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3941  Local / Разное / Re: Форум недоступен из России on: June 15, 2023, 07:33:09 PM
Тут уже пора задумываться не о Торе и ВПН. Тут надо уже думать как вообще можно будет вылезти из локального интернета. Вон сегодня в Ведомостях прочитал что к концу года хотят запустить типа Рунет 2.0 в котором будут только сайты, разрешенные роскомпозором. И войти в эту сеть можно будет только по индивидуальным номеркам.

Кому интересно может почитать тут https://www.vedomosti.ru/technologies/industries_and_markets/articles/2023/06/14/980324-runet-2-0

Правильно мыслите. Я кажется именно в этой теме писал что самое нормальное решение это свалить с этой помойки и забыть как страшный сон, а не постоянно выдумывать какие-то трюки чтобы в интернет выйти (такой маразм что даже не смешно).
Так что проблема с локальным интернетом решается с помощью релокации. Жаль что на практике это не так просто как хотелось бы.
3942  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: How to Improve Your Sports Betting Skills and Win More Bets? on: June 15, 2023, 01:59:31 PM
~
2. Understanding the concept of value: By searching for bets where the odds offered are higher than what you thought the actual odds of an outcome are. By doing that you will be able to identify value bets and potentially increase your profits in the long run.
~

What do you think?

I think this is the most important point. But to understand it, you first need to sit down and generally deal with the mathematics of bets. It is necessary to clearly understand what is the probability of an event and the mathematical expectation of this event. Many people intuitively understand that betting odds less than 2 on a coin toss is unprofitable, and odds over 2 are profitable, but they don't understand the mathematics of this phenomenon. And this lets them down a lot later in betting, as there are more complex options.
3943  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2022/23 on: June 15, 2023, 01:54:16 PM


Jude Bellingham will officially wear one of the iconic jersey numbers at Real Madrid and the jersey number 5 was once worn by one of Real Madrid's legendary players, Zinedine Zidane. It seems that Bellingham really wants this jersey number and he has also thanked Jesus Vallejo for agreeing to give him the jersey number 5. Bellingham doesn't want the number 22 shirt currently worn by Rudiger because he really wants to wear a new number from now on and it goes to number 5 at Real Madrid.

On the other hand, the reason for choosing number 5 is because Bellingham was very inspired by Zidane and it's only natural that if we pay close attention to Bellingham's style of play it is very similar to Zidane's. It looks like this will be a good start for Bellingham with Real Madrid and he can't wait to play alongside Modric and also Kroos in midfield.

A good choice, especially since no one will claim this number even if Real Madrid signs both Mbappe and Haaland  Grin
By the way, yesterday I read an interesting thought somewhere - if Real Madrid signs Mbappe, then Zidane would be the best coach to put Mbappe's brains in his place. He is one of the greatest footballers in the history of France and for Mbappe he would be an unquestioned authority. I am completely satisfied with the way Ancelotti works, but there is something rational in this reasoning.
3944  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2022/23 Season on: June 15, 2023, 01:48:36 PM
The next season gonna be pretty interesting as sevilla was going to the UCL but im sure that if sevilla will be failed again in the group stage. Im thinking about the possible scenario like sevilla to drop again to the UEL and the winning it again next season to go to the UCL again.
This may be a crazy scenario but im thinking if it's possible to happen as long as sevilla will be failed in the UCL. Im doubtful if sevilla will able to compete with another strong team in the UCL.
Im 100% if sevilla will not be going to the last 16. Europa league will have as roma again to play on it which is good. It gives roma second time to win europa league next season.

There will be also a club from conference league westham united but it will not perform as god as when it was winning conference league caused by declan rice will not play again with westham.

