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3641  Local / Trading dan Spekulasi / [Untuk Newbie] Alasan Untuk Tidak Trading Uang Pinjam on: October 18, 2021, 04:29:54 PM
Intro
Pasar kripto saat ini cukup asyik, sayangnya untuk kita yang tidak memiliki uang lebih untuk trading, pastinya kita hanya bisa melihat. Tak pelak ada perasaan "Saat yang lain pada cuan, saya hanya melihat doank". Dari perasaan tersebut, kita akan mulai berpikir untuk mencari jalan pintas, misal dengan meminjam uang ke pinjol, minjam uang ke bank dan sebagainya. Bahkan ada yang nekad menjual barang pribadi seperti motor (padahal kendaraan satu-satunya) demi trading. Ada juga yang mempercayakan trading ke orang lain dengan alasan ia adalah orang yang jago (bukan broker, tapi hanya kenalan). Ini merupakan awal yang menyedihkan untuk trading.

Tujuan
Tujuan utama thread ini adalah untuk mengingatkan kembali pemula yang kurang paham analisa teknikal maupun analisa fundamental atau yang belum memiliki uang "free/dingin" yang mungkin berharap ingin segera mendapatkan profit karena melihat kondisi pasar yang sedang bullish namun ia justru mengambil metode alternatif yakni dengan meminjam uang atau mempercayakan trading pada orang lain (terlebih ia menggunakan uang hasil pinjam tersebut, makin berabe). Sudah sangat sering dibahas memang, masalah untuk tidak menggunakan uang hasil pinjam untuk trading di berbagai post, dan disini saya ingin membuat thread agar lebih mudah untuk ditemukan. Intinya, thread ini adalah untuk pemula yang sangat minim pengalaman.

note:
Uang free/dingin adalah uang yang memang tidak ada alokasinya untuk Anda gunakan dalam jangka panjang dan Anda siap untuk kehilangan nilai uang tersebut untuk jangka panjang saat pasar sedang bearish sampai Anda bisa take profit.


Topik



Alasan Untuk Tidak Menggunakan Uang Hasil Pinjam (Bank, Pinjol, Teman dsb) Untuk Trading

1. Harga kripto yang sangat fluktuatif
Alasan pertama adalah, harga kripto sangat fluktuatif dan terkadang di luar nalar (naik dan turunnya). Jika Anda melihat bullish hari ini, belum tentu besok, dan seterusnya. Ketika Anda melakukan entry, dan ternyata Anda beli token saat sudah berada di pucuk, atau koin tersebut sedang masuk fase bearish, maka Anda mungkin tidak akan mendapatkan profit. Hal ini akan meningkatkan psikologi negatif karena Anda menggunakan uang hasil pinjam dan tidak profit, maka akan semakin mengacaukan manajemen trading Anda.

2. Pikirkan masalah bunga
Jika Anda pinjam ke Bank atau Pinjol, Anda sudah pasti akan dikenakan bunga. Ibaratnya pinjam 6.000.000 di bayar cicil 3x, dan Anda setidaknya kena bunga 1-1.5 juta misalnya, tentunya Anda diharuskan membayar lebih. Jika selama 3 bulan kondisi bearish berlanjut, dan Anda masih minim kemampuan trading (TA/Fundamental/Charting), maka kemungkinan Anda mengalami kerugian 2x, rugi karena market bearish dan Anda tidak dapat menutupinya, dan yang kedua, Anda rugi karena harus membayar bunga.

3. Debt collector & privasi
Yang tidak kalah mengerikan adalah, ketika Anda gagal mendapatkan profit karena pasar yang tiba-tiba bearish dan Anda masih belum bisa menganalisa dengan baik, kerugian tidak bisa ditutupin, masalah yang muncul adalah masalah debt collector. Iya kalau mereka hanya bertemu dengan Anda tatap muka saja. Yang paling mengerikan adalah pinjam di pinjol. bayangkan jika Anda meminjam di pinjol, Anda telat bayar utang kemudian seluruh kontak Anda mendapatkan broadcast bahwa Anda nunggak hutang, bukankah ini akan membuat Anda dan keluarga malu? Pinjam ke teman pun demikian, sekali Anda nunggak, satu kampung akan tahu bahwa Anda memiliki hutang ke teman Anda (memang tak semuanya teman seperti ini, bagaimana jika orang yang memberi pinjaman kepada Anda ternyata seperti ini)?

