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3721  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: November 11, 2014, 08:04:23 PM
http://uk.businessinsider.com/raoul-pal-on-bitcoin-2014-11?r=US

this guy can see it coming. interesting insight on the oncoming loss of confidence in fiat money
3722  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: November 11, 2014, 06:03:45 PM
Financial incentive:  Exactly!  We can't determine the financial incentive without knowing what the company does.  In other words, the financial incentive is going to be getting paid for whatever real value that company delivers, not due to appreciation or speculation of some app-coin token.  

Trivial example: you could create a document registration company.  Company creates a registrar sidechain with some modifications to add document registration data fields and retention time.  To use it every transaction has to transfer .0001 scBTC to the company, per year retained.  And as a bonus no BTC dev is whining about BTC blockchain spam.  Company makes additional $ with related services like testifying in court.  Sounds like not much money?  But e-bank statements have always been bullsh*t.  "Click here" to see the bank statement today, click tomorrow and you may see something completely different because the company's web server serves the statement.  Every e-statement worldwide should move to a blockchain based validation system.  Those .0001 BTCs would add up pretty quickly.  But if on the Bitcoin blockchain it would seriously hamper Bitcoin scalability -- note my registrar sidechain has a retention time -- old blocks can be forgotten.

It is quite obvious what the company does. I know I'm parrotting this notion but they're quite obviously the Redhat of Bitcoin

but Linux is an OS.

the question is, does Bitcoin as Money need, require, or want a Redhat of Bitcoin?

Of course, Bitcoin is a protocol for decentralization of value transfer. Blockstream, with sidechains, can build decentralized applications and processes on top of the protocol.
3723  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: November 11, 2014, 05:18:38 PM
Financial incentive:  Exactly!  We can't determine the financial incentive without knowing what the company does.  In other words, the financial incentive is going to be getting paid for whatever real value that company delivers, not due to appreciation or speculation of some app-coin token.  

Trivial example: you could create a document registration company.  Company creates a registrar sidechain with some modifications to add document registration data fields and retention time.  To use it every transaction has to transfer .0001 scBTC to the company, per year retained.  And as a bonus no BTC dev is whining about BTC blockchain spam.  Company makes additional $ with related services like testifying in court.  Sounds like not much money?  But e-bank statements have always been bullsh*t.  "Click here" to see the bank statement today, click tomorrow and you may see something completely different because the company's web server serves the statement.  Every e-statement worldwide should move to a blockchain based validation system.  Those .0001 BTCs would add up pretty quickly.  But if on the Bitcoin blockchain it would seriously hamper Bitcoin scalability -- note my registrar sidechain has a retention time -- old blocks can be forgotten.

It is quite obvious what the company does. I know I'm parrotting this notion but they're quite obviously the Redhat of Bitcoin
3724  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: November 11, 2014, 05:13:22 PM
you may be right.  i had a little trouble ascertaining the article's true message while in a rush.

i think it was this part: "it this does not have to be the case forever."  and this part which i said above:

he then doesn't even mention how tx fees can make up for lost blockchain security incentives after a block halving which is a disingenuous and incomplete discussion.  a mention that tx fees "need and can" increase to compensate for decreasing block reward would have been totally appropriate and complete.

when someone makes an error of omission that is so basic like he did, i immediately become suspicious.  he should know better.

I think this last part you're referring is simply a caution that Bitcoin, although doubtful, might not necessarily be #1 forever.

I do agree that the mention of transition to "tx-fee" incentive should have been included, but I don't think it was avoided in any disingenuous way.

but he's a CS from Oxford.  here's what he said which is flat out erroneous and incomplete.  maybe he didn't mean it but still:

In Bitcoin, a miner that earns the right to publish a block on the main chain is currently paid 25 BTC (~$8500 at current prices). This provides adequate incentives to have highly specialised hardware running in datacentres across the world. If the reward halved, as it is set to do in 2016, the incentive to provide these proofs would halve and we could likely see a scenario where the proofs would now be far less reliable (partly due to the excess hardware that could be bought on the cheap). In other words without a high token value on a blockchain there is little security or integrity of the data contained within.

i don't want to argue on this as we have plenty of other things to argue about going forward re: SC's.  this is the last i'll say on this.  Grin

Erroneous no. Incomplete, yes indeed.
3725  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: November 11, 2014, 04:58:58 PM
you may be right.  i had a little trouble ascertaining the article's true message while in a rush.

i think it was this part: "it this does not have to be the case forever."  and this part which i said above:

he then doesn't even mention how tx fees can make up for lost blockchain security incentives after a block halving which is a disingenuous and incomplete discussion.  a mention that tx fees "need and can" increase to compensate for decreasing block reward would have been totally appropriate and complete.

when someone makes an error of omission that is so basic like he did, i immediately become suspicious.  he should know better.

