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41  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: If I bet big I lose, but if I bet small I win on: February 09, 2024, 02:43:58 PM
There are times when I think this way too because usually when I increase the bet amount the result is only loss. Considering that for many casinos especially games are provided by only a few suppliers, of course I think there may be something in the algorithm that could trigger this situation but in such a case I think that especially reputable casinos will not prefer to use the games provided by these businesses. The reason for this is that if such a thing is real and subsequently disclosed, it guarantees a serious loss of authority and the risk of losing the clients they have.

Anyway, considering that especially authoritarian casinos will not take such a risk, I would like to point out that I think the situation in question is just based on bad luck and unfortunately people who don’t have much luck in gambling this situation.
42  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Do You Believe, "Passive Investors Make More Than Active Investors?" on: February 08, 2024, 01:10:25 PM
Active trader "may" earn more, or may end up losing more, there is really no way to know and each trade makes different amounts of money. You can gather 100 traders to a room, and ask them how they did in the past six months and you will find that 90%+ of them did quite different from each other, only a few would have similar results. This is why it would make sense if you could end up with something that would benefit you, it should be a lot better to have a return that would not be all that easy.

I hope that we could reach to a point where we could make some good return, and it should not be all that simple for people to say traders make more than holders or make less than them, it's all different person to person in the end.

Yes, this is actually the main issue I want to talk about. Unfortunately, a trader who actively trades cannot know how much profit or loss he/she will make each month until the end of the month because there is no fixed return from actively trading. For this reason, I made a hypothetical example by thinking about possibilities and probabilities. I would like to point out that I completely agree with the example you gave because it is very unlikely that two or more traders will earn exactly the same or similar amounts of profit.

At this point, the following method may be preferred to compare both income methods;

For example, the average annual earnings of a trader with 10 different active income traders and a trader with 10 different passive income traders can be calculated. In this way we can specifically compare the average annual income of active traders whose net earnings are never known and the income of passive traders whose earnings are almost constant. Of course, this will not be a complete generalization because the calculations and comparison will only depend on annual income.
43  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Are there play and pay later casinos? on: February 08, 2024, 07:00:58 AM
So is gambling debt one way or other possible without the person taking loan or borrowing money?

I have heard that some hotel casinos apply such a debit system especially for their special clients but it shouldn't be forgotten that this situation isn't valid for every gambler. I think the reason for such a application is to encourage special clients who gamble with large sums of money to spend more. In particular, a casino customer in a different country can travel with a certain amount of money in cash when changing countries and this causes the casinos to earn less and prevents these people from potentially spending much more money. Of course, casino operators prefer to indebt their special clients as a solution to this situation because they clearly know that these customers will pay their debts.

This application, of course isn't valid for every casino client because there is no guarantee whether an ordinary gambler will pay the debt or not and especially gambling addicts may gamble by borrowing more money than they can pay. For this reason, this application is something that casinos apply only to their special clients and not every casino provides this service.
44  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Selling a property to play gamble on: February 08, 2024, 12:33:23 AM
As someone who has never sold any of my movable assets, financial assets or digital assets to gamble, I think this is extremely illogical because there is never a guarantee of winnings in gambling. I also think that someone who sells any of his/her assets to gamble is addicted to gambling because someone who doesn't have enough money will never have a priority to gamble and if he/she sells a product he/she will use the money he/she gets from it for the expenses he/she needs to continue his/her life.

In addition, I think that the money obtained by selling any asset shouldn't be used in gambling, even in gambling such as sports betting where there is a possibility of predicting the outcome or making a winning prediction.
45  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Rich or poor gambler, who should risk more? on: February 07, 2024, 04:33:08 PM
So, I am confused after asking myself this question and answering it, does this mean a poor gambler should continue to play it safe in gambling? With no risk, how can a poor gambler change their fortune in gambling?

Both rich and poor gamblers need to manage risk management very well in gambling because gambling isn't something that allows a person to make a profit according to his/her financial situation. Of course, since the rich have more money they may prefer higher amount bets or gambling games but each individual must manage risk management in gambling well, depending on their financial situation. For example, if we think in terms of percentage rather than amount, if both individuals gamble with 80% of their current wealth and lose in gambling, both of them will lose 80% of their current wealth. For this reason, regardless of rich or poor, risk management in gambling must be ensured very well.

