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3761  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2020/2021 on: March 30, 2021, 06:55:55 PM
Manchester City will have no regrets at all and also would find it very easy to replace Kun Aguero; Manchester City are a well funded oil club and also the only club in European football would could spend over 400 m euros on transfers without it affecting the club in any way. Manchester City Would look towards Harry Kane and Haaland in what is a summer war chest for GUARDIOLA.

Also, Aguero would not play for any other club in England; neither in Spain (a former Atletico Madrid striker), perhaps a tour to France or back home in Argentina, time will tell
Agree, he is definitely one of the best strikers in the world, or at least he used to be, but he got older and his request for more money didn't change at all, he was still asking for money that he should not be asking at his age, so  they let him go and that makes sense.

Now I am starting to think maybe City will be capable of paying Haaland an absurd amount of money and get him? That looks like more possibility now that Aguero going will be certainty. They waited until it is almost guaranteed that they will win the championship as well, I do not see City losing this championship even if they play with youth team players from now on, they will definitely get it, so Aguero not playing would not matter. They have more than enough money to get any player they want, literally anyone, because at this covid situation 100-150 million is not amount anyone can say no to and that could happen.
3762  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Dump just after a new listing? on: March 29, 2021, 06:11:34 PM
Of course without investors selling I think the movement of tokens when there is a dump will not be too big seeing the amount distributed for the campaign.
or it could also be the fault of the developer not being able to provide a high-demand market for their token.
bounty distribution is carried out then dump occurs. Some investors take advantage of momentum dumps to buy more.
Those campaigns that give a lot of free money end up being the reason why it is so low. There are so many reasons for a coin to be low and one of them is definitely the fact that there are people who received free money and just went with it, this is why I think it's obvious for people to not really see uptick in coins during first days, because people who got it for free end up selling.

However I have seen coins start with 2 dollars and end up with 380 dollars on the first day as well, because it was nearly zero, just 200 coins printed, and it wasn't even given away for free to anyway neither, so people jumped in and paid whatever they can for it, eventually crashed of course but people love a good coin that is not distributed. If a team doesn't do anything wrong and keep doing things write, that will actually be pretty decent and go up but dumping after listing suggest it was distributed way before listing so that's wrong.
3763  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Is it so hard to make one Good coin? on: March 29, 2021, 05:40:09 PM
Because nothing is perfect) in fact, it is not profitable to make small transactions on the basis of Ethereum, but there are a bunch of other good alternative coins (in the binance network). It seems to me that everything is not so bad.
Yes, but because everyone has different beliefs in this matter, not everyone can like what we suggest even if it's good, especially now that projects on the Binance network are still very good and good for starting a profit.
I do agree that you can't make something that is perfect for everyone, eventually people will find something that is wrong with that project as well. I have tried to write a concept once for someone about a coin that would be so good that everyone would love it, it would have been basically the perfect coin that everyone would want to buy and use, it had usecases it had technological improvements it was awesome, and I presented it and during a beta test to see how people would react people didn't care, they didn't dislike it, they just didn't care about it. That day I realized I may have created a bad coin, but I know for a fact that no matter which coin you talk about, there is at least one person who hates it.

BSC is profiting people a lot, in the range of 1000%+ profits if you are quick enough, that's why I think so far that's the closest we got to perfect for traders.
3764  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: If stock market starts to crater, should we switch to BTC or USD? on: March 29, 2021, 04:13:19 PM
Stock market? If the crashing down does not interfere with the crypto market, I will not do anything because I do not have a stock investment.

If the crash impact to the crypto market and bitcoin is crash, I will not sell my bitcoin instead of buying more bitcoin because that will be the best time for me to buy bitcoin and accumulate more bitcoin. If my altcoin is not crash, I will still hold it and not sell because I think some altcoin will increase if bitcoin is down.
I do not think that crypto market and stock market are that much independent from each other. I do not know if it will be opposites or parallel but I know that it will definitely be related somehow. Think about it this way, we may have stocks going down and crypto going up, or we may have stocks going down and crypto going down with it. Those are two very different things. If the stock market crashes and the crypto world crashes with it?

