I love the prospect of upcoming UFC event Barboza vs Chikadze and I am still unsure how to pick the winner here, odds are almost equal but I am slightly leaning towards Chikadze. Chikadze overall attitude is great, he was begging Dana White to give him some fight for months, and I think this fight is perfect for him. Both fighters have very similar stats but Barboza advantage is more experience, he is better ranked, but his record is showing that he can lose a fight and there are holes in his game. I am going to wait for weight-ins and interviews before making any bets here.
But check out those names he’s lost to tho. https://www.tapology.com/fightcenter/fighters/edson-barboza-mendes-juniorThere’s Dan Ige. I had a bet on Ige but watching tape on that match again, I could see an argument for Barboza winner. It was very close. Other guys are Paul Felder, tough opponent. Justin Gaethje, you guys know this guy. Kevin Lee, was a talented prospect at the time. Khabib, no comment! Peak Ferguson, peak Johnson and peak Cerrone... These are all high level guys.
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^ The genius Moyes! Lolol. I do love it when a team that has been written off this season, starts proving the doubters wrong. Everyone thought that the West Ham form last season was an anomaly, but if you look at their squad, then they've got some real players in it. If they were to make a few transfers in key positions, probably center back being the priority I could see them challenging again for top six.
I don’t think Westham has been written off this season. They’ve been doing well under Moyes both on the pitch and with their player transfer acquisitions... They better try to hold onto Declan Rice for as long as they can. I’m pretty sure the big clubs would be asking for him in a season or two.
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Today's Results Thoughts: .The Manutd outcome is a complete stunner!! The Saints were very impressive and were unlucky not to get all three points. If the right DM is not purchased, Manutd will have problems against a pressing team; Fred is not the man. Yup.. Totally unexpected. Lol. In hindsight it was a trap line. The bookies knew what’s going to happen when they lined the -1 for United at 1.97. They knew! But is the -1 vs the Wolves at 2.20 another trap line or did the books over adjust? Solksjaer prolly knows they need to come back strong and win it if they wanna be contending for the league. These are must win matches.
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Up and Up, its about time.
Weak hands shaken out?
No more naked shorting?
I don’t think there are exchanges in crypto that allows naked shorting. Lol. Everything is backed with the USD or the coins in your account as collateral. But yeah... It’s nice to see XMR trend back up again. Hoping to see 500 to recoup some losses made in trading.
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PSG can play hardball here, and probably will. They are a club that does not need any more money and as crazy as it sounds, I think they would not sell Mbappe for anything less than 150 mil euros even if they know that next season he can leave for free.
Nobody else can do that, not even City or Chelsea. PSG wants the CL and I think that 150 mil means nothing to them when Mbappe staying increases their chance of winning it.
^ I think real Madrid is lining up and getting ready to get him either on January or for free. Real has not really been active in the transfer market, no huge acquisitions that I’m aware of at least. And if City can’t close in on the Kane deal and Mbappe does leave on a free transfer next summer then maybe expect a plot twist. Pep is desperate for an elite striker.
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I surely don't hate any new prospect to the UFC and regarding newcomers and underdogs we can sure see their potentials when they step inside the octagon, and any notable fight here in my opinion is the main event, Edwin Barboza age 35 surely establish his 22 wins since 2010 mostly on UFC if not with a decision and a few TKO/KO wins, but Giga Chikadze age 32 started in UFC in 2019 mostly a lot of impressive TKO/KO and establish not that bad of a record in his kickboxing career, I surely love to see this and what may happen with their bout will research deeply again and give my picks when I do.
Barboza is a gate keeper now but he’s still an elite UFC fighter. He’ll be a good litmus test for any hyped prospect trying to get in the top 5 at 145. At first glance I think a lot of people backing Chikadze will be in for a reality check. But then again he could really be brilliant. We’ll see... UFC Vegas 35 Free Fight: Barboza vs Burgoshttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vbby1ijNVPMAnyway I’ll try to make a stat sheet for the UFC and football to better visualize the data. I will share it here asap.
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I wonder how the bookies line a match so perfectly most of the time. I’m watching Southampton vs Man United rn... And I thought the -1 Asian handicap at 1.97 given to United was total value esp after their 5 - 1 thrashing of Leeds last weekend. Lol.
And how are Martial and Matic still at United? They’re holding the squad back.
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^ At the moment I don’t see him worth the 100m paid to acquire him.. Even at adjusted rates of how crazy the current transfer market is for the last 5 years or so. I got two down for the Majestic 7! Free 10k USD coming my way. What is the majestic 7? I have no heard of this before. Grealish has played well in both games for Manchester City he played well against Tottenham for his first game I just think other players around him were not performing on the day. I think if Manchester City do get Kane they will be unstoppable in the league they are looking good and if Grealish can continue this form I think he will be worth the 100 million they spent for him. Here: https://fortunejack.com/majestic7It’s fun!