To make a cost-oriented comment, I think that the poor must take more risks in order to gain the same amount of winnings because in order for a poor person with a budget of 100 units and a rich person with a budget of 1,000 units to gain the same amount of profit, the poor must gamble ten times more than the rich per stake.
46  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Do You Believe, "Passive Investors Make More Than Active Investors?" on: February 07, 2024, 01:43:03 PM
If I need to comment based on the amount of earnings, I can easily state that the answer will vary depending on the capital of two people who have passive and active income but if I need to comment in terms of percentage, the size of the situation will change. In fact, I can both claim that people with active income earn more and equally claim that people with passive income earn more across different scenarios. For example, let's say there is a house worth 500,000 euros that generates passive rental income. Of course, the rental income of this house will vary depending on the size, location, country, innovation and style of the house but it will not yield more than a few thousand euros per month. If a trader who actively trades earns more than this amount, even with a lower capital, we can easily claim that active income provides more profit. Of course, in this example, it is important to remember that passive income is a guarantee of continuity but active income isn't a guarantee of continuity. In summary, I can state that the answer to this question may vary depending on capital, preferred income method and continuity.
47  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Learning comes before earning on: February 07, 2024, 10:42:17 AM
Absolutely, learning should always be the top priority and come before making money because as a result of learning something, earnings will follow depending on the knowledge and experience learned. Especially in financial markets, the luck factor will cause you to be successful only a few times but learning will cause you to achieve infinite success and profit. Learning important factors such as technical analysis, fundamental analysis, market research, capital control, risk management and gaining experience from all these learnings will definitely enable a person to run rather than walk on the path of profit. Someone whose sole focus is profit will stumble over the first bumps he/she encounters on the road but someone who learns and takes firm steps on this path will definitely continue on his/her way by jumping over these bumps.

Remember, in financial markets luck only brings profits a few times but learning will continuously bring profits as it triggers the continuity of these profits. For this reason, in order to successfully become a profit-oriented trader, it is necessary to first learn, then gain experience from what you have learned and as a third step focus on potential profit opportunities by pursuing profit opportunities.
48  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: What does BTC mean to you? on: February 06, 2024, 09:14:57 PM
Hello, Everyone

I'll keep this short.

What does BTC mean to you?

Some may say freedom others  say hope in a world of restriction, love to hear your responses.

For me, Bitcoin is a revolution that basically means financial freedom because Bitcoin isn't a financial asset that we can get rich by just investing. Bitcoin is a great asset that can be used all over the world without being affiliated with any central institution, allows international money transfer at low costs, allows money to be sent quickly at low cost, can be used as an investment and allows everyone to easily access money digitally in today's conditions. It is invention. In addition, blockchain technology, which entered our lives with Bitcoin, is something that has contributed to the important developments in our lives not only as a financial asset but also in technological terms.

To summarize in a few words, Bitcoin for me means meaning freedom, technological innovation, financial freedom and transparency in the best way and together.
49  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: You can not win if you do not risk on: February 06, 2024, 03:00:37 PM
There is a chance of winning, and it can happen if we are lucky, and in my opinion we can win at gambling if we don't gamble excessively, because gambling is based on luck. Evaluating the risk can be done in our own way. We must gamble with full awareness and good self-control, don't let there be thoughts of chasing victory, because thoughts like that will only make problems come.

Yes, basically everyone has their own tastes, including slot gambling. Everyone has different thoughts, there are those who place big bets because they tend to want a win that might happen miraculously and make them get a big win too, and there are also those who place small bets because they want their gambling session to last a long time. and even if you win,  it is in accordance with the number of bets made. The amount of the bet determines the amount of winnings that can be obtained, but this can also happen if you really have luck in gambling, because what is certain is the risk of losing the money you bet is certain. because the risk of losing money in gambling cannot be completely avoided.

Of course, since gambling is completely luck-based, gambling a lot doesn't necessarily mean that you will win or get more profit. On the contrary, we often witness that gamblers who gamble a lot and have a gambling addiction lose more. For this reason, it is very important not to think that gambling more will result in more profit and to gamble by maintaining one's own control.