4. Masalah Psikologi
Sama halnya ketika Anda menjual rumah untuk membeli bitcoin, kemudian harga bitcoin anjlok, Anda rugi besar dan yang menyedihkan tentunya Anda tidak lagi memiliki rumah. Sama halnya ketika Anda meminjam uang di bank, di teman, dan Anda masih belum bisa menutupi kerugian karena bearish, ini dapat mengganggu psikologi Anda. Iya kalau pinjamannya cuma 1- 2 juta, kalau sampai puluhan juta dan tidak dapat menutupi kerugian karena tidak bisa analisa dengan baik, bagaimana cara Anda tidak stress ketika melihat dari modal pinjaman anggaplah 20 juta, hanya menyisakan 5 juta. Mau bayar dari mana, Anda pun tidak memiliki aset bernilai lebih dari 15 juta.


Kesimpulan

Itulah alasan mengapa Anda tidak dianjurkan untuk melakukan trading dengan menggunakan uang hasil pinjam. Jika Anda melihat market bullish, dan tidak ada modal uang free, biarkan saja bullish ini tidak dinikmati. Mungkin ini bukan rejeki Anda ikut berparty di masa bullish. Bukan berarti Anda tidak bisa merasakan profit di masa depan. Rencanakan mulai dari sekarang, akan jauh lebih baik daripada bertindak sekarang tapi menggunakan metode nekat.
3642  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: I'm sure altcoins will pump if we hold long on: October 18, 2021, 02:53:49 AM
sincerely i hope people don't make wrong choices by putting their precious money into altcoins scam just because of high profit greed, not all altcoins will increase in price because there are many new altcoins that are attracting more investor attention, i hope people realize this

You're right, not all coins will go up even if we've hold them for a few years. If they fail in development, the community will slowly leave the project thus making the tokens/coins that we store have no value. In fact, even if the project lives for a long time, it is not necessarily if we buy it at ATH at this time, in the next 5 years we save, we will get a profit. it is not true that hold will automatically get rich in the future. What matters is not how long we hold, but how well we research the project, adoption and community, maybe with these 3 things we can find coins that are worth holding on to.

It will be different if we talk about hold coins/tokens which already have adoption and use cases, maybe hold statement and we will get rich, there is some truth. but back to risk management.
3643  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: October 18, 2021, 02:16:36 AM
Four consecutive wins for juventus after the bad start of the season is really impressive seems like alegri  work is paying off but they are still too far away from napoli and milan and with both these two teams performance juve chances are really thin as for roma i think they did an acceptable work so far considering their current squad many young players plus the weak defense they have caused them many problems.

there are still many matches left, for sure Juventus can still return to the top 3 or even become champions. Their focus is how to maximize players without having to depend on 1 or 2 players only. Without Ronaldo, it seemed like Juventus struggled in the first few games because they needed adaptation and also because their main players were injured or someone was called up to the national team. Now that they are on a good track, they will soon be back as one of the candidates for the Serie A title this season
3644  Local / Trading dan Spekulasi / Re: [DISKUSI] Harga Bitcoin on: October 15, 2021, 01:32:40 PM
59K sudah berhasil dilewati oleh BTC, perjalanan menuju 75K sepertinya akan lebih cepat jika. Ini merupakan area resisten terakhir sebelum menyamai ATH pada bulan april lalu, mungkin kalau sentimen pasar semakin meningkat, maka hari ini pun sudah bisa mencapai ATH April di 64K. Yang paling mengejutkan adalah pasar altcoin sih, dalam beberapa hari terakhir ada saja yang naik hingga 100%+
menurut saya hanya menunggu BTC mengalami hal serupa dalam waktu dekat ini, meskipun tidak sampai naik 100%, maksud saya akan terjadi pump serupa.
3645  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Don't trade using instinct on: October 15, 2021, 01:24:58 PM
You have to visit several websites that are focused in listing new and aspiring projects. To give you an example, let's start with the popular one like coinmarketcap. The links below are good start.

https://coinmarketcap.com/new/

https://coinmarketcap.com/ico-calendar/

I've used this method, I'm trying to find new coins/tokens listed on CMC, Coingecko and so on. However, listing on this website does not guarantee the future of these coins. Some only last a month, then scam.

Then, I've also noticed the method my friend uses, by using a new live pair on Dextools, but most projects also end up rugpulled within a hour or less and some of them are fake smart contract.  Cheesy

well, this is not good start i think
3646  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Swap USDT from ERC20 to BEP20 on: October 15, 2021, 01:11:52 PM
You already got the answer from poodle63, if you don't want to use bridge, only exchange can help you to have USDT BEP20 version. It's just that, first make sure the exchange you choose already supports the network. AFAIK, if you are Binance users, binance charges only 1 USDT for USDT-BEP20 withdrawals.
3647  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: October 15, 2021, 06:23:59 AM
Maignan's injury surgery went well. however, the bad news is, Maignan is expected to be out until the end of this year. Maignan is a pretty strong goalkeeper, I can even say that Maignan's performance is better than Donnarumma. he managed to make saves from the attacks of opposing players many times, which so far has made AC Milan look impressive. The absence of Maignan is certainly an advantage for Verona. Hopefully AC Milan still can get 3 points.
3648  Local / Bahasa Indonesia (Indonesian) / Re: Platform Exchanges Di Indonesia on: October 14, 2021, 05:02:54 PM
Member baru, Torbalin menayakan mengenai fee exchange, pada thread ini, sudah saya report ke mod agar tidak terjadi duplikasi/relevansi topik.