I think this last part you're referring is simply a caution that Bitcoin, although doubtful, might not necessarily be #1 forever.

I do agree that the mention of transition to "tx-fee" incentive should have been included, but I don't think it was avoided in any disingenuous way.
3726  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: November 11, 2014, 04:38:04 PM
i hate articles like these, esp from guys like J Levin who i think is generally respected in the community b/c of his Oxford CS training and Coinometrics.  i however have not been impressed with his previous thinking as he is one of the geeks who doesn't fully get Bitcoin:

https://medium.com/@jony_levin/i-love-the-blockchain-just-not-bitcoin-354c511ad3e5

same reason, same hate from me:  he implies that the Bitcoin currency unit can be changed or that it can somehow be replaced or added to with another token (currency unit).  he then doesn't even mention how tx fees can make up for lost blockchain security incentives after a block halving which is a disingenuous and incomplete discussion.  a mention that tx fees "need and can" increase to compensate for decreasing block reward would have been totally appropriate and complete.

this is still a problem i have with making protocol changes; how do you insert a protocol change that doesn't favor a certain group of ppl or disadvantage the ppl that have come before the change?  b/c Bitcoin is an open community, outside voices are allowed to be heard loud and clear.  however, we never know to what extent they are personally invested in the former rule set (protocol) as opposed to the new rule set they are proposing.

I'm not certain what problem you have with his article?

Where does he implies that the Bitcoin currency unit can be changed? In his conclusion ("it this does not have to be the case forever.") ?

It seems to me you have misunderstood the premise of his article. When he mentions :

Quote
I would like to push for blockchains with native tokens rather than just blockchains (innovative, probabilistically immutable databases) which have far lower utility if any.

He is not supporting or demanding the creation of different blockchains but merely implying that the use of the blockchain technology necessitate a native token. He then demonstrates why it is so and confirms the importance of the Bitcoin unit.

He very much supports the arguments you, and most of us, have championed in this thread.
3727  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: November 11, 2014, 06:09:37 AM
wow, after 200 pgs we have an agreement.

i would love to see SC's fulfill their primary goal; that of innovating Bitcoin esp for fast tx and anonymity.  i just fear the unknown secondary effects, one being the perverse strengthening of altcoins via the bolt on.

how do you propose to assess the efficacy/success of these utility chains over time?

the same way we have with Bitcoin and other entities in the ecosystem : due diligence, code review, community leaders support.

you might not like it but my hunch is some of the most interesting ones will be Blockstream-sponsored  Tongue
3728  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: November 11, 2014, 06:06:35 AM
so you understand my argument about why the vast majority of altcoins will bolt on to Bitcoin MC utilizing the 2wp and how it might be a bigger threat than it already is to Bitcoin in the long run?

I do agree they will create their own sidechain.

Do I feel it is a threat to Bitcoin in the long run? Absolutely not. My opinion is the network effect is too important and sidechain or not they will all die their slow death.

My best guess is we will look at the last 2 years as having been the only opportunity for altcoins to flourish and speculators to profit from them. This window, IMO, is closing soon. Uncertainty has allowed them to stay around so far, but my feeling is the next bubble will see Bitcoin detach itself from them and solidify its position as the inarguable one and only ledger. When we get there, altcoins market cap will shrink to next to nothing.
3729  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: November 11, 2014, 05:49:22 AM
calm down and listen.

a BTC speculator is convinced by over the top Dogecoin advertising (similar to TC) that he wants exposure to Dogecoin price volatility speculation.  he doesn't want to use a centralized exchange.  he decides to transfer into the Dogecoin SC via an available 1:1 peg that gives him scBTC in a holding position on the Dogecoin SC.  he waits until the appropriate time to convert scBTC-->Dogecoin at his strike price.  now he has a position.  simple as that.  there will be plenty of ppl who might want to do this just like keystroke wants to do with TC.  you can't say it won't happen or that it is even a dumb move.  it's all a matter of opinion.

my pt is that SC's have done nothing to kill off Dogecoin and may have in fact strengthened it by facilitating the above process via the 2wp.

fair enough, I can see your point.

my problem with you argument is that you suggest because they will not "kill", per say, these kind of altcoins, then sidechains lose their purpose. I don't see how you come to that conclusion.