Everyone who gambles, of course aims to gain more winnings with high amount bets in line with their own preferences or prefers low amount bets to gamble for a longer time with their current budget. This varies from person to person and may also vary depending on the person's gambling purpose. For example, when I feel that I will win at gambling, I generally prefer to play slots with half of my budget above the minimum bet amount but after my balance is halved or less than halved I increase the time I will gamble with the minimum bet amount. This is entirely my own choice and not everyone may prefer it. When I gamble in this way, the winning amount of course varies depending on the bet amount.
50  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Who says Tesla initiated last bull run is wrong on: February 06, 2024, 10:19:33 AM
I definitely think that the last bull run was not started by Tesla and Tesla didn't contribute to a serious acceleration in the bull run. The reason for this is that, although there isn't a very high transaction volume in the cryptocurrency markets compared to other financial markets, no single company can have an impact on new money inflows to the cryptocurrency markets. Yes, perhaps Elon Musk has the opportunity to create a movement in the markets due to his manipulation power as well as being the largest shareholder of a company like Tesla but still the power of a company owned by Elon Musk alone will not be enough to start a bull period.

On the other hand, if we consider the previous bull markets, we shouldn't forget the fact that we have always seen very serious bull runs with the inflow of money into the cryptocurrency markets, this money flow is achieved with a big scenario and companies can only help this movement to occur more rapidly. In other words, a small acceleration may have been created by Tesla during the bull period but it wouldn't be correct to claim that the last bull period was started by Tesla.
51  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: What's your view on this? Is it fun or addiction? on: February 06, 2024, 07:12:52 AM




This image is funny if it is a joke but if not it is funnier because everyone including individuals who have just started gambling, knows the effects of constant gambling and that they shouldn't gamble with borrowed money. Of course, there may be people who despite knowing this become addicted to gambling and continue to gamble with all the money they can find (including debt). I think this image was prepared for fun and was used to make fun of someone because the content literally shows that it was prepared to make fun of someone. On the other hand, it may also motivate people who are addicted to gambling in a malicious way to gamble more or encourage new gamblers to gamble constantly. It is very difficult to guess but it is quite easy to claim that there is no single logical sentence.may be a factor that increases these possibilities but in the same way, under-the-stairs businesses in any different sector will also increase these odds.
52  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Another health benefit of online gambling on: February 05, 2024, 04:54:54 PM

Betting with online gambling firms will shield you from contracting communicable diseases because you are all alone in a comfortable atmosphere.


Yes, betting online is definitely a very good option to avoid being in some bad casino or betting office environments but it is a very wrong thing to think that you can only catch diseases from physical casinos or betting offices. For example, in the middle of the pandemic when more and more people were getting infected with the virus, everyone was recklessly shopping in markets but not going to restaurants, cafes, casinos or similar entertainment venues. So, what happened? Many people, who thought they were especially careful caught the disease even though they just went to the market and their test results were positive. In other words, just going to a physical casino doesn't prevent a person from contracting a disease or virus. Moreover, it is possible to minimize this possibility by choosing quality physical casinos or betting offices.

In summary, just because a person doesn't go to businesses such as physical casinos or betting offices due to his/her health condition, doesn't mean that that person will never catch a disease or catch a virus. Under-the-stairs physical casinos and betting offices may be a factor that increases these possibilities but in the same way, under-the-stairs businesses in any different sector will also increase these odds.
53  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: You can not win if you do not risk on: February 05, 2024, 12:50:35 PM
you explained in detail, which is good. because it is true that with the opportunities that exist in gambling, it is possible that it could happen, but in my opinion it will not run completely smoothly. and with your detailed explanation, it is also impossible for this to happen smoothly if you are not a bookie yourself, unless you are a bookie, but what you have to pay attention to in gambling in my opinion is that the chance of losing is greater than the chance of winning, also in this way The risks involved in gambling cannot be hidden or even eliminated, because they have become a definite factor in gambling.

and with each person's different attitude or thoughts it is a certain thing in gambling, there are people who use for example $10 or $20 for gambling and they bet with a small bet amount because maybe they believe in winning that can be obtained by gradually so he plays neatly and neatly without using emotion or passion. On the other hand, there are also people who gamble using $10 or $20 with lust or emotion and thirst for victory, so they gamble using large bet amounts because they believe that the bigger the bet, the bigger the win they can get, but even so, I think it's luck. will also still determine the end of the gambling. In fact, if they really want to play crazy,  they can place big bets, this happens to gamblers who are thirsty for winning.

