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361  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: May 01, 2024, 03:20:55 PM
-snip

Sorry about your loss, but it's betting - we get profit (if haha) only in distance, there's no option to win every bet. Barcelona has had problems with defense since the very start of the season, without deep analytics it is clear that the probability that they will concede a goal in a single game is at least (rather higher) 50%. If we compare with last season, Barcelona have already conceded twice as many goals, and there are still 5 rounds ahead.
Specifically in this game, I was upset that I saw the score after the first half, the red card and thought that it would be nice to bet on Barcelona, but I was not at home so I don’t even know what the odds were at that time.
thank you for your information. I just realized that I forgot something important and only bet according to my own opinion without predicting the outcome of the match.
I just realized that Barcelona conceded more goals this season than last season and I only realized it after you said about Barcelona weaknesses recently.
your information can give me additional information to bet on the Barcelona match in the next match but not bet again on BTTS. Cheesy
362  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: May 01, 2024, 02:59:28 PM
But for me, I won’t have much doubt about Inter Milan winning against Sassuolo because they are not in their best form. Though we can’t always predict and it will happen exactly as we said, I’m sure Inter Milan will be able to win Sassuolo and not even draw against them. However, Inter Milan are at the top of the table, so they will not want to lose any points. Though Sassuolo are going to play at home, I can say we should be expecting a draw or a win from Inter Milan, but Sassuolo can’t win Inter Milan.

However, let's see how the match goes because, when it comes to this kind of competition, some predictions are hard to make.
after Inter officially won the Scudetto this season, it would be a little dangerous to bet on every Inter match and if this is related to the bet we will choose, it would be better to bet on other options other than a win or draw.
logically, even if the result is a draw or a loss, Inter will still not get any changes in their position, while Sassuolo 3 points or 1 point is very important to try to survive in this series A.
It is indeed difficult to predict the matches of top teams who are comfortably at the top of the standings and in my opinion the most comfortable betting option for me is choosing to bet on over 2.5
I am sure that in this match there will be a big score of at least 3 or 4 scores even though I have not placed a bet on this match but this is just temporary speculation and I will only bet after looking at the formation data published to see whether Inter uses the main players or uses reserve players to providing experience on this side of the match.
363  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 01, 2024, 09:11:46 AM
Would we be so narrow-minded as to curse Harry Kane? even though he made a big contribution to Bayen Munich with his goals and assists. And if the curse is true, Tottenham should be able to win the title this season, but they couldn't get it.
I think it's more appropriate to say "curse" just to add entertainment, not to go into a more serious realm like what people are currently doing with Harry Kane. We can also still see Bayern Munich in 2nd place now, and to be honest that's not a bad position, it's just that they can't defend the title this season. After all, they also still have the Champions League, and if they succeed there (even if it is difficult), what will the people who have said that Harry Kane is the reason for Bayern Munich's failure this season in the Bundesliga say?
exactly!! logically speaking, if Kane is like a curse, it would be impossible for Kane to score big numbers for Munich and on the one hand, his contribution to the Munich players is also very good, always able to work together to create good chemistry.
and actually the failure of Munich at that time was not in Kane but the coach who failed to manage the players well with inappropriate strategies and also the arrival of great scoring players usually had a bad impact on other players as other players didn't want to try to score and just just rely on Kane.
now let's see who is the top scorer after Kane at Bayern Munich and of course the difference in scores scored is very large and this is a sign that other Munich players also only rely on Kane without trying to make a stronger contribution.
and I say this not to blame the other players but for me something like this is very normal but it all depends on how the Munich coach maintains stable performance and doesn't rely too much on just one player and this is just a failure for Tuchel to bring Munich to a higher level and lost dominance in the Bundesliga.
364  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: May 01, 2024, 08:58:37 AM

Quote
One of the leaders of Manchester United has held talks with Thomas Tuchel’s agent about potentially becoming the new head coach.
https://twitter.com/DeadlineDayLive/status/1784655015166062691

I think Manchester United does not have any intention of improving the coach that they have. I am pretty sure that even if they bring in Thomas Tuchel, he is not willing to bring in any improved results in the long run compared to the coach that they have right now. I did hear that Zidane had shown interest in managing Manchester United. I wonder why they are not interested in bringing him in as the coach. Because that guy was going to be a very big improvement compared to what they have and whom we are talking about right now. I don’t understand how they fail to see this. Manchester United is absolutely destroyed as a club in my opinion. They are more interested in PR and T-shirt sales instead of actually bringing in good results.