There are plenty of pegged (1:1) use cases for Sidechains that can benefit Bitcoin. I would argue the primary "raison d'être" of sidechains is to enable these 1:1 utility chains.
3730  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: November 11, 2014, 05:44:33 AM
Dude 100% of the top 7 coins after btc either have no features or are projects that reject btc-style pow mining entirely. Side chains are irrelevant to them. By market cap that is probably 99% of alts and 99.99% of crypto.

Stop wasting your time talking about alts. Btc devs too

whatever, I was never the one to claim that sidechains were created to kill alts, cypherdoc made this insinuation, going so far as to say that because they effectively don't (kill alts) then they have no reason to exist.

this is where I disagree.
3731  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: November 11, 2014, 05:42:28 AM
, most other altcoins market themselves with utility/features/different algos. These are the ones that will be made irrelevant by sidechains.

So you think competition in the cryptocoin space being made irrelevant helps free market driven innovation how again?


 Huh

Maybe because innovators will not be distracted by having bother bootstrapping a currency on top of their innovation and will actually focus on the innovation while leveraging the BTC currency.

Did you not think of that? Do you not see how it rids us of crypto-scammer that care more about getting rich with their crypto than actually driving innovation and developing better technology?

but devs wanna make money just like everyone else.  the altcoin is what monetizes their innovation. they don't get paid anything, per se, innovating on Bitcoin.

So why exactly are you surprised then that devs were willing to join Blockstream? Isn't that exactly the point? Fund innovation

I'm sorry but "monetizing" an innovation by creating a scammy coin on top of it is the least ethical way to go about it. I hope you will agree with that. This is Andrew's main argument in his paper against altcoin :

Quote
The Bitcoin community differs in both those respects. Your crankery is not cute. You are not a cryptographer, and yet are releasing a homebrew cryptosystem, misrepresenting your own qualifications, and encouraging others to store value in your creation. These actions are incompetent, dishonest and reprehensibly dangerous. If somehow you are doing this through honest cluelessness, I dream that you’ll read this article and realize the error of your ways.
3732  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: November 11, 2014, 05:20:40 AM
, most other altcoins market themselves with utility/features/different algos. These are the ones that will be made irrelevant by sidechains.

So you think competition in the cryptocoin space being made irrelevant helps free market driven innovation how again?


 Huh

Maybe because innovators will not be distracted by having bother bootstrapping a currency on top of their innovation and will actually focus on the innovation while leveraging the BTC currency.

Did you not think of that? Do you not see how it rids us of crypto-scammer that care more about getting rich with their crypto than actually driving innovation and developing better technology?
3733  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: November 11, 2014, 05:06:13 AM
yes, that's exactly what i'm saying.  Dogecoin will bolt itself to MC as a SC b/c it has nothing to lose and everything to gain by siphoning off whatever BTC it can get whether you think its logical or not.

So your scenario essentially depends on dogecoin being a successful coin in the future. If you truly believe that then yes we will stop arguing about it right now.

I believe Bitcoin's network effect will crush it in short time, no matter if it attaches itself to a SC or not.

If your point is that Dogecoin will not be killed by sidechains then I agree. It is not a likely candidate.

But the reality is, most altcoins are NOT Dogecoin. Dogecoin is very unique in the sense that it has marketed itself stricly as a meme and built a community around this.

On the other hand, most other altcoins market themselves with utility/features/different algos. These are the ones that will be made irrelevant by sidechains.
3734  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: November 11, 2014, 05:00:17 AM
the Dogecoin SC can be designed to carry scBTC as well.  that was my original condition.

So what!? Both are not fungible.

There are two type of market participants :

1. Those that want to preserve the value of their investement. All they will care about is sidechains that enable 1:1 peg. Of course that is not the only condition for them to want to lock their BTC to such a chain. It needs to provide a certain utility/feature. There is no point locking your coin to a 1:1 peg of DOGEchain, that I'm sure you can agree.

2. The speculators. They want to be exposed to market fluctuation other than BTC's. These people do not care about 1:1 peg. It completely goes against what they're looking for. For this reason, these people are gonna jump straight to any altcoin.

Considering this, it makes no sense to create a SC with both a 1:1 peg & an altcoin.

Either you are an utility chain or a speculative one.