If I'm not mistaken, Sevilla will be in the first pot and if everything goes well, then in fact they will compete with one strong team. Of course, there is a theoretical possibility to get Real + Milan into your group, for example, but they are unlikely to be so unlucky. Therefore, I am 90% sure that Sevilla will reach the 1/8 finals from the group, even though they were very bad at the beginning of this season.
3945  Local / Майнеры / Re: Майнинг здох? on: June 15, 2023, 01:42:35 PM
Какая у людей короткая память  Wink
Буквально недавно людям без намордника из дома не давали выходить, и без аусвайса перемещаться, забыли уже? И вообще всю эту шизу с короновирусом (куда делся ктати?  Grin ).
Возможно вообще все, и ваша оценка о вставании на уровень Афганистана ну вообще никого не волнует.
Как правильно заметил mak013, то если надо, то будет объяснено/обосновано вообще все что угодно (хоть хождение на руках) а кто не поймет, того заставят  Wink
Да как корона связана с майнингом на зеленой электроэнергии?

Да так, что если что при желании из всего делается монстр и ваша уверенность "этого не будет ведь это будет уровень Афганистана" это лишь наивность (ну или оптимизм).
Я вообще против того чтобы в эти игры в зеленую ЭЭ и прочую туфту играть - есть рынок ЭЭ, я ее покупаю по рыночным ценам, а куда трачу мое дело. Вопросы по производству это к производителям. Зеленая там она или черная мне как потребителю насрать.

У нас коды проверяли для галочки, прививки ставились за деньги и сложностей не было в небольших городах.

Ну то есть трахали с вазелином  Grin Вот радость то.

Заставить майнеров убежать можно методами Казахстана и повысить налоги, а если мало будет то то брать акциз с тарифов за свет.

Могу ошибаться, но в основном такой подход в цивильных странах не работает - "по желанию левой пятки введем налог/повысим акциз", а вот простой запрет вполне реален (ну или его градации в виде признания ценной бумагой и т.д.).
3946  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: FIFA World Cup 2026 :Canada/Mexico/United States: Discussion Thread on: June 15, 2023, 12:23:39 PM
Big news from Lionel Messi:

https://www.goal.com/en-in/news/lionel-messi-wont-play-2026-world-cup-argentina-inter-miami-transfer/blt82e147900bcd6a3d
https://www.espn.in/football/story/_/id/37846445/argentina-lionel-messi-doubts-play-2026-world-cup

Messi won't be a part of the Argentine squad for the 2026 World Cup. It is quite logical decision from him. By the time of the next world cup, he will be 38-39 years old and he has seen what happened to Cristiano Ronaldo during Qatar 2022. It would have been a very hard decision, to not to defend the title in 2026. But then, he has achieved all that he aimed for. And it is not like Argentina will be devoid of star players. They still have exceptional players such as Rodrigo De Paul, Ángel Di María, Paulo Dybala and Lautaro Martínez. Even without Messi, they will be among the favorites for FIFA 2026.

Di Maria is already 35 years old. I did not hear that he announced his retirement from the national team, but in my opinion it would be quite logical since he is already at a serious age and will be even older by the World Cup. Maybe he will take part in the 2024 Copa América and no matter how Argentina performs there, he will announce his retirement from the national team (at least). At club level, he will continue to play 100% thanks to the Saudis  Grin
3947  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: It's on! 2024 US Presidential Election Biden+Harris Vs Trump Bitcoin betting.... on: June 15, 2023, 12:17:20 PM
I was just wondering. If by some chance, Trump becomes ineligible to run for POTUS 2024, what would be his reaction. Would he ask his supporters to boycott the elections (which is a very stupid move in my opinion), or will he nominate someone else such as Ivanka in his place? Trump is so unpredictable and I really can't predict what he will do if something like that happens. If he goes for the first option, then there will be massive civil unrest in the United States, because a significant share of the population are still loyal to Trump.