If they refused to bring in Zidane,that means they don't like something good.Zidane was the best at Madrid,and I'm not sure he was sacked when he left,that is to say he would have a significant impact on the club.Zidane knows how to coach and turn things around, because I know quite well that the problem Man United have now is not players,but their coach.Ten- Hag does not have the ability to manage a club like  Man u,and that is what is affecting their result.
But if they can get Zidane at the end of the season,there is every tendency that they will will be a contender for the tittle next season.
of course what you say is very true and currently Man United actually has no shortage of players and for me Man United players have good quality talent if they can be trained by the right coach and the problem that is happening right now is just a coach who doesn't have the ability to manage MU is doing well and if Man United chooses to bring in Tuchel instead of Zidane, I think MU future will not be different from the results they are currently getting.
I know maybe it's not the right one to blame the coach but for a long time since last season I have always seen how Man United is developing and last season was a little better but this season is getting worse while MU players are ready to face whatever obstacles they will face.

I can't imagine what it would be like if MU really signed a contract with Tuchel and ignored Zidane who is more qualified in terms of managing the players.
but let's see later how the Red Devils decide whether to keep firing Ten Hag and replace Tuchel or choose Zidane with a bigger opportunity.
365  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: May 01, 2024, 08:15:20 AM

fair enough, isn't it with the results of the Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid match? Munich received 1 penalty kick and Madrid also received 1 penalty kick with a draw.
do you know what this is a sign of? yep, this is a sign that Real Madrid in the second leg can beat Bayern Munich and will qualify for the final round.
I admit that even though Munich performed very well in the home match, look at Madrid, they were able to compensate so that they didn't end up losing and even though Madrid didn't have big players, Vinic agility was able to outwit the Munich players.
yesterday Madrid could have won if Vinic and Bellingham communication had been able to unite when Vinic had a chance but was thwarted by the Munich goalkeeper but the ball went to the middle and Bellingham couldn't take the opportunity and I think Bellingham yesterday didn't appear confident and maybe because Bellingham mentality is not like Vinic, who has often competed in the UCL.

betting all in this on the UCL match is very profitable and this match is really very easy to predict because both teams don't want to be left behind in the aggregate score so both teams will still score.
next today there will be a match between Dortmund vs PSG.
what do you think about the Dortmund vs PSG match? and what betting option is the most comfortable for you.
366  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: May 01, 2024, 07:28:49 AM
I think, Arsenal will definitely lose some matches in their remaining matches, because there are some teams that know how to stop Arsenal in their home not to achieve victory from them, which they will like to apply the same tactics to frustrate Arsenal effort for Manchester city to return back to the first position.  For Arsenal to defeated Chelsea with many goals in their last match, show that Arsenal has performed well in this season but for Arsenal to win the premier league title, I don't think it will be possible for them because Manchester city is still performing to win the title again. I don't think, Arsenal can win all their remaining matches, because some of their opponents will defeat Arsenal to achieve three points or draw with Arsenal to share points.
Manchester City will not back down when they have Pep Guardiola who's also in on for lifting the title again this season. Arsenal are here for the points but it comes with a cost which Mikel Arteta is ready to give his best for the most essential positive results. Arsenal have three more games to go and there'd presence of threats for them. We're talking about Bournemouth, Manchester United and Everton. We expects Gunners to become prioritized with the big winning but when it comes to EPL matches.
If Arsenal really wants the EPL title, they must be able to get consecutive wins until the end of the season and the only question is whether Arsenal can get 3 points in the match against Man United? and will we see Man City lose 1 time in the remaining matches?
It is quite difficult to think positively about the final result of this season for Arsenal because the match schedule and remaining matches are very different and Man City will be more favored.
It's not surprising that most people think that Guardiola will not give up on winning the EPL title from Arsenal because Man City has the advantage of 1 more match remaining than Arsenal and logically Man City will get the EPL title if both teams finish the remaining matches with wins in all upcoming match session.

