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4081  Economy / Speculation / Re: Call the top on: November 16, 2013, 11:04:55 AM
When will people learn there are no elliot waves in bitcoin.
4082  Economy / Speculation / Re: this time it's different... on: November 16, 2013, 10:57:51 AM
The bearish wedge is still there, I guess being dragged out all the way to the apex. Maybe it breaks somewhere after the senate hearings.

The only way that wedge can still exist on Monday is if it goes up some more between now and then. If it just flat lines for 48 more hours, it won't qualify as a wedge anymore, just consolidation at highs.
Looks like it went up.
4083  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 16, 2013, 10:54:10 AM
If you know could know exactly when bitstamp would come back online to bitfinex then it would make for a great shorting opportunity.
I would do arbitraging instead of shorting, but hardly worth it due to trading fees.  Percentagewise the price difference is still small.
I have seen up to a 10% difference when it happens.
4084  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 16, 2013, 10:49:20 AM
If you know could know exactly when bitstamp would come back online to bitfinex then it would make for a great shorting opportunity.
4085  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 16, 2013, 10:41:48 AM
these small drops that we have had from time to time (where bears shout: "CRASH!!! SELL!!!") are more bullish than anything else, because these drops show how much support we have and seems to me that we have a lot of support at these cheap prices =)

disclaimer: one 10k sell will change things still, but big holders might want to wait if they are selling in the first place
Each of these corrections probably had no more than 1K-5K coins coming from a seller and the rest was panic and bots. Then the panic stops when people realize there isn't actually much selling going on and turns into panic buying to buy back the coins. But wait till there's a real seller.

I wouldn't even call these corrections. Just a bunch of trigger happy traders (and bots) thinking "uh oh here's the seller. now the flashcrash".
4086  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 16, 2013, 10:36:50 AM
Yeah the biggest buy I see now is 1K. There used to be 5K buys, 10K buys, 25K buys... I haven't seen those since August. This is being driven entirely by a lack of supply now. The total accross all exchanges is like 25K btc. This is definitely a danger zone.
4087  Economy / Speculation / Re: this time it's different... on: November 16, 2013, 09:03:58 AM
The bearish wedge is still there, I guess being dragged out all the way to the apex. Maybe it breaks somewhere after the senate hearings.

The only way that wedge can still exist on Monday is if it goes up some more between now and then. If it just flat lines for 48 more hours, it won't qualify as a wedge anymore, just consolidation at highs.
That's now how bitcoin works. It doesn't just go up, consolidate on low volume, and go up more. There needs to be violent movements and recoveries on high volume with buys of thousands of btc at a time to give people confidence and refuel the rocket.
4088  Economy / Speculation / Re: this time it's different... on: November 16, 2013, 08:47:07 AM
The bearish wedge is still there, I guess being dragged out all the way to the apex. Maybe it breaks somewhere after the senate hearings.
4089  Economy / Speculation / Re: this time it's different... on: November 16, 2013, 08:41:45 AM
Fiat keeps flowing into the bid side on these exchanges exponentially. I think the whales are waiting to see how far this goes and if it stops then they'll dump.
4090  Economy / Speculation / Re: What effect will Monday's US Congressional hearing have on price? on: November 16, 2013, 08:33:35 AM
margin positions are closed and im holding 65% btc, 5% ltc, and 30% usd.

But this is just because btc is stagnant - not due to senate hearings.
4091  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 16, 2013, 05:04:59 AM
On the topic of wall observation... This is UNREAL

4092  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 16, 2013, 04:41:32 AM
Stupid bot sold all my bitcoins at a loss and now it seems it will buy again at a loss bitcoin-wise too Sad

Why do you think we keep saying "Buy and hold". Do you think we're joking? Do you think this is some kind of game?

Buy. and. hold!!!
For the longest time.

It's funny (or tough?). I know that (holding) is the right thing to do, most likely, even in this scenario, but can't help to want to up trade the rogue waves. I imagine that even had I bought in at 4$ (yes, I'm jealous), I might still be tempted to trade the major parabolic swings (April, now).
Hold some btc in an exchange like bitfinex and use it as collateral for margin trading. use margin to trade the waves.
4093  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 16, 2013, 12:09:56 AM
4094  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 15, 2013, 11:04:17 PM
This is different from the normal dip/retracement. Sellers are actually running a demolition on the large walls rather than just retracing over low bid depth. Also, over 900,000 coins were transferred today.
4095  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 15, 2013, 10:59:42 PM
tonight we dine in hell at 300
4096  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 15, 2013, 07:55:18 PM
good time to get cheap coins now, before it raises to 500 in the next 24 h.
2% away from ATH is "cheap coins"?
4097  Economy / Speculation / Re: When was the last time you bought coins? on: November 15, 2013, 07:49:55 PM
at $120 i bought 40btc and another 40btc on margin.

since then ive traded the margin portion several times.
4098  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 15, 2013, 07:22:13 PM
Bitstamp is normally bullstamp, where selling has been disabled and there is nothing but consistent buying.  If Bitstamp is selling then that is a pretty bad indicator.

Not true, Bearstamp sells all the time, they had their own freakout yesterday dumping to 400 when gox was at 430
Yesterday was a bearish day also - not a good indication.
4099  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 15, 2013, 07:15:52 PM
Bitstamp is normally bullstamp, where selling has been disabled and there is nothing but consistent buying.  If Bitstamp is selling then that is a pretty bad indicator.
4100  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 15, 2013, 05:53:18 PM
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