Civil unrest (in a bad sense) is characteristic of the other side of the confrontation  Wink I'm sure they will happen if Trump runs and wins. But judging by how Trump is accused of all mortal sins, the "system" will do everything to prevent the voter from even being able to vote for his favorite. Unfortunately, the Republicans do not have a figure comparable to Trump in terms of scale, and without him they are likely to lose.
3948  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Nations League final four ⚽ on: June 15, 2023, 12:11:48 PM
What do you think about today's game Spain - Italy? To me, it looks completely random. The bookies rank Spain as a slight favourite, but Spain's overall chance of winning in regular time is well below 50%. I'm not even sure about BTTS, it's possible that the game will end 0-0 in regular time.
Whoever wins today I hope Croatia wins the final - Spain and Italy already have enough titles and Croatia has stopped too often on the verge of victory. This would be fair in my opinion.
3949  Local / Oбcyждeниe Bitcoin / Re: Ark — протокол второго уровня для биткойна on: June 15, 2023, 11:19:45 AM
Классная штука. Наверно найдет отклик в сердце простого потребителя (что приведет к ускорению адопшена) если даже местные профи (относительно среднего уровня пользователей вне форума) обсуждают тему в основном с формулировками "не осилил/не понимаю/не знаю"  Grin

~
Идея любопытная. Посмотрим, насколько она приживётся и разовьётся.

Чет напоминает мне эта идея, даже не могу вспомнить что - может банковскую систему, только в более убогом варианте, с костылями там всякими  Roll Eyes
3950  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: June 15, 2023, 11:11:25 AM
To assess Bayern Munich's performance through coach Thomas Tuchel is next season, not at the end of last season because time is so tight that there is no performance that is more worthy of evaluation in general. Thomas Tuchel needs to deploy the Bayern Munich team next season, especially in the Champions League because Bayern Munich always looks better in the Bundesliga so Thomas Tuchel only needs to polish his players to face the Champions League next season apart from the Bundesliga.

Tuchel has a rather difficult task and in many respects it depends on luck. Firstly, the title in the Bundesliga will not be perceived as an achievement - this is what should be in any case. He is more likely to be judged by his success in the Champions League, but much will depend on randomness. Even this season, Bayern already had a difficult (as everyone thought about PSG) opponent in the 1/8 and theoretically this could happen again. If Bayern get knocked out early then it will be considered a failure (and most likely result in a sack) and if they are lucky like Inter and make it to the final then it will be judged as a +- success.
3951  Local / Майнеры / Re: Майнинг здох? on: June 15, 2023, 11:05:05 AM
США это не нечто монолитное. В обосанной левацкой Калифорнии может и запрещают, а в ЛА так вообще на тунеядцев (которые просто не хотят работать а жрут наркоту живя на улице в палатках) по 65к в год бюджетных бабок тратится, но это не значит что там все и везде прям ошизели. Вы еще евросовок вспомните.
Вообще я не стал бы биток как-то связывать с экошизиками (биток на зеленой ЭЭ это круто и т.д.) - сегодня все Ок, а завтра найдется причина по которой биток это плохо, а уж у этих ребят с запретами тормозов нет.

В США не папуассия Smiley Если они разрешили майнить на зеленой ЭЭ то уже не запретят так просто. Биток могут запретить, но тогда они встанут на уровень Афганистана.

Какая у людей короткая память  Wink
Буквально недавно людям без намордника из дома не давали выходить, и без аусвайса перемещаться, забыли уже? И вообще всю эту шизу с короновирусом (куда делся ктати?  Grin ).
Возможно вообще все, и ваша оценка о вставании на уровень Афганистана ну вообще никого не волнует.
Как правильно заметил mak013, то если надо, то будет объяснено/обосновано вообще все что угодно (хоть хождение на руках) а кто не поймет, того заставят  Wink
3952  Local / Трейдеры / Re: Почему биткойн будет расти дальше on: June 15, 2023, 10:58:33 AM
Наверно все будет по аналогии с операциями с имуществом. И я бы не стал крипту приравнивать к чему-то такому прям супер сложному-невероятному-непонятному. Я, например, и майню и трейжу - но не крипту, а виртуальный шмот в играх. Думаю если до меня налоговики доберутся, то будут сшибать обычный подоходный налог, правда хз как они его смогут высчитать ибо прибыль я могу хранить как в шмоте, так и в фантиках (крипта), а выводить в фиат либо мизер либо ничего.
Да, теоретически можно обменивать любой цифровой товар, как крипту, так и игровой шмот на какие-то физические вещи реального мира, если стоит задача не платить налогов государству и или чтобы был сколь-нибудь анонимный (насколько это возможно) доход. Вполне можно представить, что чел поменял, к примеру, коллекцию игровых мечей или цифровых танков на строй материалы. Последние стоят уже не мало, а регистрировать сделки с ними ещё не нужно. Или подумать насчёт какого-то другого товара из физического мира.

