leo Messi scored against Athletic Bilbao is a thing of a beauty and he is surely the biggest favorite but two others left in competition are also superb. One is Alessandro Florenzi from Roma who scored it against Barcelona and other one Brazilian Wendell Lira.

Anyway, you can watch and vote for all the three goals HERE but what is more important, you can place your bets at Fairlay: https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/fifa-puskas-award-winner/. FIFA Ballon d’Or 2015 Gala will be held on 11 January next year.

One of the popular topics regarding US Presidential Election is How much will Donald Trump's campaign cost? In August this year Trump said he's prepared to spend $1 billion on his campaign if necessary, and he does not have to worry about pleasing lobbyists like other candidates because his race is self-funded.

Still, MSNBC's Ari Melber reported in October that Trump has only spent about $2 million till that moment on his campaign, and that it is far less than his top-tier rivals on both sides of the aisle:



So, what do you think total of Trump's campaign costs will be? And this includes spendings on both his primaries and general election campaigns. It will surely be far from that $1 billion but will it stay under $25 million or be much bigger, even more than $150 milllion? Find your odds on seven different options here: https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/how-much-will-donald-trumps-campaign-cost-1/.