Of course, there are always opportunities in gambling and winnings can be achieved by evaluating these opportunities correctly along with risk management. In addition, of course the probability of losing is always higher in gambling and it is very difficult to manage this, especially in luck-based games but it is also possible to evaluate opportunities with low probability and high earning potential by analyzing them well.

If we talk about the different gambling habits of each person, I think that this situation also determines risk management from person to person. For example, I prefer slot games worth a few cents with a very small balance because I like to play the maximum amount of games with my available balance. This not only allows me to gamble at a lower cost but also increases the chances of winning as I play more games. Of course, for this reason when I get a win of 1000x in any game, the profit I make is low due to my bet amount, but the risk management I prefer also has an impact here. In the scenario I mentioned, with 1000x profit, I earn 2,000 units not 10,000 units but with a budget of 10 units, it seems more enjoyable to me to make 50 bets of 0.20 units each, instead of 10 bets of 1 unit each.
54  Local / Ekonomi / Re: Kripto para düzenlemesi yolda on: February 05, 2024, 08:16:45 AM
Çok uzun zamandır kripto paralar için bir düzenleme geleceği gündemde fakat bu konu ile ilgili ciddi bir adım atılmış değil ve atmak da oldukça zor olacak çünkü belirli bir düzenleme ile merkeziyete sahip borsalar üzerinden kullanıcı kazançları ve finansal hareketlerini takip etmek kolay olsa da cüzdan bağlayarak kullandığımız merkeziyesiz borsalar üzerinden veri, kazanç ve para akışını takip etmek oldukça zor. Tabii ki, özellikle ilk aşamada çok kısıtlı bir şekilde düzenleme gelmesi sonrasında sürekli olarak bu düzenlemeler üzerinde geliştirmeler olacak ve daha katı bir şekilde takip sağlanacaktır fakat özellikle vergilendirme konusunda belirttiğim gibi tam anlamı ile bir regülasyon veya kontrol söz konusu olamayacaktır.

Bir de olası düzenlemelerin aslında kripto paraların vizyon ve misyonunu terste bırakacak bir şey olduğunu da unutmamak gerekmektedir çünkü blok zinciri teknolojisi tamamen özgürlük ve gizlilik üzerine kurulmuştur. Bu sebeple yapılacak olan düzenlemeler ile hem buna karşı bir hareket yapılmış olacak hem de bu düzenlemelerin getireceği avantajdan çok dezavantaj meydana gelecektir.
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56  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Google Updates policy allowing bitcoin and crypto assets trust to be advertised. on: February 03, 2024, 11:59:34 PM
Companies that have imposed serious sanctions, restrictions, criticized and banned cryptocurrencies and related content in the past years have now started to take various positive actions about Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, one by one because they were forced to do so. If a business cannot keep up with change, it quickly comes to an end and Google as a business that is aware of this has made such a decision. Of course, this is just my opinion but the fact that a company that banned content related to cryptocurrencies years ago has made such a decision today also indicates this. I hope that other major digital platforms and companies will also keep up with this change and positive news in this direction will come one after another.
57  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How is bitcoin linked to the main owner? on: February 03, 2024, 11:21:18 PM
Read this fascinating story of a young bitcoin fellow named Jimmy who stole from silk road. The site happened to have a glitch and Jimmy withdrew 50,000 btc. The owner of silk road contacted him when it appeared to him, that 50k btc disappeared from his wallet due to the glitch, but Jimmy afforded him no help. Later, Jimmy transferred $800 to a KYC enabled exchange, and the cops were able to link it back to the stolen 50,000btc from silk road. How possible is this?



Blockchain network is actually a technology that attaches great importance to privacy and contributes to transfers with user privacy but unfortunately since it is regulated in some way today it has become very difficult to make completely anonymous transfers. In this case, Jimmy submitted his identity and therefore his personal information to a centralized exchange service and after tracking the cryptocurrency wallet address to which he made the transfer, the person disclosed his identity. Although blockchain technology is privacy-oriented, unfortunately, when a centralized institution learns who owns the wallet address it is very easy to disclose that person.