Мне кажется самое простое это виртуальный шмот -> крипта (УСДТ). Потом по необходимости крипта -> обменник -> карта если мы говорим о маленьких суммах либо крипта -> обменник -> наличка, или даже поездка в Турцию (два раза в год не так дорого стоит смотаться) и крипта -> обменник -> наличка (баксы), а потом дома по необходимости наличка (баксы) - наличка (рубли). Я думаю в любом городе на рынках все знают точки где эта операция делается чуть ли не 24/7.
Понятно что какие-то затраты есть, но это пыль по сравнению с налогами (и опасностями которые они несут, кроме того что в принципе невыгодны) да и если сравнивать с палкой, то может быть даже выгоднее.
3953  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🦊 Betnomi.com | Champions League Pool ⚽️ Discussion Thread on: June 15, 2023, 10:50:42 AM
Can I participate in the next pool anonymously?  Grin
Attention and kind words are nice (thank you all), but it puts a certain amount of pressure, and I would like to make predictions with a light heart without worrying too much about the results (this is the strategy that led me to success, I think  Roll Eyes ).
3954  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2022/23 on: June 15, 2023, 10:44:35 AM
I do not like the too much issues that Mbappé move is causing. Already, I saw a news that where it seems someone was asking PSG to get done with deal and cut ties with him because he is trying to control the narrative. I just don't like that every time it is almost as if he is in the news for some odd reason. Messi moved without so much issues. I want Mbappé to go to whichever club he has chosen without noise.

Maybe you forgot which series with the possible transfer of Mbappe to Real Madrid we watched a year ago? Mbappe is a top player and as much as we would not like it now is the second season of the series and I am sure that perhaps until the fall we will see a lot of news about his future and possible options. By the way, there was also a lot of noise about Messi, and during the day the news sent him to the MLS, then to Barcelona, then to Saudi Arabia. The next day the cycle was repeated again.
As for the choice of Mbappe, this is obviously Real, but PSG do not want to let him go there, because in this case, Real will return to the top again (at least PSG will not have a chance against Real).
3955  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Nations League final four ⚽ on: June 14, 2023, 10:18:03 PM
What was passing through Koeman's mind? I still couldn't understand. In extra time De Jong played as a centre-back and Virgil van Dijk played as a centre-forward. While Netherlands got this much close to winning a trophy home after long years it was a fiasco for them to concede 4 goals from Croatia.

When it comes to Croatia they are maintaining their amazing performance. One should raise their hat to 37-year-old Modric for staying on the field for 120 minutes and shining like a star. Smiley

Modric is in great shape even after such a tough season. How much strength does he have  Cool
By the way, as I understand it, if Croatia lost today, then we would know Modric's decision regarding the national team - he said that he had already made a decision, but would publish it after the League of Nations. I hope he doesn't retire from the national team this summer.
3956  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: FIFA World Cup 2026 :Canada/Mexico/United States: Discussion Thread on: June 14, 2023, 10:00:36 PM
I'm aware of the talents of the Brazilian players but still the Brazil we see right now is not in a good performance like were years ago and there are not any superstar players like Kaka, Ronaldo, etc... in this team anymore. Even players like Neymar can't have the same performance we saw from then in the last years,

Around Kaka, Ronaldo and others, there have always been many players of a close level. Rivaldo, Roberto Carlos, etc. that whole team was stellar. Now Brazil has Neymar, Vinicius, but if we take teams as a whole, then its average level is not much higher than other teams and is equal to the rest of the top teams. Probably the only team that stands out now with a set of players is France. And they confirm this with results. Individual star players like Haaland, in the absence of close-level support, cannot show anything outstanding.
3957  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2022/2023 on: June 14, 2023, 09:46:54 PM
Manchester United already spend a lot of money as it is.  They spend even more than Manchester City in signing players if you look at their net spend. In terms of players salary Manchester United spend the most in the league also. So selling the club to Sheikh Jassim might not yield the expected result.
I wonder why United fans blame the Glazzers for every misfortune in the club when the owners are clearly not doing a bad job. 
I feel the problem of United is with the board. They make decisions that should not be made. The recruiting team of Manchester United should be changed, they are not doing a good job.

