Ah sehr gut, danke für Deine schnelle Recherche. +1 merit für 1miau (hab grad leider keine zu verteilen).

Also hab's genauso gesehen wie Du, gefühlt hilft's wohl. Aber komischerweise bin ich noch nie drauf gekommen, dann halt mal nachzuschauen. Aber ich hab dann im Hinterkopf ebenso die Beispiele, bei denen das wirklich komplett gar nicht geklappt hat und man sich erinnert, dass man dachte, dass der Trainerwechsel komplett überflüssig war.

Deine anfängliche These, dass es eher damit zu tun hat, dass die Clubs dann ohnehin eine Durststrecke hinter sich haben, ergibt intuitiv halt durchaus Sinn.

Gibt natürlich einige gute Spiele und die meisten würden wohl sagen, dass Leipzig - Leverkusen das Topspiel ist. Aber ehrlich gesagt ist das Mainz - Union Berlin Spiel gar nicht weniger wichtig, was den Tabellenkeller angeht. Klassisches 6-Punkte-Spiel.

Da kann ich jetzt nur mit der geläufigen Bevölkerungszahl Deutschlands argumentieren und Dir entgegnen, dass es knappe 85 Millionen Experten gibt (mich eingeschlossen ), die das ähnlich sehen wie Du.

Aber gut, man kann es ja immer auf diese Weise biegen und wenn z. B. ein neuer Trainer ernannt wird, dann hängt seine Lebenszeit oft von den ersten drei Spielen ab. Jetzt kann man drüber diskutieren, ob der überhaupt das Problem ist. Aber ich hab noch nie so richtig ausführlich in die Statistik geguckt, wird mal Zeit, dass das jemand macht. Bringen diese "Neu-Trainer-Effekte" was? Also meine Wahrnehmung ist, dass es manchmal so ist. manchmal. Das wäre mal einen Blick wert.

Not really. Union Berlin has at no point shown outstanding performance this season and a look at the table would have granted you sufficient insight into the situation Union Berlin is in. There isn't much to discuss when you see these two teams be up against each other. Bayern will destroy them. Anything else would be a surprise. But they are on a top level and all the players they need are fit, maybe except for Gnabry, but Bayern has enough players to replace shortages without a loss in quality in that moment. This is going to be an easy win.

Danke Dir! Und ja, Du bist ja auch noch in Schlagdistanz, würde ich doch mal sagen. Aber eine richtige Kracherrunde kann halt einiges auf den Kopf stellen. Haben wir nun schon häufiger gesehen.


Das hat auch ein bisschen was Interessantes an dieser Stelle. Also je nachdem, wie die Ansetzung für dieses Spiel nun erfolgt, ist es doch immer noch ein kleiner Joker, den Union Berlin dann noch verwerten kann. Habe jetzt natürlich keine Ahnung, wann es sein wird, aber wenn man es recht weit nach hinten rausschieben muss, dann kann das schon Relegationscharakter haben und das setzt dann vielleicht doch noch mal extra Kräfte frei. Aber ich gehe mal davon aus, dass die meisten Blicke wohl eher auf die Spitze der Bundesliga gerichtet sein werden. Außer bei cygan (), der Nadelstich musste sein!

@cygan, schaust Du eigentlich sehr regelmäßig im Stadion?

Uff, maybe it is a competition for teams that seem to be mediocre but have an ace up their sleeves. If you remember how Sevilla did in the Europa League or how once Porto did when Mourinho was the coach, these teams were nowhere on the planet considered the favorites in these competitions, but they won it. Statistically you are right, the Champions League doesn't really give good reasons to think that an outsider would win the competition in the end, but I still think that there is only a vague definition as to who counts as a a non-favorite team and a favorite team. This season there are a couple of teams that I am not sure about what to think of them. But I will find out soon and that's what makes this season exciting once again.

It is all about not underestimating their opponents in this round. Bayern, Manchester City and Real Madrid are the favorites in all those games, but there have been surprises in the past. I would be no exception if one of them gets under pressure, but since it is two games to go, I doubt that any of these teams would falter. I rather expect a few superior games by those teams and then we will see what the next round brings regarding the drawing.