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^ At the moment I don’t see him worth the 100m paid to acquire him.. Even at adjusted rates of how crazy the current transfer market is for the last 5 years or so. I got two down for the Majestic 7! Free 10k USD coming my way.
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Gastelum almost bombed on the weigh-ins he got it on the second try. Saidyokub Kakhramonov missed the limit. I wouldn't be surprised if Gastelum missed it completely, If I am not mistaking, he has had issues before. Heh yeah... It’s prolly just a botched weight cut and it does not really show where his mind is at rn. It’s pretty obvious that he tried making the weight with just being .25 lbs over. Anyway here are the weigh ins and the face offs. UFC Vegas 34: Weigh inshttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lZxpOr3830MUFC Vegas 34: Face offshttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QVqdbKOMzU4
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^ Salah was my first choice but something told me it was gonna be Mane’s turn to get a goal in. Good start for me. It’s always good to get the first pick in. Makes me become more interested in the rest of the fixtures.
Next match for me to watch is Brentford! They def could win this match vs Crystal Palace. IMHO.
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Is anybody itt watching the match rn? Liverpool is up 1 to nil but Burnley is playing well and surprisingly an attacking threat in the first half. I feel like Burney could get one in if it continues in the second half. Maybe via set piece? ... And still waiting for that Mane goal to get one down in my Majestic 7. Lol. Edit: MANEEEE! That’s one down for M7.
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UFC Fight Night: Cannonier VS Gastelum picks
Jared Cannonier VS Kelvin Gastelum
There are doubts in my mind at first that Kelvin Gastelum might win this, but after seeing the odds at stake.com 1.71 for Jared Cannonier and 2.31 for Kelvin Gastelum, not that high but you can surely see the difference, so I wonder why because I always wonder why many people are taking Cannonier side before making my pick and looking at Jared Cannonier history he is once a Heavyweight, then a Light Heavyweight until he drops to the Middleweight division, while Gastelum comes from Welterweight then comes up to Middleweight, I know many will say that Division is not that a big of a deal but seeing Gastelum at 29 he looks really old than 29 but my take in here he looks depreciating over time, I am not into the hype I am just visualizing what may happen inside the octagon and that is what my take in this fight, and in my opinion it is one weird fight to see, and I am going with Jared Cannonier for the win.
Clay Guida VS Mark Madsen
This is not really what I expect with a Co-main Event but for the undefeated Mark Madsen facing the Experience Clay Guida, I think this will be a wrestling match and both men will sure out-wrestle the other but I don't really think that Guida is the same person back then, he sure has a lot of loss record than the win but if he can still Submit an opponent that is still good, but this will be a wrestling match but Madsen doesn't really have great cardio so this makes the experience Guida to take that advantage on Madsen, Even though Madsen is a former Olympian, Guida had a lot of notable fight that involves wrestling and won with submissions, won against Anthony Pettis, B.J. Penn, Nate Diaz, and Michael Johnson a lot of big names on the UFC, but stakes.com odds was 2.44 for Guida and 1.64 for Madsen, but even though there is a lot of note that pertaining Guida can win this, I am still going for Mark Madsen, and this is a 50/50 decision for me.
That gas tank of Madsen is really bad tho. He is the better wrestler and Guida does have a tendency to stick his neck out ready to get caught in a guillotine. Lol. But Guida could win R2 and R3 and might even get a finish at R3. So I could see this either go Madsen via sub early or Guida via decision... Possibly even a finish at R3 cos Madsen would just be exhausted. But leaning towards Guida more. Would I bet it? Yup but small.
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It’s a Majestic 7 weekend again. This match day’s picks are: Romelu Lukaku Danny Ings Neal Maupay Ivan Toney Dominic Calvert-Lewin Sadio Mané Heung-Min Son I think I got 4 picks right last week. Hoping to get a couple more this week.
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12) Jared Cannonier 11) Clay Guida 10) Chase Sherman 9) Trevin Jones 8 ) Vinc Pichel 7) Alexandre Pantoja 6) Luis Saldana 5) Brian Kelleher 4) Bea Malecki 3) William Knight 2) Roosevelt Roberts 1) Ramiz Brahimaj
100 total strikes
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Arsenal spent so much money but i really dont like much the transfers.I dont think that those transfers can make an impact on the Arsenal upcoming matches.While Manchester United got Sancho and Varane,now those are epic transfers for them and can make a big impact on Manchesters upcoming matches
Yup. Ben White, 50m? Watch Lukaku blow him away this Sunday. It could even be Lukaku first goal scorer at 4.3. This isn’t the big and fat Lukaku we saw at Man United a couple of years ago. This is a fit and lean Lukaku. There’s gonna be a huge difference with that and now this time around.