Speculative ones are altcoins and NO they will not succeed selling themselves with the 2wp because in their case, all it is in reality is a decentralized exchange. A feature that can be considerably more risky than a regular centralized exchange if the user wants to cash out during a crash.
3735  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: November 11, 2014, 04:51:05 AM
you didn't even read my original post above about this.

what Bitcoin dev is going to waste their valuable time devving a Dogecoin utility chain?  how do you even do that anyway w/o the Dogecoin itself?  the feature of Dogecoin is the coin, idiot!  that's the pt, Dogecoiners like the inflationary nature of the coin itself.  how do you build that into a utility chain?  even if you could, what Bitcoiner is going to use it, and for what utility are you talking about?  inflation?  if no Bitcoiners use it, then it can't be MM'd either. 

Well captain obvious OF COURSE they won't. Why? Well maybe because dogecoin is a stupid idea to begin with. One that will die in due time.

"What Bitcoiner is going to use it"  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Are you out of your mind? THAT'S WHAT I'VE BEEN SAYING ALL ALONG.

Yes it is possible to create a dogecoin chain. NO! it creates no utility at all. Just a shitty coin bootstrapped on top of a sidechain.

So you went from saying no one would use it, to suggesting it would attach itself to the MC and siphon BTC  Huh Huh

You are right. Sidechains will not kill Dogecoin. It will exist as long as there are people stupid enough to participate in that coin. What sidechains will do is make irrelevant any coin that advertises itself with "utility" features (fast tx, different algo, anonymity)
3736  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: November 11, 2014, 04:44:35 AM
then they'd have to go thru a centralized exchange idiot.  maybe they don't want to do that and they'd prefer to use a decentralized exchange process like the SC which is costless and potentially more anonymous. 

No they don't. They can do BTC to DOGEcoin sidechain. No use going through a different unit that is pegged 1:1.

But let me get this right...

So the only thing stopping altcoins from taking off is decentralized exchanges? You have got to be kidding me.. Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

1. It is not costless.
2. It is no more anonymous than btc-e.

Worse, if you get stuck on that stupid DOGEcoin sidechain when it tanks. It'll take you two days to break out the door.


3737  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: November 11, 2014, 04:39:16 AM
let's backup a step brg444.

you said SC's would destroy altcoins.  show me how when they can bolt onto the MC as a SC.

Because a sidechain can claim their feature and utility without having to deal with their shitty native coin. Consequently, any scamcoin creator have no more argument to attract speculators to their shitty coin because of "growth potential" offered by their new innovative feature/algo

It doesn't get more simple than that.
3738  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: November 11, 2014, 04:34:54 AM
Now explain to me, you genius, how is that any different than a regular sucker being fooled into buying dogecoin in the most convential way.

that's the pt idiot.  by allowing these altcoins to bolt themselves onto the MC, they will conduct over the top advertising which will attract BTC speculators to transfer into the altcoin via scBTC.  just like IRL keystroke would with TC.  sorry son, this is reality.  get an imagination dumbass.

this is exactly the problem you create with SC's.

THEY DON'T USE scBTC you retard.

Speculators don't care about the 2wp 1:1 peg, they want to expose themselves to the altcoin exchange rate!

It makes no sense and creates no incentive for them go BTC -> scBTC -> Doge when they can simply go BTC -> Doge already.
3739  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: November 11, 2014, 04:13:25 AM

as you said though, free market head to head competition is best.  politically trying to block out competition while at the same time trying to profit from it introduces all sorts of self interested financial conflicts. head to head competition would force them to come to consensus on MC or testnet instead of using SC's.  i view SC's as an excuse to do the hard work. there is every reason to believe the altcoins will immediately bolt themselves onto the MC via the 2wp as there is no downside for them.  altcoins can't move to BTC.  there is only the potential to attract BTC--->scBTC--->altcoin as they can sell the concept of a risk free put.  there are plenty of current BTC speculators who are unhappy with the last 11 mo of BTC price action and might be willing to switch to a new flavor of altcoin thru the cost free 2wp.  TC is just the first example.  

Is there no one honest enough in this thread to call him out on this blatantly nonsensical proposition?

How exactly do you propose this stupid scheme of yours work?

How do you "sell" a risk free put and deliver an altcoin and expect this idiot plan to "siphon" BTC off the mainchain. Do you realise that in this farfetched mindfucked scenario of yours where there is a scBTC and an altcoin on the same chain the scBTC does not participate in the altcoin speculation. They are in most likelyhood two different sidechains, one on top of the other.