The financial constraints have probably played a big role in the overall decline of Roma's lack of accomplishments in the last few months. Every time they got a little bit closer to a strong level, the decline in their performance was literally inbound and I think these little setbacks every single time made everyone tired and Mourinho's words weren't of the same impact anymore.

For everyone involved I believe getting in a new coach is the right decision and perhaps it is still the right time to do it. Half of the season has been played and there is still something to be done about their final position. If they waited 10 more weeks or something, then all hope would probably be lost by then. Rather give it a shot now.

This is a very interesting approach and I only came to find about this a moment ago. I need to study the whole thread first and see what people had contributed, but I wonder whether you were able to already draw some conclusions for yourself?

When events are independent from each other and purely luck based, why do you think you could add some structure to the "data" by infusing some entropy?

I did some research for myself on the relation of entropy on fundamental analysis and technical analysis in trading. Since we have news incoming everyday and according to the information efficiency hypothesis these news have an influence on the price, I wanted to see how the impact of the news decrease in significance by giving the news an entropy parameter. For instance, "China bans Bitcoin" today is not causing as much entropy as per the information efficiency hypothesis as it did a decade ago. But I am not yet done. My point is that there is probably more likely a reproducible way to include entropy into some formula as it is in a purely luck-based outcome environment.

You said chaos comes in waves for the casino, but are you talking about individual users or the entire user base? Because how would it be possible that all players choose to bet either low or big in a certain period of time? 

Yes indeed, 24 points was also a massive jump in the table for you and I am slowly but surely losing sight of the top players. Could need a few rounds with 24 points as well! Making up for 26 points in the remaining 17 points isn't impossible, but it's tough as the competition isn't sleeping here. Looking a bit better for me in the German pool, but not much.

I saw that casperBGD and efialtis are the only two players with 3 max matchday points. What's crazy is that efialtis didn't play on 6 matchdays! Played 11 and won 3, if he kept that average it would have given him 9 matchday wins, ugh.

Hey liebe Leute,

ich bin nun hier mal wieder am Start und aktiver. Wir waren tatsächlich von der Flut betroffen, was keineswegs ein Spaß war. Krasse Kombination aus Wasser und dann anschließendem Eis. Ich vermute mal, dass der ein oder andere hier auch einiges mitbekommen musste. Aber genug des off-topic.

---

Jetzt geht's ja endlich wieder richtig los mit etwas mehr Analyse. Nun schauen wir mal, lieber cygan, ob Du da noch genug im Tank hast, um mir noch auf die Pelle zu rücken! Es kommen aber glaube ich ein paar spannende Zeiten jetzt, vor allem, wenn man hier und da die veränderte Kadersituation vllt. berücksichtigen muss. Also dann wünsch ich allen ein paar ordentliche Runden und vielleicht kommt jeder nochmal mit einem Tagessieg zum Zug!

Hey slackovic, only now did I find the time to really follow up on some of the things, but it was a close fight between Croatia and Spain obviously and ended in my favor. I usually wish my opponents the best of luck, but wasn't around as here as I would have liked to. So I'll make up for it now by wishing you good luck, but


I feel the last part here has already been decided to not become true! Anyway, good luck for the tennis question (if I see it correctly, that's the decider).

@Harkorede, good luck for this round. An important gameday for both of us. I will either widen the gap between us or we will enter into some tough competition until the very end

There were a few tough questions that needed a bit of research, but let's see where this goes. There are a few important duels at the top as well. This round could really set some at the top apart from the rest.

@vd309 your goal difference is still insane! You don't have to worry about a tie on points I guess.

Hey guys, wanted to let you know that my card already arrived, which was quite surprising as everything is flooded right now and I thought any postal service may be fighting with huge delays. Thanks a lot for the card, slick design and a great addition to my collectibles!

Wish you a great start into 2024!