I don't doubt Arsenal here but I'm really sure most of the people here will have the same thought and I thought that always including Man City in the betting slip would be very profitable.
367  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Saudi Professional League 2023/2024 on: May 01, 2024, 06:56:15 AM
Al Itihad owners are idiots or what? I read yesterday some news about them going to buy Salah from Liverpool. Well that is nothing wrong with that, but when we know he only left 1 year  in the contract with Liverpool why are you not gonna wait one more year and avoid to pay a ton of money for him?
Do you know who is behind them?
Saudi football is full of rich people or billionaires who invest their money for fun and satisfaction, they will do anything with their money and never mind.
Moreover, Salah is not an easy player to get, he was given an offer to play in the SPL since last season but he rejected it and preferred to stay with Liverpool so getting Salah was not an easy thing.
If we only talk about money then it is clear that Saudi will be able to provide large amounts of money compared to staying with Liverpool but this is not just about money but about how Salah can get the title.
Remaining contract will always be extended and if he waits for the contract to expire, he will not necessarily be willing to accept an offer from the Saudi team, Salah is not the type of player who is easily interested by money or large salaries.
wait a minute, it seems you have misunderstood the SPL purpose in transferring players in large numbers even though I rarely visit this thread but I often read the current rumors.
did you miss the information that the SPL has rumors of stopping large purchases of European players?
SPL has recently been spending large amounts on European players and if this is done in several seasons it will create huge losses if there is no development because expenditure and income are not equal and this is the main reason why these rumors have emerged here.
and it seems you are also wrong in terms of understanding why billionaires invest money in the SPL to buy players and it is not for fun or satisfaction but with the aim of long term investment to make a profit after the SPL gets promotion to a higher competition.
at this point I think you will understand why @Volgastallion said that Ittihad would be better off waiting until Salah contract ends to redeem the player for a not too large amount.
368  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2023/24 Season on: May 01, 2024, 06:41:46 AM
Against Leverkusen on the third of May, I think Roma is definitely going to feel the pressure. Because they also have to care about the Serie A as well. But I guess it is not going to be that much of a problem as it is the semifinals of the Europa League competition, they will have two matches to actually have a good aggregate score. I would definitely be lying if I said that Leverkusen is not the better team going into this match. They are definitely the better opponent and as they also do not have to care about the Bundesliga anymore, I think they can put all their efforts and resources into winning the Europa League now.
the pressure that Roma has to face is different from Leverkusen who have finished the Bundesliga title so they can focus more on the European League matches, while Roma have to stay in Serie A to get a European League ticket in the following season but will also focus on the European League matches and this puts a little pressure to the Roma players to continue to maintain their performance and physical quality.
in this match perhaps most people believe that perhaps Roma can come out ahead with a slightly higher aggregate score later but I believe that Leverkusen can respond with some scores.
considering Xabi strategy which is often used in the Bundesliga and European leagues, it seems difficult for Roma to beat Leverkusen unless it ends in a draw and for me the right betting option is only BTTS.
369  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: April 30, 2024, 08:53:30 AM

While we're getting close to the game between Bayern Munch and Real Madrid it seems there is going to be a piece of bad news for Bayern Munich before this match. Real Madrid is in the good form and they have the first chance to win the game and even to win the Champions League but it seems Bayern MUnich's situation is not good at all because they lost the Bundesliga title. Other than this Matthijs de Ligt the player of Bayern Munich is not in a good situation and he is injured in the game against Frankfurt and this can make Matthijs de Ligt to be absent from this match.



