Not too surprised, I think the odds for a win were worth it.  The nature of the circuit doesn't make the rain too much a danger this time perhaps that one really tight hairpin is the most likely problem for control in the rain and Hamilton is 5th right now.   He might even come through despite the penalty depending if he can stay consistent  and shave off the seconds per lap

Funny thing is some or maybe all banks will deactivate and absorb cash from dormant accounts.   You might be able to get it back years later or maybe not, somehow crypto is often superior on that point.  I really wouldn't appreciate any site which doesn't respect that base line, people can get sick or whatever absence forced on them, not every country or scenario people are in is peaceful etc..  BTC is very much a slow moving price accumulation hence holding vs time is an important feature to have.

I have to concur, 25 spins should be taken as the base unit to estimate luck.   25 spins is about average return for getting at least 1 of the 5000 tier reward, its nominally less now as BTC rose alot hence people might speculate on BTC lower pricing next week I dont know.    But 100 spins should taken as 4x times that starting point for higher luck and just 4x isnt enough to be expecting a larger reward just yet.   I did get near to 20k lottery tickets in one week once, I topped it up slightly but so far no golden tickets in result.    Im totally fine with the 5000 rp reward or whatever its scaled to, that will add up.

I have next hurdle to pass as about 57282 which is the top end of a recovery from the peak to trough pricing in this year, after that its just the ATH to digest.    We continue above what appeared as a negative trend from the highs, 45k or above year end has us positive.   We may not any arbitrary target but even remaining in this area, drifting above that point is what I'd consider as a strong starting position for any future gains.
57.2k is about the Feb starting bar top price, we did sell from this point so I would conclude significant remains in passing this point.    Only trouble I see is a rising Dollar index with space for further gains, often upset or bad news will make this price spike and shake out many leveraged speculators as they invariably borrow dollars.

I think there is some geographic bias on this game as I've never played it or even seen someone play it briefly.   I can believe its popular in some countries but I cant remember seeing it listed.    I'll give it a try if I happen to find it browsing, I always like the new stuff for variety.

ENCE are wrecking Astralis right now, I dont mean with superior firepower or some elaborate prepared map knowledge.   Just watched one guy and a Deagle just walk through site smokes mowing down CT astralis like they are bowling pins.

Nuke and Ancient  11 rounds vs ENCE is not just a loss but a collapse, maybe they are ill  but glad I didnt bet this match as even on underdog bet I wouldnt expect straight 2 maps.    ENCE are speaking english comms on the highlights, they are a far more mixed team vs the Danish who should have some teamwork advantages from that.

Lucky is ill apparently but he did hit some (great) shots, its not just about him from what I briefly saw.   Next match for ENCE is NIP, the irony of beating astralis in order to face the final boss of a team including ex-astralis; this might sting a bit if NIP win
 

The confusing part is always there are multiple trends occurring concurrently, the best way to consider action is by time frame and recognizing the largest time frames often win out in significance vs shorter term.   So we might have had a downtrend but its proved weaker then the overall rising price this year marked by the 50 week average.   That average contains alot of volume and encapsulates both main markets and weekend trading.

We got some sideways to possible pullback starting today, nothing massively negative in my opinion just part of the natural process and cycle to gains that is required for proper price development.



So price is edging below the 2 day average, some momentum is lost and profit taking out of the price reduces us slightly.    So long as we are above 50k on weekly closing bars then Iam offically bullish, the yellow line there is weekly average and far more important then just 2 day which is really just a trading aid or how I frame such things.   My negative target would be to pullback to 50k, perhaps even beyond because from experience when people despair or give up then we have a good tradable bottom in contention to consider.

If they have the account details they get the account use, thats the pay off for choosing a site which was long term successful because the majority of sites werent.     Not this site but elsewhere I left a balance on a big casino site from 2014 till 2018 think it was and I came back and went opps, this has a balance on it and I didnt think it had.  I only realized because they ran a promotion and I had reason to come back and make bets etc. so I found it was really not empty and the price had risen massively during that time so I withdrew.   Should have just left it there now tbh but generally its not a bad idea to retain a long term balance anyway is the lesson though everything has risk; the oldest sites generally shouldnt be doubted half as much as people seem to.    It costs alot of money to get a long term reputation and accumulate a regular crowd of bettors.   If the site is good, its good and you get lucky in that respect.  
Maybe it should be in the thread title or site banner the year first established, like grand old companies have on their front door :p

Btw I did the same thing with coinbase, I had to pay for some item from a computer shop in 2014 and had to do it twice because one time it cleared too late to be accepted so I forgot about it; I think the money took 6 days to be returned to me.  Fiddly system anyhow it was to my advantage after years luckily.


Hamilton  starts with a 10 place disadvantage no matter how he qualifies as he had to replace his engine again.  The 4th failure and necessary replacement of an engine is a penalty apparently, he would be back of grid but it was purely the engine core.   My take is he has the skill to weave his way through the pack anyway, could be that nice odds are available because of this so Im interested.   1st corner is chaos so I doubt it occurs that fast, but presuming he has the patience and endurance I think he can regain and negate the disadvantage.

Might be possible to calculate the likelyhood of such an outcome.   It should be rare but Im not certain it would require extreme improbability like say the rolex win from 1 wheel spin is really not happening any time normally.   Will look out for a good odds calc site, sure Ive seen one before.

I think the next stop for BTC would be a pullback to the prior trend which capped gains.    That would increase confidence further out in bullish action but for the moment a pullback and profit taking of recent gains is natural.