I will definitely buy a lot more crypto, I keep saying this but then when I want to I keep not finding any money to buy, but if I can somehow gather some funds I will buy a lot, because it will recover and I know it. If the stocks go down but crypto goes up? In that case I have to do nothing, I already have a decent portfolio and I will keep that and that's it, I will not do anything else about it to be frank because I will be profiting so what else to do?
3765  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Another NFT sold for huge $$$ ' A column of New York Times on: March 28, 2021, 05:29:31 PM
NFT's are even more speculative than any crypto or stock because you are taking the subjective value of art and throwing into the equation. A street artist sold this piece for 64k - https://www.sfgate.com/sf-culture/article/nft-zuckerberg-fnnch-street-art-sf-16053999.php Maybe I am old fashion, but I am not seeing the artistic ability here...

NFT's obviously transcends art, like this 3 million dollar Jack Dorsey tweet https://www.theverge.com/2021/3/22/22344937/jack-dorsey-nft-sold-first-tweet-ethereum-cryptocurrency-twitter
Think about it this way, let's say that art worths money right? We all know mona lisa is something we can't even put a price tag over it, there are things that people cannot even sell, it's incredible and it is definitely way more than what we can afford. However we know how they were made, we know painting is painting, scripture is scripture, whatever art we are talking about it is whatever it is and there is nothing shocking about how it was done and what it was used to get done, it's just there and yes it is talent that brought painting into mona lisa, I can use painting as well but can't create that, but I can use it anyway.

NFT is different, it's a new thing, so people are paying extra insane amount of money to it because it is a brand new thing, it's not old school like other arts, it's something that never existed before today, so there is a rush. It's not going to go on like this, but it is early days so people are a bit excited about it.
3766  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Do you replay trading Bitcoin market? on: March 28, 2021, 04:51:38 PM
Only practice will help us to get a better result. There is no need to worry about losing because that will be part of the lesson, and if you can understand the point, I am sure that your chance to make a profit will be bigger. Practice trading will no need too big money as you can start with $5-$10. Just trying to use the minimal trading in the exchange while you still learn the lesson, and you're good to go.

You can try to learn about using the indicator to help you analyze the market movements. The more indicator you can learn, the better you at analyzing the market. But you don't need to know all of the indicators because that will be too complicated for beginners.
The losing part could be minimized with replaying, that's what the point here is. If you could test strategies and see where things can go wrong and where it could be better, you could optimize a strategy and make it work, it would be much better that way. Of course it's not going to be that simple, of course it's going to be not easy but the point here is that we can't really get these type of things done without first testing it.

Of course testing will not be like the real thing, of course you need to get the real thing and trade a lot better when you know what you are doing in the real world, but testing it and replaying it would be helpful as well. So people should first find strategies, test, and then real trade, and then optimize and test again and trade again and keep doing this until you think you have the perfect system.
3767  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: I coded a bot that buys bitcoin every time Elon Musk tweets about bitcoin and op on: March 28, 2021, 03:59:51 PM
I didn't understand how that sentiment thing was applied. I am not a coder myself and I am not using this neither because I do not know how to use one even if I checked it, and I am not a coder so those codes do not mean anything to me, I tried to read the guide but the part about sentiment is a bit vague for anyone who doesn't know how to code.

If you were to explain this bot to someone who never coded a single line in their life, how would you describe it?

