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3721  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sportsbet.io Betting discussion thread rev on: June 21, 2021, 06:17:14 PM
[any other promo close to winning?

We still need a team to score atleast 5 goals for the over 4.5 goals special bet.

I am also hoping that Netherlands group will manage to get us to 21 or more goals scored in any group. This is the only one where we had a chance of hitting. We were short 7 goals when games started and now it is just 5.

There goes one of our special bet. We are left with a slim chance from Group F that currently have 12 goals, 9 goals for two matches feels kinda impossible but atleast we are getting our money back even if we ended up losing it. At this rate, I think most of the money back promotion bet will end up giving our bets back lol
3722  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA EURO 2020 Discussion Thread | Current Phase: Finals in June 2021! on: June 21, 2021, 01:44:39 PM
Yes Netherland is in a safe position and maybe they will play it safe too today I mean not being too aggressive to avoid injury or even card accumulation

Netherlands are most likely going to change most of the starting lineup for this match so I'd expect most of those players to play aggresive. Some players might think that this is likely going to be a good chance to show some of their potential or else they will probably be benched most of the time so yeah it could be a potential match with lots of goals

I got a high expectation for this, Group C needs a total of 7 more goals for my special bets to hit and if possible I'd like to see Netherlands score 5 goals in this match lol. I'll be happy if both of the special bets hit
3723  Economy / Economics / Re: Stock-to-Flow Model: Modeling Bitcoin's Value with Scarcity on: June 20, 2021, 11:49:00 PM
Those prices look weird to me: where they come from? he also predicted a small dip in August, due to worsening of "fundamental conditions".
I'd like to know more.

Im quite confused of what he meant with " weakness" in June and July but well some people ( tradingview ) are saying that we are going down in July probably below 30k. On top of that , he seems pretty confident with that tweet. He used the word 'my worst case scenario' instead of best case scenario so that show that he is confident with the price will not go anything lower than $47k on August , thats sick though.

So what would happen if somehow this S2F model breaks and we are not heading to anything higher than lets say, 50k this year or probably next year? Alot people seems to trust this S2F model alot though
3724  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Esports Prediction & Discussion Thread on: June 20, 2021, 10:27:49 PM
I don't know if it's just me or is the odds on T1 seems generous given that Alliance had the easy route facing familiar teams in their region. With that i'm locking my bet on T1 @1.82 hopefully they get the edge here and have another go with VP.

T1 won the ESL One Summer 2021 with 3-2 as the final score. It was an interesting match and on top of that, its always good to have all 5 map played for the Grand Final.

OG was decent with their new lineup with Sumail as their carry, getting 4th was decent. Imo their lineup with Ana was way better but yeah they need to make use of what they currently have



So yeah, we've almost come to the end. There isnt going to be much for Dota betting for next month unless you guys are into those TI Regional qualifier. I'd rather save up some balance for TI betting. Going all the way with Nigma outright in case if they win the qualifier (If they dont then Im going with PSG.LGD lol)
3725  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA EURO 2020 Discussion Thread | Current Phase: Finals in June 2021! on: June 20, 2021, 08:11:53 PM
But another disappointing tournament for Turkey. Now I'm lazy to search for quote, but I said that they won't get out from group.

Considering how good they were in the qualification matches, alot of people expected Turkey to atleast get through the group stage. Even if Turkey cant win against Italy, people were expecting them to win against Wales and Switzerland so they would get some points to take the 2nd spot but nah they were destroyed by those three teams

Italy will also probably have an easy 1/8 of the final versus the second of group C.

So its either going to be Ukraine or Austria .
3726  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sportsbet.io "Soccer Blackjack" @ 21.00 odds on: June 20, 2021, 06:06:26 PM

Full time result :

Goals : 1
Cards : 4
Corners : 8

Total points : 13 and its a push (again). Im glad that this one didnt hit 21 because I missed this but its great that we had Italy vs Wales instead of Switzerland vs Turkey, its a bust for this one

yeah i'd be surprised if this one hits double digits today  Cheesy

Double digits and Italy hit a yellow card !
3727  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA EURO 2020 Discussion Thread | Current Phase: Finals in June 2021! on: June 19, 2021, 11:07:45 PM
Spain is one team that have got all it takes to actually have this competition in the bag but somehow, they always gets to make things look bad.