very valuable information bro.
this will make us as bettors and Real Madrid fans a little more confident about how strong Bayern Munich is. If currently there are several players injured, it will definitely greatly affect the strength of their performance in today's match.
meanwhile, Matthijs de Ligt is one of the best defenders that Munich currently has and if he is absent from today's match, it is a sign that Munich defensive strength is getting weaker and Madrid's opportunity to get a higher aggregate score than a win in the first leg could happen.
it looks like after getting this information I have to bet again with a different option. Grin
370  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: April 30, 2024, 08:37:32 AM
-snip

I love "BTTS No" bets but when the odds are closer to 3  Grin
+86% looks good for profit per game, but in my opinion the risk here is comparable. Barcelona players should be encouraged that Xavi remains and there is no doubt that Barcelona will score, the problem is that they have problems with defense and Valencia will also have chances to score. If I honestly would not place such a bet, I would rather bet on Barcelona to win with a handicap of -1 with odds of 2.05. This is a risky bet, but here the profit justifies the risk (there is a small value).
gosh, my prediction wasn't right this time. Cry
yesterday at first I was doubtful after reading your reply with option -1 for Barcelona to win but I tried to be consistent with my prediction but the results were bad.
maybe if you keep betting on the result -1, you will definitely win your bet with higher odds than I have and that is very profitable.
Barcelona looked good in that match but what was on my mind was why was Barcelona still conceding?
since the first minute it started I believed that Barcelona defense would be able to survive without conceding because Barcelona really dominated the match but I was surprised by Hugo Duro who answered the score that had been scored by Fermin and at that moment I had no more hope.
371  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: April 29, 2024, 06:50:55 AM


tomorrow we will start watching the fierce competition between Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid again and in this first leg I am really confident with my bets I try to use bigger to get an advantage in this match even though I hope Real Madrid wins but I believe this first leg match will only ends in a draw or if the result is bad Real Madrid will lose by a narrow score but Ancelotti will use the same strategy as facing Man City to end the match with a draw to enter the penalty round in the second leg.
In the first leg match we saw that Bayern Munich was favored by the bookies and this really made sense because they were favored because they were playing at home.

Real Madrid definitely doesn't want to be left behind by too high an aggregate score with Bayern Munich so Real Madrid will definitely still score and betting on BTTS for me is very convincing even though the odds on Bayern Munich and Real Madrid are very tempting, but I don't want to take that risk.
are you sure that Bayern Munich can win the first leg?

372  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: April 29, 2024, 06:30:05 AM


I'm sure the match between Barcelona vs Valencia will be interesting but still Barcelona will get 3 points.
but the problem is that it is difficult to determine the number of scores that Barcelona will get, which lately has been difficult to predict, as previously Barcelona only scored small scores against weaker teams, but against teams with equal performance they could actually score large amounts and bet on the line, for me it's really risky.
If you bet on Barcelona winning, it looks more guaranteed, but the odds for me look small, only @1.44 and I have a target to get bigger odds like betting on BTTS.
both of these teams previously both failed in the last match without winning, but according to the H2H results, Barcelona is still the favorite in this match.

do you have other predictions?
what do you think about the result of this match, will Barcelona score big or just under 2?
from my predictions Barcelona will only score 1 score and Valencia will not score.
373  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: April 29, 2024, 06:03:52 AM
-snip
The score is still 0-0 at the time of writing, but as you said I am also optimistic about betting on a Man City win, because so far even though there have been no goals scored, Notthingham game cannot dominate the field. So Man City has a chance to get 3 points today. There is still quite a long time and maybe in this first half there could be 1 goal for Man City. Doku and KDB are enough to play their role in opening up more opportunities, but in this match we really need Foden contribution but unfortunately his injury means that the striker position occupied by Alvarez is not as sharp as Foden.
since the first half Man City seemed to dominate the match for me but KDB without Haaland didn't seem too enthusiastic because Haaland usually always contributes with KDB to score and in the first half KDB was also unable to score but KDB was able to make a good contribution to get 1 assist the first score was obtained by Gvardiol.
after Haaland entered in the second half and again KDB provided an assist for Haaland to get 1 additional score, but in my opinion these 2 scores were unsatisfactory because Man City dominated the match but only got 2 scores as if they were not aggressive enough.