All the other parts make sense because I am sure you can find a method of buying bitcoin whenever Elon tweets that part makes sense to me, there is nothing too difficult to grasp about the idea, but when you add sentiment to it the shocking part is that there could be a code written to see if a sentiment is positive or negative with a code, that sounds remarkable that we are capable of doing that as humanity.
3768  Economy / Speculation / Re: Stop comparing BITCOIN on 2017 & 2021. It will never be same again on: March 27, 2021, 05:45:20 PM
Additionally, the pattern may be repeated, but it doesn't mean reflecting the amount or numbers will be the same.
After the highest ATH in this bullish era, Bitcoin will be sure going into a bearish market and followed by altcoins.
However, will it also reach the lower price as what happened after the previous bullish? I don't think so. It will be fallen down, but as what OP has mentioned, Bitcoin right now is something that is not just hype. there have been several adoptions, utility, and also real use cases to be used by many more merchants in the world. So, if it should fall down, the bottom price in the bearish should not be as same previously. the ATH is increasing several times than before, so, the bottom price must be higher several times than before. I am pretty sure that it will not be under $10k, really hopeful about it.
Just think about it, it was 20k and dropped to 3.5k that means a 80% drop and I do not think that we will have that kind of fall ever again, however let's assume for a second that we had a 80% drop from the peak point once again, our peak point this run was 62k if I am not wrong and if you drop 80% from that the price would be 12.4k. That means even if we have a whooping huge 80% drop which is very doubtful, that means we are going to have 12.5k price at the very bottom.

We are not seeing under 10k ever again by this logic. And I can go as far as saying that I do not think that under 20k is possible neither, we are way ahead of this and we are going to keep staying this way as well. So, there is nothing common with 2018, there was way too many bitcoin drama during that period and that's why we saw bitcoin going down a lot during that period, we don't have that any more.
3769  Economy / Speculation / Re: 3 reasons why BTC will unlikely trade below $50,000 in the near term on: March 27, 2021, 05:15:41 PM
A very common character of bitcoin is being resilient. While there were many that have seen to panic when it has been dipping, they haven't seen to that point that bitcoin is very resilient no matter how low it will go.
I do not think that bitcoin has been resilient that much before, not back in the day, we had whales who pumped and dumped bitcoin however they wanted and that was a thing that they did for a long time. These days we are doing better because we are in a world where bitcoin is not doing that bad and it is high and we are seeing that whales are just companies these days and not early birds.

We had a lot of people who bought bitcoin at low prices, prices that are under 10 dollars, they had thousands of bitcoins, and back in the day those people were capable of changing the price easily, we weren't resilient back in those days. However we are doing better now, and companies are buying in billions, just in this past 400 days we had over 10 billion dollars worth of bitcoin bought and stored and not sold so far. That's a big deal and that matters, we became resilient thanks to that.
3770  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Do you replay trading Bitcoin market? on: March 27, 2021, 01:35:11 PM
Is it necessary to practice bitcoin trading by replaying the market?
Like many people here I am also finding difficulties to understand what you're actually referring to. I have heard some kind of methodology in technical analysis/practices which is somehow considered as similar to demo-trading where people have mock-trading environment with price movements to experience the real trading heat and consequences.

But practically I do believe demo trading must be a better approach to learn all the experiences of real trading because you're not risking your actual money but you are trading in real like environment to experience all the features of real market. What else you need to learn about real markets.
3771  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: I have found a good Trading Course on: March 26, 2021, 07:04:31 PM
The success of a trader is not just because of how good is the books, videos, and sources of information but this is all about how you make you trade good. Or you are trying to apply what you have read and what other people say. Some people taking trading courses and they also succeed (even many people pretending to be an expert say it is not effective) are just because they are really committed to improving their skills and don't just rely on what they read and heard from their mentors.

The most helpful way in order to succeed is by building our trading foundation strong and firm.
Well, it is not about those information they are getting, but it is not about zero information neither. Think about it this way, if you learn about trading at the great sources and you study hard, there is a chance you could be a good trader, or you could just study half-ass and you will be a bad trader, but at least if you study there is a chance to be a good trader, if you never study and if you never learn anything about trading, you can try to trade as much as you want but you will always be a bad trader.

This is why studying and learning and doing those things very much is not the way to become a great trader for sure, but not studying is a guaranteed way to not be a great trader. Which is why I think you should always try to find great sources, and spend your time and a lot of it to study before you start trading with real money and risking your savings.
3772  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Solo staking validator or pool staking w/ 32 ETH? on: March 26, 2021, 04:43:00 PM
1. If you have 32 ETH would you run your own validator or stake it on a pool with others?
2. What are the penalties if the validator is offline for 2-5 days?
3. What's the rate of return difference between solo staking and pool staking?