Its kinda an overestimation imo. Spain is a great team and have what it takes to atleast get through to the group stage easily especially when they are the only power house team in Group E. They are great but it will takes an extra effort to win the Euro, France, Italy, Netherlands and probably Belgiumare still one of the favourites to win the Euro right now imo

Even if somehow, they will manage to qualify ( I still have doubts they can beat Slovakia )

Imagine if the worst case scenario happens Grin . The worst case scenario would be, Spain fails to get 3 points from Slovakia and Poland wins against Sweden. That would put the points into 4-4-4-3 lol
3728  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA EURO 2020 Discussion Thread | Current Phase: Finals in June 2021! on: June 19, 2021, 09:04:03 PM
Why couldn't they score one more goal so at least our over 4.5 goals scored promo would be a winning one.

Yeah was hoping that they scored another goal again but atleast with 6 goals on that match, it is decent for the 120 goals special bet

Its funny that so many goals scored by him ruled out by VAR for offside

Lol, iirc he had alot of his goals ruled out by VAR in Juventus as well but atleast that one got through Tongue



So Spain had 2 draws in a row and its not looking good for them right now. The last match would be against Slovakia and Spain need to win if they want to qualify for the next round through the top 2 of the group stage. Thats pretty rough for Spain considering that they are the group's favourite but it seems that it is not the case
3729  Economy / Gambling / Re: Duelbits.com | Instant BTC,ETH & LTC withdraws | $100k+/week contest | VIP | on: June 19, 2021, 06:07:10 PM
Did Relax Gaming did just changed their minimum bet to $0.2? Just noticed it since I'll be trying to join to the bonus bonanza contest here. Quite sad to that they changed it.  

If I remember it correctly, the min bet on Relax Gaming is changed from 0.1 to 0.2 since few months back. (I noticed it on other site though).
I'm not sure if it is the decision from the casino or from the providers but there are still some casinos with the 0.1 min bet.

Most likely came from the casino, if some other casino still has it at $0.1 min bet. Its still a reasonable increase though because most top slot providers have $0.2 as their min bet right now



This is Money Train 2 from another site, it still has $0.1 as the min bet

Do you guys know slots that has cheaper bonus buys? preferable $10 to $15.
Thanks Smiley

TNT Tumble from Relax Gaming? This one has $14 bonus buy even at $0.2 min bet but it is kinda sucks. If you have $15 budget for a single bonus buy , you might want to add another $5 to be able to purchase that $20 bonus buy ?
3730  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sportsbet.io Betting discussion thread rev on: June 18, 2021, 10:46:03 PM
Group C had 9 goals in round one, but only 5 in round two, making it very difficult for 21 or more goals special, idk maybe the Netherlands can score 5 against North Macedonia but they are likely to rotate and give rest to their starters since they can't lose the 1st place in their group. Aahhh...

Its still possible though ( probably around 30-35 % chance ), I mean North Macedonia is pretty bad so getting 3 goal from this match is pretty plausible. It could be 2-1 for Netherlands even if they decided to rotate the whole starting lineup, North Macedonia has never fail to score in their last 2 games.

Now that leaves 4 goals for Ukraine vs Austria, both team wants win to qualify for the next round so expect alot of goals from this one  Grin

[1]

Over 120 Goals To Be Scored At Euro 2020
Target pace: 2.38
Current pace: 2.14 (match 21 completed)


There were 51 matches for 2016 and that one had 108 goals. On average we should be getting around this number of goals unless some teams goes totally nuts and score like over 4 goals in one match lol. Anyway I'll be happy in case the 21 goals special for group stage hit

P.S : thanks for keeping track on the average goals
3731  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sportsbet.io "Soccer Blackjack" @ 21.00 odds on: June 18, 2021, 08:56:28 PM
^ Yeah actually it doesn't always appear for me either in the specials tab, but I always check the Offers tab in Club Talk, click the link of the offer (including BJ) and then it takes me to the betslip where I just follow. But def helps to track this thread and get an alert as soon as someone discovers it's up.