-snip

Congratulations on the victory. It was a reasonable bet since the advantage in power is too great and if you bet on a simple victory for City, the odds will be too small. As expected, the game was dominated by City and I would say that the score of 2-0 does not quite reflect their advantage, however, I am sure that at any moment they could improve if the need arose.


yep, from the start of the match it was clear that Man City was dominating the match and the difference in Man City attacks made Nottingham less confident.
as far as I remember betting on Man City winning the odds were between @1.14 or if not @1.2 and that was a very small amount so deciding to bet -1.5 was one of the options that was really equivalent to the risk I was taking.
but luckily I didn't bet on -2.5 because initially I believed Man City would score big but I didn't want to be too greedy to get bigger odds but it was risky because Haaland also didn't appear fully in the match.
374  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: April 28, 2024, 02:59:41 PM


maybe I'm too confident to take the risk of -1.5 but for me this is the most comfortable option.
It's impossible for Man City to waste the rest of this match just for a draw or defeat, but I'm sure that in the rest of this match Man City will beat Notthingham with a big score even without Haaland.
what do you think ? Will Man City waste this opportunity?
375  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: April 28, 2024, 10:18:52 AM


what happened to PSG? is this a surprise?
in H2H history they have never been able to break through PSG defense but in yesterday's match PSG only used second tier players and made it easier for Le Havre to score early and I was worried that in the first half they were behind by 2 scores while PSG were only able to get 1 score.
fortunately, Goncalo Ramos managed to provide 1 additional score to be able to hold the match to a draw so as not to lose points.
and perhaps this was the strategy that Enrique had planned to use Mbappe in the second half to maintain his physical quality so that he was well maintained to compete in the UCL.
so we must always be careful when betting on every PSG match before finishing the UCL match. It seems that PSG results in League 1 are difficult to predict.
376  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: April 28, 2024, 10:02:07 AM
Against Madrid in the semi-finals of course makes Bayern Munich's journey will be quite difficult, because at the moment Madrid are the strongest team competing in the Champions League, but I think Tuchel still has a great chance to win the Champions League this season regardless of their status as underdogs this season, I think in this match will be a match that relies on intelligence in the application of the game strategy of both coaches,  Facing Madrid, of course, Bayern Munich need all their players in top condition and of course Kane will be the hope and differentiator for Munich later in breaking down Madrid's defense.
It won't be that easy and I'm sure Madrid will still qualify for the final round.
that doesn't mean I'm underestimating Bayern Munich, but I'm just stating the reality that it won't be possible to compete just relying on Kane alone, while teamwork is really needed in this UCL competition.
look at how Real Madrid players have worked together very solidly for a long time, even though they failed last season but that was just a wrong strategy , whereas Munich since Kane arrival seems as if other players are just relying on Kane without wanting to contribute to getting a score.
Munich this season is really different from the previous season when Kane had not yet joined Munich, It looked like the cooperation was very good, but after Kane arrived, everyone relied on Kane alone and this is not something that is good to do in the UCL.
377  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Premier League 2023/2024 Discussion Thread ⚽ on: April 28, 2024, 09:17:54 AM
Chelsea is the most unpredictable team ever, they have good players but I still wonder what their problem is, their last match against Aston villa showed that they are still babies and need someone with real team experience to play with them, their defence was so poor in the first halve and it was tho they couldn't hold themselves, I really wonder what is wrong with their coach, always starting Jackson knowing he is the best flop ever, does he even have a plan for Chelsea or  would we still be here for the next season.
Chelsea really needs a coach who is ready to give encouragement to all players to have big goals of achieving a higher ranking and increase their self confidence to continue trying to fight on the field even if they have to play against stronger teams.
Chelsea doesn't have to do too much, just maintain consistency and if there is a coach who is ready to have a big influence on Chelsea future, I'm sure Jackson won't be a bad player.
Jackson actually has very good talent, it's just that currently there isn't the right coach who can provide improvement changes to Chelsea consistency which always changes, sometimes looks strong but surprisingly looks bad.
draw against Aston Villa was a pretty good result for me because I didn't lose even just 1 point, but this is what a popular team like Chelsea needs to continue to get additional points without losing points in every match.
378  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: April 28, 2024, 08:24:20 AM