Saya kerja freelancer dan kini berencana mau withdraw pakai crypto, khususnya LTC. Setelah baca baca sebentar, Indodax punya withdrawal fee ke bank lokal sebesar 20rb. Boleh minta tolong rekomendasi crypto exchange lain yg mungkin punya fee yg lebih rendah?

Jadi, pertanyaan ini akan saya bantu jawab, untuk saat ini, proses withdraw yang murah yang saya ketahui adalah tokocrypto, karena biaya penarikan untuk jumlah kecil hanya dibutuhkan biaya Rp4.500. Sama seperti Indodax, Anda harus lolos verifikasi terlebih dahulu. cara verifikasinya sudah disebutkan oleh Rengga Jati di atas.



Edit:
Terima kasih koreksinya untuk biaya withdraw tokocrypto memang seharusnya 5.500. ada kesalahan info dari saya
3649  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Cryptocurrency Investment Advice? on: October 14, 2021, 04:27:03 PM
-snip-
There are also NFTs coins that show a quite promising profit over time too.

I don't think it's appropriate to suggest that a newbie goes straight into NFT, because NFT is something new that may still lack a method to research what kind of NFT he should buy in order to have value in the future.



For OP, the altcoin suggestions given are quite good, they have a large market and a fairly strong community, except for AXS which is still relatively new, but the adoption of AXS games is already quite popular, it should be an alternative for your colleagues. However, always remind him, about risk management of his investments, if he already have experience in trading, maybe you don't need to do this.
3650  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Future of crypto exchanges on: October 14, 2021, 02:09:13 PM

But not all are afraid of the KCY verification and they are willing to submit their file and documents just to pass their KYC verification.
When we're talking about the volume which we know decentralized exchanges have a poor on it because many people are using the centralized one due to their feature that you can all support.

I like this idea if many traders will transfer to DEXs since CEXs are most regulated by now and we can see, bye-bye centralized exchange platform.

Indeed, the KYC issue cannot be underestimated, 1miau made a thread about the dangers of KYC. however, if we want to use dex, the problem is, difficult for us to withdraw fiat money. If we are seeing good bye to CEX. I don't know how it is in your country, but here, there are very few reliable P2P services crypto to fiat. But, on the other hand, using KYC on a state-operated CEX, the only solution for Fiat, may be that we need to do KYC for exchanges that are already government-licensed. although back on there is no guarantee of the security of our data.
3651  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: October 14, 2021, 01:41:47 PM

Milan - Verona 1,56 - 4,50 - 5,60


Verona may be a team that is under AC Milan, but this team that often surprises AC Milan, from the last 3 matches Verona managed to draw AC Milan, and lost once with a score of 0 - 2. Verona also managed to beat AS Roma, and have never lost in a Serie-A match since that match. Maybe, AC Milan will be a little difficult to beat Verona.
3652  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2021/2022 on: October 14, 2021, 01:13:12 PM
It will be shocking to see Man-united lose that match.All the sites are predicting that they win,but I have not really seen what can make them win Leicester,Even if Leicester is in a poor form,when they meet with big teams they show they are strong enough to challenge them.

Only Ronaldo cannot make Man-u come out winning that match,I know they will be expecting to win,but I don't see that coming.