Ahh I thought there was something wrong on my. I think this happened because I tend to click on the special bets tab several times to check the BJ bet, normally it wont happen if I dont check it regularly

Oh and we're another step closer to yellow cards hit. Didn't watch any of today's matches but...

You might want to scrap Scotland from that list now. They got yellow cards against England


Full Time result :

Goal : 0
Cards : 2
Corners : 11

Total points : 13 and a push for today. No goal at all but I thought the number of corners + cards might make it but nope, BJ is not happening tonight
3732  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sportsbet.io "Soccer Blackjack" @ 21.00 odds on: June 18, 2021, 05:24:33 PM
Any idea why is it not appearing on my sportsbet special tab?



I think this had happened to me like 3 or 4 times already but yeah it's once in a while and not really a nuisance because I was able to bet through the link that you guys provided but its kinda weird sometimes

I read online that this is the oldest rivalry in football

We should have a good chance of hitting 21 because these type of games (two big rivals with a lot of history) usually bring a really competitive, aggressive match, could be a lot of cards.

So it is higher chance to hit 21 and bust at the same time huh but yeah its about time we hit that BJ, we are currently on 43rd streak after the last BJ hit
3733  Economy / Economics / Re: George Soros and Bezos have paid almost zero taxes on: June 17, 2021, 10:57:04 PM
may sound like your typical conspiracy theory but considering how these people can get away with just about anything due to their money and influence, it wouldn't be too far stretched to believe that some if not all, are the ones who sponsored politicians behind the scenes and put them in place so that these billionaires can control them at will.

It does sounds like a silly conspiracy theory. These people are not getting away with it , in fact they are giving more to the society. Look, the fact that they employed alot of people and keep on expanding their business to employ alot more actually benefit the country alot more compare with giving raw cash in form of taxes. It will takes years for the government to use that money to build some company that would benefit people by employing them.

Everybody should do their fair share for the country and these guys literally have done theirs which is why the country favours them by giving them better treatment.
3734  Economy / Gambling / Re: ✨ JacksClub.io ✨ Daily Contest with Amazing Prices | VIP Rewards | Free Faucet on: June 17, 2021, 09:16:21 PM
Though Jacksclub is more than one year old casino but they haven't gained much popularity till now. While some other casino gained good popularity within a short time. Currently slots is the most popular game in crypto gambling industry. Jacksclub might get good number of active player if they add 3rd party slots game

Yeah, the market share for crypto gambling has been dominated by sites that provide all those slots ( Even Stake decided to include it in their site ). Provably fair game was once the holy grail for crypto gambling but things have changed alot. Jacksclub merely launched a little bit late , if they launched the site in 2018/2019 then they would have gotten a fair amount of the market share

Aside from Stake and Jacksclub, I havent seen another site that is so dedicated in making all those provably fair games recently
3735  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA EURO 2020 Discussion Thread | Current Phase: Finals in June 2021! on: June 17, 2021, 05:00:28 PM
Belgium should win against Denmark today easily,with Eriksen missing it will be a lot easier for them.But still i dont think Denmark will give up so early.

It turns out that early goal from Denmark will make the game a little bit interesting that what I'd expect. I hate to say this but the first half shows that Denmark is better than Belgium and if they could keep this up or atleast defend through another 45 minutes then Denmark might snatch 3 points from Group B's heavy favourites

Ukraine was a gift today from the sportsbooks such a big odd i dont know why.2:0 already and Ukraine should probobly score another 1 or 2 goals

Even better, I took Ukraine to win and both team to score from Sportsbet's special. It was 4.1 and its so much better than just ML
3736  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA EURO 2020 Discussion Thread | Current Phase: Finals in June 2021! on: June 16, 2021, 11:13:31 PM
And Turkey lost in the end! I expected some surprises! For me two surprises already, Russia and Wales! Crazy how things turn in the end!