This is a positive over months as it increases volume in this area and price action merely needs to resolve positively while checking these lower prices.  This is quite possible but we have to watch how it acts as always.
   I hate to say 50k is that significant but right now it matches up with roughly as a ledge to establish as a foothold.   As we rose so much that does show as a red for now but could easily be a far bigger positive later on so I'm watching for that scenario.  All of that could take place in October not sure or it might need the rest of this year to resolve our direction.  This is part of working our way through this higher priced area as if it were a iceberg field mid Atlantic; slow might be best  

BNB had Ptr back then and he has left the team to make way for a longer setup of players to train and improve.    They are doing well but theres no doubt it was a risky bet, they won on only 33% odds so definitely a good underdog outcome there.   It was a close outcome, they made some mistakes but so did both teams.
Apparently Bad news bears can be in the major without too great a struggle, so they arent a team to dismiss.

I think EG and Godsent are close enough that it should go past 26 rounds.   EXTREMUM is a mix match of players, JK ex Faze there and other not bad players.  I presume Salt can win that one but has to be called a coin flip, best bet is again over 26 rounds probably occurs.

Should do well above the previous negative trend, its confirmed that trend both as a ceiling and recently it formed a low there on the 4hr bars.   Surprising it would do this just now as the main markets are not yet as well recovered so this represents outperformance vs other assets and also at the same time Dollar index is higher.   Perhaps it could be said to be some reaction to debt ceiling talk and the regular reminder government this and many others have no choice but to continually repay debt by issuing ever greater amounts, not an entirely stable situation and inherent relative weakness in FIAT.  Despite DXY higher recent pricing we're are still trending lower in value each year it seems.

Far more reasonable an aspiration today then it was yesterday as we rose so strongly while crossing something of a downwards pattern true across months.   I do think before 70k we might need to visit 50k, confirm that level as a base price to hold and then onto new highs like 70k or even 100k.   I dont know how long it might rise but generally a big rise will come after attempts to sell have failed and been proven the least likely path.
  Doesn't have to take as long as xmas, could be this month as Im not how restrained it would be at this point.   We'll have to see, first target is to close in a positive manner for this week as just reversing here is not entirely off the menu, after that consensus and/or momentum forms.

Uptrend intact vs downtrend pattern so far, I had thought it might falter before now but so far its been strong action.  Kept above the 12hr average the whole day



This is weekly bars, big picture or as big as most might consider in a very simple take.  This is about a year and we are tackling these relatively long term highs without much drama so far.  The fly in the ointment might be that volume is not enough and we have a 200 day average declining, so I would guess its not a breakout scenario just yet but all the same strong action is occurring in such a challenge.

Volume chart or bars here could also be drawn as a trend and its declined.   A decline in volume while price rises is not ideal for overcoming resistance, it can still occur but caution might be advised while relying on the continuation I guess.

Another bo1 coin flip match coming up, really not my favorite but I think Bad News Bears can do better then expected.   Either by over 25 rounds bet or even a win possibly, since the odds are well over 3x nobody seems to agree with that but I also know how polarized the view on teams can become when its actually not that decisive.    BNB went 16-9 vs Liquid I dont see why they couldnt put up more of a fight here, but with bo1 it can also be a white wash on a bad map or simply the team isnt warmed up.
  I cant be too confident on just a single map tbh, but also I'll go with Bnb to win on that volatility possibility too.   I'd rather bet this match then EG who supposedly are favourites but also have lost their 'fighting spirit' for some reason, it happens teams stagnate not sure.

I dont think we're in a downtrend on a nearterm basis but there is the question overall this year for the highs.   Being a trend over many months will mean we have to take more time to overcome such a problem.
Right now we are challenging the pattern of lower highs, the recent low was 50 day average and for the moment this constitutes positive action I think.
  The real confirmation comes on weekly closing bars I think, Dollar index is sideways mostly so I think it will make some challenge higher at least.

I dont really agree that Bitcoin is likely to dominate in the same way USD has done since ww2.    Even at the inception of that agreement it was seen as quite possibly flawed to rely on one nationalized standard even if in set ratio to gold.   I dont think BTC can be a universal perfect standard, we will see a peak in the current excessive debt backing to currency exchanged, many things will change.  BTC will be part of that change in not being fractional reserve but also a greater variety of currency will occur in progress over the current domination of a singular centralized global reserve; this will be a positive especially for productive exporting economies not currently politically favored by the west and overall the world will benefit imo.

Anyone who can consistently bet with this success rate is going to be able to utilize their skill as a job I should think.    He is relatively anonymous here so Im not sure its that risky, its much harder to prove you are the real deal then have people believe it.

Dont they just hedge the bets from people consistently right

Heres a bullish trend I estimate we need to hold to continue on a positive path, pullback to 48k would leave it feasible still.



We are above 50 day and 200 day averages but I think some hesitation is due rather then an immediate expectation of higher due to indicators such as the decline in the 200 day.    If we stay in these prices, above the July low or higher still then it should progress positively eventually.  The trend I post here is quite short term, for the fast move it represents I think it does need that we stay above in pattern with the green bars.

50k as a ceiling is imaginary but we do have negative trends ongoing in the very highest prices.   The biggest of this year to oppose BTC was the Dollar index regaining its losses of 2020 and its failed to do so, it threatened more then once but I dont think its going to occur so BTC isnt especially negative in dollar terms.  There is only the question of profit taking which is a constant cycle of supply and passing of old buyers to new, I still imagine we take another 6 months of pass the parcel.
  The storm I think is not a great sell off, that would just be repetition.  The storm will be the breakthrough of the ceiling overhead, then we have new ground and with weak dollar unrestrained price action likely occurring, white waters.