If MU players are too dependent on a Ronaldo, of course it is difficult for MU. However, in terms of players quality, I think MU is still better than Leicester, I bet a draw, because I think Leicester's position in the middle will makes motivation of the players better, especially against teams that are in the top 5 standings, Leicester certainly want to prove that they are not a weak team, and they are able to can get even 1 point.
3653  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2021/2022 on: October 13, 2021, 06:32:54 PM
Leicester have to work hard against Manchester. They didn't look like last season, there have been a lot of weaknesses in the last few games. The hectic schedule makes Leicester feel like they are experiencing fatigue, thus making players less able to play optimally. Even though leicester are not at their best, I will bet on a draw results, because they will also be more focused on chasing points so they can get back into the top 5 soon. It's a bit difficult, almost all betting platforms predict MU. Because they have Ronaldo, it will probably win easily.
3654  Local / Trading dan Spekulasi / Re: [DISKUSI] Harga Altcoins - XRP, BCH, LTC, EOS, dll on: October 13, 2021, 05:08:06 PM
Sentimen market Altcoin hari ini cukup mengesankan, ini SFP memberikan kejutan dengan kenaikan 129% (saat post ini dibuat), TKO juga mengalami sedikit pump, apakah mungkin altseason terlebih dahulu terjadi sebelum BTC melanjutkan perjalanannya untuk mencapai 100K dalam waktu dekat ini. Untuk SFP saya tidak menemukan berita fundamental yang kuat untuk membawa SFP naik segitu, tetapi memang kripto seperti ini.
3655  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: price of CAKE $50 realistic? on: October 13, 2021, 04:54:27 PM
I think that it is quite realistic considering the current big run in the market. The ATH level of CAKE is $44 which happened five months ago. Now the price is $20. I see this as a good opportunity to buy considering that. But always keep in mind one thing also that none of the cryptocurrencies in the market can guarantee you any profit. So, it is your choice in the end.

Apart from ATH which once touched $40, the Cake team has strong fundamentals by regularly burning Cake. Although burning has no effect at the moment, the lower the supply and the more DEX it uses, the more likely Cake will hit a new ATH at $50 in the future. however, to reach that price for now Cake is still not strong enough. unless there is a strong bullish trend as well. If the BTC trend is valid bullish, then it could be the end of this year $50 becomes the new ATH cake.
3656  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: October 13, 2021, 03:14:36 PM
Recently Messi moved from Barcelona to PSG and he received PSG fan tokens as part of his transfer and his contract with PSG
Messi joins crypto craze as gets part of PSG fee in fan tokens. If you are worrying about use case of fan tokens, that transfer is one of example and in my opinion, more use cases will be added for fan tokens

Yes, i know about this, i mean, If used for the benefit of the club, of course this fan token still provides something for the club, such as PSG. As for other fan tokens, it still can't be like this. If all fan tokens can support like PSG to pay player salaries that the club cannot fully pay, of course this business will be quite interesting, at least if there is a use case to support the club.
3657  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: October 13, 2021, 11:35:10 AM
Any Lazio fan here? Now you can support your beloved football club by participating in Binance launchpad and grab some Lazio Fan Tokens.

All you have to do is to have BNB coins, hold it till October 21, hit "Subscription" button and get LAZIO tokens.

More info @ https://launchpad.binance.com/en/subscription/LAZIO_BNB

I haven't seen any use cases for fan tokens like Milan tokens, Juve and so on that support the clubslike PSG did. Have fan tokens in Italy already provided support for the team or are they just regular tokens that cannot provide financial assistance for the club?

Or am I the one who doesn't understand if it's been used?  Grin
3658  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin trades at $56,000 as daily settlement value hits $31 billion on: October 12, 2021, 04:58:18 PM
I think that there has been a trend over the last couple of years, where at the end of each year and with the finial three months, the prices of cryptocurrency in general surge and go up like crazy, i don't know why this happens or is there is something related to it but either way, the fast price increase is always brining in more people to invest why is by itself is driving the price even further, at this rate and under to right condition we will see the 100k by the end of the year or at least at the start of 2022.

Indeed, in recent years, this pattern often occurs. I myself have been following the BTC price trend since 2016 and noticed that there is a similar pattern between this year and 2017. This is certainly one of the important knowledge for me or even for new traders, because it will be easier to try to follow the pattern even though it is not 100% the same. Traders may find it easier to take profits at the end of the year or early January.
3659  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: October 12, 2021, 04:15:30 PM
Good news for Juventus, Dybala is reported to have a fairly positive recovery period. Dybala might be available against AS Roma. still waiting for the official line up. As for Moratta, he may recover at the end of the month or early next month. So it is certain to be absent against Roma. If Dybala is played, of course this will give Allegri little option to be able to perform better against Roma.
3660  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: Is Shiba Inu Coin a better investment than Dogecoin? on: October 12, 2021, 03:28:54 PM
You are rightly aware of Shiba Inu and everyone knows that Shiba Inu will not be a place with a scientific route and service, it's just a place that is unreasonable in terms of buying and selling prices but almost everyone is secretly delighted with these results. Because irrationality increases the likelihood of what you can get, most recently noted for its value, blind believers laugh more than our shyness, but it is not possible to rate it higher than dogecoin at the moment, dogecoin has many such moments while Shiba Inu are only the most recent images, has not shown a deeper angle than dogecoin

We don't know if Shiba Inu (or another Inu related tokens), will forever be meme tokens or they will develop a project for their use case. If at some point they turn into more than just memes, then of course these tokens are very worthy of being used as long-term investments, not just considered as gambling.
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