Well most people are expecting alot from Turkey because of their extraordinary results in the world cup and euro qualification matches but it seems they are pretty much done unless they win against Switzerland in the next round but even if they win, there is no guarantee that they might get to the next stage because only top 4 out of 6 3rd placed team will advance

After losing two matches in a row and not scoring a single goal at all, I personally think they are done.

I'm really surprised by some things like:
-snip
These are things I didn't expect

Its not really surprising at all because this is not the end result for the group stage as there will be 3 rounds for each of the groups.
3737  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sportsbet.io "Soccer Blackjack" @ 21.00 odds on: June 16, 2021, 08:54:58 PM
Because the Wales game also going quite slow.

Glad that we got Italy vs Switzerland for the BJ special, We would have got another bust if it was Turkey vs Wales. There are tons of corners in this match

Full time result :

Goals : 3
Cards : 2
Corners : 5

Total points : 10 and another push today. This is the longest push / bust streak that we've had after the last BJ, 42 streak right after this game. I can smell that BJ coming soon lol
3738  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sportsbet.io Betting discussion thread rev on: June 16, 2021, 07:53:30 PM
I would like to see both those teams make it far in their groups but I took two different specials:
Portugal to win the Euros @14.00x and France to win Euros

So which was your first selection? the first selection for the outright bets will give 0.25 mbtc free bet everytime the respective team wins their game ( if you have atleast 1 mbtc stake ). I took France for my outright bets but lost my first 0.25 mbtc free bet because of Wales lol, decided to bet on draw for the halftime as I thought that its going to be pretty even between Turkey and Wales

It was the big berta special they had right before the tournament started at 300.00x odds

But France/Brazil/Djoker/Barty for 300/1 was too good to pass. Judging on the form of 3 of those 4, I should be feeling pleased. But let's not invite for KO disaster to happen haha;)
There is a lot of us on that bet and I don't like that. Too much money in the mix and then something always goes wrong. Hopefully this time we will all cash in big bucks

Damn I missed this 300x special bets
3739  Economy / Gambling / Re: ✅ SwC Poker ♣️ BITCOIN POKER ♣️ Hold'em✅ PLO✅ Mixed✅ MTT✅ ♣️ BBJ🌟 ♣️ BIG BTC🏆 on: June 16, 2021, 02:15:28 PM
I know there were some funny tournaments from SWC and Bitcointalk. Is something like this planned? I doesnt have to be a season over several weeks, maybe just a single tournament with as many players from Bitcintalk as possible. I would love to see this.

'Funny tournaments' ?

We used to hold few bitcointalk poker series back in the day and it was a planned series with 8 rounds and 1 Grand Final for top 9. Nowadays we dont have that anymore, the last decent tournament was on 24th April and 9th May with more than 15 participants and it was organized by BTCGOSU @efialtis.

There was another one two weeks after that but there were only 4 participants. Most people seems to be lacking the motivation to play as time goes so yeah we probably wont have any exclusive bitcointalk poker for a while
3740  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Esports Prediction & Discussion Thread on: June 15, 2021, 11:34:01 PM
but I think Jerax and Ana already don't have any passion to play Dota 2 anymore

Probably they choose not to play in the competitive scene anymore but its hard to believe that they wont play Dota anymore. It was expected especially if you won TI back to back, thats literally the highest achievement that you can get from Dota 2 competitive scene and its always good to stop while you are still on top.

Hopefully they make it work this time since I enjoyed watching Sumail play with Team Liquid.  Cheesy

I guess we shall see, the first game for the ESL One Summer 2021 tomorrow is OG vs AS Monaco Gambit. I personally think that Sumail didnt fit in with Team Liquid in The Animajor but it could be a different story with OG.
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