So here is how your scenario goes. Cypherclown, dissapointed with the performance of BTC, choses to lock his coin to this new DOGE sidechain. He does so because of the 1:1 peg offered. Of course, it makes sense : he can benefit from the fuckall innovation of the DOGEchain while protecting the value of his coin. The best of both world : less liquidity, no additional feature and a less secure chain! Man that sounds great.

So he sits pretty on this DOGEchain, but soon realizes that the value of his DOGEBTC is tracking the price of BTC because of the 1:1 peg.
 
Now what you are saying is by some extraordinary turn of event, he will find interest in the DOGEcoin because it fluctuates up & down (damn speculator I tell ya!). So instead of locking his coin on the 1:1 peg, he transfers it to the DOGEcoin chain booted on top of the sidechain. He now, by all pratical means, owns nothing but DOGshit. There is no 1:1 return to the BTC blockchain for him.

Now explain to me, you genius, how is that any different than a regular sucker being fooled into buying dogecoin in the most convential way.
3740  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: November 11, 2014, 01:40:18 AM
as far as altcoins and SC's are concerned, let me come at this question from another direction.  

right now, we have 538 altcoins in existence of varying kinds with diff security models.  what are SC's going to do to make all of them go away?
brg444 has said "someone" is going to reduce them to utility SC's w/o the altcoin but only with the "innovation" and that will be what causes their destruction.  really?  who's going to waste their time doing this for 538 altchains?  who's going to dev a utility chain for Doge inflation?  who's going to dev a utility chain for Freicoin demurrage? who is going to dev a chain for any one of the 538 altcoins most of which have weird monetary models?  let alone mine them to make them secure? the answer is NO ONE. it's b/c it's too much work and there is no upside to doing so for a Bitcoin minded dev precisely b/c there is no altcoin! Bitcoiners won't use them as well. ppl are supporting these altcoins precisely b/c they have speculative upside and most of the time don't involve the sound money properties of Bitcoin.  they will continue to exist as they are and is why you're not seeing a selloff since the whitepaper.  SC's do nothing to altcoins. which removes a major argument for SC adoption.

now, let' take it one step further.  if we now allow all of them to bolt themselves onto the Bitcoin MC via the 2wp with 1:1, i ask again, exactly what has changed and what is going to make all these go away?  first off, not only will they not go away but now i think they get stronger. it is fundamentally worse for Bitcoin.  i suggest that these altcoin devs are jumping with joy at the opportunity to get into the Bitcoin house and siphon away valuable BTC.  let's use Dogecoin as an example.

let me very clear about the scenario/mechanism and my assumptions here so brg444 won't distort them yet again.  i'm suggesting that there will be 2 separate coins riding on this new bolted on Doge SC, the original Dogecoin and the new scBTC created from the 2wp in a 1:1.  there will be a Doge blockchain that continues to create Doge from its own block rewards, which is inflationary as we know.  there will be tx fees generated by mining tx fees from both scBTC and Dogecoin. in this scenario, i'm suggesting the 2wp will only more easily facilitate the movement of BTC<-->scBTC<-->Doge b/c of the risk free put along with the logarithmic increase in advertising claims that Doge will be able to use as we've seen with Truthcoin (TC).  the exact opposite of what SC devs expect.  i am NOT saying that Doge will be able to convert directly to BTC via the 2wp. it will only be exchangeable for scBTC.  consider that Doge already has its own security.  it already has it's own brand.  it already has its own attraction.  it already has its own followers.  and it already has its own philosophy which happens to be different from Bitcoin.  it can advertise that philosophy with logarithmic intensity to those ordinary Bitcoiners (who only care to make a fast buck and may not care about the inflation) just like we've already seen happen with TC.  

furthermore, if successful at siphoning off BTC, Bitcoin miners might want to follow defecting users via direct mining as well as MM as they now have the revenue from Dogecoin block rewards, and tx fees from both Dogecoin and scBTC.  

you see, the problem with brg444 and the SC proponents is that they think everyone thinks like Bitcoiners do.  i got news for you, they don't.  that is what the whole speculative altcoin movement is about and SC's do nothing to change that.  in fact, it might make it much worse for us by letting those altcoins into the house next to our core engine business (MC) and sucking out valuable BTC.

I had a lengthy post written about how this was such a stupid, stupid post but I can see you're just never gonna get it.

Enjoy your moment of shine, for now. Celebrate your ignorance
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