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^ I’m pretty sure Pep and Txiki are on it right now as an emergency replacement for the Harry Kane transfer. If it took this long for City to work on the deal and still are empty handed then I think it’s not gonna happen. Just get Lewandowski now on a two year contract. IMHO.
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What am I missing here... Man United -1 vs Southampton is at 1.97 at Stake, prolly a tad more at other books if you do a little bit of line shopping. I mean Man U could blow Southampton away... They’re not the same club from two years ago anymore.
Other spots I like are Brentford to win. They look really good and well drilled. Palace looks to be like it’s gonna be in a relegation battle. Cheslea and over 1.5 goals at 2.12 looks good too. Lukaku just gonna blow past through Ben White. Can’t believe that guy is worth 50m in the transfer window.
What do you guys think?
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Honestly, I don't really pay attention to the Ligue 1. But since the departure of Messi and Ramos to PSG, I'm a little bit interested in seeing PSG play. If you look at the squad inside, they are a team with many stars. It can be said that PSG is a dream team plan even though some players are not young anymore. Last year PSG was in second place in the final standings, having one point difference with Lille. Actually, if you look at the composition of PSG's players, they are more favored, but it seems they are not lucky. This year I think PSG will win the Ligue 1.
Lol. Yup. I was about to say that we’ll be seeing this thread get bumped more now that Messi is playing in the farmer’s league. This thread was mostly ignored by the regs of the gambling section from what I have seen. And PSG will prolly be the favorite to win the CL at around 1.90 - 2.05 in the outright. Last I checked it was around 3.5+ in most places, and that is good odds honestly because I believe there is a good chance they may actually end up winning. However just because the odds are good for what the real odds are, that doesn't mean that we should wait 8 months to get 3.5 odds back, I can go ahead and do that a lot easier in a week, just bet on 2-3 clubs that is favored to win a game and you get that anyway. Only reason why people gamble on PSG to win UCL is the fact that 3.7 or 3.8 whatever odds there is, is not "favored to win" in regular games, it is usually the underdogs, so you get a 3.7+ bet while betting on the high favorites to win at the same time which is unique and that is why people bet on it. I do not know what else to say, sure Messi did played a role in PSG getting more famous but they were already getting quite good amount of players for free as well, they would still be a very high favorites even without Messi. I haven’t checked the lines for the outright in the CL tbh. It just feels like it’s gonna be close to 2.00 if I think about it. But of course, it’s just my guess more than anything. But yeah just looked... And it looks like it’s at 3.7 at FJ and Stake. Not sure at other books but you could shop for a slightly better line.
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^ Yup. I’m kinda leaning Gastelum to win here too just cos he attempts more TD’s per match and Cannonier’s TD defense isn’t really that good. Around 54% according to the stats: http://www.ufcstats.com/fight-details/f536ba47f006474aBut the line tho. It needs more value to be against a big bad mofo like Cannonier. The guy used to fight in HW. Lol. Great find with the stat on the takedown defense of Jared Cannonier, but even though Jared Cannonier is really bad in that division his Striking potential is really awesome that is why he is the favorite with the odds, but we can not set aside the potential of Kelvin Gastelum, this guys has proven his worth and if he is really focusing with his wrestling then Cannonier will be having a hard time, even though Gastelum is the underdog here, he still has the potential to surely make Cannonier pressure and destroy his momentum because of those takedowns. I reckon @tokeweed did not consider that the data on Jared Cannonier is from 3 weight divisions. We should remove all of the data from the heavweight division and the light heavyweight division. We might discover that Jared will have higher takedown defense in the middleweight division. Ok... So Cannonier had 4 matches at 185 which only two opponents had landed a total of 4 TD’s out of 16 TD’s attempted. That makes his TD defense at 75% at 185 so far. And if you watch tape of his past fights, he is def strong enough to get himself up when taken down. http://www.ufcstats.com/fighter-details/13a0275fa13c4d26So yeah... Like I said, not enough value with Gastelum. Edit: Strong leans on the under 2.5 rounds in the Palatnikov vs Brahimaj match, Roosevelt Roberts to win, Kelleher to win, and Pichel to win. Edit: Oh and here’s Sportsbet’s Multi Master. Sportsbet.io UFC Vegas 34 Multi Master Challengehttps://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5355282.0
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