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hey guys, I have 37k asiacoins at mintpal http://imgur.com/s7omxnican you swap it to pandacoins? I can send asiacoins to whatever address you specify my pandacoin wallet is PwDPwkpVeKV11WrDmbYsXDSBQ5wGJSfpRX |
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If your point total goes to -10 or worse, you are disqualified from the game immediately and your possible next round prediction is forfeited. This rule is to discourage trolling, gaming of the system and unresponsible forecasting. Getting -10 means that your estimated probability for a certain event which happened was 1/10 of the average. Certainly you were not being serious, were you?!
bad rule. |
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Just combined two charts and drew some lines... the bitstamp one from October-now and a long term price trendline chart 2011-2015. https://i.imgur.com/U0LemeR.pngSo we need to wait how global trend will resolve to udnerstand how the current setup will resolve? good, good.. |
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I think you need to make promotion contest (no entry fee) for few month and only then put on serious one.
Otherwise system doesn't look intuitive and "easy to get on" - as it now, you will get only "math" guys to participate. Indeed administrative with current system would be quite a nightmare, so you need to make some restrictions as well (so you an just copy-paste results into one big spreadsheet to get all results).
For example, restrict price ranges to 7 (not less and not more) but still use that geometric average thing.
At this moment audience is not ready - only elitists will enter.
Need more attention for regular Joes like myself!
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Despite your efforts, it's still not very clear for (at least) me.
What if persons used 30 different values for prediction and I used 3?
Bother to give few examples on real values?
like, what if my predictions are:
380 - 33%
440 - 27%
560 - 40%
As I understand, geometric mean would be (0,33*0,27*0,4)^(1/3) = 0.329
And lets say actual price was 486
So what?
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Huobi frozen for 8 minutes already.
EDIT: only the current price and the bid half of the book is frozen. The ask part is plummeting.
EDIT2: May be coincidence, but now in China it is just past 00:00 of the first business day after the Apr/18 deadline.
where can you view into the huobi order book? huobi order book @ btcwisdom seems like it's frozen too welcome to abuse my QQ Service
lol |
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Any chance of adding an exchange like prelude.io or mintpal.com? A lot of us in the Dogecoin community are switching away from Cryptsy because of all of its problems and the only thing keeping us away are the reliable charts  +1 for mint, if it has enough volume |
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Newbe question. I've been watching the market trends. And I'm confused and don't really know why I keep seeing on the "Latest Trades" that it seems one person keeps trading 0.1 over and over. Are these bots that are set to do this? I don't see how something like this would be beneficial to the value of the market as a whole for this to be allowed. Its counter productive for these trades of 25, 50+. Too me it seem counter productive.  it seems like it's just bots trying to affect the candles picture on all timeframes when orderbook is thin (well, mainly they affecting M1-M15 timeframes). |
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I hate such graphs without corresponding levels for current price and some more detailes price levels at most possible "points of touch". |
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I honestly don't get all that "short squeeze" thing.
Can someone explain me, what the profit for one or several whales to squeeze out shorts at 460? (considering they are not owner of finex)
When shorts get closed, exchange have to close "shorts" positions, by buying back coins they "sold".
So for example, if we have big 1000btc short at 460 get closed, there will be 1000btc buy order executed, allowing "the whale" to sell his own 1000btc at bigger price, say he will sell 700 BTC at 470 average price (only 700, cause other 300 is other guys sales orders)
One would say that 470-460=10$ difference per BTC would be enough profit for "whale", but I honestly doubt it.
In order to get 460 you have to buy like 3000 and then you will sell only like 700, so it's not super efficient way to get that 7000$ profit for "whale".
What I am missing?
Indeed, owners of finex very much want guy with 1000 btc to be liquidated, if they did not processed his sales order in the first place (so that way they basically getting lets say 430*1000 = 43 000$ as reward his margin call).
But I don't see how regular whale can get any value of "squeezing shorts".
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Regardless, you can't lord a couple of IQ points over anybody, because IQ fails to take into account a lot of factors regarding intelligence. There's plenty of articles available on the internet on why IQ tests alone are useless to determine someone's actual intelligence level. Seriously, a simple google search for "IQ tests inaccurate" will turn up dozens of results. Here's one: http://www.webmd.com/brain/news/20121218/iq-test-really-measure-intelligence -- The gist of it is IQ can be useful, but is wholly inadequate in getting a good determination on how intelligent someone is. You need multiple tests focusing on various factors to get a better idea. Ever met the guy who was a logic and math wiz, but couldn't navigate a social situation to save his life and was quite aloof? If he took an IQ test, he'd crush it, but if you tried to socially interact with the guy, you'd wonder how many types of idiot he was. I do not at all believe in creationism, by the way. Sorry, I didn't read whole discussion from the very beginning (perhaps, something about "stupid Brazilians?"). But despite of IQ test being not proper tool to measure "total" intellect of the person, it doesn't contradicts with the fact that some "races" performs worse in mathematical tasks whereas other might be better in social. You might say that "they're not worse, they're just the different", but that it doesn't take away fact that some Brazilians are worse in math that Norwegians (no idea honestly, just to illustrate). |
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Nope. As I said previously, some individuals are smart, some are dumb, some are in-between. My outright statement (not implication) is that it is not at all determined by what the color of their skin is or what country/continent/whatever they come from.
Indeed not all. But there should be some dependencies, based on world around certain population group. Like, in warm/tropic countries there might be less need in efforts of getting food. Based on that, different people groups might have different "intellectual" potential (or at least, that potential might be distributed differently vs other group) again, in average. Don't you agree? Also, do you guys assume that it's kind of an RPG where you have base stats like STR, DEX, INT as 10 and you have 20 points to distribute? It's looking like creationism. I think that it's totally might be that some group might have 16 and some 24 points to "distribute". |
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Hey octaft, so you do implicate that all people are "mentally" equal? |
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suggestion;: to show volume for the last
HOUR/ 24 hours
somehwere on graph, perhaps i nthe top left
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can you increase "step" of the wall for Huobi?
3500 is quite a big number, and steps by 10 Yen not much useful.
I suggest to increase step by at least 25 for CNY.
It's understandable to make it mathematical formula to change these steps (so it will be autoadjusted if price reach ever 3000 USD on btc for example).
Not sure how should formula be, but seems like with current volatility 1% per step looks okish.
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Just to make sure: that "scribd document" obviously a fake just look at this slide.. it's a freaking joke..  Goat? |
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Who wrote this?
That's a very good question. It's quite possible that it's fake. I've been bugging news outlets to insist that the guy who posted it post the actual file, not a link to scribd, so that forensic tools can be used on the source. It also might be something someone at Mt. Gox planted, to direct attention away from internal theft and discourage efforts to force what's left of Mt. Gox into bankruptcy now. This document is very clearly fake. document is fake indeed. you can notice at some slide there is a background pyramid + GOAT on it. |
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still not working.. I guess it's possible to make it work using google DNS but I'm not big fan of using google DNS
Load failed, retry after 5 seconds.
Probably Reason
BitcoinWisdom is temporary down
Domain is not bitcoinwisdom.com
Network issue
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I guess it's already known fact, but btcw not working at the moment
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