You are giving out a tiny piece of information that on its own means nothing to be honest. Now I am a bit too lazy to dive into the research, but what do you mean by "insured wallet"? If they get custody of your Bitcoin and make a promise what will happen in case of a hack, you could still end up with empty hands if there is no sufficient way for you to verify whether this company is financially healthy enough to pay out everyone who might have lost something. This insurance thing can only work if they take your Bitcoin and hold it for you. Otherwise they would bear the risk of idiots losing their Bitcoin or getting outright scammed because proving that you did not get hacked when you claim you got hacked is impossible in many cases.

I assume they take a monthly fee then or something. Everyone should really consider whether it is worth a fee or whether they should educate themselves and use Bitcoin the way it is supposed to be used and supposed to serve its users. The point of Bitcoin is that there is NOT a third party involved when your assets are concerned.

If they provide a wallet that is supposed to be insured, there is still the risk of using it in a wrong way or being reckless with backups and passwords. Sounds like a weird service to me.

I don't know when and why this ordinals hype gets another push again. It seems to be coming in waves most of the time, but what triggers these waves is what I don't understand. If anyone has a clue, I would like to get a glimpse of what is going on and why so many ordinals are being pushed onto the blockchain or broadcasted.

Setting a limit for the transaction is good if you have the time to wait for the transaction to be confirmed, but it is painful if you have to send something now and it is stuck in your wallet. I think it can make sense these days to have some liquid crypto in a coin different from Bitcoin. Once the fees are high, swapping is also expensive.

It isn't true. I don't remember right now where there is a reasonable number calculated and published about the total lost Bitcoin, but it is far from the 13 million mentioned here. When you search for that number of google, what mostly pops up is something in the middle single-digit millions. Maybe something between 4-6 million although I think it is still not solved to a degree that it could be said with certainty that we are talking about millions here.

Some of the reports of these guys who threw away hard drives suggest that some of them alone supposedly threw away tens of thousands. I would assume this did indeed happen a couple of times.

But not all Bitcoin will ever be lost in the sense that people lost their PKs. I think there would be a highly positively correlated scarcity - security ratio. The less Bitcoin there are, the higher the price if all things are equal and the higher and stronger all the security requirements.

Unless some weird things happen, everything should grow in favor of Bitcoin. The infrastructure, the user base, the number of parties watching Bitcoin closely, the number of people familiarizing themselves with Bitcoin, the number of countries legalizing it, the wallets generated and many other things that would all be supportive of the Bitcoin network. This does not mean the price can't drop, it can as we have seen several times before. Despite overall growth of many of the important metrics, the price can do its own thing, but I think only temporarily. In the long run metrics will align with each other, price included.

But that is what I mean when I said they are too structures and too consistent with their results and it won't be easy to push them from the throne. I do exactly get what you mean because sometimes it seems to be close and Real Madrid could be dropping points and yet they win all those games. I think it isn't only luck, but it is their understanding of the game. It could go wrong at some point of course, but most of the time they understand how to patiently finish the game and score that one decisive goal in the right moment. For as long as they keep doing this, it is tough for the teams behind them because it feels unfair, but that's what they have to accept and try to keep winning their games.

Absolutely correct and having both of them back on the pitch would really be like a savior for them when they next round in the Champions League is about to start. Their game isn't as compelling for their opponents. They look as if they have vulnerabilities without Haaland and De Bruyne and opponents feel and see that. Both of these players can create a whole new dynamic and variability for their game, hence they are missing. Both of them are really urgently needed.

Who would ever have enough of an asset. that is destined to increase in value long term? What does enough even mean?

There are all kinds of opinions and this does not only mean between different people, but one and the same guy might have two opinions depending on whether Bitcoin is currently on the rise or not. I have heard people saying that they missed to sell their bag and now Bitcoin is getting dumped and about to die. A few months later the same people said they regret to not have bought more during the dip. The thing that was said to be dying yesterday is now just having a short bad period and is soon coming back from that dip.

It is quite normal to feel the desire to own more of something that is going up in value, but if you have some Bitcoin, an amount that relative to your living standards could change something about it if you hold onto it for long enough, I think you did not miss the train. But there are others who really missed the train and are still hesitating. That's really bad.