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3961  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bear appreciation thread!! on: April 12, 2013, 11:00:58 PM
People won't truly understand how foolish it is to value bitcoins at more than, very optimistically, low double digits without robust infrastructure until this catastrophe reaches it's inevitable end in the single digits. 
What kind of infrastructure would you like to see before you'd be willing to believe that Bitcoin is ready to grow?

A more diverse exchange market, for one thing, populated by exchanges that follow sound policies and use more robust and expandable trading systems.  I get it, we had to start somewhere, and were quickly overwhelmed by new users, so there's really not much anyone could have done.  And I say this not without a sense of irony, but bitcoin's success now depends on well funded Wall Street types getting involved and implementing the same types of exchange infrastructure used in mature global markets.  Bitcoin was created in part to stick it to the traditional banking system, but it's survival now depends on people from that very system coming in and using their resources to build a stronger financial services market on top of bitcoin.

Those types will be first to sell for dirty fiat.

Actually they gonna sell in a few hours.
3962  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Seriously what is behind the trading lag. on: April 12, 2013, 10:45:31 PM
Yeah I've read the "under funded orders" explanation. But it just doesn't make sense.

My problem is: Forex and Stock trading platforms operate in the sub-millisecond range, I don't know if you've seen the ted talk of how they drilled a tunnel through a mountain to shorten the path the signal has to travel.
So while the professional have systems performant enough that the speed of light becomes relevant we have issues to even keep up with price fluctuations.

You just answered your own question.  "The professionals" have hundreds of millions of dollars invested in the infrastructure which makes real time trading possible.  Not only can no individual Bitcoin exchange afford such an investment, all of the Bitcoin exchanges combined would not have the resources to put such high level infrastructure in place at the moment. I doubt they could even afford to rent someone else's infrastructure.

What the fuck?

They also cook with water. The cost of computer hardware is negligible, both in the world of finance and the amount of profit mtgox had during the last year.
What performance? There were computerized exchanges in the 90s dammit.

Second: Look at the issues I raised above: Which part do you think requires high performance computing by todays standards?
3963  Economy / Speculation / Re: Highest volume day on record on: April 12, 2013, 10:35:54 PM
You guys are getting played.

This is an epic bull trap in the making.

Care to explain a bit more? You know everyone can shout things...

Fundamental reason: The big players need enough liquidity to cash out that is provided right now.
Technical reason: Dead cat bounce. I can't tell you specifics because this would be to my disadvantage, the only thing more stupid in than a wrong trade is giving away a working system.
3964  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bear appreciation thread!! on: April 12, 2013, 10:30:13 PM
Joining the I told you so party.

What saddens me is that this time it will be the big fish wasting a bunch of newbs. Embarrassed
3965  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Seriously what is behind the trading lag. on: April 12, 2013, 10:25:01 PM
It's possible that they use an inefficient algo to process orders. Then, even if the queue is only a few megs, if the algo run time takes longer and longer depending on how many orders are in the queue, that could explain why the lag takes place. They upgraded to a server with SSD's, so they might have been bottlenecked by IO. If a part of their order processing algo relies on disk IO (obviously it does, since it needs to transactional and talk to a database), it could be that things were backing up.

The other exchanges aren't getting the same amount of traffic, and I'm not sure if they are also getting the same amount of fake micro-transactions that were allegedly bogging down MtGox.

Either way, I'm curious about this too, but I think the only people who can answer these Q's are at MtGox, and they would not divulge this info.

What data are they storing? Orders what else? How can that ever amount to any significant amount of I/O bandwidth?
They would have to read and rewrite the entire data in the orderbook on each order to come even close to this amount. And it would make absolutely no sense to do it.
3966  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: April 12, 2013, 10:14:23 PM
Let's see how many times we can bubble and crash in 2013.

lol i agree. this is quite interesting

You are evil bastards you know that?  Grin
3967  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Seriously what is behind the trading lag. on: April 12, 2013, 09:33:43 PM
Yeah I've read the "under funded orders" explanation. But it just doesn't make sense.

My problem is: Forex and Stock trading platforms operate in the sub-millisecond range, I don't know if you've seen the ted talk of how they drilled a tunnel through a mountain to shorten the path the signal has to travel.
So while the professional have systems performant enough that the speed of light becomes relevant we have issues to even keep up with price fluctuations.
3968  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: April 12, 2013, 09:22:44 PM
b.i.t.c.o.i.n.i.c.a
3969  Economy / Speculation / Re: Highest volume day on record on: April 12, 2013, 09:02:36 PM
You guys are getting played.

This is an epic bull trap in the making.