It is not entirely correct to talk about financial performance, given the fact that some clubs (at least City, and possibly all haha) are fraudulent with financial statements. As for the Glazers, they certainly could have been more successful in running the club, but if you look from their point of view, there is no tragedy - United have become more expensive during their reign, and everything else is not so important.
3958  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: June 14, 2023, 09:41:59 PM
Mbappe's game is understandable, but it seems that this time he himself is only participating in someone else's game. Most likely Real Madrid's intention to buy Kane was a bluff to get Mbappe to get active and it worked. With the Haaland treble, Mbappe has no other options but to move to a more serious club than PSG, otherwise he risks falling behind the Norwegian in a clash of giants of this generation.

Mbappe shall have learned a lot from what happened with the former of PSG player. Thiago silva, Silva was leaving from PSG and move to the chelsea and he got three trophies with chelsea include club world cup even UCL. Mbappe's career will always stuck in the same place if he will not able to leave from the comfort zone. He needs to leave from there. Kyle walker was also proving it how his leave from totenham was also bringing him to the win of treble winners. The only stupid players who keep staying in the club that runs in the same place.
I hope that mbappe will try to consider a move to the another club as soon as possible. I heard that if it's not only real madrid. Manchester united was trying to approaching him as soon as he leaves from the club.

I think that MU was also very interesting to sign mbappe as a new player in summer. I do under why MU has a very big ambition to sign him caused by MU didn't have good attackers.
Mbappe can give alternative solution for that. His contribution was a lot tot he PSG. It's possible for mbappe moving to the MU

I heard about United's interest in Mbappe, but I think Mbappe is smart enough not to make that choice. United are far from the first team in the Premier League, they don't even have a guarantee of second place (or even top 4 haha). At the same time, Mbappe's main competitor for the number 1 title in the generation, Haaland plays in a dominant team, and against this background, the likelihood that against this background Mbappe will be in a losing position is very high. I would really like to see a strong United and a face-to-face confrontation between Mbappe and Haaland, but this option seems unrealistic to me.
3959  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: June 14, 2023, 09:36:44 PM
Since Messi has left the team, Mbappe is now the main player in PSG's squad. The team will now depend on Mbappe's performance. PSG management is well aware that now Mbappe leaves the team and their performance will drop badly. They will even lose dominance from Ligue 1. However, PSG has another star player Neymar in their squad. However, due to injuries, he could not stay with the squad for the full season. And so PSG will not risk relying solely on Neymar. Next season we will likely see both Neymar and Mbappe in PSG's attack.

Mbappe was PSG's main player before Messi, during Messi and after Messi's departure he remains the main player. And it seems that your prediction is in danger of being completely wrong: PSG are forced to sell Mbappe, and PSG want to get rid of Neymar. Most likely, both of these players will not be in PSG next season, but I don’t think that even taking this into account, PSG will lose their dominance in Ligue 1.
3960  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Is There A Time That You Calculated All Your loses In One Year on: June 14, 2023, 09:31:41 PM
In fact, this is actually quite good to do when you are trying to calculate the total deposit that you made into gambling, whether it's online or offline, because we really know how much we spent on gambling, but on the other hand, this will make you regret what you did at that time. other side.
I personally take the second option in this case and don't do any calculations that I spend while I'm gambling.
The reason is simple, I don't want to think too much about the gambling that I have done because this actually makes me have negative thoughts. I always emphasize entertainment and hobbies that I do and I also don't make a big deposit just as entertainment. When it's gone, there's no need to add it to the budget every week/month so I don't want to burden myself with that calculation.

When we make calculations, we must avoid the trap of different scales. When we look at our annual gambling spending, we tend to think about our budget for a month or maybe even a week, but in fact, these expenses should be compared with our annual budget. Perhaps in this version they will not seem huge or so large as to cause negative emotions.
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