I don't like that the validator needs to have power and be online 24/7. My power and internet is on 99.9% of the time but sometimes things happen that's out of your control. So this is one of the reasons I have not staked any ETH yet.
I think everyone gave you the answers already, there is no need to add more to it, but I can say that most of the questions are personal preference type of deal. I mean the deal that if you would prefer solo or pool is a personal thing, with pool you make smaller amounts but constantly, but with the solo one you do not make anything for the longest time and then get a huge one eventually.

I still think that you should not go alone but if you want to, you could do that. However one thing is not up for discussion, if your electricity goes, if your internet goes, that's going to risk how much money you make from the staking. That is why I think even if you go solo, open up a VPS account, it is only 5 bucks per month or even a good one is 50 bucks a month, and you could be online there 7/24 forever without any issues at all, it would really help you a lot.
3773  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Can De-Fi Replace ETH ? on: March 26, 2021, 08:11:21 AM
Defi is the new and rising crypto like other altcoins  but in the last few months it has been getting a lot of attention because of its affiliation directly with bitcoin and people are making alot of profit with the defi and in future it could give a real hard time to ETH and many other tough crytpo coins at east i think so

thoughts Huh
I guess ethereum is for defi isn't it? Why are we talking about defi could survive without a centralized regular coin. It could be eth, tron, bsc, neo whatever but they are all there. Maybe one day a defi will open for all other defi, like a defi where defis start instead of eth and others, that might help, but it would have to go up so much that we are talking about 2 out of top three coins help with the defi projects and that's a lot.

This is why I think it is quite obvious that we are not going to see defi replacing eth. Don't get me wrong, defi will keep going bigger and bigger, it is decentralized which is why people love it and it will continue down that path, however that doesn't change the fact that we do not have to see ETH go for that to happen, both of them could live together and grow together, which is what is happening right now anyway.
3774  Economy / Services / Re: [OPEN]Blenderwallet.io Signature Campaign | Sr. Members+ ~ Up to $65/Week on: March 24, 2021, 07:17:52 PM
Bitcointalk Profile Link:  https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=144315
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EARNED merit in the last 120 days:  6
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3775  Other / Archival / Re: [OPEN] Arcona.Space | Augmented Reality Ecosystem | Signature Campaign ~ Sr. + on: March 18, 2021, 06:56:02 PM
Bitcointalk Profile Link:  https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=144315
Current amount of posts (including this one):  5584
bech32 BTC Address: bc1qrye76e3vwnzmjmlycg9kmz469ks0w7q0ytduvq
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3776  Economy / Gambling / Re: 🎲BetFury.io|⚡️Free BTC+BNB every20min|⚡️$3.5 mln Staking pool|⚡️$150K BNB event on: March 16, 2021, 05:23:03 PM
BFG(TRX) is given as a reward for gambling with coins based on the Tron blockchain. Betfury was originally a Tron casino. They have now added BTC and coins from other blockchains. Gambling with these other coins will reward you in BFG(BTC).
On top of that we could actually see that rewards could be given with other coins nowadays as well, not just BFG, and there are many ways to win a reward as well. The idea for these rewards in all casinos is that if you are spending money here, there is a possibility that you could turn that into positive house edge for you if you could win those rewards, for example let's assume that you gamble on a lottery, any lottery in the world, if you win you win right?

Well, think of that as you get free lottery tickets for gambling something else, if you win that it is even better because you didn't even paid for the ticket and that is the whole idea, to give you something in return without making you pay anything, just promoting more gambling. Of course not everyone wins a reward, but it is more likely to win a reward here than gambling on a lottery.
3777  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: March 08, 2021, 08:48:03 PM
I bet Inter supporters remember quite well what happened on May 5 2002 when they lost the title after having lost their last game playing in Rome with Lazio. If you remember Ronaldo, the brazilian, cried like a baby on that day.
Until the end anything can happen!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ImBKwYqJoh4 (the video when Ronaldo broke down).
That was nearly 19 years ago, plus Juventus have won so many titles in the past 10 years as well, all of them, so Inter is not about to cry if they lose, well they may cry but it wouldn't be a shock to them, why? Because we are no longer in a league where few teams win the league in turns, we are in a league where Juventus always wins, so it is something we are used to.