like my days are very lucky lately.
most of the Las Palmas vs Girona match will never hesitate to bet on Girona winning while Las Palmas is just a really bad team lately with 7 defeats, 1 win and 2 draws from the last 10 matches.
meanwhile, Girona was far superior in that match, even though Las Palmas tried to put up resistance to make things difficult for Girona, the results were still in vain because Las Palmas performance was very bad.

Atletico Madrid vs Bilbao is one of the matches that attracts ATM revenge to beat Bilbao and maintain ATM position.
in the Copa del Rey competition, maybe ATM could be defeated by Bilbao, but this competition is not too important for ATM because previously it had other goals in other, more prestigious competitions and yesterday was a crushing revenge from ATM with 4 satisfactory scores to be able to strengthen ATM position.
Bilbao yesterday could not put up a stronger resistance because in terms of mentality the Bilbao players were no longer confident when under pressure from ATM.
379  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: April 28, 2024, 07:21:18 AM
Inter Milan have secured the title this season in Serie A. Of course they will just enjoy the remaining matches this season without any heavy pressure. They might be competing while testing some new strategy or something. Or maybe some of the second-string players will be played more to give them more experience on the pitch. Because it seems that since the start of the season there have been some of Inter Milan's second tier players who have never played. So in the remaining matches this season maybe their coach will start giving opportunities to the second tier players.
well, in fact, I would be more careful if I didn't have any pressure because I had already inaugurated the Scudetto title and I wanted to test the second tier players. It seemed like it would be very dangerous for bettors who bet on every Inter match because anything could happen, even if it was a loss or a draw, it wouldn't change Inter position at the top of the standings.
here I don't doubt Inter, it's just that as a bettor I will always be careful in making this decision, but I also saw how Torino performance has been lately and the results seem a bit consistent, being able to hold Juventus and Napoli to a draw but also being beaten by Roma.
for me in this match the best option is just betting on Inter winning but the odds are very small and the second option with a slightly bigger risk is on BTTS, because I am sure that Torino will not be able to score in this match.
380  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: April 28, 2024, 07:08:37 AM
Well, many here until now have finally reacted, from the eginning when CR7 was at MU I Said that that coach was very bad, bad in the sense of directing and bad in the personal sense, I don't know if any team would be interested in having him, I wouldn't even hire a coach who never achieved anything in a team like MU, where he never put a legendary player in his position, I really don't know, but apparently the Dutch coaches have disliked the most legendary players, and In this case things are very negative for this type of coach, I am a person who has never liked Ten Hag in my life, if the MU looks for another career and changes the face of the rest. , I think that would be great.


that's why I also said that I wouldn't be happy to see Ten Hag continue to be a coach at Man United because we'll see how Ten Hag always has problems with players since Ronaldo, Sancho and whether Marcus Rashford will be the next player who will have problems with Ten Hag.
I previously heard from the media regarding this problem, but does it make sense that a coach who is very selfish can make a difference to his team's performance?
no, I have to say this because MU future means a lot to the fans since they lost their glory days Man United seemed to have slumped after the arrival of Ten Hag, who was very selfish, always pressured the players to always carry out whatever orders Ten Hag wanted, even though every order and strategy which Man United said could not make any changes.

I don't want to see Ten Hag with Man United again and I hope that this season will be the last time Ten Hag will serve as coach at Man United and I hope MU officials will listen to all of our hopes.
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