The main mistake here arises from the fact that Jimmy carries out transfers and transactions through a centralized exchange where he provides his credentials. At this point, the person has disclosed his own identity and personality due to the involvement of a centralized financial institution.
58  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: No one has gone broke taking profits, always take profits. on: February 03, 2024, 07:22:28 PM
I started learning how to trade and my teacher just told me this advice that no one has gone broke taking profits when trading. I have always wanted to earn Bitcoin but I have been confused how to start then decided that I'll learn how to trade. I have been reading through the forum and I see lots of advice about holding and it's looking like if you sell you're not doing the correct thing. The first advice I have received is that I should always take profits. My teacher said the profits you take is better than all imagining profits you'll think that you can get in the future if you keep holding. He didn't say holding is bad but I got advice not to neglect the profits that I can take. I got this advice and I want to share it with everyone, always take profits.

First of all, I would like to point out that receiving profit in case of a short-term price increase in long-term investments turns a long-term investment into a short or medium-term investment. In other words, it would be a mistake to take profit at the slightest price movement especially for long-term investments and it isn't a mistake for people with this portfolio not to sell in small price movements.

Talking about short-term buy-sell trades, I can also agree that it is a very important detail to always take profits gradually in these trades because especially in short-term trades since the profit obtained is only visible in the account balance it makes the user think as if they are playing a game and increase their earnings even more. It forces you to wait. Therefore, it is important to take profit from each trade strictly gradually over the short-term period.
59  Local / Türkçe (Turkish) / Re: [Rehber] Ödemeli imza kampanyasına katılmadan önce dikkat etmeniz gerekenler on: February 03, 2024, 03:51:09 PM
Öncelikle bu güzel çeviri için konu sahibi arkadaşa teşekkür etmek ve son birkaç ay içerisinde iki farklı kampanyaya dahil olmuş birisi olarak kendi tecrübelerimi de buradan aktarmak istiyorum. Ödemeli imza kampanyalarına giren arkadaşlar muhakkak haftalık mesaj limitine bağlı olarak mümkün ise yedi veya altı güne tüm mesajlarını dağıtması gerekmektedir çünkü bir veya iki gün içerisinde tüm mesajların yazılması durumunda birçok kampanya yöneticisi bu kişilere ödeme yapmadığı gibi bir sonraki hafta kampanyadan bu üyeleri de çıkarmaktadır. Ayrıca, gün içerisinde yazılan mesajların da çok kısa bir zaman dilimi içerisinde yazılmaması ve gün içerisinde dağılımı sağlanarak yazılması da kesinlikle oldukça önemli. Ek olarak, özellikle kumar ile bir bağlantısı bulunmayan kişilerin kumar kampanyalarına dahil olmaması gerektiğini de hatırlatmadan geçmek istemiyorum çünkü kumar kampanyası yöneten yöneticiler genellikle çok hassas olmaktadır.

Tüm bu önerilere ek olarak ise son dönemlerde malum içeriğe sahip imza kampanyalarının yasaklanması sebebi ile kumar içeriğine sahip imza kampanyalarında bir artış gözlemlenmiştir. Bu yüzden, özellikle kumara ilgili olan arkadaşların kumar kategorilerinde daha aktif olmasını ve mesaj yoğunluğunu bu alana göstermesini önereceğim. Tabii ki, bu kampanyalara dahil olabilmek için tek amacın para kazanmak olmadığını da göstermek adına sadece bu kategoriye odaklanmamakta da fayda olacaktır.
60  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: As a trader never settle for less on: February 03, 2024, 02:00:46 PM
Everyone, not just the rich, wants to earn more money because as you earn more money you become in a position to buy whatever you want as well as having a better standard of living. For this reason, many traders always strive to get more than the amount they earn and this actually causes many people to lose money in the financial markets. Of course, everyone's desire to earn more money isn't only because they want to have a better standard of living but also because they are jealous of other people and emulate them. A person always takes as an example those who are more successful and financially stronger than theirself and strives with great ambition to become richer than these people. For this reason, many traders cannot control their greed especially when trading in financial markets and are ambitious to earn more. This not only causes the person to make more mistakes but also triggers him/her to dislike the earnings he/she has earned due to greed.

For example, if a trader earns money to buy a Citroen, he/she may aim to increase this money and buy a Ferrari depending on his/her greed because there may be someone around him/her who drives a Ferrari and has a better financial situation than him/her. In this case, greed and jealousy come into play in order to have something better with the earnings and this causes the person to make more mistakes.
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