However Inter looks like they are doing awesome, sure looking at other leagues we could see that teams that are at the top could lose few games and be bad. Liverpool was actually leading premier league for few weeks this season, look at where they are now, there is a chance they may not go to Europe all together, so yes Inter needs to keep winning, however they are playing awesome as well, haven't lost a game in a long while, so that is why I think it is quite possible that they may win it this year.
3778  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Taking a loan to buy Bitcoin? on: March 01, 2021, 01:52:03 PM
Borrowing money for trading will only make your expenses increase because you have to think about the interest that you have to pay every month. I make sure it will not be easy because your emotions will not make the analysis maximal. better not to take this decision if not ready for risky things. remember when you lose money and don't have an emergency fund for payment then you will lose. so make sure you think about it first
That is the point of taking a loan, in order to gain more you have to have more but that also means in order to lose more you to have more as well.

Someone who doesn't have 10k can't lose 10k, or at least that is normally the case, you have to spend that with credit card, take out a loan or be in debt to someone which means at some point you do have that much money and it went somewhere. That means if we are in a situation where you have that kind of money and lose it, that was your own choice and you did that knowing what you are doing.

If a person knows what they are doing and they took out a loan that means they know what they are doing and it is not a surprise to them, they willing to take that situation face on.
3779  Economy / Speculation / Re: BITCOIN CORRECTION: PERFECT BUY TIME on: February 28, 2021, 11:30:45 AM
Yes, but I think it would be better to be more patient to buy, because a sharp decline does not guarantee that for the following days it will rise quickly. In the near future I still believe the decline will still occur so yes, this period I don't think is the perfect time to buy. But if the price is in the 40k-45k range then I think that would be the best time, just to anticipate a sharper drop and consider the ATH value.
It does guarantee that it will go up, it just doesn't guarantee that it will go up right away, so the guaranteed part is "it will go up" but that's it, it doesn't say if it will go down more now, if it will go up right away, if it will go down to 10k, or if it goes up to 100k, there is absolutely ZERO information about what is going to happen, only thing 100% known right now would be price will go up in the future for sure, and that is where we are right now, it is down now and it will go up again, which is why there are plenty of people buying as well.

Why do you think price dropped 10k+ and not dropped more? Because people realized since it dropped, there is absolutely nothing at all that would be hurting our situation as long as we can wait enough, which is why I believe there is a situation at hand where we could potentially do better and get bigger only if we work together.
3780  Economy / Speculation / Re: what is correlation between bitcoin halving and bullrun on: February 28, 2021, 10:40:46 AM
Bitcoin halving was hardcoded and surely will happen, however bullrun on the other hand could happen when halving occurs or not. If you're asking about the correlation of halving and bullrun I think it's because that sense of scarcity you got everytime halving occurs which means block reward for the miners decreases.
Most of people also expecting the price go up due to that sense of scarcity and when all people expecting the same thing and adds demand to the market, the bullrun happens. just my 2 cents though.
There is 100% correlation between them. When there is 1800 bitcoins in the market, and when you calculate the price of it right now that means there is 81 million dollars worth of bitcoin printed every day, not that all of them are sold on the market as soon as they are printed but that is the amount we need to have buyers in order to just break even every day, even if there are no miner selling theirs there is still bitcoin there, so we need those buyers ready anyway, or increase the price if they have to because in the end we will see those miners sell one day eventually.

This is why I think when that dropped to 900 bitcoins after the halving that became 40 million dollars gone every single day, how could that have no correlation? I believe that is going to be easy choice, we are going to definitely have that 100% guaranteed to be higher thanks to that money gone.
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