Bull trap, bear trap... I don't care.  Just keep disagreeing, my liquidity bot is eating it up.

Yeah I don't really care either.
3970  Economy / Speculation / Re: Highest volume day on record on: April 12, 2013, 08:57:12 PM
You guys are getting played.

This is an epic bull trap in the making.
3971  Economy / Trading Discussion / Seriously what is behind the trading lag. on: April 12, 2013, 08:18:24 PM
What are the technical reasons for it? And don't come with systematic overload.
This problem wasn't there last year or a few months ago for that matter. Neither of the other exchanges are suffering it and neither are any Forex sites and other Trading platforms in the world of professionals.

The size of the orderbook probably is in the magnitude of a few megabytes and the rate at which orders are processed stands in no relation to the lag. Please correct me if I am wrong.

Oh and one thing please: Hamsters, there I said it can we now get some (technical) debate going?
3972  Economy / Speculation / Re: If anything, we are here: on: April 12, 2013, 11:19:57 AM
We are still at bull trap, just look at the posts if you sold already. (I know you can't think straight if you don't)
3973  Economy / Speculation / Re: The REAL suckers detection poll on: April 12, 2013, 11:04:05 AM
The real suckers are the ones that are buying now.

Hence why this poll is bias as for every winner there needs to be a loser.

this

make this poll after some weeks have passed.
3974  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Litecoin on Wikipedia: You guys need press coverage. on: April 12, 2013, 10:40:07 AM
This needs to get done.

How is it we do not have a Litecoin dedicated page on Wikipedia with a BIG FAT COIN up there.

This is an important step towards wide LTC adoption.  It is time to come out from under the shadow of big brother BTC.

I will help with some links -

The Economist Magazine - http://www.economist.com/news/finance-and-economics/21576149-even-if-it-crashes-bitcoin-may-make-dent-financial-world-mining-digital (comments on Litecoin as an alternative and partial clone - by NAME)

Computer World - http://www.computerworld.com/s/article/9238328/Bitcoin_rival_Ripple_looks_to_make_waves (talk about Litecoin and Ripple as Bitcoin RIVALS)

Ars Technica - http://arstechnica.com/security/2013/04/hide-your-kids-hide-your-btc-bitcoin-stealing-malware-emerges/ (comment on MtGox plans to add Litecoin trading)

Daily Recknoning Australia - http://www.dailyreckoning.com.au/bitcoin-and-the-monetary-revolution-in-crypto-currencies/2013/04/12/ (Bitcoin is one of many Cryptos - LTC named again)



Someone here must be established as an Wikipedia editor.

There are enough links already in this thread to make it happen.

Lets do this - en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?search=litecoin - should NOT BE BLANK.



Again create a subsection on the Bitcoin page, citing those articles and it will be accepted to stay, even when altcoin haters try to delete it.
3975  Economy / Speculation / Re: What does this do to BitPay? on: April 12, 2013, 10:19:51 AM
We are fine.  We have already moved nearly all of our trading off Gox, because we max out their monthly limits in 5 days.  All of the exchanges we use are fully operational with no delays in trading or withdrawals.

Good to hear, if the rest of the community is as sane as you are perhaps we will see stable prices within a reasonably timeframe.
3976  Economy / Speculation / Re: How long until we see a stabile 200? on: April 12, 2013, 10:15:44 AM
Four years, one block reward reduction period.... if BTC is still a thing by then.
3977  Economy / Speculation / Re: ITT: We wait for the 10 day breakout signal on: April 12, 2013, 10:00:12 AM
Interestingly the signal coincided with the gox shut down period. (surprise, surprise!)

Prices go down from here.
e: yes 260 was the top.
3978  Economy / Speculation / Re: This is what is awesome about speculation on: April 12, 2013, 01:13:57 AM
LOL was that you trolling?

Haha I didnt even pick up on that one. But okay....how was it trolling? lol

No I am serious, I wouldn't expect any of the Bitcoiners to get it.
But you've spent more than  enough time on altcoins check that what matters is valuation in terms of fiat money till the time of which items are _priced_ in coins.

If Bitcoin goes bust drags Litecoin along with it you are wasted just like everybody else.
3979  Economy / Speculation / Re: This is what is awesome about speculation on: April 12, 2013, 01:04:08 AM
If you didn't sell any you are sitting on paper profits though.

If I didn't sell any?

Oh I sold some in person for hard assets.

Paper profits come when you sell for fiat. I think your statement above is misworded?

Oh my

I expected better.
3980  Economy / Speculation / Re: This is what is awesome about speculation on: April 12, 2013, 12:57:03 AM
If you didn't sell any you are sitting on paper profits though.
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